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The dramatic change in the polls since SKS became leader – politicalbetting.com
The dramatic change in the polls since SKS became leader – politicalbetting.com
Change in Voting Intention Since Keir Starmer Became Labour Leader, 3 Years ago Today:LAB: 46.4% (+17.4)CON: 27.6% (-24.1)LDM: 9.7% (+1.9)RFM: 5.1% (+3.9)GRN: 4.7% (+0.8)SNP: 3.8% (-0.7)https://t.co/kz25YAE6Wc pic.twitter.com/GnrUy0eAFg
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Let that sink in.
Every once in a while within the contented, Cretaceous-period munching of leaves that comprises much of the Telegraph comment section, someone gets a chance to point out the impending asteroid.
https://twitter.com/peterwalker99/status/1643642150461079552/photo/1
I still can't even
Fuck knows if we'll get on to the content I was planning to cover.
https://www.skysports.com/watch/video/sports/darts/12779348/i-cant-speak-i-cant-speak-wayne-mardle-goes-berserk-after-michael-smith-nine-darter
As I said earlier, for labour to win a majority they need to do very well in England and Wales but there is a benefit for labour that using the pocket of the SNP against them is much diminished
As far as Sunak is concerned, his ratings do seem to be rising and in an election campaign v Starmer I would not understate his ability to mitigate labour's result
As the Harry Enfield Mr Angry character said, "is that what you want? Cos that's what'll 'appen"
ydoethur said:
"Getting ready to give Murrell a grilling?"
Me:
"George Foreman of the jury, how do you..."
Holyrood I am less sure. By then Yousaf will probably be gone
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-birmingham-65189785.amp
The irony is this particular student was given a task to watch the SNP leadership election some time ago and asked me, in puzzlement, 'Why? Is it important?'
Kofman: "Russian military is still prosecuting this offensive, but there are a lot of signs that they're calling up everybody on leave & preparing different parts of the line to defend because they're naturally anticipating a Ukrainian offensive at some point, maybe this month"
Key, says Kofman, is after the offensive. "A lot of the indicators suggests ... this may be the high watermark for [Western] support ... after this is a good chance that Ukraine may be living paycheck to paycheck". Key is how much manpower & artillery ammo it burns through.
Kofman: 'the best thing the Russian forces could have done for Ukraine is actually launch this ill-timed, ill-conceived Winter Offensive...leaving them open to Ukrainian counter attack." BUT: Ru has "very substantial number of motor rifle troops & territorial troops as reserves"
Russian defences: "while the Russian military certainly spent some brigades and some units on this operation [Bakhmut] ...they're echelon holding these lines. So the lines are a lot denser, there are multiple echelons [of defensive lines], and they're entrenched"
https://twitter.com/shashj/status/1643571072485191681?cxt=HHwWgsCzqdbLkc8tAAAA
https://twitter.com/holyroodmandy/status/1643605288690282496?s=20
If Labour win these off the SNP then its 330 Labour to 320 Tory and they have a majority. Labour and the SNP may both count as opposition now, but they won't if Labour become the government.
Brick Top : You're always gonna have problems lifting a body in one piece. Apparently the best thing to do is cut up a corpse into six pieces and pile it all together.
Sol : Would someone mind telling me, who are you?
Brick Top : And when you got your six pieces, you gotta get rid of them, because it's no good leaving it in the deep freeze for your mum to discover, now is it? Then I hear the best thing to do is feed them to pigs. You got to starve the pigs for a few days, then the sight of a chopped-up body will look like curry to a pisshead. You gotta shave the heads of your victims, and pull the teeth out for the sake of the piggies' digestion. You could do this afterwards, of course, but you don't want to go sievin' through pig shit, now do you? They will go through bone like butter. You need at least sixteen pigs to finish the job in one sitting, so be wary of any man who keeps a pig farm. They will go through a body that weighs 200 pounds in about eight minutes. That means that a single pig can consume two pounds of uncooked flesh every minute. Hence the expression, "as greedy as a pig".
Vinny : Well, thank you for that. That's a great weight of me mind. Now, if you wouldn't mind telling me who the fuck you are, apart from someone who feeds people to pigs of course?
Though I understand your objecting to manual labour.
Good news. DfE @educationgovuk will no longer be conflating gender identity and sex in data collection.
https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1148628/CBDS_RFC_1233_-_Sex_and_Gender_Identity.pdf
https://twitter.com/ProfAliceS/status/1643611039257198604?s=20
In a further sign of Sir Keir Starmer’s determination to appeal to women’s rights campaigners within his party, a Labour spokesman said: “Clarification is a good thing. We will look closely at what’s brought forward.”
Kemi Badenoch, the women and equalities minister, yesterday asked the Equality and Human Rights Commission (EHRC) to consider the “benefits or otherwise” of placing a biological definition of sex in the Equality Act.
She said that the need had become more pressing after moves in Scotland to try to make it easier for transgender people to gain legal recognition, which the UK government argued was at odds with equality laws applying across the four nations.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/1672ef7e-d3a0-11ed-b5c3-54651fc826e9?shareToken=1bc84739acd4eba8160159348ee72610
https://twitter.com/Jebadoo2/status/1643648700885999616?s=20
Dial the SNP back to their 2010 score and there are only about 50 MPs in that unaligned block, and you only need push the second party below about 275 to have a majority government.
The former porn star at the heart of Donald Trump's historic indictment in New York has been ordered to pay him more than $121,000 (£96,965) towards legal fees in an unrelated case.
Stormy Daniels, alleged to have had an affair with Mr Trump in 2006, lost her defamation case over a 2018 tweet written by the former US president.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-65191465
Scott Benton, the MP for Blackpool South, was prepared to help an investment fund influence policymakers and obtain “behind the scenes” information despite rules prohibiting MPs from lobbying in return for payment.
He was secretly filmed by undercover reporters posing as investors with interest in the betting and gaming industry who were looking for an adviser.
During a meeting at a central London hotel early last month, Benton outlined how he was willing to use his position to help their business and try to water down proposed gambling reforms. The MP:
•Guaranteed he could leak a copy of a forthcoming white paper on gambling reforms to the company at least 48 hours before it went public, potentially allowing them to profit from market-sensitive information.
•Offered to submit parliamentary questions and said he had done it on behalf of companies before.
•Boasted of his “easy access to ministers” and said he was prepared to “literally sit outside” a minister’s office if the company needed an urgent answer to a question.
•Claimed many MPs who accepted corporate hospitality were willing to table a written question or make a point during oral questions in return.
•Said he could “call in favours” from colleagues who would be happy to support the company’s interests and offered to host a dinner at the House of Commons.
MPs have long been banned from acting as paid lobbyists and accepting money to raise issues with ministers or ask questions in parliament on behalf of clients.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/tory-mp-scott-benton-lobbying-investigation-ckhzrfqg0
By election in Blackpool South I reckon.
https://twitter.com/soniasodha/status/1643608890897055747?s=20
I would also think that while Labour and Tories would benefit more or less equally from a small drop in SNP support, Labour would benefit disproportionately from a big drop for the SNP because there are many more seats where Labour is competitive than the Tories - ie most of the central belt. Without commenting on the specifics of what's happening today, I think it has significantly boosted Labour's chances at the next general election.
"In 2011, the then home secretary Jack Straw let the cat out of the bag when he said that white girls were “seen as easy meat” by Pakistani rapists. Straw was swiftly shut down".
Easy Labour gain, so they may just suspend him and wait for the next election.
Very young, too.
Horrible. I hope, wherever they are, they’re doing alright. Good on them for speaking out.
The victims seem incidental, sadly.
Whilst what they say is true it is totally insufficient a decade on to pretend that is the only thing that needed to be fixed.
Perhaps the cause of woke is advancing less fast. But it's everywhere.
I mean, I just looked up from writing this and saw this:
All round good day for Forbes. As PG Wodehouse would have said 'Keep your head down and don't press'.
And what an good time to just lose an election.
- the majority of such gangs are non-Asian. Which isn't surprising given the relative population sizes.
- a *section* of the Pakistani community is over-represented in the offenders who go to trial, compared to the size of their community in the population.
- this section of the Pakistani community would be called Gammon etc, if they were white, by some here.
https://twitter.com/EuropeElects/status/1643630500857118721
France, Elabe poll:
Presidential run-off election
Le Pen (RN-ID): 55% (+14)
Macron (RE-RE): 45% (-14)
+/- vs. 2022 election
Puts me right off my bubble tea.
It just says, "Oh, look at me! I'm inclusive!"
Doesn't really mean anything.
They'd be better off seeing how Le Pen fares against someone like Barnier.
Although hands up, you do have a point. It really doesn't matter what the creed or ethnicity these or the Rochdale/Rotherham/ Telford/ Oxford animals are, now does it? But you have a Home Secretary who sees mileage in scapegoating a specific group, and this particular case does not feature that specific ethnic group, so move along, nothing to see...
Ms Le Pen has promised to rescind the increase in retirement ages, so all French can sensibly continue to retire at 62.
Many of our rules were made assuming just one bread winner. (Usually a man, but sometimes a widow, or a woman who has always been single.)
It looks as if the little problem you are having in Scotland may be -- among other things -- another example of that problem.
(And no, I don't have any simple solution to the problem.)
People really do need to stop being offended by stuff so much. And that applies equally to the 'woke' and the 'anti-woke'
https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/1643659430959906820
Which got the clipboard types going - since they could no longer ignore "difficult" or "problematic" cases.
In quite a few cases, it seems that the issue was that it was *too common* - since this happened all the time, the clipboardistas saw this as normality....