The Tories have pledged to keep the state pension triple lock in place if they win the next election – 72% of Britons think the triple lock should remain in place (including a majority across all generations)https://t.co/Cy60U7qpqg pic.twitter.com/g4WuDEXnLg
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May I request the assistance of the PB Brains Trust?
Mrs PtP has a bijou flat in Hampstead. The remaining lease is approximately 100 years. She wishes to extend it. The landlord, Camden Council, is remarkably diffident. She has found a local lawyer who is used to dealing with them (and clearly holds them in low esteem) and thinks it will cost about £8k all told to secure a 90 year extension. I'm inclined to tell her to go ahead but am dimly aware of changes proposed to alter the law on leaseholds. I am too lazy to research the implications and thought I would ask you lot instead, especially as I'm likely to get the kind of frankness you cannot expect from professional scribes on the subject.
Any thoughts, anyone?
2021 NEV was 40 Tory 30 Lab, I suspect a direct inversion very possible with Tory perhaps even lower, anything under 50% losses and I think he'll be a bit relieved, especially if Hall outperforms polling and Street somehow hangs on. On the converse, over 500 losses, towards low 20s for Hall and Steeet gone and the knives are out.
Workers Party are scouting for council candidates, their performance might give an indication of any issue Labour might face over Gaza etc
I went for 40 despite the experts saying it was pointless. I wanted the security of knowing i had a
very long lease. In retrospect I think i made the right choice
Layla Moran did indeed oppose a new reservoir.
Classic NIMBY
https://www.oxfordmail.co.uk/news/19855745.plans-huge-reservoir-abingdon-explained/
Mind you Green councillors oppose solar farms in their area all the time.
Bart is someone I rarely agree with but he is right on his "Screw the NIMBY" view.
Noted with thanks.
At the moment I'd be inclined to wait at least until the election, but will be grateful for any further views.
TUV candidates taking votes from the DUP could cost the DUP a couple of seats, maybe to the advantage of Alliance?
In electoral terms it might hand South Antrim to the UUP, would be nice to see the Trimblers back in Westminster
How about a £10 bet on the contingency that David Johnston is unseated, who pulled it off?
I win if it's Olly Glover for the Lib Dems. You win if it's [insert name here] for Labour.
And Didcot and Wantage definitely looks to be the Lib Dem best prospect in Oxfordshire for a gain. Banbury is certainly best prospect for Labour. I can see arguments over Bicester and Woodstock, and Witney, but with the way the area has swung to the Lib Dems over the past several years at local level, the strong performance last time, and the various other aspects highlighted in the vote-2012 boards write-up (https://vote-2012.proboards.com/thread/17762/didcot-wantage ) that make it demographically better for the Lib Dems than ever before, I think we'd be fools to step down our campaign here, frankly.
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£10 bet - done. Winning to charity of winner's choice. I'd probably pick Brightwell Supports Refugees as suitably local to both of us.
The same demographic elements mentioned on vote-2012 (high education, proximity to London, Remain) favour both LibDems and Labour, though proximity to London more Labour and Remain more LibDem. The main issue is just pragmatic - I don't think the LibDems can win on a lower national vote share unless they get a lot of tactical votes from Labour, and because it's now become a Labour target (unlike, say, Guildford) I think they will find that very difficult. With a paid Labour organiser, a strong campaign team and FWIW my own campaign experience I think it'll be a strong campaign, and if the LibDems fight it to death we may get the Tory hold that we neasrly saw in similar circs in mid-Beds.
I don't want to bore everyone else with the fine details of the Didcot and Wantage debate, but wouldn't be a bad thing to have a line of communication open between us if you'd like that? I'm on nickmp1 at aol.com.
If all OAPs vote Tory and all working people vote Labour, then Labour win the next election.
Of course it won't be all for either party, but it could be a considerable proportion for both.
The Tories relinquish the votes of those working for a living at their peril.
As for it benefitting future pensioners as long as those in work get it, of course. I am 8 years from getting it so I should get it at 67 as they should give 10 years notice of any change and are currently still committed to that.
What about younger people. No guarantee they will get it at all.
Our generation has had the rug pulled at every turn. Tuition fees introduced before turning 18, housing construction blocked by NIMBYs, taxes solely on earned-income jacked up (only recently started to be reversed) etc, etc, etc
The idea that we'll actually get the pension, let alone a triple locked one, is a brave assumption.
Making the pension unaffordable simply brings forward the day that the pension gets phased out/means tested, probably when we're about to retire and the boomer vote has died.
* the unvoiced consonants t, p, k ("triple" is stronger than "treble")
* the masculine (stressed) ending ("lock")
* the masculine connotations of odd numbers - see for example the common use of pentagons and heptagons as shapes for burglar alarms.
So yeah, being perceived as removers of the triple lock is a no-no.
Labour’s deputy leader is accused of breaking electoral law for allegedly giving false information relating to capital gains tax on her former Stockport house
Police are reassessing claims that Angela Rayner broke electoral law after receiving a complaint from the deputy chairman of the Conservative Party.
James Daly, the MP for Bury North, said Greater Manchester police had failed to properly investigate claims the Labour deputy leader may have broken the law in the early 2010s when she lived between two council houses in Stockport.
On Monday the police confirmed that a detective chief inspector had been assigned to reconsider the case, putting pressure on Rayner again, days after she launched a fightback in the media.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/angela-rayner-council-house-tax-manchester-police-labour-party-79pk08rx0
Whatever the wrongs or rights of the issue and I defer to the Dan Neidle thread on Twitter on the matter Ms Rayner clearly does not like being subject to scrutiny. Playing the "poor me" card.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/angela-rayner-labour-lord-ashcroft-b2502151.html
"Ms Rayner hit back at what she called Lord Ashcroft’s “unhealthy interest” in her family life. She also accused the former Tory deputy chair of wanting to “kick down at people like me who graft hard in tough circumstances to get on in life”."
PS And bored-stiff journos are tweeting to report that Tory MPs have lost their mojo. It's all over already. Over. Isn't it?
Free advice: Don't do anything that will get Dan Neidle investigating your tax affairs.
Angela Rayner could kill a cat live on TV whilst punching a NHS nurse and Labour are still going to win.
However, I suspect this is kormagate all over again - Con figure makes a lot of noise, police 'have another look' to keep everyone happy.
If it does turn out there's more to it, then it's much more of an issue for Rayner than Lab (she'd have to resign deputy leader position, Lab would move on) It's not as if the Conservatives are free of sleaze issues to make voters move to them as the 'clean' party.
She was all in favor of the reservoir. Just so long as it was somewhere else.
Remain was at 1.3 three days before the EU membership referendum.
It's that the allegation relates to
Edit - I believe they are angling that if no crime occured re addresses registered to vote etc then the tax implications of the sales don't add up. Its a 'one or the other is wrong' accusation
That's so 1990.
One livestreams it on Twitch.
It's pretty altruistic of them to want to pay benefits for the elderly that they'll never enjoy for themselves.
My thanks to you and all the others who offered their assistance.
Someone should ask GMP to investige Mr Daly for wasting police time.
And your neighbours crap on your lawn
??
And they do it for exercise ???
...To be able to stand as a candidate at a UK Parliamentary by-election in Great Britain you must:
be at least 18 years old1
be a British citizen, a citizen of the Republic of Ireland, or an eligible Commonwealth citizen2
An eligible Commonwealth citizen is a Commonwealth citizen who either:
does not need leave to enter or remain in the United Kingdom, or
has indefinite leave to remain in the United Kingdom
Citizens of other countries are not eligible to become a Member of the UK Parliament.
There is no requirement in law for you to be a registered elector in the UK.
Zack Polanski
@ZackPolanski
·
5h
💚 For the first time ever in our history ,@TheGreenParty will be standing in every single constituency in England & Wales.
Unsurprisingly richer pensioners who use the argument about protecting the poor tend to go quiet when this option is raised.
Now that the people's friend Mr Daly has exposed her, not only will he win re-election, so will the government - huzzah! Not at all corrupt contracts all round!
There is desperate. Deluded. Stupid. This is all three and then some.
OK, Grandad...
As for some poor sod on minimum wage on zero hours with University fee debts to pay forking out for it in his taxes? It is grossly immoral.
If you let your leasehold remaining term approach down to and below this the extension (or freehold purchase) gets sharply more expensive because of how the formula for computing it works. It's not linear, there's a step increase.
People would buy freeholds with outstanding leases of say 83 years then a few years later, if the leaseholder failed to extend or purchase, they'd make a killing because the price would have rocketed.
It was quite a quirk. But like most of my knowledge on most topics it could be out of date.
I make no accusation myself, but that's what I believe has been alleged
The poorest pensioners pay little tax BUT the effect of tax kicking in at £12.5K when you have an income of £17,000 (for example) is much harsher on the poor than on the wealthy. When you are poor, a little is a lot. No-one should be paying income tax on earnings a lot less than minimum wage.
Probably 400 to 450
Its pretty sad that the modern Tory has such a problem with someone who had tried to make something of herself. They really need to reflect what their values actually are.
In case you were thinking of retiring some day, bad news from Janet Yellen:
Social Security and Medicare are now underfunded by $175 trillion.
That comes to roughly $1.4 million per American household.
There are only 3 solutions:
- slash beneficiaries
- massively hike taxes, or
- cut everybody’s benefit to poverty level.
https://x.com/profstonge/status/1772962369007767849?s=20