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Thistle do nicely for Starmer – politicalbetting.com
Thistle do nicely for Starmer – politicalbetting.com
Meanwhile, the price of a Labour overall majority on Betfair has drifted out to 1.77 (last matched), just as Labour look set to have a source of anything up to 25 seats that they wouldn't have expected two months ago. https://t.co/D1WNCxQbqi
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Far too early to know what will happen in Scotland. The SNP have just started a game of 52 card pickup.
Edit: the pointers to what happen next will be a possible rerun of the leadership election and/or one of the other scandals popping open
If either of those happen, then the SNP will take permanent damage, I think.
I don't understand how the SNP establishment couldn't rally behind a better candidate than this one. I'm far from certain the one they landed with would survive to a GE even if he wins the leadership
Kate Forbes at the Pulpit
https://twitter.com/shiny02/status/1637401025563983872?s=20
ASH REGAN is Scotland's only hope...
https://twitter.com/shiny02/status/1637401527403806720?s=20
Contains naughty words.....
BREAKING: Switzerland is considering a full or partial nationalization of Credit Suisse as the only other viable option outside a UBS takeover
Thistle do nicely?
Flower in Scotland?
Those puns are completely beyond saltire, they really are.
He is right about the irony though...
In which case, the SNP insurgents have botched this as much as the establishment. It's all very well getting rid of a leader you dislike, but you do have to have an alternative who is reasonably ready-to-go who the party will accept. It's not obvious that Kate Forbes is that alternative.
It's nowhere near as good a recording as the live in Philly 1972 recording I posted before, but it does has video
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-NgEqtCNtzU
Labour don't need to *win back* Scotland from the SNP. They just need to lose by 5 points or less to win back a large number of seats. And to get that they might only need (if the polls are accurate) a 2% swing.
"According to presenter Bob Harris, the programme derived its name from a Tin Pan Alley phrase from years before. When they got the first pressing of a record they would play it to people they called the old greys – doormen in grey suits. Any song the doormen could remember and whistle, having heard it just once or twice, had passed the old grey whistle test."
Denmark St is "now" Tin Pot Alley
With all recent Putin's appearances in public, here's a reminder from Girkin on how to distinguish real Putin from his double.
https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1637421039436038146?s=20
If this is correct, it is unlikely he was in Crimea yesterday....
Which for them, well - who knew it was even possible?
Fao @NorthHertsDC
Returning Officer, are you aware that Hitchin & Harpenden @Conservatives
, @BimAfolami
MP’s Constituency are sending voters Postal Vote registration forms with a return envelope to the Conservatives?
https://twitter.com/CourierBoyUK/status/1637377899874361345
It was only the emergence of Dylan and then the Beatles which gave them the idea they could actually make a living by independently performing their own songs.
He might be sitting it out, imagining that whoever follows Sturgeon is the Liz Truss of this particular situation, and he can put himself up once they've gone down in flames.
That does rely upon any investigations/revelations over the coming months not implicating him in any potential wrongdoing.
5,820 enemy
66 tanks
84 armored vehicles
81 artillery systems
14 anti-aircraft guns
9 air defense systems
60 cars
20 special equipment
1 plane
1 helicopter
and 51 drones.
Which may not look too bad if compared to the allies losing 9,000 on D-Day.
Except - D-Day breached the Nazi's Foretress Europe with a bridgehead.
Russia's gain this week? Nothing of note....
…UBS is said to have asked the Swiss government to cover about $6bn (£4.9bn) in costs if it were to buy Credit Suisse, according to sources quoted by Reuters…
It's also quite hard to see them losing Inverness-shire and Wester Ross even though they've only held it for eight years, or indeed Nairn, Strathspey and Moray West.
https://guitar.com/features/gallery/the-history-of-denmark-street-londons-music-epicentre/
Although while I've seen the pun once before, I was clearly pleased enough by it back then to photograph it and send it to my mother in law. So a good pun nevertheless.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/03/17/florida-bill-girls-periods-school-gop/
It's impressive to think there's worse to come than fraud, embezzlement, falsification of registers and abuse of process.
Bad news for Sindy supporters.
Great news for anyone who wants the Tories out.
Like Kemi, Forbes has that rare quality that when she speaks you actually want to know what she has to say.
Forbes is straight and honest about her (IMHO wrongheaded) desire for independence : That to get there you need to demonstrate competence, integrity and a willingness to win the democratic argument over a long time. No quick fixes.
Solid integrity and willingness not to just be evasive about deep personal opinions and beliefs.
Conclusion: I am a politically centrist unionist with regard to E and W and Scotland. Forbes is the only candidate who is a threat to my personal position about that. But also the candidate who would be good for our politics and the moral mess it has got into, both in England and Scotland.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8QKiSvwzr94&t=127s
The incumbent, Angus MacNeill, has endorsed Forbes not too surprisingly, I’d guess a Forbes leadership would go down pretty well in the islands.
I note with some amusement that according to Wiki Ash Regan has had three endorsements, Joanna Cherry, Alex Salmond and Craig Murray. Oor Joanna sure can pick a winner.
"In any case, sixty-two millions was no nearer the truth than fifty-seven millions, or than 145 millions. Very likely no boots had been produced at all. Likelier still, nobody knew how many had been produced, much less cared. All one knew was that every quarter astronomical numbers of boots were produced on paper, while perhaps half the population of Oceania went barefoot. And so it was with every class of recorded fact, great or small. Everything faded away into a shadow-world in which, finally, even the date of the year had become uncertain."
If Yousaf wins, then he will continue on the current path but with a lot of people willing to tell all to anyone who will listen. Plus a probable legal challenge to the ballot anyway.
Edit: but it woiuld resolve the election problem.
https://www.bbc.com/news/business-65006218
"John Lewis considers plan to change staff-owned structure
John Lewis is considering a potential change to its employee-owned business structure, upending more than 70 years of tradition.
The group, which also owns Waitrose, is currently fully owned by its staff, who receive a share in the profits.
But in the face of tougher trading, the firm is said to be exploring the idea of selling a minority stake.
The Sunday Times, which first reported the move, said the firm hoped to raise up to £2bn.
It said the firm's chairwoman Dame Sharon White was considering a potential plan to dilute the famous partnership structure in order to invest in better technology, data analysis and Waitrose's supply chain."
I make that a higher run rate of personnel deaths (if accurate) than for UK losses on the Somme, which are recorded as 108k in 141 days.
All kinds of caveat etc.
It was not really an adequate reward for the tens of thousands of deaths, but so far in Bakhmut they've taken one small, insignificant village.
I'd be happy to see the SNP win every seat in Scotland as this would mean Tory losses.
Just been reading about a head teacher who killed herself in anticipation of a bad Ofsted report. This is because the school gets rated 'inadequate' if there are concerns about 'safeguarding'. Whilst safeguarding should obviously be taken seriously I feel very sorry for the people stuck in this system who get ruined when they get one of these bad reports. Not sure it is really that helpful having these rankings. It would surely be better if people just read the reports to get an idea about the school and its strengths and weaknesses, without the rather infantile system of marking that doesn't seem to exist in any other country.
Presumably their staff spend rather a lot of time in places where there are a lot of children, though. But is that enough to trigger the need to safeguard, more so than (say) a delivery driver?
However, there are some shortcomings - to put it mildly - in this process.
1) Ofsted inspectors do not have to carry standard ID.
2) Ofsted inspectors do not have to identify themselves verbally or show identification if challenged. So there is no way of telling who they are
3) Ofsted inspectors are not trained in safeguarding or GDPR by Ofsted. So there is no way of knowing whether they understand their obligations under KCSIE or GDPR.
4) Ofsted inspectors have no whistleblowing procedure for reporting any lapses. The only thing that can be done is to escalate to the Head, who may then include it in their feedback form on the inspection process.
5) Ofsted inspectors, although they are not in fact mostly working full time for Ofsted, are not obliged to register for the update service. So their DBS checks are usually out of date.
Which may explain how a former headteacher in Staffordshire - I won't say whom - was still working for Ofsted after being fired from a previous role for a safeguarding breach, proceeded to commit a further breach and is yet somehow still working for Ofsted.
"It originally referred to a specific place: West 28th Street between Fifth and Sixth Avenues" in Manhattan"
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:I'm_a_Yiddish_Cowboy_-_Edward_Meeker_(1908).ogg
Russian tank usage doesn’t seem to be up to British, French or German tactics circa 1918. Unless they are *trying* for a Music Box scenario….
Forbes, in contrast, wants to build a country that is economically viable, that can fund itself, that is not dependent on English subsidy and can stand on its own 2 feet. A country that could have a stable currency and good public services. As a Unionist I want exactly the same. I do not agree with her end point but I would be delighted to see Scotland moving along that road in a constructive way. A Scotland that no longer needs the Union is one which might well vote to leave it. Hers is the only vision of independence that has a cat in hell's chance of happening.