They used to weigh Labour votes in Wales – politicalbetting.com
They used to weigh Labour votes in Wales – politicalbetting.com
Yesterday saw a YouGov poll published a Wales only poll which is utterly staggering, we should be prepared for the possibility of one of the Conservatives or Labour could finish fifth or lower in next year’s Senedd election, it would make a mockery of Kemi Badenoch’s improved ratings.
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My guess is that it gets well and truly crippled, but if it were actually delivered to its potential, it could be transformative.
The excerpt points out the necessity for accompanying transport investment.
https://www.samdumitriu.com/p/labour-are-finally-taking-the-housing
..To be clear, this isn’t a policy for sprawl. New developments must exceed minimum density standards of 40dph (dwelling per hectare) for all stations and 50dph for the best connected stations. There is an expectation that in urban areas even higher densities will be reached.
It is hard to overstate how big this is. The Government could easily exceed its 1.5 million home target for the Parliament just by building near stations in London and the South East. And that doesn’t even adjust for the higher densities sought in urban areas. If it survives consultation, and you best believe there will be an almighty fight, it will be the single most powerful pro-supply move in post-war Britain.
This is radical by British standards, but there is precedent. New Zealand’s most expensive cities have built at a clip since successive governments brought in measures to create a similar ‘default yes’ to densification near city centres and busy transport corridors. One study suggested that over six years the policy cut Auckland’s rents by nearly a third. If the same happened in the capital, the average Londoner would save £9,000 each year.
California, one of the few places with a housing crisis as bad as our own, is trying something similar. They have just passed SB79, a major reform that will permit up to nine-storey development near bus, tube, and train stations.
There will be challenges. Building near train stations will mean busier trains. ..
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/cricket/videos/cm21rpmellzo
There have been more glaring examples.
But yes, this is amateur hour by the umpire.
Will our developers go for this? Entirely against the ethos of maximising their land values by building as inefficiently as possible. We might have to make building sprawl harder.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/ce86jzgxxy4o
We've been outplayed so comprehensively that there's no real motive. And it's no secret that the Australian review systems are shit.
Or give local authorities CPO powers and the funding to do it themselves.
Given how long it's taken them to get this far, we do not have an energetic government.
None of which excuses a poor batting and bowling performance. If the Ashes are to remain the "be all and end all" for English cricket then the squad have to play warm-up games in Australian conditions.
I always find arguments like this a little bizarre.
There may be some truth for some individual stations, but aggregate demand for infrastructure, whether trains or roads, is driven by the size of the population. Not whether or not young people need to move back in with their parents (current position for many) or if they can afford to rent or buy somewhere of their own.
Increasing housing supply doesn't increase the net demand for infrastructure, it just improves the likelihood that more people can afford their own place to rent or preferably buy.
Building up near railway stations is a no-brainer. In London and the south east (at least) you'll find easy demand for such properties.
I suppose a test might be to give, say, five top facial image makers the same basic information: skull shape, DNA, etc. and let them independently create their images. If they all look quite similar then, fair enough I'd find that convincing.
Which would take a bit of explaining away!
Top marks to the Guardian
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2025/dec/17/beachy-head-woman-may-be-local-girl-from-eastbourne-say-scientists
Any result which does not have Welsh Labour first is a very good result for Wales and possibly a very good result for Welsh Labour given how tired and inept they have become.
Furthermore, are you suggesting that would be a bad thing?
*I think that's the max on multi-modal commutes. 1 mile is probably more reasonable.
That's what I love about PB. I hope @TSE doesn't get disheartened when some of his thread headers land on stony ground.
And all the villages where no new houses have been built since 1400 will suddenly discover the upside to Dr Beeching closing their station in 1965.
But that is down to the last Labour Government in charge at Westminster who originally delivered devolution. The sad thing is that I may not have voted for it, but I really wanted it to work and I still do. But when you create a devolved Parliament where the governing party and their FM and their Cabinet Ministers behaviour are totally unaccountable and untouchable no matter how badly they behave, you turn that administration into a banana republic. And the London political journalists should take a good long hard look at what they have ignored in Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland while they threw genuine and well deserved indepth scrutiny at the governments at Westminster in the last 28 years. Talk about two tier journalistic reporting!!
There is absolutely no genuine safe guards in our devolved governments and that includes the very ineffectual local media and TV news. Up here in Scotland if there is a big Westminster government scandal it gets wall to wall coverage, but when it comes to Holyrood, tumble weed or no coverage at all.....
"China is set to impose a value-added tax (VAT) on condoms and other contraceptives for the first time in three decades, as the country tries to boost its birthrate and modernise its tax laws.
From 1 January, condoms and contraceptives will be subject to a 13% VAT rate – a tax from which the goods have been exempt since China introduced nationwide VAT in 1993."
Can you imagine the conversations between couples? Condoms increased in price by a few pennies per condom, better go ahead and have more children who will cost many thousands...
The statutory walking distance to school is I think 2 miles. That is the I think distance before you get help with transport. That's England, and I'm open to correction by experts.
But much more to the point as they have not been in government for many years they will be noticeably less – shall we say – captured by the interests that inevitably go with government money. Turfing such parties out is ann essential part of democracy even if the replacements are not the best.
It's perfectly understandable that people are a bit miffed with the state of the nation after decades of the old parties in charge. (I'm not sure that we are entitled to be more than a bit miffed- we may no longer be winning top prize in the lottery of life, but we have still got a pretty solid luxury hamper, or a gift voucher for a restaurant we actually want to eat at.)
But most of the solutions put forward by these parties don't stand up to scrutiny. They're not really meant to, because these parties aren't really in it to win it- not on a national level. So it doesn't matter what the policies are. That's certainly true for the Greens and Nats. Realistically, it's where the Lib Dems are right now. And I would (more tentatively) put Reform in the same category.
And the problem with being a NOTA party? What happens when you win and become an AOTA party?
Trying to delete an account with a certain organisation.
Due to changes since my last login I can't login (apps required, no smartphone).
The close account form won't submit.
The contact us form won't go through.
Other forms of contact require login.
Trying through TwX. We'll see how that goes. I'm less than delighted so far.
https://www.housingtoday.co.uk/news/barnet-council-rejects-nearly-1800-new-homes-across-two-schemes/5139733.article
(Truncated for brevity.)
https://x.com/CAgovernor/status/2001479563222954403
Trump tonight:
Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me Me..
Any way for the Labour central government to overrule the council?
They used to weigh Conservative votes in Surrey.
If you mean shopping as in somewhere like Westfield at Stratford then I always go by train.
Edit: I agree with your point that it needs to be a frequent and integrated service like in London - but in the wider SE it can be. Other cities may need more investment to catch up (and Labour needs to give mayors/councils the powers to do that).
In Barnet there was heavy lobbying from the local Barnet society and other groups
Or just a get a fucking phone like a normal person. I dunno.
I do want the Senedd to succeed, but Labour's has had long enough and like in Scotland are facing a real crisis in Wales and deservedly so
I am prepared to give Plaid a chance, much as I would with the SNP if I still lived in Scotland.
It should also be noted just how irrelevant the Lib Dems are in Wales
I remember the time they were so active in local government here but no more
Let’s also drive a stake through the heart of the “we have to build” argument. Most of these no doubt well appointed little boxes will be far out of the reach of the people who need housing - those on housing waiting lists, families in one room, those people. If you want to solve the housing crisis and improve the quality of life for tens if not hundreds of thousands of families, build new houses and flats and sell them to local councils for £1 per unit and then let the council allocate them to the people who need them.
That means that you can get 100,000 people (or more) who don't need to jump in a car to grab some food. It's also much cheaper to provide public services like schools and GP practices. Public transport requires density to work too - that's why we gave buses every 10 minutes in Edinburgh but not in Midlothian.
This isn't a crazy idea. This is how the economically productive parts of the UK operate already. Economies of scale were described by Adam Smith, and the Romans and Greeks probably had a good understanding of it too.
Unfortunately it's not in the private interests of developers, so you end up with these enormous estates miles away from anything.
But I don't think Plaid will stoop to those depths. Rhun ap Iorwerth may not be everyone's cup of tea but he's no fool and he's actually pretty passionate about Wales and the Welsh people. He will want to at least try to get it right.
With RefUk, on the other hand...
The one development being on an old car park adjacent to the station.
So who is going to build houses and sell them to the council for a nominal amount to transfer the title ?
People needing homes in Barnet won’t be helped by this rejection.
You can do both. Increase council and private provision
I expect Plaid to govern with some lose arrangement with other parties, but just seeing labour out of office in Wales will be a very happy day
Service charges.
They can in themselves be a small mortgage payment each month.
It’s all very well having huge apartment blocks as they have been building around Tottenham Hale station for a few years now, but 30 storey buildings will need quite a bit of maintenance and care.
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I’m not against this proposal but without reform of leasehold tenures and associated governance of management companies there may end up being alot of buyer remorse.
WHICH BIT OF THE NO DISCUSSION OF THE GROOMING STORY DO PBers NOT UNDERSTAND?
THE SPAM TRAP HAS BEEN UPDATED, DON’T MOAN IF YOU FIND YOURSELVES BANNED.
Analysis | Some reckon Trump's losing his marbles a bit - and this speech might help their case
https://x.com/SkyNews/status/2001579735445311737?s=20
@brianstelter.bsky.social
Scooplet: The White House wanted tonight's prime time address to double as a PowerPoint presentation. Trump's comms team shared a set of slides with the major TV networks shortly before the speech. But only one, Fox News, opted to show them on screen.
https://bsky.app/profile/brianstelter.bsky.social/post/3maac3ec2n22p
@chadbourn.bsky.social
Trump’s twenty-minute address of grievances and lies sounded like the last gasp of a dying presidency.
https://bsky.app/profile/chadbourn.bsky.social/post/3maatvnhqtk2j
The councillors who turned down these schemes were almost certainly accurately representing what their voters think. What probably happens now is that either Sadiq calls in the application and approves it, or (more likely) it goes to appeal and gets approved by unelected judges.
Some more delay, some more cost, but everyone's concience is clear.
(I imagine that the 800 m/ten minute walk rule will open up a lot of development land in Havering- we've got the District line, the Lizzie Line and a green belt that was frozen in place decades ago. I also imagine that the current residents really aren't going to be happy about that.)
Auditors have identified a catalogue of financial reporting errors at the public body run by England’s only Conservative metro mayor, the latest setback to Lord Ben Houchen and his Tees Valley Combined Authority.
EY confirmed that it would be unable to sign off on the 2024-25 accounts at TVCA as a result, saying the errors included “material misstatements” that were evident simply from reading the document.
Loans made by TVCA without proper accounting include to Teesside Airport whose financing is so opaque no-one knows what's going on. Meanwhile certain developers are doing well out of the heavily indebted Authority.
https://bsky.app/profile/jenwilliamsft.bsky.social/post/3maau7zwai226
I woder if this comment will disappear like my previous ones on the general subject?
Do you know how bad your accounts have to be for an auditor to say that last bit publicly?
https://bsky.app/profile/tpgroberts.bsky.social/post/3maav7ixaoc2u
The Welsh media is minimal because of the small market. The only major news organisation is essentially BBC Wales. That does tend to slant pro-Labour being based in Cardiff and drawn muchly from the Valleys, but it's not a law of physics - many of its staff are Welsh-speaking by policy and therefore tacitly or overtly sympathise with Plaid. Rhun ap Iorwerth himself worked for the BBC for years before entering politics (and very good he was too). Guto Harri worked for them before joining Massive Johnson in Downing Street.
Exc: The UK-US pharma deal announced this month still has no underlying text beyond some headline terms
Ministers warn that our deals with Donald Trump are "built on sand"
https://x.com/elenicourea/status/2001590467180253536?s=20