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Election postponed – politicalbetting.com

There is much betting interest on the date of the next general election. Might it be in May, or November? The one thing we do know is that it can’t be any later than January 2025, because that’s the deadline set by law.
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I guess that's supposed to be Feb 2025?
Interesting, thanks.
The point, of course, is to avoid bringing matters to a head. What was it the Derryman said about the prospects for the future in 2005? 'I'd say they were indefinite. And maybe even longer than that.'
What annoys me more is we're still paying the fuckers. If they can't be bothered to work, they shouldn't be getting cash.
(Speaking of which, haven't they been postponed until February 2025?)
You fix everyone’s computer without regard to their gender or religion
Your buttons are neither black nor white.
You’re welcome.
https://kyivindependent.com/commander-in-chief-zaluzhnyi/
Quite. Is there any strategy here? Just constantly kicking the can doesn't seem to be healing divides.
https://twitter.com/hewitson10/status/1752051529094172894
#GreatestPMWeNeverHad
... should it?
‘The legal system we have and the rule of law are far more responsible for our traditional liberties than any system of one man one vote. Any country or government which wants to proceed towards tyranny starts to undermine legal rights and undermine the law.’
Kemi Badenoch is an enigma to me. I feel somehow she isn't as stupid as she appears to be, or as the rest of the Conservative stable. In the unlikely event I got a say in the next Tory leader selection, I wouldn't know whether to vote for her.
Does anyone know the detail?
Which I can see as very much grating if you disagree with it all. The right to vote, in my eyes, has to include the right not to vote (and not to need one to jump through hoops to avoid voting, either).
My ignorant take is that the DUP refuse to be Deputy First Minister to Sinn Féin, which is the real reason to stop Stormont sitting.
EXC: More than 20 serving Tory ministers may vote against or abstain on Sunak’s landmark smoking ban — amid confusion whether throwaway vape ban will also be a free vote
LOSER
@Lucian_Fletcher was it?
Apologies if wrong.
That should be allowed - the ballot paper shpuld have the option NOTA or similar. Should there be a threshold in any constitiuency which, if reached by NOTA, would force a re-run of the elecrion? Presumably, if NOTA gets more "votes" then any of the other candidates, we can say the election is voided.
Got him elected a few times too.
I agree with @ydoethur - why are these NI Assembly memebers being paid if they refuse to work?
That stance assumes that going down to vote is “good” behaviour and that we should encourage - or even coerce or compel - that behaviour.
If one genuinely sees the choice as being equivalent to choosing between syphilis or herpes, or between Laurence Fox and Ron DeSantis, then it’s perfectly rational to prefer, say, spending family time with ones’ children, or wife, or going for a nice meal out as a family.
Just because I think one should vote (and I do; I even go to vote in PCC by-elections) doesn’t mean that my view should be pressed on others. Let votes be earned, not compelled. And if people may be “lazy”, let them. Those who do not wish to vote do not have to prove their worth to us, that they aren’t “lazy”, and those who are too “lazy” to vote simply lose their own voice as “punishment” when they could have made it heard.
(Disclaimer: I did once think people should be required to record a NOTA vote until I thought through it a bit more)
And incentivise those who feel as Pagan2 does to have something to vote for with the prospect of actually causing some kind of change. Especially if the losing parties are also banned from the rerun
The addition of Ron to the ballot adds the ability of voters to express their displeasure with the choices they've been offered.
Nottingham council proposing to close a big park and ride site to save money even though it is the overspill for major regional hospital.
Means loads of people struggling to park when they have appointments will be late and - guess what - yet again the NHS starts to fall over even more than now.
When the fuck in this country are we going to elect politicians and employ civil servants who understand joined up, long term thinking and strategy and not their own little silo??
If I were some recent graduate with a debt comparable to that of a medium-sized African country being screamed at and brutalised by some bellend of a corporal, I think I'd be more inclined to point my assault rifle in the general direction of my supposed superiors than Vladimir Putin. Them again, some bright spark could always propose that conscription should begin not with blameless twenty somethings but with the various classes of rich parasites in society, who wank themselves silly at the thought of the children of the poor being butchered, just so that they can continued to enjoy their vast, unearned, property speculation derived wealth? That might just put a stop to the flag shagging rhetoric.
So you've got all three branches of the federal government involved! Most especially the Speaker of the House.
The hospital is planning a multi storey car park sometime in the future but on each occasion I have had to go to the hospital I have had either my son or daughter drive me and my wife for my appointments
I was told to park on yellow lines or disabled parking spaces as the hospital does not enforce any of these breaches
And Labour has been in power in the Senedd continuously since it's inception in 1999
I have wondered if, for possible House of Lords elections, the turnout figure could drive the number of corss-bencher peers.
(for example - if the Lords had 500 seats, turnout was 65%, and of those 65%, 25 voted Labour, 20 Conservative, 7 Lib Dem, 3 SNP, 3 Green, 3 Reform, 2 Plaid, 2 for other parties, then we'd have:
125 Labour peers
100 Tory Peers
28 Lib Dem peers
12 SNP peers
12 Green peers
12 Reform peers
8 Plaid peers
8 from other parties,
and 140 cross-benchers.
(Each party would have a sort of "pool" of peers to nominate for each annual session, up to their number of peers from the election)
(This is where I prefer STV, anyway, where this could be resolved to a degree.)
https://www.reuters.com/article/uk-irish-mcguinness-idUKTRE52F69220090316/
*pretty much
I understand the point but you're implying that by definition those who choose not to vote do so because they don't want to vote for any of the candidates. That might be true, it may not.
Of course, a ballot paper can be spoilt and that is recorded but if we're going to use turnout (or a lack of it) to legitimise elections, what about local elections with a 30% turnout - what of local by-elections with 15% turnout or smaller?
You can't have it both ways - if you want to register a vote against all the candidates, fine, more than happy for that to be included on a basllot paper but not the assumption of abstention.
I'll give you another example - what happens if I want to support a party but I don't like the local candidate or support that candidate's position on a particular local issue? As we are geographically locked in to constituencies, we are forced to vote for the candidate each party puts in front of us. Plenty on here would support the constituency link to the last but it's deeply flawed.
There are plenty of electoral systems which enable both a constituency AND a national party vote but the argument is it creates two "classes" of MP. Many democracies function quite happily on that basis.
"England, Wales and Scotland should be an independent country. Yes or No."
https://wikispooks.com/wiki/File:Zionist_Shitlord.jpg
And it is how money is spent
Welsh Government's take-it-or-leave-it offer for electric trucks sparks backlash
https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/welsh-governments-take-leave-offer-28519874#ICID=Android_DailyPostNewsApp_AppShare
He said that it was the most popular decision in his 10 year term, never got anything but thank yous!
But what are they going to do about it? They were nearly 8% behind Sinn Fein at last year's local elections. They've been behind SF in every Assembly poll and the solitary general election poll (that's on Wikipedia, at least) since Brexit. What do they think a new Labour government is going to give them that Sunak won't? There are tensions within the DUP about their current strategy.
https://twitter.com/RonFilipkowski/status/1751784236556644625
Sam Freedman
@Samfr
·
9h
We've now had more consecutive polls with the Tories below 30% than at any previous point since regular UK polling began.
The former, glorified social workers.
The latter, doing what they should be doing.
I would get rid of the constituency link altogether and just have a pool of MPs who are able to focus on national priorities, world events and the big picture, not the roadworks outside the local primary school or Mrs Smith's noisy neighbours.
RON/NOTA would be welcome as it gives those who dislike all an option.
My strong preference is for an STV system, anyway, which gives you the way around your suggested problem.
"People have started calling Boebert, “Trailer Swift,” and it’s mean but also a little funny."
1. The constituencies are larger so you get more meaningful economic units and less of the really local stuff that should be the focus of (stronger, more devolved) local government, and
2. You get several members, usually from at least 2 parties, meaning you’re not dependent on your one local MP giving a damn or not
But, yes, they've been discussing it for a while, although I thought the mood was they'd stick with the boycott. If they do go back into government, that's good news, I think. But what will it do for their vote at the general election? Will it bring back more moderate voters who didn't like the boycott? Maybe it's too late for that. Will it piss off more hardline voters who think the boycott was for nothing? The TUV could repeat their 2019 decision and not stand, reducing the danger to the DUP, but they could still suffer from people voting RON.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Punjab,_Pakistan
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Punjab
The report is optimistic, but suggests some hurdles remain. I am sceptical that most DUP or former DUP voters will be that impressed by whatever the deal is.
TUV is only really a threat in North Antrim.
A new thread already?
Yet like Sunak seems to have never developed the skill of understanding where your opponents are coming from, that they might actually have some worthwhile points and that persuasion instead of abrasion and tetchy defensiveness might be what works. She sometimes makes herself look foolish by assuming her opponent is stupid rather than having a competing viewpoint to engage with rather than roll your eyes at.
And she sounded almost Corbynite when trying to blame the media for the government's unpopularity yesterday. Which doesn't bode well. If it was silly when the Labour left blamed the media for their own shortcomings, it's trebly so when several papers and two TV channels regularly pump out your unfiltered propaganda.
She could end up being the new William Hague - becomes Tory leader on right-wing credentials after a bad defeat. Bangs on about party shibboleths and 'common sense' when the world has moved on. Then becomes quite a thoughtful ex-leader when defeat has battle-hardened and humbled a bit.
There's a lovely Welsh lady on my route who I first chatted to when I saw she had a letter with an RAF Akrotiri postmark on it. My Dad was posted there during the first Gulf War, and her Royal Marine son had been briefly stationed there on the way home from other adventures
She bought me a book that she'd seen in a charity shop, "Ramble On, The story of our love for walking Britain"
The first walk described in it is to Kinder Scout, right near Glossop where my Dad is from. There's a later one from Halton, where we lived when I was two. I can't wait to tell Mrs Barry about this!
Today we had some monthly bulletin showing where we rank locally; we've fallen a couple of places. It also has three positive, three negative comments from customers in our area; the longest comment was for me
"Our Postie (Blanche) always looks after our parcels, going above and beyond to deliver them safely. Always friendly and polite, she's a great asset to the Royal Mail team"
Someone actually bothered to write that about me
Maybe this is what it will take for something to be done.
(see the Rye College Cat ID fiasco.)