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An update on Donald 'no more wars' Trump’s chances of winning the Nobel peace prize

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  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 76,892
    edited January 3

    ydoethur said:

    Trump says the US will run Venezuela until a transition can be arranged and they will start pumping the oil, and will make the people of Venezuela "rich, indepedent and safe".

    Errr...that means boots on the ground, which he hasn't got, and won't have without Congressional approval.
    Not necessarily. In the days of the British Empire, the ability to deploy force was often sufficient to allow us to call the shots without occupying a place.
    Venezuela is not part of the British Empire. It has a government, a military and an opposition. They will all be seeking to run it themselves. Without force in place, the USA can't whatever the dementia addled pervert thinks in the dim recesses of what he seems to call his mind.
  • RattersRatters Posts: 1,694
    Scott_xP said:

    Fucking mental

    @lewis_goodall

    Trump: “We’re going to run the country until such time as we can have a safe, proper, transition…so we are going to run the country until we can have a safe…judicious transition.”

    So Trump, for the time being, is effectively saying for now he’s also President of Venezuela.

    Maybe Canada won't be the 51st State after all...
  • BattlebusBattlebus Posts: 2,209
    glw said:

    From the BBC live feed a few minutes ago.

    "Trump says that the US is going to be "strongly involved" in Venezuela's oil industry moving forward."

    To do that would need a stable country and no internal disputes between warring parties. So perhaps the Venezuelan VP has done a deal?
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 57,065

    Andy_JS said:

    Difficult to be anything other than positive about the events in Venezuela.

    Yeah, my first response was one of shock, but its hard to see the removal of Maduro as anything other than good news.

    If it was done by anyone else, eg Clinton, I think there would be a lot more acceptance of what happened.
    But a Clinton or an Obama wouldn't have done this because they would have seen after about 8 hours, the shit is going to descend on the US in ways imaginable and unimaginable alike.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 17,904

    Trump compares the success of this operation to the failure of Jimmy Carter's raid.

    Trump remains obsessed with events in the 1970s.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 57,170

    ydoethur said:

    Trump says the US will run Venezuela until a transition can be arranged and they will start pumping the oil, and will make the people of Venezuela "rich, indepedent and safe".

    Errr...that means boots on the ground, which he hasn't got, and won't have without Congressional approval.
    Not necessarily. In the days of the British Empire, the ability to deploy force was often sufficient to allow us to call the shots without occupying a place.
    Not so after the Indian Mutiny.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 26,359
    Nigelb said:

    The single lesson we should take from this is that, if we do not want simply to inhabit some autocrat's "zone of influence", whether that's Putin or Trump (or some equally degenerate successor), Europe needs sufficient military power to tell them to fuck off.

    We should have been thinking this from around 2018, but better late than never!
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 41,429
    @mjsdc.bsky.social‬

    Nobody is even pretending that Congress authorized a military operation to remove a foreign leader as a prelude to occupying his country and running it by (presumably) American military rule. The unitary executive theory now just makes Trump emperor of the world, I guess. Incredible stuff.

    https://bsky.app/profile/mjsdc.bsky.social/post/3mbjut2kvd22l
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 18,840
    Trump's gone Caracas.

    Literally.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 17,904

    Trump says the US will run Venezuela until a transition can be arranged and they will start pumping the oil, and will make the people of Venezuela "rich, indepedent and safe".

    As far as I can tell, Venezuela is not currently in control of the US??? Does Trump think they are?
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 56,956
    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Trump says the US will run Venezuela until a transition can be arranged and they will start pumping the oil, and will make the people of Venezuela "rich, indepedent and safe".

    Errr...that means boots on the ground, which he hasn't got, and won't have without Congressional approval.
    Not necessarily. In the days of the British Empire, the ability to deploy force was often sufficient to allow us to call the shots without occupying a place.
    Venezuela is not part of the British Empire. It has a government, a military and an opposition. They will all be seeking to run it themselves. Without force in place, the USA can't whatever the dementia addled pervert thinks in the dim recesses of what he seems to call his mind.
    Successfully exfiltrating the leader makes Trump the main power broker in Venezuela, whether you like it or not.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 17,904
    carnforth said:
    Trump will probably award it to himself.
  • BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 27,078
    edited January 3

    Andy_JS said:

    Difficult to be anything other than positive about the events in Venezuela.

    Yeah, my first response was one of shock, but its hard to see the removal of Maduro as anything other than good news.

    If it was done by anyone else, eg Clinton, I think there would be a lot more acceptance of what happened.
    But a Clinton or an Obama wouldn't have done this because they would have seen after about 8 hours, the shit is going to descend on the US in ways imaginable and unimaginable alike.
    8 hours has passed and I don't see any showers of shit yet.

    Clinton did do similar. Multiple times.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 21,224

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Trump says the US will run Venezuela until a transition can be arranged and they will start pumping the oil, and will make the people of Venezuela "rich, indepedent and safe".

    Errr...that means boots on the ground, which he hasn't got, and won't have without Congressional approval.
    Not necessarily. In the days of the British Empire, the ability to deploy force was often sufficient to allow us to call the shots without occupying a place.
    Venezuela is not part of the British Empire. It has a government, a military and an opposition. They will all be seeking to run it themselves. Without force in place, the USA can't whatever the dementia addled pervert thinks in the dim recesses of what he seems to call his mind.
    Successfully exfiltrating the leader makes Trump the main power broker in Venezuela, whether you like it or not.
    Just because you say something doesn’t mean it’s true
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 76,892

    Trump says the US will run Venezuela until a transition can be arranged and they will start pumping the oil, and will make the people of Venezuela "rich, indepedent and safe".

    As far as I can tell, Venezuela is not currently in control of the US??? Does Trump think they are?
    Do you mean 'under the control?'

    The other idea is interesting but I don't think even Trump believes that Venezuela is running the US.
  • Daveyboy1961Daveyboy1961 Posts: 5,121

    Andy_JS said:

    Difficult to be anything other than positive about the events in Venezuela.

    Yeah, my first response was one of shock, but its hard to see the removal of Maduro as anything other than good news.

    If it was done by anyone else, eg Clinton, I think there would be a lot more acceptance of what happened.
    But a Clinton or an Obama wouldn't have done this because they would have seen after about 8 hours, the shit is going to descend on the US in ways imaginable and unimaginable alike.
    8 hours has passed and I don't see any showers of shit yet.
    It's the weekend
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 13,012
    Nigelb said:

    Nigelb said:

    OllyT said:

    https://x.com/JDVance/status/2007447388697268441

    And PSA for everyone saying this was "illegal":

    Maduro has multiple indictments in the United States for narcoterrorism. You don't get to avoid justice for drug trafficking in the United States because you live in a palace in Caracas.

    That might have had a shred of credibility if Triump had not just pardonned the ex-President of Honduras who was in jail in the US for exactly the same thing ie drug trafficking. I await your explanation with interest but I won't be holding my breath.
    Zero credibility, in legal terms.

    Vance is basically saying that if the DOJ, with its wildly corrupt leadership, is willing to bring charges against a foreign leader, then that completely bypasses Congressional jurisdiction over declarations of war.

    I suppose it is doing us a service for him to state that explicitly.
    I don't understand this congressional thing, or for that matter asking Parliament.

    Surely, if you need to attack an enemy, you do it secretly, swiftly, violently and without giving notice.

    Talking to your legislature blows all that into a cocked hat.
    It's been explicit in the US Constitution (Article I, section 8) since the founding of the republic.
    The founding fathers debated your point at length, and framed the constitution the way they did notwithstanding.

    Our laws are rather different.
    The US constitution has gone the same way as international law in the last couple of years. Those who are so excitedly dismissive of the latter forget that our domestic laws are equally meaningless if governments do not abide by them or enforce them.

    (Oh God now we have Hegseth).
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 17,904

    DavidL said:

    HYUFD said:

    Taz said:

    The BBC using that soft power reporting on Iran.

    Pushing the regimes line against Trump.

    Quality reporting

    ‘ Iran's UN Ambassador Amir-Saeid Iravani called on the UN Security Council to condemn Trump's statement in letter to the secretary-general and president of the Security Council on Friday, news agency Reuters reported.

    "Iran will exercise its rights decisively and proportionately. The United States of America bears full responsibility for any consequences arising from these unlawful threats and any ensuing escalation," he wrote in the letter.’

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c2057md3gvro

    Hopefully there will be a UN Security council vote and Russia and China will likely vote to condemn the US operation in Venezuela, in which case the UK and France should seize the chance to vote with the US against them to shore up the western alliance again.

    I would also advise Zelensky to get Ukraine to vote with the US on any UN General Assembly vote
    I honestly think both the UK and France should vote against the US in the Security Council. The Ukraine position is much more complicated because voting for this outrage is not exactly consistent with condemning Russia's illegal invasion of them but they need all the help they can get. They have bigger fish to fry. We don't. We either stand in support of international law or we give up pretending that it means anything.
    Option 2 sounds promising.

    Maduro lost the last election, what did "international law" do about that?
    The whole point of international law is that it governs relations between governments, but largely stays out of what happens within the borders of a country (unless it reaches the level of a crime against humanity). International law, in other words, is not trying to police the running of a country's own elections, but it does try to stop one country interfering in the affairs of another.
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 9,625
    edited January 3
    Why on earth am I watching this?
    It's like a drug.
    OK enough. Turning off.
  • glwglw Posts: 10,658
    Anyone who finds what is happening to be okay is probably suffering from the same sort of issues that clearly afflict Trump. He's saying stuff that is properly nuts, with no need to qualify that statement. A functioning democracy would have already removed him from power, and would certainly not be playing along and pretending that everything is fine.
  • boulayboulay Posts: 7,996
    carnforth said:
    Well clearly Baron Trump deployed his singular genius to find out where Maduro was and then inform the authorities (his dad) and so without doubt is a deserving recipient of the $25m bounty.
  • RattersRatters Posts: 1,694
    edited January 3
    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Trump says the US will run Venezuela until a transition can be arranged and they will start pumping the oil, and will make the people of Venezuela "rich, indepedent and safe".

    Errr...that means boots on the ground, which he hasn't got, and won't have without Congressional approval.
    Not necessarily. In the days of the British Empire, the ability to deploy force was often sufficient to allow us to call the shots without occupying a place.
    Venezuela is not part of the British Empire. It has a government, a military and an opposition. They will all be seeking to run it themselves. Without force in place, the USA can't whatever the dementia addled pervert thinks in the dim recesses of what he seems to call his mind.
    But (and I appreciate you're the historian here) are we not just seeing a return to gunboat diplomacy in the modern era?

    The army and government of Venezuela will do as Trump tells them, "or else". He's just demonstrated what the "or else" looks like, so will the remaining leadership stand in his way?

    I don't know how this will play out, but the US successfully forcing countries to behave as puppets in the face of overwhelming military force does not seem unbelievable to me.

    He's already had partial success on this front just by threatening sanctions. I expect we now see a shift from tariff diplomacy to gunboat diplomacy more widely. Mexico and Greenland are probably the most at risk.
  • TazTaz Posts: 23,679
    Barnesian said:

    Why on earth am I watching this?
    It's like a drug.
    OK enough. Turning off.

    I couldn’t be bothered with his wittering. Watching the first episode of Space 1999 on Blu Ray and most good it is too.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 57,065

    carnforth said:
    Trump will probably award it to himself.
    Hegseth needs it to pay his beer tab....
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 17,904

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Trump says the US will run Venezuela until a transition can be arranged and they will start pumping the oil, and will make the people of Venezuela "rich, indepedent and safe".

    Errr...that means boots on the ground, which he hasn't got, and won't have without Congressional approval.
    Not necessarily. In the days of the British Empire, the ability to deploy force was often sufficient to allow us to call the shots without occupying a place.
    Venezuela is not part of the British Empire. It has a government, a military and an opposition. They will all be seeking to run it themselves. Without force in place, the USA can't whatever the dementia addled pervert thinks in the dim recesses of what he seems to call his mind.
    Successfully exfiltrating the leader makes Trump the main power broker in Venezuela, whether you like it or not.
    I think the people with guns and tanks in Caracas remain the main power broker in Venezuela. That's the Venezuelan military, who were doing nicely from the Maduro regime, who fed them oil money. Do you know otherwise?
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 17,904
    ydoethur said:

    Trump says the US will run Venezuela until a transition can be arranged and they will start pumping the oil, and will make the people of Venezuela "rich, indepedent and safe".

    As far as I can tell, Venezuela is not currently in control of the US??? Does Trump think they are?
    Do you mean 'under the control?'

    The other idea is interesting but I don't think even Trump believes that Venezuela is running the US.
    Yes. Typo. "under the control"
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 65,013
    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Trump says the US will run Venezuela until a transition can be arranged and they will start pumping the oil, and will make the people of Venezuela "rich, indepedent and safe".

    Errr...that means boots on the ground, which he hasn't got, and won't have without Congressional approval.
    Not necessarily. In the days of the British Empire, the ability to deploy force was often sufficient to allow us to call the shots without occupying a place.
    Venezuela is not part of the British Empire. It has a government, a military and an opposition. They will all be seeking to run it themselves. Without force in place, the USA can't whatever the dementia addled pervert thinks in the dim recesses of what he seems to call his mind.
    So, you're saying the problem is the British Empire wasn't big enough?
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 18,840

    Andy_JS said:

    Difficult to be anything other than positive about the events in Venezuela.

    Yeah, my first response was one of shock, but its hard to see the removal of Maduro as anything other than good news.

    If it was done by anyone else, eg Clinton, I think there would be a lot more acceptance of what happened.
    But a Clinton or an Obama wouldn't have done this because they would have seen after about 8 hours, the shit is going to descend on the US in ways imaginable and unimaginable alike.
    8 hours has passed and I don't see any showers of shit yet.

    Clinton did do similar. Multiple times.
    I'm sure if you poke around the attic you'll find your "Mission Accomplished" banners to bring out for the occasion.
  • TazTaz Posts: 23,679

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Trump says the US will run Venezuela until a transition can be arranged and they will start pumping the oil, and will make the people of Venezuela "rich, indepedent and safe".

    Errr...that means boots on the ground, which he hasn't got, and won't have without Congressional approval.
    Not necessarily. In the days of the British Empire, the ability to deploy force was often sufficient to allow us to call the shots without occupying a place.
    Venezuela is not part of the British Empire. It has a government, a military and an opposition. They will all be seeking to run it themselves. Without force in place, the USA can't whatever the dementia addled pervert thinks in the dim recesses of what he seems to call his mind.
    Successfully exfiltrating the leader makes Trump the main power broker in Venezuela, whether you like it or not.
    I think the people with guns and tanks in Caracas remain the main power broker in Venezuela. That's the Venezuelan military, who were doing nicely from the Maduro regime, who fed them oil money. Do you know otherwise?
    Perhaps the incoming Trump regime will do the same ?
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 6,753
    Wow Trump decides he owns Venezuela .

    And the US will run it ! Good grief some one just take him away to a padded cell .
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 132,623
    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Trump says the US will run Venezuela until a transition can be arranged and they will start pumping the oil, and will make the people of Venezuela "rich, indepedent and safe".

    Errr...that means boots on the ground, which he hasn't got, and won't have without Congressional approval.
    Not necessarily. In the days of the British Empire, the ability to deploy force was often sufficient to allow us to call the shots without occupying a place.
    Venezuela is not part of the British Empire. It has a government, a military and an opposition. They will all be seeking to run it themselves. Without force in place, the USA can't whatever the dementia addled pervert thinks in the dim recesses of what he seems to call his mind.
    The Venezuelan opposition know they have no chance of being able to take control of the country and remove the outgoing Maduro led government and armed forces and police without US support. So, for the time being the Venezuelan opposition will do what Trump tells them to
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 56,956

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Trump says the US will run Venezuela until a transition can be arranged and they will start pumping the oil, and will make the people of Venezuela "rich, indepedent and safe".

    Errr...that means boots on the ground, which he hasn't got, and won't have without Congressional approval.
    Not necessarily. In the days of the British Empire, the ability to deploy force was often sufficient to allow us to call the shots without occupying a place.
    Venezuela is not part of the British Empire. It has a government, a military and an opposition. They will all be seeking to run it themselves. Without force in place, the USA can't whatever the dementia addled pervert thinks in the dim recesses of what he seems to call his mind.
    Successfully exfiltrating the leader makes Trump the main power broker in Venezuela, whether you like it or not.
    I think the people with guns and tanks in Caracas remain the main power broker in Venezuela. That's the Venezuelan military, who were doing nicely from the Maduro regime, who fed them oil money. Do you know otherwise?
    Will they not be a lot more conscious of the wishes of the US than they were yesterday?
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 41,429
    @gtconway.bsky.social‬

    Also: I don't see how any intelligent and lucid person could watch this press conference and conclude that the president of the United States has anywhere near sufficient cognitive ability to properly execute the duties of his office.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 34,561

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Trump says the US will run Venezuela until a transition can be arranged and they will start pumping the oil, and will make the people of Venezuela "rich, indepedent and safe".

    Errr...that means boots on the ground, which he hasn't got, and won't have without Congressional approval.
    Not necessarily. In the days of the British Empire, the ability to deploy force was often sufficient to allow us to call the shots without occupying a place.
    Venezuela is not part of the British Empire. It has a government, a military and an opposition. They will all be seeking to run it themselves. Without force in place, the USA can't whatever the dementia addled pervert thinks in the dim recesses of what he seems to call his mind.
    So, you're saying the problem is the British Empire wasn't big enough?
    Wider still and wider shall thy bounds be set...
  • glw said:

    Anyone who finds what is happening to be okay is probably suffering from the same sort of issues that clearly afflict Trump. He's saying stuff that is properly nuts, with no need to qualify that statement. A functioning democracy would have already removed him from power, and would certainly not be playing along and pretending that everything is fine.

    More than one thing can be true simultaneously.

    Trump is nuts.
    Maduro being gone is ok.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 41,429
    @jonsopel
    There is no doubt that this has been an effective operation, brilliantly executed.
    But what comes next?
    The military operation to get rid of Saddam Hussain was also effectively done. It’s what happened next that was so calamitous.
    How long is US planning to run Venezuela?
    How many US troops and police to maintain order?
    How many civil servants?
  • TazTaz Posts: 23,679
    Khameini has been actively tweeting today.

    Guff about bringing the enemy to its needs. Other, more conciliatory stuff.

    Is it too much to hope there are cracks in the regime

    https://x.com/khamenei_ir/status/2007447233998790760?s=61
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 132,623
    Taz said:

    Khameini has been actively tweeting today.

    Guff about bringing the enemy to its needs. Other, more conciliatory stuff.

    Is it too much to hope there are cracks in the regime

    https://x.com/khamenei_ir/status/2007447233998790760?s=61

    This might actually shore up the regime in Iran as they can play up anti US sentiment in their backing for Maduro
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 65,013

    ydoethur said:

    Trump says the US will run Venezuela until a transition can be arranged and they will start pumping the oil, and will make the people of Venezuela "rich, indepedent and safe".

    Errr...that means boots on the ground, which he hasn't got, and won't have without Congressional approval.
    Not necessarily. In the days of the British Empire, the ability to deploy force was often sufficient to allow us to call the shots without occupying a place.
    Not so after the Indian Mutiny.
    If we'd played our cards right after that, India would now be as reliable an ally as Australia or Canada - which would be of immeasurable importance to 21st Century geopolitics.

    That would have required granting progressive self-governance in the 1870s and 1880s, not begrudgingly - and only to a limited extent - between the wars.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 56,956
    glw said:

    Anyone who finds what is happening to be okay is probably suffering from the same sort of issues that clearly afflict Trump. He's saying stuff that is properly nuts, with no need to qualify that statement. A functioning democracy would have already removed him from power, and would certainly not be playing along and pretending that everything is fine.

    I'm quite sure that people like Clinton, Obama and Biden are envious of what Trump has pulled off last night.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 26,138
    glw said:

    Anyone who finds what is happening to be okay is probably suffering from the same sort of issues that clearly afflict Trump. He's saying stuff that is properly nuts, with no need to qualify that statement. A functioning democracy would have already removed him from power, and would certainly not be playing along and pretending that everything is fine.

    Well they did it with Biden, why the change of view ?
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 62,815

    algarkirk said:

    Rangers!

    No more Nancies at Celtic Park I feel.
    It will be fascinating to see where Nancy goes: almost certainly back to MLS I'd have thought.
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 5,784
    Just listening to Trump on the radio. He sounds like he's slurring.

    Which isn't calming my nerves.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 34,561
    Scott_xP said:

    @jonsopel
    There is no doubt that this has been an effective operation, brilliantly executed.
    But what comes next?
    The military operation to get rid of Saddam Hussain was also effectively done. It’s what happened next that was so calamitous.
    How long is US planning to run Venezuela?
    How many US troops and police to maintain order?
    How many civil servants?

    Venezuela's civic institutions remain in place, and there is an alternative leader (and Nobel Peace Prize winner) available or they could quickly move to new elections.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 36,182
    nico67 said:

    Wow Trump decides he owns Venezuela .

    And the US will run it ! Good grief some one just take him away to a padded cell .

    I assume the next step is an Aramco style marketing arrangement (without the corresponding Ar) for the Trump family to profiteer from Venezuelan oil production.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 36,386
    Scott_xP said:

    @jonsopel
    There is no doubt that this has been an effective operation, brilliantly executed.
    But what comes next?
    The military operation to get rid of Saddam Hussain was also effectively done. It’s what happened next that was so calamitous.
    How long is US planning to run Venezuela?
    How many US troops and police to maintain order?
    How many civil servants?

    Venezuela is, I believe, heavily forested. Assuming some at least of the people 'don't like' having Americans in control, how long before we see American troops in pitched battles with Venezuelan nationalists.
  • DavidL said:

    HYUFD said:

    Taz said:

    The BBC using that soft power reporting on Iran.

    Pushing the regimes line against Trump.

    Quality reporting

    ‘ Iran's UN Ambassador Amir-Saeid Iravani called on the UN Security Council to condemn Trump's statement in letter to the secretary-general and president of the Security Council on Friday, news agency Reuters reported.

    "Iran will exercise its rights decisively and proportionately. The United States of America bears full responsibility for any consequences arising from these unlawful threats and any ensuing escalation," he wrote in the letter.’

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c2057md3gvro

    Hopefully there will be a UN Security council vote and Russia and China will likely vote to condemn the US operation in Venezuela, in which case the UK and France should seize the chance to vote with the US against them to shore up the western alliance again.

    I would also advise Zelensky to get Ukraine to vote with the US on any UN General Assembly vote
    I honestly think both the UK and France should vote against the US in the Security Council. The Ukraine position is much more complicated because voting for this outrage is not exactly consistent with condemning Russia's illegal invasion of them but they need all the help they can get. They have bigger fish to fry. We don't. We either stand in support of international law or we give up pretending that it means anything.
    Option 2 sounds promising.

    Maduro lost the last election, what did "international law" do about that?
    The whole point of international law is that it governs relations between governments, but largely stays out of what happens within the borders of a country (unless it reaches the level of a crime against humanity). International law, in other words, is not trying to police the running of a country's own elections, but it does try to stop one country interfering in the affairs of another.
    The whole point of international law is its a fiction.

    What governs relations between governments is, and always has been, diplomacy and realpolitik. Not law.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 41,429
    ohnotnow said:

    Just listening to Trump on the radio. He sounds like he's slurring.

    Which isn't calming my nerves.

    He is now falling asleep again on live TV
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 26,138
    ohnotnow said:

    Just listening to Trump on the radio. He sounds like he's slurring.

    Which isn't calming my nerves.

    You'll probably sleep better than President Khamenei
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 132,623
    Trump says he is not afraid of putting US boots on the ground to ensure Venezuela is run properly
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 31,561
    So, America has annexed Venezuela and is going to steal the oil.

    Forget what I said about him cancelling the mid-terms for Democrat districts and using the supermajority for an Enabling Act.

    Why would he need one? He’s just annexed a country and did so by Executive Order. Doesn’t matter that he needs approval from Congress. He just did it anyway.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 57,065
    edited January 3
    Battlebus said:

    glw said:

    From the BBC live feed a few minutes ago.

    "Trump says that the US is going to be "strongly involved" in Venezuela's oil industry moving forward."

    To do that would need a stable country and no internal disputes between warring parties. So perhaps the Venezuelan VP has done a deal?
    Anybody who is anti-Trump/gringo (rather than pro-Maduro) can now look to stuff up the oil sector to be a patriotic Venezuelan....
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 6,753
    HYUFD said:

    Trump says he is not afraid of putting US boots on the ground to ensure Venezuela is run properly

    That will go down very badly with the Maga cult .
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 26,138

    Battlebus said:

    glw said:

    From the BBC live feed a few minutes ago.

    "Trump says that the US is going to be "strongly involved" in Venezuela's oil industry moving forward."

    To do that would need a stable country and no internal disputes between warring parties. So perhaps the Venezuelan VP has done a deal?
    Anybody who is anti-Trump/gringo (rather than pro-Maduro) can now look to stuff up the oil sector to be a patriotic Venezuelan....
    Since theyve been fking up their oil industry for thelast 30 years, there isnt much to go at.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 57,065

    glw said:

    Anyone who finds what is happening to be okay is probably suffering from the same sort of issues that clearly afflict Trump. He's saying stuff that is properly nuts, with no need to qualify that statement. A functioning democracy would have already removed him from power, and would certainly not be playing along and pretending that everything is fine.

    I'm quite sure that people like Clinton, Obama and Biden are envious of what Trump has pulled off last night.
    I am equally sure they are each appalled at Trump's actions.

    Time will show they were right to be appalled.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 26,138

    So, America has annexed Venezuela and is going to steal the oil.

    Forget what I said about him cancelling the mid-terms for Democrat districts and using the supermajority for an Enabling Act.

    Why would he need one? He’s just annexed a country and did so by Executive Order. Doesn’t matter that he needs approval from Congress. He just did it anyway.

    Scotland next. Blame Ed Miliband
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 57,170
    HYUFD said:

    Trump says he is not afraid of putting US boots on the ground to ensure Venezuela is run properly

    But is the US of A run properly??
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 5,608

    Scott_xP said:

    @jonsopel
    There is no doubt that this has been an effective operation, brilliantly executed.
    But what comes next?
    The military operation to get rid of Saddam Hussain was also effectively done. It’s what happened next that was so calamitous.
    How long is US planning to run Venezuela?
    How many US troops and police to maintain order?
    How many civil servants?

    Venezuela is, I believe, heavily forested. Assuming some at least of the people 'don't like' having Americans in control, how long before we see American troops in pitched battles with Venezuelan nationalists.
    Time to bring out the dioxins then.

    Which is more toxic, Agent Orange in the White House or the Agent Orange dropped from C-123s?
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 57,170

    Battlebus said:

    glw said:

    From the BBC live feed a few minutes ago.

    "Trump says that the US is going to be "strongly involved" in Venezuela's oil industry moving forward."

    To do that would need a stable country and no internal disputes between warring parties. So perhaps the Venezuelan VP has done a deal?
    Anybody who is anti-Trump/gringo (rather than pro-Maduro) can now look to stuff up the oil sector to be a patriotic Venezuelan....
    "We are all Venezuelans now"?
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 57,065

    Battlebus said:

    glw said:

    From the BBC live feed a few minutes ago.

    "Trump says that the US is going to be "strongly involved" in Venezuela's oil industry moving forward."

    To do that would need a stable country and no internal disputes between warring parties. So perhaps the Venezuelan VP has done a deal?
    Anybody who is anti-Trump/gringo (rather than pro-Maduro) can now look to stuff up the oil sector to be a patriotic Venezuelan....
    Since theyve been fking up their oil industry for thelast 30 years, there isnt much to go at.
    But now they can do it IN A CAUSE!
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 65,013
    ohnotnow said:

    Just listening to Trump on the radio. He sounds like he's slurring.

    Which isn't calming my nerves.

    Has he.. started to hit the bottle ?

    Always love a bit of annexation whilst pissed.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 41,429
    @mitchprothero

    I'm pretty sure the US just announced it's the controlling authority in Venezuela and thus responsible for day to day life in a large country, where there appears to be no US troops.
  • So, America has annexed Venezuela and is going to steal the oil.

    Forget what I said about him cancelling the mid-terms for Democrat districts and using the supermajority for an Enabling Act.

    Why would he need one? He’s just annexed a country and did so by Executive Order. Doesn’t matter that he needs approval from Congress. He just did it anyway.

    Presidents have taken military action without approval from Congress since long before I was born.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 56,956

    glw said:

    Anyone who finds what is happening to be okay is probably suffering from the same sort of issues that clearly afflict Trump. He's saying stuff that is properly nuts, with no need to qualify that statement. A functioning democracy would have already removed him from power, and would certainly not be playing along and pretending that everything is fine.

    I'm quite sure that people like Clinton, Obama and Biden are envious of what Trump has pulled off last night.
    I am equally sure they are each appalled at Trump's actions.

    Time will show they were right to be appalled.
    On something like this? I very much doubt it.

    Remember Hillary Clinton laughing about Gaddafi's fate?
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 17,904
    edited January 3

    DavidL said:

    HYUFD said:

    Taz said:

    The BBC using that soft power reporting on Iran.

    Pushing the regimes line against Trump.

    Quality reporting

    ‘ Iran's UN Ambassador Amir-Saeid Iravani called on the UN Security Council to condemn Trump's statement in letter to the secretary-general and president of the Security Council on Friday, news agency Reuters reported.

    "Iran will exercise its rights decisively and proportionately. The United States of America bears full responsibility for any consequences arising from these unlawful threats and any ensuing escalation," he wrote in the letter.’

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c2057md3gvro

    Hopefully there will be a UN Security council vote and Russia and China will likely vote to condemn the US operation in Venezuela, in which case the UK and France should seize the chance to vote with the US against them to shore up the western alliance again.

    I would also advise Zelensky to get Ukraine to vote with the US on any UN General Assembly vote
    I honestly think both the UK and France should vote against the US in the Security Council. The Ukraine position is much more complicated because voting for this outrage is not exactly consistent with condemning Russia's illegal invasion of them but they need all the help they can get. They have bigger fish to fry. We don't. We either stand in support of international law or we give up pretending that it means anything.
    Option 2 sounds promising.

    Maduro lost the last election, what did "international law" do about that?
    The whole point of international law is that it governs relations between governments, but largely stays out of what happens within the borders of a country (unless it reaches the level of a crime against humanity). International law, in other words, is not trying to police the running of a country's own elections, but it does try to stop one country interfering in the affairs of another.
    The whole point of international law is its a fiction.

    What governs relations between governments is, and always has been, diplomacy and realpolitik. Not law.
    All law is a fiction. All nations are too!
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 57,170

    Scott_xP said:

    @jonsopel
    There is no doubt that this has been an effective operation, brilliantly executed.
    But what comes next?
    The military operation to get rid of Saddam Hussain was also effectively done. It’s what happened next that was so calamitous.
    How long is US planning to run Venezuela?
    How many US troops and police to maintain order?
    How many civil servants?

    Venezuela is, I believe, heavily forested. Assuming some at least of the people 'don't like' having Americans in control, how long before we see American troops in pitched battles with Venezuelan nationalists.
    "Just like fucking Saigon, hey Slick?"
    "I was in Junior High, dick-head!"
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 26,138

    Battlebus said:

    glw said:

    From the BBC live feed a few minutes ago.

    "Trump says that the US is going to be "strongly involved" in Venezuela's oil industry moving forward."

    To do that would need a stable country and no internal disputes between warring parties. So perhaps the Venezuelan VP has done a deal?
    Anybody who is anti-Trump/gringo (rather than pro-Maduro) can now look to stuff up the oil sector to be a patriotic Venezuelan....
    Since theyve been fking up their oil industry for thelast 30 years, there isnt much to go at.
    But now they can do it IN A CAUSE!
    Best thing for the Yanks is to put new govt in place asap, tell them to ump lots of oil and then get the hell out.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 132,623
    Trump promises to sell large amounts of Venezuelan oil to other nations
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 59,739
    a

    So, America has annexed Venezuela and is going to steal the oil.

    Forget what I said about him cancelling the mid-terms for Democrat districts and using the supermajority for an Enabling Act.

    Why would he need one? He’s just annexed a country and did so by Executive Order. Doesn’t matter that he needs approval from Congress. He just did it anyway.

    Presidents have taken military action without approval from Congress since long before I was born.
    They can also get permission retroactively. Bet Trump's lackeys on The Hill have a resolution praising The Maximum Leader before lunch tomorrow.
  • DoctorGDoctorG Posts: 389
    rcs1000 said:

    algarkirk said:

    Rangers!

    No more Nancies at Celtic Park I feel.
    It will be fascinating to see where Nancy goes: almost certainly back to MLS I'd have thought.
    For the first time as far back as I can remember (perhaps decades?) a non old firm side are the bookies favourites for the Scottish Premier League

    Hearts 5/4 to win, Celtic 15/8, Rangers 2/1

    Some boffin had a stat the other day that no team has ever won the Scottish top football division having suffered 5 league defeats before new year. Can't see Celtic winning the league if Nancy stays any longer
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 26,138
    HYUFD said:

    Trump promises to sell large amounts of Venezuelan oil to other nations

    Sounds good. Lower prices,Putin bankrupt.
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 12,433
    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Sorry to be petty and domestic about this, but has Nigel Farage issued any statement, or answered any questions, about the USA's actions in Venezuela? I see that Davey has called for Sir Kier to denounce Trump, but that's to be expected.

    Has Badenoch commented, or is she just irrelevant nowadays?
    'There’s a lot of noise from people who couldn’t find Venezuela on a map yesterday.

    This is clearly a fast-moving and extremely serious situation. I am not going to rush to judgement or speculate on incomplete reports.

    I’m more interested in what Venezuelans risking their lives for democracy have to say.

    The UK’s responsibility is to understand the facts, assess where our national interest lies and consider the consequences for Venezuela’s people and for regional and global stability.

    It is not for us to second guess from afar the motives and evidence behind these events. Let’s hear what President Trump has to say shortly. I will also be watching closely what is said by Venezuela’s democratic opposition.'
    https://x.com/KemiBadenoch/status/2007469918178959818?s=20
    That’s a good statement. Aligned with the PM but more weight on the democratic opposition
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,627
    edited January 3

    Andy_JS said:

    Difficult to be anything other than positive about the events in Venezuela.

    Yeah, my first response was one of shock, but its hard to see the removal of Maduro as anything other than good news.

    If it was done by anyone else, eg Clinton, I think there would be a lot more acceptance of what happened.
    But a Clinton or an Obama wouldn't have done this because they would have seen after about 8 hours, the shit is going to descend on the US in ways imaginable and unimaginable alike.
    8 hours has passed and I don't see any showers of shit yet.

    Clinton did do similar. Multiple times.
    I am with Mark, there is huge political risk with this one. Firstly, in a straightforward sense, does the US voter like their governments overseas adventures as distraction from delivering close to home priorities - Medicare and food costs, jobs, affordability of college education and housing? On the diplomatic front, Trump is claiming regime change here is because Venezuela is flooding US with drugs, and that won’t wash as it not factual, so the US is friendless on this one, maybe not showers of diplomatic shit immediately, but the moment it starts to go wrong in anyway, a huge coalition will be quick to flag it up and put the pressure on the Trumps White House.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 26,138
    Anyway spare a thought for the good people of Guyana, just last year Maduro was threatening to invade them.

    Trump must be their national hero.
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 5,608

    HYUFD said:

    Trump promises to sell large amounts of Venezuelan oil to other nations

    Sounds good. Lower prices,Putin bankrupt.
    Is there that much available without a lot of investment?

    Though it is interesting that Russia don't seem to be pulling any strings here. Whose idea _was_ this?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 132,623
    edited January 3

    So, America has annexed Venezuela and is going to steal the oil.

    Forget what I said about him cancelling the mid-terms for Democrat districts and using the supermajority for an Enabling Act.

    Why would he need one? He’s just annexed a country and did so by Executive Order. Doesn’t matter that he needs approval from Congress. He just did it anyway.

    The President only needs to notify Congress within 48 hrs of committing US forces to military action under the 1973 War Powers Resolution but that is not the same as needing its approval. Congressional authorisation is only needed if they stay over 60 days
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 59,739
    HYUFD said:

    Trump promises to sell large amounts of Venezuelan oil to other nations

    Trump believes in the old theory that lower oil prices boost the economy and increase the popularity of the current administration.

    Those with a brain have long advocated getting rid of oil from the transport chain, as an alternative.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 26,138

    HYUFD said:

    Trump promises to sell large amounts of Venezuelan oil to other nations

    Sounds good. Lower prices,Putin bankrupt.
    Is there that much available without a lot of investment?

    Though it is interesting that Russia don't seem to be pulling any strings here. Whose idea _was_ this?
    They'll need years to get their industry up and running, but the threat of more oil coming on the market will probably keep prices low.
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 12,433
    DavidL said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Sorry to be petty and domestic about this, but has Nigel Farage issued any statement, or answered any questions, about the USA's actions in Venezuela? I see that Davey has called for Sir Kier to denounce Trump, but that's to be expected.

    Has Badenoch commented, or is she just irrelevant nowadays?
    'There’s a lot of noise from people who couldn’t find Venezuela on a map yesterday.

    This is clearly a fast-moving and extremely serious situation. I am not going to rush to judgement or speculate on incomplete reports.

    I’m more interested in what Venezuelans risking their lives for democracy have to say.

    The UK’s responsibility is to understand the facts, assess where our national interest lies and consider the consequences for Venezuela’s people and for regional and global stability.

    It is not for us to second guess from afar the motives and evidence behind these events. Let’s hear what President Trump has to say shortly. I will also be watching closely what is said by Venezuela’s democratic opposition.'
    https://x.com/KemiBadenoch/status/2007469918178959818?s=20
    Anyone who has played Risk (and who hasn't) knows where Venezuela is.
    I blame Risk for the fact that I occasionally muddle up Venezuela and Colombia!
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 12,433
    Sean_F said:

    FF43 said:

    Weak, weak, weak.

    https://x.com/realBenBloch/status/2007428964218740783

    BREAKING: Sir Keir Starmer does not condemn the US strikes on Venezuela "at this stage", saying the facts need to be established. He has not yet spoken to Donald Trump.

    The UK prime minister told broadcasters: "I want to establish the facts first. I want to speak to President Trump, I want to speak to allies.

    "As I say, I can be absolutely clear that we were not involved in that. And as you know, I always say and believe we should all uphold international law.

    "But I think at this stage, fast-moving situation. Let's establish the facts, and take it from there."

    He added: "And so I will want to talk to the president, I will want to talk to allies. But at the moment, I think we need to establish the facts.

    "I think President Trump is doing a press conference later, so hopefully more information will come out then."

    As I was saying. The UK is in a weak position and is stuck in an abusive relationship in its only remaining alliance.
    Your ridiculous hyperbole does you no favours
    The whole notion that if only we were part of the EU, we could make the USA cower before our collective might, seems unlikely.
    Also the fact that the US is our “only alliance”
  • boulayboulay Posts: 7,996

    HYUFD said:

    Trump promises to sell large amounts of Venezuelan oil to other nations

    Sounds good. Lower prices,Putin bankrupt.
    Is there that much available without a lot of investment?

    Though it is interesting that Russia don't seem to be pulling any strings here. Whose idea _was_ this?
    Russia has to weigh up the importance of having Venezuela as a partner v pissing off Trump and pushing him towards the Ukrainian side. I would reckon Venezuela is way less important to them in the grand scheme.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 41,429
    @PaulBrandITV
    On to Cuba now.

    “Cuba is gonna be something we end up talking about” says Trump.

    Rubio adds “if I lived in Havana and I was in the government I’d be concerned”.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 132,623
    Trump says 'he is not thrilled with Putin at the moment'
  • RattersRatters Posts: 1,694
    edited January 3
    HYUFD said:

    Trump promises to sell large amounts of Venezuelan oil to other nations

    Courtesy of the FT


    However, I understand the neglect of Venezuelan oil fields has been so long-standing that it'll take quite some time for a significant enough an increase to impact global supply materially. That relies on stability going forward such that US companies are willing to invest there. It's clearly too early to comment on whether that will be the end result.
  • RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 3,157
    ..Europe has been so hopelessly slow in reacting to the new geopolitical reality.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 132,623

    ..Europe has been so hopelessly slow in reacting to the new geopolitical reality.

    Venezuela is not a major issue for Europe
  • boulayboulay Posts: 7,996
    Scott_xP said:

    @PaulBrandITV
    On to Cuba now.

    “Cuba is gonna be something we end up talking about” says Trump.

    Rubio adds “if I lived in Havana and I was in the government I’d be concerned”.

    Remember when everyone was worried about kids watching horror movies, the satanic panic, what children would grow up into from exposure? Looks like they would have been better off stopping people watching Mafia/gangster films.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 36,386

    Anyway spare a thought for the good people of Guyana, just last year Maduro was threatening to invade them.

    Trump must be their national hero.

    Would you want a Trump-run country on your doorstep? Particularly if you'd recently found you'd got some oil?
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 57,170
    HYUFD said:

    Trump says 'he is not thrilled with Putin at the moment'

    Four years late!!
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 56,956

    HYUFD said:

    Trump promises to sell large amounts of Venezuelan oil to other nations

    Sounds good. Lower prices,Putin bankrupt.
    Coupled with the downfall of the Iranian regime, Trump would objectively be the most successful US president for a very long time.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 57,170
    Scott_xP said:

    @PaulBrandITV
    On to Cuba now.

    “Cuba is gonna be something we end up talking about” says Trump.

    Rubio adds “if I lived in Havana and I was in the government I’d be concerned”.

    You're Havana a laugh!
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 41,429
    So, the Mad King says they are running Venezuela now, despite having no presence in the Country.

    Are the first boots on the ground going to welcomed, or attacked?

    If nothing else, as an American oil company I wouldn't send any staff there without US troops securing the sites
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 26,138

    Anyway spare a thought for the good people of Guyana, just last year Maduro was threatening to invade them.

    Trump must be their national hero.

    Would you want a Trump-run country on your doorstep? Particularly if you'd recently found you'd got some oil?
    Better than some set of autocratic bastards who lay claim to half your country and who want Putin to arm them for the job.

    Trump has many faults but theres worse out there.
  • RogerRoger Posts: 21,741

    Roger said:

    Foxy said:

    Sorry to be petty and domestic about this, but has Nigel Farage issued any statement, or answered any questions, about the USA's actions in Venezuela? I see that Davey has called for Sir Kier to denounce Trump, but that's to be expected.

    Has Badenoch commented, or is she just irrelevant nowadays?
    Well all the American sites that algorithms direct into my computer are saying there is no difference between this invasion and the Russians invasion of Ukraine. I think they have a point
    That must be difficult for you. Do you support one of them (if so, which one and why?) , both, or neither?
    I thought it would be obvious. I support neither and I can't imagine any sane person would. They are leading the world into a very dark place.
  • RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 3,157
    HYUFD said:

    ..Europe has been so hopelessly slow in reacting to the new geopolitical reality.

    Venezuela is not a major issue for Europe
    ..this has huge ramifications beyond just Venezuela. I’d be nervous if I were in Greenland right now, and that’s Europe’s problem.

    Instead we’re too busy upping welfare payments. We are clearly in a world where strength matters.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 41,429
    @rainbowdaesh.bsky.social‬

    At least the nazis actually hosted an Olympics before they started invading their neighbors.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 26,138

    HYUFD said:

    ..Europe has been so hopelessly slow in reacting to the new geopolitical reality.

    Venezuela is not a major issue for Europe
    ..this has huge ramifications beyond just Venezuela. I’d be nervous if I were in Greenland right now, and that’s Europe’s problem.

    Instead we’re too busy upping welfare payments. We are clearly in a world where strength matters.
    Dont be silly. we have all that soft power. Tea and muffins with KC3 and Putin will just stop.
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