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No, of course not, but it will be interesting to see if this small movement is sustained. I've not seen anything yet to change my 2010 view that a Labour majority would be on the cards, but if in the next few months the gap narrows and we start to see the odds reflect that even more, it'll be worth a look.
Neil Henderson @hendopolis 8m
TELEGRAPH SCOTLAND: Salmond's plans 'don't add up' #TomorrowsPapersToday #BBCPapers pic.twitter.com/T0NXKRnE94
@kathy__odonnell: Tomorrow's YouGov #indyref poll for @thetimes is fascinating reading and v. exciting for ... well, you'll just have to wait.
Can they limp over the line ?
http://www.playdiplomacy.com/games.php?subpage=pending&msg=18
Current cast
Foxinsox
AndyCooke
NickMP
corporeal
Freggles
How can you resist?
Independence for Scottish PBers ! FREEDOM!
Spreadex voided my 7/5 on £200 on Man City winning the title. "Incorrectly left the market open during the game..."
Fortunately Paddy Power have ridden to the rescue as I've managed to zero out my Betfair lay.
Only 20% see Ed M as a "PM in waiting"
NB. It may have been "less than 20%" - I didn't catch it clearly.
Have too much of a good thing, you can, as McYoda might say.
Is Jeremy Paxman being impersonated by Terry Wogan?
No. Wogan is more incisive.
My mistake.....should Miliband suggest his replacement?
Quality trolling. Sadly I have to retire so will pick this one up with you tomorrow*
*thus creating yet more Scottish-related posts on PB, just in case it needs them
Neil Henderson @hendopolis 28m
THE TIMES: Miliband not fit for Number 10, say most voters #tomorrowspaperstoday #BBCPapers pic.twitter.com/wqbTKelg48
They'll have to hanker after the 1650s rather that the 1950s.
Your prescription for how Miliband should fix the weakest link -Scottish Labour - in the Better Together campaign!
Well worth waiting for I am sure!
RIP?
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2589236/Racist-Nazi-fanatic-nicknamed-Adolf-plotted-blow-mosques-home-bomb.html
Does Ed look like a PM in waiting
Does 19, Doesn't 63, DK 17
When the same Q was asked in Sep 2008 of Dave it was
Does 49. Doesn't 34, DK 16
Is the Lab Party ready for government
Ready 26, Not Ready 52, DK 22
When the same Q was asked in Sep 2008 of The Tories it was
Ready 43, Not Ready 36, DK 21.
I'm currently at the cinema awaiting the start of Captain America: The Winter Soldier. (They have an Avengers/Cap America double bill on)
So if the times don't publish their Indy ref polling before midnight, I'll post it after I'vew watched Cap America, around 2.30am.
I did wonder why an interview with an druggie incompetent bank chief was getting prime billing.
*In the style of Ramones t shirt buyers, I bought one without really knowing who Cpn America is
The only people on the Labour benches who would have considerable personal popularity as leader are Burnham and Alan Johnson. That said, I still maintain that if Miliband actually gets some bold, clear policies (and dropping the pledge to match Tory spending plans is a necessity to get to those policies), most of the issues with his personality would go away. He doesn't really inspire hatred (in the way Balls/Osborne do), but it's just when he's going out of his way to not say anything interesting and just trotting out lame empty soundbites, people have nothing to focus on except his funny voice and his funny looks.
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/world/news/article.cfm?c_id=2&objectid=11226334
The next GE was always going to be about the economy. Ed Miliband should have made it his absolutely priority to build a credible Shadow Treasury team fit for purpose from day one of his Leadership, and one with no strong links to the mistakes of the Brown era. Michael Howard and David Cameron took a gamble by appointing a relatively fresh face politician in Osborne before and after the 2005 GE, and despite the grumbles internally from some quarters Osborne's stock is now at probable its highest just in time for the next GE. Ed Balls on the other hand,,,
The problem of the Brown/Blair years is that people of quality saw no way of gaining meaningful promotion and so moved away from politics. Labour failed to engage with proper succession planning (as do most politic parties) and so they have been left with generation with no profile and no real engagement with the voters.
It is too late for Miliband to properly establish a strong platform of popular policies. The groundwork for that has to be laid over a period of time - otherwise it looks like something cobbled together to appear popular rather than something they really believe in and have campaigned for.
I don't feel innately British at all, and don't love Scotland anymore than I do France or Spain really. Interesting and surprising to me that some English people do.
Scotland will always be our friend, but I find it immensely depressing they no longer wish to be family, and I suspect that is what will end up happening, that either the union has failed its people, or people no longer see its successes, in which case it has also failed.
France and Spain are allies, Scotland is more than that (and I am skeptical that you would genuinely be surprised to see that some English people would think that - even if you, like many people, have no love for the union, the mere fact of its presence should be an indicator that it is reasonable to suppose many in that union feel love for the constituent parts over other allies, else there would be no british patriotism at all), and I sincerely hope I am merely pessimistic and that they can be persuaded out of more than fear that that is the case, and that England can rediscover its own love for the union. Apathy on both sides gives a blank check for those who see no value or outright hate the union to tear the whole thing down.
Good night all.
Yes 37 (+2)
No 52 (-1)
changes since last yougov poll for the Scottish SUn end of Feb
Fieldwork dates 20-24 March.
Gender gap closing
WTF was that original tweet about then, talk about hyping up a boring result.
'no one' is the correct answer, I think.
Has anyone else on PB seen it? I'd be interested to know what people think:
http://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/under_the_skin_2013/
I’ve been waiting years for this opportunity, and I won’t be wasting it":
http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/comment/nigel-farage-my-live-debate-with-nick-clegg-is-upon-us-does-he-realise-what-is-about-to-hit-him-9214761.html
For all the criticism of the Better Together campaign from some quarters on this site, I bet the Labour supporters here wish that their party had been polling that far ahead of the Conservatives so as to allow a far more comfortable cushion when a swing back occurred.
It was bo**ocks then, and it remains so now. A newly Independent Scotland is no more likely to suddenly become more rightwing than the UK did back in 1997, or in the intervening years since then. But a Scotland who votes No in September might just be more amenable to a Westminster Conservative Government come the 2015 GE....