I've only been dipping in and out of the Tory leadership contest, I've just kind of assumed Jenrick would win. Apparetly punters think the same, though I cannot really put my finger on why he is the more popular choice.
I've only been dipping in and out of the Tory leadership contest, I've just kind of assumed Jenrick would win. Apparetly punters think the same, though I cannot really put my finger on why he is the more popular choice.
I've only been dipping in and out of the Tory leadership contest, I've just kind of assumed Jenrick would win. Apparetly punters think the same, though I cannot really put my finger on why he is the more popular choice.
That's down to the membership - a dwindling band of ≈ 100,000 whose judgement in recent years has been a little off to say the least.
They will vote for the most red meat fantasy politics candidate of the two put before them it seems.
But maybe somehow sense will prevail and Cleverly will make it.
She's blown it. No surprise really – her purported appeal was lost on me and, it seems, almost everyone else.
As I have posted before - just not ready for prime time. Needs more time to learn to keep her batwing mad thoughts in her head and not on a journo's recording device.
But then again - the tory position is so dire, maybe rolling the dice with her might work out?
At least everyone in UK would know who she is by time of next election as there is one outrage after another.
I've only been dipping in and out of the Tory leadership contest, I've just kind of assumed Jenrick would win. Apparetly punters think the same, though I cannot really put my finger on why he is the more popular choice.
Because he's a lawyer.
Yeah, they need to fight fire with fire. Or indeed boring crooked lawyer with boring crooked lawyer.
The whole of social media is full of pro-Hezbollah, Shiite militant, Israel-hating rabid dogs screaming for Iran to finally take proper revenge, SMITE the Jewish state. avenge all the terrible humiliations,. from the pagers to the assassinations and now the invasion... and.... this is it???
They are not happy. They are very unhappy. Iran looks like a damp paper tiger scared of its smartphone
I've only been dipping in and out of the Tory leadership contest, I've just kind of assumed Jenrick would win. Apparetly punters think the same, though I cannot really put my finger on why he is the more popular choice.
Because he's a lawyer.
"I don't believe it. You're meant to come down here and defend me against these characters and the only one I've got on my side is the blood-sucking lawyer!"
The whole of social media is full of pro-Hezbollah, Shiite militant, Israel-hating rabid dogs screaming for Iran to finally take proper revenge, SMITE the Jewish state. avenge all the terrible humiliations,. from the pagers to the assassinations and now the invasion... and.... this is it???
They are not happy. They are very unhappy. Iran looks like a damp paper tiger scared of its smartphone
Could be a regime-toppler
I'll take that prospect seriously only after Iran has cut off all social media
The most unrealistic thing about Threads is that the survivors didn't clean up the debris even decades after the attack.
Mad Max is the same. They just use it for scenery.
Weren't there bomb sites in many British cities 20-30 years after WW2? Because noone really wanted the land?
I can remember a rare few from the early 80s. Literal bomb sites. Weird blocks in an otherwise mildly-desirable corner of Central London that no one had got around to fixing up. And still full of rubble (behind placards)
The most unrealistic thing about Threads is that the survivors didn't clean up the debris even decades after the attack.
Mad Max is the same. They just use it for scenery.
Weren't there bomb sites in many British cities 20-30 years after WW2? Because noone really wanted the land?
Yep. Some sites still existed into the early 80s in less popular (for redevelopment) parts of London. The makers of The Sweeney used to make use of some of them in the mid 70s when there were still piles of rubble around.
The most unrealistic thing about Threads is that the survivors didn't clean up the debris even decades after the attack.
Mad Max is the same. They just use it for scenery.
Weren't there bomb sites in many British cities 20-30 years after WW2? Because noone really wanted the land?
I can remember a rare few from the early 80s. Literal bomb sites. Weird blocks in an otherwise mildly-desirable corner of Central London that no one had got around to fixing up. And still full of rubble (behind placards)
As I student in 1980s Leeds bedsit land (you know the song) there were weird little patches of empty rubble strewn ground like this but not boarded up.
The whole of social media is full of pro-Hezbollah, Shiite militant, Israel-hating rabid dogs screaming for Iran to finally take proper revenge, SMITE the Jewish state. avenge all the terrible humiliations,. from the pagers to the assassinations and now the invasion... and.... this is it???
They are not happy. They are very unhappy. Iran looks like a damp paper tiger scared of its smartphone
Could be a regime-toppler
From my rural and provincial perch it seems to me that centrist sentiment is slowly and slightly moving back towards Israel.
Be that as it may, it also seems to me that an interesting test is being conducted, perhaps consciously by Israel.
The Palestinian cause has apparently huge global backing, and Iran the principal backer, is part of a huge global power network. The Arab world, the Islamic world (all factions more or less), Russia, China, and others too support the cause in the form of a one state or two state solution. Collectively this is gigantic militarily and economically. Israel has no friends immediately adjacent and NATO is looking another direction.
However they have all been remarkably backward in coming forward to do anything useful to further the cause in military or other terms.
I think Israel has decided to call that global bluff and see what happens.
(Full disclosure: I'm a woolly liberal supporting a two state solution with UN responsibility for peace keeping).
What? 5-10% of civil servants is 50,000 people? That can'tbe right, surely?
According to the Institute for Government as of March 2024, there were 510,665 full-time equivalent (FTE) civil servants. But what that includes I don't know.
The most unrealistic thing about Threads is that the survivors didn't clean up the debris even decades after the attack.
Mad Max is the same. They just use it for scenery.
Weren't there bomb sites in many British cities 20-30 years after WW2? Because noone really wanted the land?
More about low land value vs the issues of building on a bomb site.
A chap I knew inherited a South London bomb site that had been used for various business. With light buildings (ports cabins) on it at the end.
He rebuilt it as the 3 missing houses in terrace.
Apparently the first thing they did was dig out all the infill and disturbed layers. Partly to check for any unexplored stuff and partly because of settlement concerns. So he did deep basements for the new houses. Once you have a hole….
The most unrealistic thing about Threads is that the survivors didn't clean up the debris even decades after the attack.
Mad Max is the same. They just use it for scenery.
Weren't there bomb sites in many British cities 20-30 years after WW2? Because noone really wanted the land?
Yep. Some sites still existed into the early 80s in less popular (for redevelopment) parts of London. The makers of The Sweeney used to make use of some of them in the mid 70s when there were still piles of rubble around.
It took about the same time for London to fully recover from the Great Fire in 1666 as it did from the Blitz. About fifty years. Though the Great Fire was more extensive, but more localised, than the Blitz.
The most unrealistic thing about Threads is that the survivors didn't clean up the debris even decades after the attack.
Mad Max is the same. They just use it for scenery.
Weren't there bomb sites in many British cities 20-30 years after WW2? Because noone really wanted the land?
Yep. Some sites still existed into the early 80s in less popular (for redevelopment) parts of London. The makers of The Sweeney used to make use of some of them in the mid 70s when there were still piles of rubble around.
Yes, I was thinking specifically of the Euston films series Sweeney and Special Branch in my post. There used to be an excellent web page that had for each sweeney episode locations then and now.
The most unrealistic thing about Threads is that the survivors didn't clean up the debris even decades after the attack.
Mad Max is the same. They just use it for scenery.
Weren't there bomb sites in many British cities 20-30 years after WW2? Because noone really wanted the land?
There were quite few in London in the early 70s. They built the Barbican Centre on one of the biggest but many of the smaller ones were used as pop-up car parks.
The most unrealistic thing about Threads is that the survivors didn't clean up the debris even decades after the attack.
Mad Max is the same. They just use it for scenery.
Weren't there bomb sites in many British cities 20-30 years after WW2? Because noone really wanted the land?
Yep. Some sites still existed into the early 80s in less popular (for redevelopment) parts of London. The makers of The Sweeney used to make use of some of them in the mid 70s when there were still piles of rubble around.
It took about the same time for London to fully recover from the Great Fire in 1666 as it did from the Blitz. About fifty years. Though the Great Fire was more extensive, but more localised, than the Blitz.
It used to be a fairly common joke: we thank Hermann Goering for our National Car Parks.
I'm willing to believe that half a dozen MPs might, theoretically, belong in jail. Perhaps even a handful of individuals in the civil service, if only by the law of averages.
50k civil servants ? That's the idle dream of a would be authoritarian.
The most unrealistic thing about Threads is that the survivors didn't clean up the debris even decades after the attack.
Mad Max is the same. They just use it for scenery.
Weren't there bomb sites in many British cities 20-30 years after WW2? Because noone really wanted the land?
Yep. Some sites still existed into the early 80s in less popular (for redevelopment) parts of London. The makers of The Sweeney used to make use of some of them in the mid 70s when there were still piles of rubble around.
It took about the same time for London to fully recover from the Great Fire in 1666 as it did from the Blitz. About fifty years. Though the Great Fire was more extensive, but more localised, than the Blitz.
It used to be a fairly common joke: we thank Hermann Goering for our National Car Parks.
The full version was The Herman Goering Urban Redevelopment Company.
I'm willing to believe that half a dozen MPs might, theoretically, belong in jail. Perhaps even a handful of individuals in the civil service, if only by the law of averages.
50k civil servants ? That's the idle dream of a would be authoritarian.
If she had said 50,000 should be sacked, it would be extreme but one could make an argument based on the classic big four model of chopping the bottom 10%. But for her mind to go straight to imprisonment? Bonkers.
The whole of social media is full of pro-Hezbollah, Shiite militant, Israel-hating rabid dogs screaming for Iran to finally take proper revenge, SMITE the Jewish state. avenge all the terrible humiliations,. from the pagers to the assassinations and now the invasion... and.... this is it???
They are not happy. They are very unhappy. Iran looks like a damp paper tiger scared of its smartphone
Could be a regime-toppler
It could; the Iranian regime is hardly popular with its own people. But it could equally have the opposite effect.
The assassination of Hezbollah leaders in Lebanon will have the tacit approval of quite a few. A large scale attack on Iran is something else again.
She's blown it. No surprise really – her purported appeal was lost on me and, it seems, almost everyone else.
As I have posted before - just not ready for prime time. Needs more time to learn to keep her batwing mad thoughts in her head and not on a journo's recording device.
But then again - the tory position is so dire, maybe rolling the dice with her might work out?
At least everyone in UK would know who she is by time of next election as there is one outrage after another.
Trouble is, if KB learns not to say the first transatlantic right-wing thing that comes into her head, what's left of her?
"Saying what she thinks" is the core of her appeal.
I'm willing to believe that half a dozen MPs might, theoretically, belong in jail. Perhaps even a handful of individuals in the civil service, if only by the law of averages.
50k civil servants ? That's the idle dream of a would be authoritarian.
If she had said 50,000 should be sacked, it would be extreme but one could make an argument based on the classic big four model of chopping the bottom 10%. But for her mind to go straight to imprisonment? Bonkers.
To be fair she doesn't think 50,000 of them should be in jail. She thinks todays politicians can say what they want, without it being accurate, or even true, as long as they indicate whose side they are on. She might be right.
When do they reduce it to the two going to the membership
I should know but I don't !!!!!!!!!!!!
Rounds three and four are next Wednesday and Thursday.
And then the final two go to the party in the country, but only after they've paid another £150,000 to CCHQ, so don't be surprised when one of them drops out and the members don't get a vote, as when Andrea Leadsom withdrew against Theresa May.
I have held my Cleverly position because I think only he and Tugendhat are capable of anything like a Cameron-esque speech tomorrow, and Tugendhat is 50% too French to win given the voters.
When do they reduce it to the two going to the membership
I should know but I don't !!!!!!!!!!!!
Rounds three and four are next Wednesday and Thursday.
And then the final two go to the party in the country, but only after they've paid another £150,000 to CCHQ, so don't be surprised when one of them drops out and the members don't get a vote, as when Andrea Leadsom withdrew against Theresa May.
I am sure all those bothered by Starmers expensive socks will be giving great scrutiny on the provenence of the £150k's.
When do they reduce it to the two going to the membership
I should know but I don't !!!!!!!!!!!!
Rounds three and four are next Wednesday and Thursday.
And then the final two go to the party in the country, but only after they've paid another £150,000 to CCHQ, so don't be surprised when one of them drops out and the members don't get a vote, as when Andrea Leadsom withdrew against Theresa May.
Eh? £150k? Wow. What possible justification is there for that?
There is still time for Badenoch to win over Tory members. 50k civil servants sent to jail for being woke is only a start. Tory members need to be told sensible Conservative policy ideas. Take children away from the unemployed perhaps. Give upper rate tax payers asylum seekers as indentured slaves. Quit the Geneva Convention. You know. Moderate common sense policies
There is still time for Badenoch to win over Tory members. 50k civil servants sent to jail for being woke is only a start. Tory members need to be told sensible Conservative policy ideas. Take children away from the unemployed perhaps. Give upper rate tax payers asylum seekers as indentured slaves. Quit the Geneva Convention. You know. Moderate common sense policies
You forgot the compulsory serving of Asparagus at breakfast! Call yourself a Tory!!?
When do they reduce it to the two going to the membership
I should know but I don't !!!!!!!!!!!!
Rounds three and four are next Wednesday and Thursday.
And then the final two go to the party in the country, but only after they've paid another £150,000 to CCHQ, so don't be surprised when one of them drops out and the members don't get a vote, as when Andrea Leadsom withdrew against Theresa May.
Eh? £150k? Wow. What possible justification is there for that?
Bearing in mind that a short leadership election campaign would quite likely have seen Badenoch elected at leader, perhaps those who have complained about the length of this campaign should think again.
There is still time for Badenoch to win over Tory members. 50k civil servants sent to jail for being woke is only a start. Tory members need to be told sensible Conservative policy ideas. Take children away from the unemployed perhaps. Give upper rate tax payers asylum seekers as indentured slaves. Quit the Geneva Convention. You know. Moderate common sense policies
Obviously they would never do anything as silly as call for national service though. That’s inconceivable.
When do they reduce it to the two going to the membership
I should know but I don't !!!!!!!!!!!!
Rounds three and four are next Wednesday and Thursday.
And then the final two go to the party in the country, but only after they've paid another £150,000 to CCHQ, so don't be surprised when one of them drops out and the members don't get a vote, as when Andrea Leadsom withdrew against Theresa May.
Eh? £150k? Wow. What possible justification is there for that?
If Parly is recalled thanks to the mad mullahs - can this be the excuse to bring forward the tory contest by a few days and thereby allow Cleverly to be facing Reeves when she delivers nightmare on 11 downing street budget???
There is still time for Badenoch to win over Tory members. 50k civil servants sent to jail for being woke is only a start. Tory members need to be told sensible Conservative policy ideas. Take children away from the unemployed perhaps. Give upper rate tax payers asylum seekers as indentured slaves. Quit the Geneva Convention. You know. Moderate common sense policies
You forgot the compulsory serving of Asparagus at breakfast! Call yourself a Tory!!?
Oh.... sorry got carried away and forgot
Or the most outrageous Piers Fletcher-Dervish threat off The New Statesman: “Make them drink tap water!!!”
When do they reduce it to the two going to the membership
I should know but I don't !!!!!!!!!!!!
Rounds three and four are next Wednesday and Thursday.
And then the final two go to the party in the country, but only after they've paid another £150,000 to CCHQ, so don't be surprised when one of them drops out and the members don't get a vote, as when Andrea Leadsom withdrew against Theresa May.
Eh? £150k? Wow. What possible justification is there for that?
I have held my Cleverly position because I think only he and Tugendhat are capable of anything like a Cameron-esque speech tomorrow, and Tugendhat is 50% too French to win given the voters.
Oh good point. I had forgotten they have one more pitch tomorrow.
I'm willing to believe that half a dozen MPs might, theoretically, belong in jail. Perhaps even a handful of individuals in the civil service, if only by the law of averages.
50k civil servants ? That's the idle dream of a would be authoritarian.
If she had said 50,000 should be sacked, it would be extreme but one could make an argument based on the classic big four model of chopping the bottom 10%. But for her mind to go straight to imprisonment? Bonkers.
To be fair she doesn't think 50,000 of them should be in jail. She thinks todays politicians can say what they want, without it being accurate, or even true, as long as they indicate whose side they are on. She might be right.
Yes. She's doing that "speaking your mind" thing. Boy am I weary of that. Just blurting stuff out doesn't equal authenticity.
The most unrealistic thing about Threads is that the survivors didn't clean up the debris even decades after the attack.
Fits in with every post apocalyptic video game ever made. Sure, the world of Fallout is a disaster, but I'm to believe no one thought about throwing up a coat of paint at some point in the last 200 years?
When do they reduce it to the two going to the membership
I should know but I don't !!!!!!!!!!!!
Rounds three and four are next Wednesday and Thursday.
And then the final two go to the party in the country, but only after they've paid another £150,000 to CCHQ, so don't be surprised when one of them drops out and the members don't get a vote, as when Andrea Leadsom withdrew against Theresa May.
Eh? £150k? Wow. What possible justification is there for that?
It's £400k across the final four candidates. (£50k for a conference slot and then £150k if you're in the final.)
One of the great unknowns- how much is this pony and trap show costing the party to run? If you told me £3-£4 per member, I'd be surprised but not that surprised. And presumably the party manages its own finances with the same prudence that have managed the nation's in recent years.
The party demolished by the voters because of their egregious corruption and disconnection from normality thinks it’s perfectly sensible for their leadership contenders to need to pay 200 large in non-sequential £20s
No doubt she has been "misrepresented" by the media yet again.
You don't think between 5 and 10 percent of civil servants are very bad?
That seems a sound ratio. But it depends on the definition of very bad being used, I doubt 5-10% are belong in prison bad. I find it hard to believe the rate of criminality is that high in the civil service even if it is above average.
I'm willing to believe that half a dozen MPs might, theoretically, belong in jail. Perhaps even a handful of individuals in the civil service, if only by the law of averages.
50k civil servants ? That's the idle dream of a would be authoritarian.
Hang on: there are 72 LibDem MPs.
If you look at the Liberals of the 1970s and work out what proportion of them should have been in prison, and then apply that proportion to current numbers, you probably get to 50+. And that's just from a single party.
When do they reduce it to the two going to the membership
I should know but I don't !!!!!!!!!!!!
Rounds three and four are next Wednesday and Thursday.
And then the final two go to the party in the country, but only after they've paid another £150,000 to CCHQ, so don't be surprised when one of them drops out and the members don't get a vote, as when Andrea Leadsom withdrew against Theresa May.
Eh? £150k? Wow. What possible justification is there for that?
Is that actually true? Surely not?
Under the Conservative party’s “pay to play” rules, those who make it to the final four on Tuesday next week will have to hand £50,000 to the party. The two candidates who make it to the final round after the party’s conference in October will have to sign a further cheque for £150,000 to Conservative campaign headquarters. https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/sep/05/robert-jenrick-frontrunner-tory-leadership
Read that article on the candidates' fundraising and begin to see why it is the media, not the Conservatives, making the running on Starmer's freebiegate.
No doubt she has been "misrepresented" by the media yet again.
You don't think between 5 and 10 percent of civil servants are very bad?
I think it's more the "should be in prison" that people will take issue with. The bar for incarcerating people is - one would hope - a high one.
I agree, but civil servants are agents of the state. If they do a bad job, and potentially their bad job is motivated by a wish to do down the Government of the day or frustrate their plans, that situation is a sticky one to a far greater degree than a lousy cashier or a decorator who leave the pictures up and paints round them. I am not sure all cases of the sort are worthy of a trip to the gaol, but nor can they be tolerated.
I'm willing to believe that half a dozen MPs might, theoretically, belong in jail. Perhaps even a handful of individuals in the civil service, if only by the law of averages.
50k civil servants ? That's the idle dream of a would be authoritarian.
Hang on: there are 72 LibDem MPs.
If you look at the Liberals of the 1970s and work out what proportion of them should have been in prison, and then apply that proportion to current numbers, you probably get to 50+. And that's just from a single party.
No, she didn’t take 34,000 words to say it via an impenetrable blog post.
I think you mean in a misunderstood genius blog post. He helped with the Brexit campaign, so anything he says must be amazing.
My respect for Mr Cummings dropped dramatically after I was sat only a few yards from him on a flight to the West Coast. He was shockingly rude to the BA cabin staff.
No doubt she has been "misrepresented" by the media yet again.
You don't think between 5 and 10 percent of civil servants are very bad?
I think it's more the "should be in prison" that people will take issue with. The bar for incarcerating people is - one would hope - a high one.
Yes, it's a rather dramatic expansion of the brain-dead 'sack the lowest-performing 10% of staff' so beloved by techbroes and finbroes.
Or in some cases, sack ten percent at random as an experiment. Which at least has the merit of cutting out the tedious work of working out who to put on the hit list.
No, she didn’t take 34,000 words to say it via an impenetrable blog post.
I think you mean in a misunderstood genius blog post. He helped with the Brexit campaign, so anything he says must be amazing.
My respect for Mr Cummings dropped dramatically after I was sat only a few yards from him on a flight to the West Coast. He was shockingly rude to the BA cabin staff.
He also didn't help with the Brexit campaign, that was crap and I believe narrowed the result.
I'll repeat myself from earlier today, I don't think she's a good candidate and is unlikely to ever be one. She has zero maturity of thought. Suggesting that 5-10% of the civil service should be on prison is just laughable and the kind of stuff I'd expect from an anti-establishment sixth former. I'm not exactly a huge fan of the civil service or the job they (don't) do but to suggest they should be imprisoned for it is just idiotic.
She could easily have made a very valid point that she believes that there's too many civil servants who work against elected ministers and there are loads who see it as their duty to block Tory policies and they should be rooted out and moved on. Suggesting jail time for them just makes her look ridiculous.
I like Kemi and think if she had the ability to think for a bit longer before speaking or forming an opinion on something she might be brilliant, as it stands she's just behaving like someone who wants to get a rise out of the people she opposes which isn't a grown up way to lead a party.
No doubt she has been "misrepresented" by the media yet again.
You don't think between 5 and 10 percent of civil servants are very bad?
I think it's more the "should be in prison" that people will take issue with. The bar for incarcerating people is - one would hope - a high one.
I agree, but civil servants are agents of the state. If they do a bad job, and potentially their bad job is motivated by a wish to do down the Government of the day or frustrate their plans, that situation is a sticky one to a far greater degree than a lousy cashier or a decorator who leave the pictures up and paints round them. I am not sure all cases of the sort are worthy of a trip to the gaol, but nor can they be tolerated.
Yeah, but most civil servants - by number - have very little to do with the actions of ministers. They are junior staff in Swansea dealing with driving license administration.
I'll repeat myself from earlier today, I don't think she's a good candidate and is unlikely to ever be one. She has zero maturity of thought. Suggesting that 5-10% of the civil service should be on prison is just laughable and the kind of stuff I'd expect from an anti-establishment sixth former. I'm not exactly a huge fan of the civil service or the job they (don't) do but to suggest they should be imprisoned for it is just idiotic.
She could easily have made a very valid point that she believes that there's too many civil servants who work against elected ministers and there are loads who see it as their duty to block Tory policies and they should be rooted out and moved on. Suggesting jail time for them just makes her look ridiculous.
I like Kemi and think if she had the ability to think for a bit longer before speaking or forming an opinion on something she might be brilliant, as it stands she's just behaving like someone who wants to get a rise out of the people she opposes which isn't a grown up way to lead a party.
There you go: proper nuance, and makes a good point.
No, she didn’t take 34,000 words to say it via an impenetrable blog post.
I think you mean in a misunderstood genius blog post. He helped with the Brexit campaign, so anything he says must be amazing.
My respect for Mr Cummings dropped dramatically after I was sat only a few yards from him on a flight to the West Coast. He was shockingly rude to the BA cabin staff.
He also didn't help with the Brexit campaign, that was crap and I believe narrowed the result.
Yes, I think Badenoch has blown it now. A very odd series of interventions. I suspect she is still going for that “I’m willing to open interesting conversations” shtick, but she is showing tremendous political naïveté in the fact that no-one wanted any conversations about minimum wage, maternity pay, or jailing civil servants.
Comments
Not sure quite how we find space for 50,000 additional prisoners given the disaster that was Conservative prison policy.
I should know but I don't !!!!!!!!!!!!
They will vote for the most red meat fantasy politics candidate of the two put before them it seems.
But maybe somehow sense will prevail and Cleverly will make it.
But then again - the tory position is so dire, maybe rolling the dice with her might work out?
At least everyone in UK would know who she is by time of next election as there is one outrage after another.
But if this is it, my God that is pathetic
The whole of social media is full of pro-Hezbollah, Shiite militant, Israel-hating rabid dogs screaming for Iran to finally take proper revenge, SMITE the Jewish state. avenge all the terrible humiliations,. from the pagers to the assassinations and now the invasion... and.... this is it???
They are not happy. They are very unhappy. Iran looks like a damp paper tiger scared of its smartphone
Could be a regime-toppler
Trafalgar (Very Rep bias) - Trump 291, Harris 232, Tied 15
Patriot (Very Rep bias) - Trump 281, Harris 241, Tied 16
InsiderAdvantage (Leans Rep) - Trump 275, Harris 252, Tied 11
AtlasIntel (Rep bias) - Trump 274, Harris 248, Tied 16
Siena (Neutral) - Trump 262, Harris 255, Tied 21
Emerson (Neutral) - Trump 256, Harris 241, Tied 41
Redfield & Wilton (British) - Trump 251, Harris 241, Tied 46
Marist (Neutral) - Harris 251, Trump 246, Tied 41
CNN / SSRS (Neutral) - Harris 273, Trump 230, Tied 35
YouGov (Neutral) - Harris 276, Trump 262
Morning Consult (Leans Dem) - Harris 303, Trump 219, Tied 16
Focaldata (British) - Harris 303, Trumpo 235
So that is the (very tight) state of the polling. I suspect the sstate of the actual race may be somewhat different but we shall see
https://x.com/jackelsom/status/1841158990824116663
Be that as it may, it also seems to me that an interesting test is being conducted, perhaps consciously by Israel.
The Palestinian cause has apparently huge global backing, and Iran the principal backer, is part of a huge global power network. The Arab world, the Islamic world (all factions more or less), Russia, China, and others too support the cause in the form of a one state or two state solution. Collectively this is gigantic militarily and economically. Israel has no friends immediately adjacent and NATO is looking another direction.
However they have all been remarkably backward in coming forward to do anything useful to further the cause in military or other terms.
I think Israel has decided to call that global bluff and see what happens.
(Full disclosure: I'm a woolly liberal supporting a two state solution with UN responsibility for peace keeping).
A chap I knew inherited a South London bomb site that had been used for various business. With light buildings (ports cabins) on it at the end.
He rebuilt it as the 3 missing houses in terrace.
Apparently the first thing they did was dig out all the infill and disturbed layers. Partly to check for any unexplored stuff and partly because of settlement concerns. So he did deep basements for the new houses. Once you have a hole….
A few places have not changed.
Perhaps even a handful of individuals in the civil service, if only by the law of averages.
50k civil servants ?
That's the idle dream of a would be authoritarian.
But then you look at the other three, and...
But it could equally have the opposite effect.
The assassination of Hezbollah leaders in Lebanon will have the tacit approval of quite a few. A large scale attack on Iran is something else again.
"Saying what she thinks" is the core of her appeal.
Oh.... sorry got carried away and forgot
Tory-boy will attempt without notes I suspect.
One of the great unknowns- how much is this pony and trap show costing the party to run? If you told me £3-£4 per member, I'd be surprised but not that surprised. And presumably the party manages its own finances with the same prudence that have managed the nation's in recent years.
Presume this is a legit site.
https://x.com/n12news/status/1841184016688357766?s=61
Fairly true to life, then. 😏
If you look at the Liberals of the 1970s and work out what proportion of them should have been in prison, and then apply that proportion to current numbers, you probably get to 50+. And that's just from a single party.
Of course, that would mean building more prisons, and NIMBYism will win out against all, including a desire to throw the book at people.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/sep/05/robert-jenrick-frontrunner-tory-leadership
Read that article on the candidates' fundraising and begin to see why it is the media, not the Conservatives, making the running on Starmer's freebiegate.
(Now, not then.)
She could easily have made a very valid point that she believes that there's too many civil servants who work against elected ministers and there are loads who see it as their duty to block Tory policies and they should be rooted out and moved on. Suggesting jail time for them just makes her look ridiculous.
I like Kemi and think if she had the ability to think for a bit longer before speaking or forming an opinion on something she might be brilliant, as it stands she's just behaving like someone who wants to get a rise out of the people she opposes which isn't a grown up way to lead a party.
As opposed to Kemi, who said something stupid.