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Sunak needs to move the voting polls or else he’s in trouble – politicalbetting.com
Sunak needs to move the voting polls or else he’s in trouble – politicalbetting.com
Sunak has got better personal ratings than his two predecessors Johnson and Truss but the voting polls remain very poor and unless there is some improvement then the Tories will be out at the next general election.
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True. The Oaf and Truss were -60 or worse, Sunak is a mere -21, the same ballpark as his pro-Brexit, anti-nurse, British nationalist pal Keir Starmer.
However, the problem isn’t Rishi Sunak, it is that the entire British Establishment is rotten to the core. Changing figurehead is not going to change the underlying problem.
Keir's latest satisfaction rating is -6, although according to YouGov it is +5,. This is a fair bit different from Sunak's rating.
https://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/political-monitor-satisfaction-ratings-1997-present
https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/trackers/keir-starmer-approval-rating
Starmer's ratings compare favourably with leaders going back 25 years.
Just saying.
In the twentieth century’s hierarchy of state-sponsored violence, Hitler’s Germany, Stalin’s Russia, and Hirohito’s Japan typically take top spots…. Britain is rarely seen as among the worst offenders, given a reputation for decency that the Harvard historian Caroline Elkins has spent more than two decades trying to undermine. “Legacy of Violence” (Knopf), her astringent new history of the British Empire, brings detailed context to individual stories like Tudor’s…. Britain’s use of systematic violence was no better than that of its rivals. The British were simply more skilled at hiding it.
From Ireland had come paramilitary techniques and the use of armored cars; from Mesopotamia, expertise in aerial bombing and the strafing of villages; from South Africa, the use of Dobermans for tracking and attacking suspects; from India, interrogation methods and the systematic use of solitary confinement; and, from the Raj’s North-West Frontier, the use of human shields to clear land mines. As one soldier recalled about the deployment of Arab prisoners, “If there was any land mines it was them that hit them. Rather a dirty trick, but we enjoyed it.”
https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2022/04/04/the-british-empire-was-much-worse-than-you-realize-caroline-elkinss-legacy-of-violence
Keir Starmer isn't a Brexiteer. If you're basing that remark on his comments about not reversing Brexit then you surely understand and know that he doesn't want to open that can of worms in the run up to the election? The last thing he needs is to make the 2023 or 2024 General Election a Brexit re-run.
I know you know this so you are being mischievous.
You compared national data to which Mike referred and posted up an image that only the most astute and eagle-eyed would spot was a Scottish sub-sample: written in tiny blurred writing in the bottom left-hand corner.
I find the defence of the union by a social democrat fairly unfathomable. Or, at least, the refusal to permit another referendum, when it is manifestly the case that the Brexit for which Scotland did NOT vote materially altered its constitution and infrastructure.
Anyone who believes in democracy MUST believe in the right of Scotland for a second independence referendum.
A vote for Labour = a vote for Brexit
A vote for the Liberal Democrats = a vote for Brexit
A vote for the Scottish National Party = a vote for EU membership
That’s not “mischievous”, that’s a plain statement of fact.
There’s an awful lot of “cans of worms” that Keir Starmer doesn’t want to open, like fair pay for nurses, democracy for Scots, and keeping 200 nuclear warheads just outside Glasgow.
The Tories are about to remove equal pay for women. What’s the likelihood that Starmer won’t oppose it? Very high.
The Tories have morphed into UKIP and Labour have morphed into the Tories. England has lurched tragically to the far right. It is an error of huge historical consequence, and this is just the start.
The UK is not a “nation”, it is a state. One hell of a state too.
It's obvious that under Labour / LibDems Britain's relationship with Europe will be revisited. It simply cannot be a priority right now and it cannot be something made overt in the run up to the election, when there are other pressing matters.
Starmer has to be savvy and electable. If he goes full tonto socialist he will never get the keys to No 10.
There will be plenty of time later to lead the British public on a constructive journey.
I think you know this full well, so I repeat that you are being mischievous.
Lying to the electorate created the mess. Honesty is required to clean up the mess.
Which is one reason the mess will never be cleaned up, as Westminster and Whitehall are incapable of honesty.
Stunning that you can accuse me of “sleight of hand” and then not realise that advocating covert behaviour is exactly that: sleight of hand.
(Alastair Campbell keeps hyping ‘The New European’ as the sole such sturdy title, but I’m afraid it has a circulation lower than ‘The Scotsman’, which is dead in the water.)
- If you want to know what happens next in the UK, you’d be better off flipping a coin than listening to most political pundits
Similar studies conducted in the UK proved to be even worse for the pundits. In the run up to the 2010, 2015 and 2017 general elections, well known British commentators were asked by the Political Studies Association to give their predictions for each result. In each case, the pundits were wildly wrong, with tossing a coin turning out to be a significantly better way of predicting election outcomes.
https://bylinetimes.com/2022/12/23/worst-predictions-2022-uk-politics-liz-truss-boris-johnson-brexit/
Not really, expect closer EU ties straight away.
"A vote for the Liberal Democrats = a vote for Brexit"
No it's a vote for rejoining when the country can be taken with them, so maybe not immediately.
"A vote for the Scottish National Party = a vote for EU membership"
... but only for Scotland
https://www.libdems.org.uk/news/article/rebuilding-trade-cooperation-with-europe
Though losing $900 billion in shareholder value in a year is pretty spectacular. More trouble ahead too as Tesla production now exceeds sales.
https://insideevs.com/news/628254/estimated-tesla-order-backlog-dec8-2022/
Britain's Gulag: The Brutal End of Empire in Kenya https://amzn.eu/d/0SgE4mc
Things were different at different times and places in the Empire, but this wasn't atypical.
I believe that the electric car transformation is still on the steeply increasing part of the 'S' curve. Tesla have recently opened new Gigafactories in Berlin and Texas to add to those in California and China, so it's not surprising that their production can now exceed sales. It also means that the waiting time for a Tesla has dropped significantly which is good for the company. Tesla make around $10,000 on each sale whereas other companies struggle to make any profit on EVs, this means that Tesla could afford to drop their prices in order to maintain demand. They may not have to for a while at least in the US as they will be eligible for a $7,500 Inflation Reduction Act subsidy.
Twitter was a big mistake for Musk but Tesla is still a huge success and will continue to be.
The problem is some Leavers have gone to RefUK and some back to
Labour. Though Sunak is doing a bit better in the bluewall with Remainers than Boris was
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/tesla-hits-skids-over-china-factory-20qbr26x6
https://trove.nla.gov.au/newspaper/article/49251428
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1375967/Kenya-Mau-Mau-atrocities-1950s-dossier.html
A vote for the Conservatives, Alba or RefUK is not
I suspect you are right. Tesla is for the long haul.
Yes, she does seem a little over the place . I’m guessing we’re only a post or two,from a rant about white men and a flounce.
I was also,talking about the PCP support not SCON. I’m not saying it is overwhelming but certainly a sizeable chunk.
Some people will never buy anything other than a Porsche and I'm glad that Porsche are producing electric cars. It's worth noting that the "Tesla Model S has significantly better mileage. The Tesla Model S gets 124 MPGe in the city and 115 MPGe on the highway. Comparatively, the Porsche Taycan gets 76 MPGe in the city and 84 MPGe on the highway". Neither of those cars are mass market, the Model 3 and Model Y are, but are still a bit big and expensive for me.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1375967/Kenya-Mau-Mau-atrocities-1950s-dossier.html
Given the Mau Mau sometimes made the Nazis look mild it is hardly surprising the British authorities at the time took tough action against them
Again, the Mau Mau's actions don't excuse British soldiers in breaking the law and committing atrocities of their own. That was a point of contention even in the 1950s and was well documented long before Elkins came along.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P5M4cjDApOs
https://wingsoverscotland.com/why-do-snp-voters-hate-women/
War is often brutal
It also means there is less incentive for people who have one to buy a new one.
I don't think Tesla are completely fucked but their product line is very stale with no replacements in sight in an industry which richly rewards continuous renewal. Simply being Tesla isn't enough any more.
Also your former leader is onboard
https://www.scotsman.com/news/politics/gender-recognition-reform-bill-theresa-may-disappointed-scotland-changes-not-considered-for-england-3966348
We should be grateful not to be in those times, although of course the Ukrainians are.
Silly that people are surprised the sales backlog drops when they suddenly double production capacity - new factories in Germany, Texas and increased capacity in China.
Now it might be that in 2023 a deep recession really does finally cause a demand problem for Tesla. But one has to question whether long term that is actually a bad or a good thing for Tesla’s market share. Because Tesla has market leading gross margins and no debt (and a zero advertising budget). So if even Tesla are unable to pull a few levers to balance demand with its supply capacity, think what a pickle the rest of the industry would have to be in, given Tesla are thought to be pretty much the only ones with a positive gross margin on EVs (segmental disclosure tends to be poor).
From where it’s valued today, I wager it’s an 8-10 bagger within 5 years. DYOR etc…
The difference with Dresden as against Hamburg or Cologne or even Pforzheim, is that the war was won by the time it happened. And it had largely been won without area bombing having made a significant difference. Which made the Dresden raid, in RJ Evans' words, 'extremely hard to justify, to put it no more strongly than that.'
That does not make them Nazis.
Quite often, the same people who condemn the abuses of empire are sympathetic to acts of political violence in pursuit of popular 'progressive' causes.
I think that the academic study of history works best if it is disentangled from politics and op-ed polemics.
In the end, if I wanted to read a professional history of a genocide like the holocaust; I would just want to know how it happened.
Europe is surviving without Russian gas. That’s impressive considering last year 45% of European gas came from Russia.
https://twitter.com/JumanaSaleheen/status/1608016726649618432?s=20&t=fvS3Ko_AypdcFYN5GPGywg
The Dutch TTF gas future for the coming month, the benchmark European contract, dropped as much as 7.4 per cent on Wednesday to €76.78 per megawatt hour — its lowest level in 10 months.
https://twitter.com/JumanaSaleheen/status/1608200321808961536?s=20&t=fvS3Ko_AypdcFYN5GPGywg
Mr. Observer, I agree entirely. Just letting the Chinese in with neither restrictions nor testing is just asking for a greater chance of trouble.
But yeah, abundance of caution etc. I can't see the downside of insisting on negative covid tests for travellers entering the UK from China.
(On reflection, maybe we don't have the capacity to implement such a requirement, given the UK Border Force is somewhat f*cked by all accounts.)
https://www.britishcouncil.org/research-policy-insight/insight-articles/global-britain-uk-soft-power-advantage
https://www.visitbritain.org/britain’s-image-overseas
I'm struggling to find it but there's also a poll in the last 18 months that shows that the country that trusts us most after their own is.... India.
think she is the best person to advise on voting winning policies for her party!
Plenty of women have concerns about allowing men to change sex without even a medical diagnosis, not just Tory women
Battery is different - much bigger range and much faster charging
Motors are different - more power, less consumption
Hardware is different - big computer upgrade allows huge new features, autopilot in a different galaxy to the original iteration
Bodyshell is different - one big and one small facelift make the cars look different in everything bar silhouette
Interior is radically different - a completely new internal design architecture.
I think the door handles are the same. Even if you had one of the run-out cars of the previous generation, the changes for the new one are still huge. OK, the chassis remains. How many "new" cars use an existing chassis? They last for a long long time even for the global car manufacturers.
David Anderson's book from 2006 is much more balanced.
The debate will rage forever about the air war. On the one hand, stupendous amounts of money, material and men were expended trying to win the war by bombing alone. On the other the effects of bombing on Germany did shorten the war, undeniably so. Take flak defences. Every 88mm gun not on the Eastern Front or in Normandy was a gain of bombing. The lack of fuel crippled the German Army - they attacked in the Ardennes without enough fuel to even reach the coast, needed to steal allied fuel to have any chance.
Harris hated ‘panacea’ targets, but actually ball bearings and fuel did have effects.
Max Hastings believes that the resources spent on bombing were wasted. He’s probably right. Yet to an allied soldier in Normandy the lack of worry about attack from the air is in stark contrast to the constant need for the Germans to move at night, keep under cover etc. That waif superiority was hard won, and mainly by bombing, forcing the Luftwaffe to fight.
Plus, quite possibly, people have started to realise that you can't actually stop a virus and it causes more damage to try.
I was wondering why EVs should be different from ICE cars in that respect.