Often success equals performance minus anticipation, using Rallings and Thrasher’s projections for the locals, of Lab 490 gains, the Cons and Lib Dems 220 and 350 losses respectively, and UKIP to make 80 gains, so far it is a great set of elections for UKIP as they have impress results all over England, and for the coalition parties an as expected, and as good as Rallings and Thrasher were …
Comments
It remains a fact that despite UKIP's successes in the locals in these seats Labour will have 10x more councillors, the tories more than 7 times and even the Lib Dems 2.5x. And they will not control a single council. Impressive but a long way to go.
Labour: There's been a very clear message against the government, clearly people want us in charge.
Tories: There's been a very clear message against the government, clearly people want more of our policies passed into law and are voting against the Lib Dem nonsense.
LDs: There's been a very clear message against the government, clearly people just don't understand all the good work we're doing - they want us to do even more.
http://hopisen.com/2014/election-night-what-they-didnt-say/
Sky News reporting about Farage in Thurrock
"He was mobbed when he got there, I heard someone say 'I havent seen anything like this since Elvis was here.. ' there were two grown men crying saying 'Thank you Thank you Mr Farage' "
When was Elvis in Thurrock?! Elvis Costello??!!
Think I got the value w 16/1 though, and I think 6/1 is still value.
Prob about 9/4 in my book
.@JohnMannMP attacks 'pointyheads' at top of Lab for 'disastrous strategy'. 'People like me and voters I represent are not being heard'
There was a 'strategy' ? - what was it, bacon butties and shrinking Clegg..?
What today's results tell us is that Ed has lost the 2015 General Election.
What is unknown is whether UKIP will be able to save him by giving him back what he has lost.
Whatever the result, it is now out of EdM's hands and control.
South Tyneside Lab 16 seats Con 1 seat Ind 1 seat Lab gain 1 from UKIP , Ind gain 1 from Lab
Constituency Betting
Thurrock Pending £5.00
Thanks for the tip ^_~
Labour Party: David Crosby
Votes: 842
Conservative Party: Alex Dale
Votes: 1603
Liberal Democrat: Martin Richard Smith
Votes: 2452
UK Independence Party (UKIP): Jason Christopher Sullivan
Votes: 861
Green Party: Rita Louise Wilcock
Votes: 437
I remain very surprised that given his undoubted crapness, Labour's general and palpable weakness, and a recovering economy the Tories are not huge favourites to win an outright majority next year. Making the GE all about Ed is probably their only realistic hope now.
Isn't it wonderful to hear the establishment parties now saying they must listen to the voters concerns #doh
That would be quite something.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-27544972
http://order-order.com/2014/05/23/in-quotes-labour-mps-line-up-to-turn-fire-on-miliband/
http://goo.gl/4AJwpD
The good Dr. Sox, medicus of this parish, said earlier that he was confident that the Lib Dems had a bright future as the sole sensible party of the centre and were just going through a rough patch. I dare say that nearly a hundred years ago Liberals were saying much the same thing with regard to the rise of the Labour Party, but this time they are starting from a much lower base.
I don't know, I could be completely wrong (I often am), but I do think there is a change of mood going on and it will not necessarily be to the Lib Dems advantage.
http://comresupdates.eu.com/DCJ-2HIUH-F21LMD8E11/cr.aspx
Tally Ho !!
Which is due a reconciliation after the Euros.
Chuck in South Thanet (Conservative) as Farage's personal target and it still looks a lot more balanced then the political commentariat give credit for.
Very articulate with words, very popular, and making a huge blunder for which you won't agree was a mistake (Iraq and thinking Hannibal was any good, and better than Caesar)
Helmer supplies the Barking.
South Basildon & East Thurrock was 20/1, but I cant seem to find it now.. that is a decent bet too in double figures.
Romford, Hx & Upminster and Dagenham & Rainham are worth keepeing an eye on if anyone prices them up too, especially if UKIP does better than expected in Havering.. I wouldnt mind betting they win the council
EDIT: Maybe not!!
http://democracy.havering.gov.uk/mgElectionResults.aspx?ID=3&RPID=1001185700
Not sure about the popular bit either. On the other hand, Demosthenes was popular, and that didn't work out very well for Athens.
16/1 on UKIP to win Grimsby looks good.
No further details.
*By Rallings.
Labour seem to be having a decent day in the South. It's the north where they haven't done as well...
http://moderngov.kingston.gov.uk/mgElectionAreaResults.aspx?XXR=0&ID=65&RPID=13339778
The combined total of any of the Tory and Ukip candidates would have defeated all of the Lib Dems. I wonder if we will see similar results in the GE next year?
Party name Seats won % of votes
Conservative Party 3 35%
UKIP Local Residents 0 26%
Pettits Res Assoc 0 21%
Labour Party 0 17%
Liberal Democrat 0 < 1%
Commiserations must be very frustrating
Boris Watch @BorisWatch 1m
UKIP SURGE IN HAVERING AS TORIES TAKE 6 NIL LEAD IN SEATS
I find it amusing that those who say the don't want to vote UKIP because they are racist are in some cases choosing instead to vote for the racist element that got kicked out of UKIP. Shows the level of intelligence of those voters.
Sunil Prasannan @Sunil_P2 6m
Ed puts the Red into Redbridge? #vote2014
great kahn @genghisthekahn 1m
@Sunil_P2 Goodness knows what he would do in Scunthorpe.
Absolutely, Mr Max. Do you think it would help if the tories also...
1. cut personal income taxes further
2. Hiked the 'no stamp duty' threshold to, say, half a million?
Rallings projection (from the tweet that TSE reposted to the previous thread), compared to results from the BBC after 94 councils.
Conservative -160 predicted [-156 actual]
Labour +500 [+180]
Lib Dems -340 [-168]
UKIP ??? [+122]
£32,322,525
Firmly for your team
Merrily, merrily, merrily, merrily
Life is but a dream