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The challenge for… Labour – politicalbetting.com
The challenge for… Labour – politicalbetting.com
This is the first in a series looking at the challenges and opportunities for each of the 7 main Great Britain parties in turn. Before looking at the situation for Labour in detail, we will review what happened in the 2024 election
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Unlike Labour next time.
One opportunity Labour have I think is to say they will recognise Palestine as a state. Popular in the country and may go some way to repairing their very damaged relations with Muslim and Green voters.
It has no port it controls, no airport, no currency, no government with sovereignty, no control over its borders, and no capacity to enter binding international agreements without external approval.
That’s not to say recognition isn’t a symbolic or political act, but let’s not pretend it reflects reality on the ground.
Interesting piece, thanks. Certainly agree UNS is dead. If we look at where Labour came top May 1st, literally down to Cambridge, part of Oxford city and Exeter. All the progress in places like Hertford is well gone. London, Liverpool and Manchester keeps them at worst high double figures, but anything short of 150-170 or so would be catastrophic in the way 121 was for the Tories.
In terms of third in Scotland/Wales, the Scottish poll this weekend shows seat wise 20/18/17 Lab/Ref/Con so fourth is not impossible, nor is it in Wales, especially if anti UK government protest voting explodes.
A Tory recovery to 2024 vote level and Reform at near 30 would see Labour eviscerated.
A source said the plug was pulled by director of sport Alex Kay-Jelski
https://www.thesun.co.uk/sport/35212869/gary-lineker-mo-salah-interview-bbc-gaza/
Israel is a lesson in history about politicians wanting to avoid the penalty for their actions through race baiting.
Pb at its best.
"If you’re a care worker or senior care worker
Your partner and children cannot apply to join you or stay in the UK as your dependants unless you were employed as a care worker or senior care worker in the UK and on a Health and Care Worker visa before 11 March 2024 and [you're still on that same visa in some way]".
One point though on the growth of outer london towns. Not sure it is the "COVID effect" more than house prices? Thirty somethings who want to start a family are getting out of the smoke to a place where they can buy an actual house with a bit of garden is more a factor I think?
Plus they have debased the word "terror", as we know.
The analysis found that more than 60pc of family businesses and farms were planning to reduce investment by over a fifth in light of the changes.
Around a quarter have already cut staff. By the end of this parliament, more than 200,000 jobs are expected to be lost, the research showed
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2025/06/02/labour-tax-raid-on-farmers-to-cost-treasury-up-to-2bn
England and Wales after the recent resets could revert to UNS as well, although the Reform rise means perhaps not in 2029. But UNS from a position with lots of small majorities and a large seat churn, as in Scotland now, is the possible longer term outcome.
Has anyone noticed the author's initials are GOTV ?
2nd series, episode 3.
Investigators Rich and Greg go on the look-out for a fare dodger thought to be scamming Transport for London for over a year, racking up more than £5,000 in unpaid fares. At Waterloo, South Western Railway revenue protection officer Sam faces a tense situation with a man caught without a valid ticket who is more focused on finding a toilet than co-operating
We wouldn't want Rob Jenrick's fanclub to miss this, would we?
"Hit the farmers" combined being both economically illiterate and politically vindictive.
THAT is what this Labour government is.
Completion of Vodafone and Three merger in the UK
https://www.vodafone.com/news/corporate-and-financial/completion-of-vodafone-and-three-merger-in-the-uk
Hashtagjoinedupthinking
F1: just seen a new fun stat on Twitter.
In 2025, Hulkenberg has 16 points. This compares to 7 for Red Bull's second drivers.
Now it may just be an isolated incident cause by someone with mental health issues, but it does appear there is a reasonable case to apply the “act of terrorism” label to the attack
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/liz-truss-plugs-whiskey-bizarre-35320755.amp
Vodafone and Three have completed their merger with the new business being called VodafoneThree.
I will be joining their team in the coming months and I am very excited. Sadly that means I will be able to post here significantly less but until that time, I will post any information I can if it would be of interest.
How many of our nice UK doctors etc off to a nice life in Australia/NZ would go if they couldn't take their wife/husband/partner and 2.4 children with them?
This is OK for young students for a fixed term. But not acceptable if we are serious about treating people who work for us and our elderly parents properly.
If he pulls a stunt like that at Silverstone then I am going to the rozzers.
https://www.anera.org/what-are-area-a-area-b-and-area-c-in-the-west-bank/
The mindset is .. bizarre.
Today has been a day of infamy in #Russia Just like #PearlHarbour the #Russian response will be swift and terrible. And can only end now, one way. In the unconditional surrender of the #Ukrainian regime and their running dogs. I fully expect that to be conveyed in Istanbul tomorrow.
https://x.com/georgegalloway/status/1929174506926473673
Sir, I salute your courage, your strength, your indefatigability. And I want you to know that we are with you until victory
Some of the edge cases possibly do have an argument. Bit like WASPI women - don't overstate your case.
They are used to suppress wages and people may point to the additional cost of wages but these people will never be net contributors but cost the state billions over the years taking out far more than they put in. For what ? To save care home owners a bit of money. Bonkers
Skilled migration we should welcome. Unskilled is another matter.
And that remains utterly toxic in British society.
a) a little
b) a lot
c) a lot a lot
Vodafone are expensive shysters.
tune in tomorrow for the Undercit was outrageous, reckless, dangerous, and obviously deliberate. A 10s penalty is pathetic. Russell got a drive-through for cutting a chicane in Monaco and not giving the place back. Years ago, Vettel got a drive-through for (very low speed/not really dangerously) deliberately wheel banging Hamilton.However, in Spa practice a long way back Maldonado blatantly sideswiped Hamilton. He should've been black flagged but I don't think he got any punishment at all (if he did it was very minor).
All that said, do feel free to listen to tomorrow's podcast to hear that in audio form.
No Hitler/holocaust, no Israel, so we can blame Herr Hitler for the current mess.
People were paying Three £8 a month for unlimited calls/data/texts and wondering why Three didn't have the money to invest in improvements.
On Market Street in Manchester you can go from getting over 1,000 Mbps with Three and move a few hundred yards towards Piccadilly and no connection.
That said the big winner out of this deal might be O2 due to spectrum disposal that is needed by Three/Voda.
They are of course acting just like the rest of the population with assets, from the Duke of Westminster to the person whose apparently ordinary house is worth many millions but is still just a house.
Lawfully avoiding IHT will be an issue, even if a minor one, to a fair number of not especially wealthy non farmer PBers, me included.
What a time to be alive!
I have a friend who is attending an even of free marketeers and Truss will be there.
He's going to ask if she'd like a lettuce with her starter......
Even on 4G I get somewhere between 100 and 400 Mbps.
London is a problem but amusingly O2 used to give me the most consistent coverage in London.
Labour's landslide is wafer thin. Essentially, they were an election mechanism for the Conservatives.
They have no depth.
Use O2 if they ask, and tell them because they have a cheaper package plus you get roaming with them plus they are giving you Disney+ or Amazon Prime free for a year.
The customer services person will put you through to retentions who will offer you a better deal than you're currently on to keep your business.
*A PAC allows you to take your number to a different network.
I just hope we can fund it all.
Come the general election though if it comes to the threat of a Farage premieship in marginal seats where Reform are challenging, especially those commuter belt towns and suburban marginal seats I suspect many LD and Green tempted voters will hold their nose and vote Labour.
Starmer is not 100% safe though, if a challenger got the number of MPs required to take a vote to the membership for the leadership unlike Corbyn he would not be secure. Rayner for example would likely now beat Starmer with Labour Party members
I had my mobiles and broadband with BT and as the contracts came up for renewal they transfered me to EE and added EETV with TNT sports, so I am now in a position that I have an extremely competitive packages so much so I will cancel Sky when its contact comes up for review saving me over £650 pa
In these circumstances how would Vodafone Three compete?
And all the best in your new role
Fundamentally, both sides want to fight to the death for that territory- and believe it is theirs.
Someone needs to tell the PM tho
https://x.com/mrharrycole/status/1929302947034214427?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2025/jun/01/defence-review-to-say-uk-must-be-ready-to-fight-a-war-in-europe-or-atlantic
No change there then.
Memo to Kemi – yes, you can attack Starmer for this but it was your lot who shrunk the army (and navy and air force).
Even Balfour didn't want the whole of Palestine to be converted into a home for Jewish people, he said that would lead to problems.
(This is one of those things that the UK is much better than other countries at).
That the remainder doesn't contain a further Arab state is the fault of constant wars launched by Arabs, not anything the British or the Jews did.
Frustratingly I'm in a 5G/mobile deadspot.
https://news.sky.com/story/politics-latest-labour-reform-starmer-farage-defence-tories-migration-12593360
In practice, ouch, because planning. And all those lessons I have taught about "mobile phone signals are the wrong wavelength to give you cancer" appear to have been in vain.
I didn't need Paramount+ as I already had it free with Sky.
Plan for change
Plan for change
Plan for change
Plan for change
The phrase has even been adopted by government officials, who are usually shielded from political phrases to maintain their neutrality.
At a Home Office briefing in April, one official — who had worked on the previous government’s Rwanda policy — used the phrase ten times within an eight-minute period.
So why is Downing Street so obsessed with cramming in “Plan for Change” in every nook and cranny of government communications?
It all stems from focus groups and polling organised by Starmer’s political strategist, Morgan McSweeney, that informed the prime minister’s key speech in December that set out six “milestones” that he wants the voting public to measure his government against at the next election
https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/keir-starmer-plan-for-change-hooligans-5720t0p86
Other comparable countries with similar tax takes (as a percentage of GDP provide better services than we do).
Why are we uniquely incapable of doing so?
I now want a mobile contract - they will only supply me through EE and only if I switch to a more expensive broadband contract
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Nations_Partition_Plan_for_Palestine
One side accepted it, one rejected it and articulated that rejection with military force.
Also I find EE tv far more reliable, and not having to reset my Sky boxes which often occurs with Sky
Ripping off people from the developing world at £15K at time. So you are taking their saving and probably all the savings of their family. Nice.
It also had the slight flaw that nearly no-one on such visas ended up working in care.
So apart from it being a way for criminals to rip off poor people, it didn't work.
The context is one in which we, the UK, are rightly or wrongly, asking them in to do, long term, a job that needs doing. It is oppressive and wrong to expect that they abandon their families to do so, and we would not ask this of ourselves, or German bankers, or Russian oligarchs.