TSE No, referendums almost always swing towards the status quo, as they did on AV and in Canada when Quebec voted to stay in Canada at the last minute by a hair's breadth!
Theuniondivvie I doubt the fate of the 300 year old Act of Union will rest on one Comres, in any case if the Tories are ahead the result would be more like another Tory-LD Coalition than a Tory majority unless the Tories have a really big lead!
I know that, but as political junkies of various levels of addiction we live and die by polls. A closing gap on an Indyref poll and a lead for the Tories (& I see a closing on the Tory-Lab gap in a Yougov) would be worth a little death.
TSE No, referendums almost always swing towards the status quo, as they did on AV and in Canada when Quebec voted to stay in Canada at the last minute by a hair's breadth!
TSE Interesting points, but see below Yougov still has Labour ahead and even if a few polls show a Tory lead by September that would still be unlikely to be consistent by referendum day with a general election not until May and in any case the Tories are almost certain to be forced into another Coalition anyway if ahead, not have a majority. BBC News tonight leads on big RBS losses, yet another blow to ex-RBS employee Salmond's argument that Scotland's economy can go it alone!!
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