Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Have you been on the weekend IndyRef betting roller coaster

2»

Comments

  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    edited April 2014
    The speech seems to have fired up the McRooneys anyway.

  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,146
    hrtbps ‏@hrtbps 21 mins
    Thatcher's dead, Fergie's retired and Liverpool are going to win the league. Somewhere there's a Scouser with a lamp and no wishes left.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Speaking of massive Scotch collapses, I see that plans to blow up a slum as part of the opening ceremony has been ditched faster than a SNP currency plan.
  • OGH in header : " I pitched a couple of offers without takers around the 36% level. Then I moved this to 3.3 (a 33% chance) which found backers."

    Decimal odds of 3.3 (aka 2.3/1 expressed in fractional odds) does NOT equate to a 33% chance, rather it corresponds to a 30.3% chance (i.e. 100 divided by 3.3). This may not sound like much of a difference, but after also deducting Betfair's 5% commission from any profit and it rather alters the end result.
  • CarolaCarola Posts: 1,805
    4 party debate re Europe on Sunday Politics at the mo'. My excuse for a break from decorating.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Carola said:

    4 party debate re Europe on Sunday Politics at the mo'. My excuse for a break from decorating.

    Did the Labour guy just say David Miliband?
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    OGH in header : " I pitched a couple of offers without takers around the 36% level. Then I moved this to 3.3 (a 33% chance) which found backers."

    Decimal odds of 3.3 (aka 2.3/1 expressed in fractional odds) does NOT equate to a 33% chance, rather it corresponds to a 30.3% chance (i.e. 100 divided by 3.3). This may not sound like much of a difference, but after also deducting Betfair's 5% commission from any profit and it rather alters the end result.

    It is a big difference

    I tried to back YES at 1.01 for £2 yesterday to see if @StuartDickson would mention it, but forgot you get matched at the best price!

  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,709
    More complaints that the Labour party in Scotland is moribund and letting the nationalists walk all over it:

    'Another worry is the state of Scottish Labour. Alistair Carmichael, the Scottish Secterary, bemoaned that it is leaderless, rudderless and soldierless and thus unable to give ‘Better Together the support the Unionist side was banking on. There is also increasing coalition frustration with the intensely tribal way in which Scottish Labour is behaving.'

    http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/james-forsyth/2014/04/cabinet-concern-over-the-state-of-the-unionist-campaign-in-scotland-laid-bare/

    I must say I'm astonished by what has materialized over recent months. The myth we have long been fed in England was that Scottish Labour were the toughest and most ruthless political street fighters in the business. What's happened? Did they become arrogant and complacent? Have they had the stuffing knocked out of them by the SNP? Can someone please explain the demise of Scottish Labour?
  • CarolaCarola Posts: 1,805
    Scott_P said:

    Carola said:

    4 party debate re Europe on Sunday Politics at the mo'. My excuse for a break from decorating.

    Did the Labour guy just say David Miliband?
    Missed it but apparently so...
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,146
    TGOHF said:

    Speaking of massive Scotch collapses, I see that plans to blow up a slum as part of the opening ceremony has been ditched faster than a SNP currency plan.

    Surely you mean faster than Rangers fans leaving Ibrox after their side goes 2 down?

    Good stuff, it was ****ing stupid idea from the get go.
  • CarolaCarola Posts: 1,805

    Carola said:

    Now six of the 'Regional Schools Commissioners' announced:

    http://newschoolfinance.blogspot.co.uk/2014/04/the-six-new-regional-schools.html?m=1

    Must be about time for the annual shortage of school places.
    Well it can go with the shortage/retention issue re teachers and heads.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633

    TGOHF said:

    Speaking of massive Scotch collapses, I see that plans to blow up a slum as part of the opening ceremony has been ditched faster than a SNP currency plan.

    Surely you mean faster than Rangers fans leaving Ibrox after their side goes 2 down?

    Good stuff, it was ****ing stupid idea from the get go.
    Some GC crony with the dynamite contract wont be happy...
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 43,337

    Interesting piece on glacial warfare(ish) in Kashmir:
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-india-26967340

    Poor fellows. Reminds me of the rather lower but still nasty campaign between the Italians and the Austro-Hungarians in the Great War. Gunfire to start avalanches, I think I recall, was just one of the special treats. They're finding corpses as the ice melts today (some perhaps down at the foot of glaciers as well).

    http://www.warhistoryonline.com/war-articles/melting-northern-italy-glaciers-reveal-white-war-soldiers-remains.html

  • CarolaCarola Posts: 1,805
    New thread.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 43,337

    More complaints that the Labour party in Scotland is moribund and letting the nationalists walk all over it:

    'Another worry is the state of Scottish Labour. Alistair Carmichael, the Scottish Secterary, bemoaned that it is leaderless, rudderless and soldierless and thus unable to give ‘Better Together the support the Unionist side was banking on. There is also increasing coalition frustration with the intensely tribal way in which Scottish Labour is behaving.'

    http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/james-forsyth/2014/04/cabinet-concern-over-the-state-of-the-unionist-campaign-in-scotland-laid-bare/

    I must say I'm astonished by what has materialized over recent months. The myth we have long been fed in England was that Scottish Labour were the toughest and most ruthless political street fighters in the business. What's happened? Did they become arrogant and complacent? Have they had the stuffing knocked out of them by the SNP? Can someone please explain the demise of Scottish Labour?

    They don't like being publicly in bed with Tories and their LD chums? Doing what Tories and LDs yell at them to do? They don't want to get voted out of their nice MP and MSP constituencies as a result?

    Seriously. Any better reason?

    I can't think what else it can be. Unless there is some secret weapon, hundreds of V-1s being readied for another strafing session a la Dambusters.

    It may be relevant that not many LDs and Tories are willing to put their heads above the parapet and actually speak in public and engage with the Yes side and the voters, as opposed to visiting the trenches for a few moments and then heading back to the chateau again. But chateau generals are apt to end up with mutinies, and at the moment one might be forgiven for wondering if SLAB are beginning to sound like the poilus post-Verdun, with Nivelle leading the No Campaign, and the officers frightened of getting fragged* if they push their rank and file too far.

    *Anachronism, I know, but I don't know the original expression en francais ...

  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    edited April 2014
    Carnyx said:

    More complaints that the Labour party in Scotland is moribund and letting the nationalists walk all over it:

    'Another worry is the state of Scottish Labour. Alistair Carmichael, the Scottish Secterary, bemoaned that it is leaderless, rudderless and soldierless and thus unable to give ‘Better Together the support the Unionist side was banking on. There is also increasing coalition frustration with the intensely tribal way in which Scottish Labour is behaving.'

    http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/james-forsyth/2014/04/cabinet-concern-over-the-state-of-the-unionist-campaign-in-scotland-laid-bare/

    I must say I'm astonished by what has materialized over recent months. The myth we have long been fed in England was that Scottish Labour were the toughest and most ruthless political street fighters in the business. What's happened? Did they become arrogant and complacent? Have they had the stuffing knocked out of them by the SNP? Can someone please explain the demise of Scottish Labour?

    They don't like being publicly in bed with Tories and their LD chums? Doing what Tories and LDs yell at them to do? They don't want to get voted out of their nice MP and MSP constituencies as a result?

    Seriously. Any better reason?

    I can't think what else it can be. Unless there is some secret weapon, hundreds of V-1s being readied for another strafing session a la Dambusters.

    It may be relevant that not many LDs and Tories are willing to put their heads above the parapet and actually speak in public and engage with the Yes side and the voters, as opposed to visiting the trenches for a few moments and then heading back to the chateau again. But chateau generals are apt to end up with mutinies, and at the moment one might be forgiven for wondering if SLAB are beginning to sound like the poilus post-Verdun, with Nivelle leading the No Campaign, and the officers frightened of getting fragged* if they push their rank and file too far.

    *Anachronism, I know, but I don't know the original expression en francais ...

    Have you thought that many SLAB members would not mind if YES wins and then see the inevitable break-up of the SNP into it's Tory and Liberal components ?
  • Mick_PorkMick_Pork Posts: 6,530
    edited April 2014
    surbiton said:

    Carnyx said:

    More complaints that the Labour party in Scotland is moribund and letting the nationalists walk all over it:

    'Another worry is the state of Scottish Labour. Alistair Carmichael, the Scottish Secterary, bemoaned that it is leaderless, rudderless and soldierless and thus unable to give ‘Better Together the support the Unionist side was banking on. There is also increasing coalition frustration with the intensely tribal way in which Scottish Labour is behaving.'

    http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/james-forsyth/2014/04/cabinet-concern-over-the-state-of-the-unionist-campaign-in-scotland-laid-bare/

    I must say I'm astonished by what has materialized over recent months. The myth we have long been fed in England was that Scottish Labour were the toughest and most ruthless political street fighters in the business. What's happened? Did they become arrogant and complacent? Have they had the stuffing knocked out of them by the SNP? Can someone please explain the demise of Scottish Labour?

    They don't like being publicly in bed with Tories and their LD chums? Doing what Tories and LDs yell at them to do? They don't want to get voted out of their nice MP and MSP constituencies as a result?

    Seriously. Any better reason?

    I can't think what else it can be. Unless there is some secret weapon, hundreds of V-1s being readied for another strafing session a la Dambusters.

    It may be relevant that not many LDs and Tories are willing to put their heads above the parapet and actually speak in public and engage with the Yes side and the voters, as opposed to visiting the trenches for a few moments and then heading back to the chateau again. But chateau generals are apt to end up with mutinies, and at the moment one might be forgiven for wondering if SLAB are beginning to sound like the poilus post-Verdun, with Nivelle leading the No Campaign, and the officers frightened of getting fragged* if they push their rank and file too far.

    *Anachronism, I know, but I don't know the original expression en francais ...

    Have you thought that many SLAB members would not mind if YES wins and then see the inevitable break-up of the SNP into it's Tory and Liberal components ?
    Have you thought that your "inevitable" scenario of an SNP break-up is laughable nonsense?
  • Mick_PorkMick_Pork Posts: 6,530

    malcolmg said:



    Ha Ha Ha , what a divvy. Do you not understand that 50% + 1 is a winner. Currently we have 1 Tory MP but are governed by Westminster, spot a flaw in your pathetically stupid thinking there.

    Your insult well seems to be running dry - poor effort. 2/10

    Scotland is still part of the UK, the UK being governed by a Coalition that includes one Tory and 11 LibDem Scottish MP's. Northern Ireland with no MP's in the Coalition has a better case for a break with the Union, by your argument.

    It is painfully clear that the height of the SNP's ambitions is to win with 50% plus one. Based on economics at the most 0.1% optimistic end of the spectrum. Many would call that so unlikely to come to pass as to be the peddling of lies. Well, good luck for running an independent Scotland when that unravels. The Scottish Govt's first prudent act might need to be banning the sale of piano wire.... Although I doubt there is a lamp post that could carry the weight of the corpulent trougher that is Alex Salmond. Will he be spending his nights at this year's Ryder Cup in his own bed? Course not - he'll have the Scots paying for one of the top suites at Gleneagles, if past form is anything to go by....
    Forecasting mass suicides in Scotland and the hanging of the FM from a lamp post by piano wire?

    10/10 for incoherence and unpleasantness, though I take into account you being very, very angry.
    Political Betting classy as ever and certainly not full of angry anti-scottish bigots.

    LOL
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,498
    TGOHF said:

    TGOHF said:

    Speaking of massive Scotch collapses, I see that plans to blow up a slum as part of the opening ceremony has been ditched faster than a SNP currency plan.

    Surely you mean faster than Rangers fans leaving Ibrox after their side goes 2 down?

    Good stuff, it was ****ing stupid idea from the get go.
    Some GC crony with the dynamite contract wont be happy...
    I see the comparison on staff wages was the opposite of the result yesterday,

    Dundee United £3.2M
    The Rangers £17.9M
    Yet it was a walkover for Dundee United , all is still not well at Ibrox, they have as many troughers as Westminster.
This discussion has been closed.