There is a big argument going on in the Democratic party about the sequencing of primaries for the 2024 White House race. Above is a table of what happened in the first four primaries last time and how Biden struggled in the first 3 but it all came good for him in South Carolina.
Comments
He might just face a token challenge from the populist left by AOC so the primary timetable won't make a huge difference
This is, at least with regard to my experiences at work, obviously a skewed sample as I'm only looking at those who were sufficiently academically able to get a place at a Russell Group university. It makes sense, to some extent, that your typical state school kid who does that is actually smarter than your typical private school kid who will have had extra support, if needed.* In school outreach though, my experience is that the private school kids know the answers to the questions, but it's the state school kids who ask their own interesting questions.
I'm state school educated, so I no doubt have some of my own biases, but I have close friends and colleagues who were privately educated, so I'm not a hardcore class warrior. My own brother in law is deputy head in one of the fancier private schools in London.
*Which I guess begs the question, if my own kids turn out not to be hugely academic, why would I not want them to be coached into a 'good' university? The answer to which is that I'd be just as happy for them to be builders, joiners, plumbers, hairdressers etc if that's where their talents and interests lie.
Surely, if he runs, he more-or-less wins the nomination on the nod.
Anyway, if poor performance in the first three contests didn't harm his chances in an open field, I can't see why it would matter more once he's the incumbent.
I'm still not sure he will run, even if he says he intendes to. No sense being a lame duck, and it keeps a lid on internal tensions whilst (hopefully) it becomes clearer if Trump is going to be the opponent (I think he will be). If things change, or his state changes (he seems reasonable physically, and he's always gaffed), he can then try to influence who takes over instead.
@ping said:
We have a problem. This could well happen again.
Time to force all Americans to pass a UK driving test before being allowed on our roads, then.
We can’t have foreigners exploiting loopholes in our justice system. That kids family deserve better from our government.
We have to stop the next Anne Sacoolas.
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Good afternoon
Then maybe all UK citizens will have to pass a US, Canadian, New Zealand, Australian, South African test before they could drive in those countries
I quote all those countries as I have hired and driven a car in all of them
https://www.sentencingcouncil.org.uk/offences/magistrates-court/item/causing-death-by-careless-or-inconsiderate-driving/
And I genuinely don't believe anyone who claims never to have done something at least equally stupid and dangerous, and got away with it.
First go, I asked it this: suggest a concert programme for a brass band: 8 pieces of music, none longer than 9 minutes, no arrangements of pop songs, but musicals and films are fine
A couple of its suggestions are 'categories' rather than specific pieces, but I think this would stand up.
Here are some ideas for a concert program for a brass band that includes 8 pieces of music, none longer than 9 minutes, and does not include arrangements of pop songs:
1. "Fanfare for the Common Man" by Aaron Copland - This iconic work, written in 1942, is a perfect opening piece for a brass band concert. It's energetic and dramatic, and it showcases the full range of the brass instruments.
2. "A Choral Fanfare" by James Curnow - This piece, written in 1991, is a vibrant and uplifting work that features a choir singing along with the brass band. It's a great way to add some variety to the program and involve the audience.
3. "Music from West Side Story" by Leonard Bernstein - This classic musical, written in 1957, features some of the most iconic and beloved songs in American musical theater. A brass band arrangement of one or more of these songs would be a highlight of the concert.
4. "March from 1941" by John Williams - This famous march, written for the film "1941," is one of Williams' most well-known works. It's fast-paced and exciting, and it would be a great addition to the concert program.
5. "The Marriage of Figaro" by Wolfgang Amadeus Mozart - This famous opera, written in 1786, includes a number of famous arias and choruses that would be well-suited to a brass band arrangement.
6. "Irish Tune from County Derry" by Percy Grainger - This lively and energetic folk tune, written in 1913, is a great way to showcase the brass band's musicianship and versatility.
7. "Overture to Candide" by Leonard Bernstein - This upbeat and humorous overture, written for the musical "Candide," would be a great addition to the concert program.
8. "Finale from Symphony No. 5" by Ludwig van Beethoven - This iconic work, written in 1808, is one of Beethoven's most famous and enduring compositions. A brass band arrangement of the finale would be a fitting and triumphant conclusion to the concert.
Chatgpt's response, in about 5 seconds:
It is difficult to definitively say who is the better parent between Gertrude in "Hamlet" and Volumnia in "Coriolanus" because it ultimately depends on one's personal beliefs and values. However, some possible arguments could be made for either character.
One argument in favor of Gertrude as the better parent is that she ultimately helps her son, Hamlet, achieve his goal of avenging his father's death. Although she initially seems to be complicit in her husband's murder and is criticized by Hamlet for her hasty remarriage to his uncle, she eventually helps him by providing him with the opportunity to kill Claudius and bringing about the downfall of the corrupt Danish court.
On the other hand, an argument in favor of Volumnia as the better parent is that she is fiercely protective of her son, Coriolanus, and tries to guide him towards a successful career as a military leader. Despite her overbearing nature, she ultimately convinces him to spare the lives of his enemies and avert a civil war, showing that she has his best interests at heart.
Ultimately, whether Gertrude or Volumnia is the better parent depends on how one views their actions and motivations, and what qualities they believe make a good parent.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11516413/Harry-Meghans-attack-racist-Britain-Prince-says-Royal-family-problem.html
If they want to be popular like the Kardashian's they appear to be going about it the wrong way.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/12/08/just-stop-oil-police-tell-furious-pedestrian-who-threw-orange/
"An immediate jail sentence would have needed Sacoolas to surrender to the court. And so the judge said the only real option was a suspended sentence plus a driving ban - in the UK."
What a disgraceful sentence. Great for anybody who commits an offence that carries a prison sentence. Just go abroad and the English court will suspend your sentence for you. Why not go further and give Sacoolas a medal? What's he called in the White House nowadays - Joe Trump, is it? Donald Biden?
Harry Dunn's mother is a very generous woman, saying she doesn't want Anne Sacoolas to be taken away from her children. Sacoolas should have f***ing thought about that before she drove on the wrong side of the road.
In 1934, no Democratic senators lost re-election. But since 1934, every president, Democrat and Republican, has seen at least one senator from their party lose re-election in every single midterm cycle. Biden becomes the first president since FDR not to lose a single senator.
https://twitter.com/JacobRubashkin/status/1600323951309295616?cxt=HHwWgMC4tfSJv7UsAAAA
ETA: Since we seem to be discussing them a lot, do we have a handy* portmanteau for H&M? Meghry? Harrhan?
*annoying
Brighton was one of the first schools to introduce gender neutral school uniforms and toilets and students speak of the constant initiatives introduced to make them better global citizens.
I mean, how woke can you get for boarding fees of a mere £56k? Even the toilets are proud of the efforts to make them better global citizens.
You can have close friends who went to top private schools and still be a hardcore class warrior. C'mon!
Bane of my uncle's life when he moved to California.
1. The royal family is prob a difficult institution to be part of & some media coverage of Harry & Meghan was tinged with racism
2. H&M haven't covered themselves in glory, seem to approach charity work as PR & there's workplace bullying allegations…
Everyone would have been better off had they decided to leave the Royal Family (fair play) then gone & lived their lives rather than made multimillion £ Netflix docs about things from which no one comes off well, despite their insistence they are saints & everyone else villains
https://twitter.com/soniasodha/status/1600898454842220544
It still makes me laugh how the limiting of low skilled white people to the UK is seen as racial prejudice.
But equally, it wasn't the test that was the issue here, I don't think. It was the fact the car was wrong hand drive.
I pretend to be a moderate, rather than a firebrand somewhere to the left of Mick Lynch, only to better win over some of those on the soft right/centre who may still be brought into the light of the socialist sunny uplands.
Fortunately, the road was deserted at the time so I didn't hit anything. But if there had been a cyclist, especially as it was poor visibility, I might not have been so lucky.
But it is also very clearly true that they never wanted to be left alone, since their choice of topics to focus on rely upon them being part of all the media circus, and it would be impossible not to be. It cannot be something one is forced into to that extent. So the mawkishness faux reluctance of the appeals tends to grate. If she hadn't obviously sought to evade any amount of justice in the first place I'm sure people would probably be more on the forgiving end, though to be frank most of us would probably have done the same in that situation (even if we would or should never have been in that situation).
Vladimir Putin has vowed to continue attacking Ukraine's energy infrastructure despite millions being left without electricity or water.
"Yes, we do that. But who started it?" the Russian president said at an awards ceremony in the Kremlin.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-63907803
https://www.sentencingcouncil.org.uk/offences/crown-court/item/causing-death-by-dangerous-driving/
This was careless driving, not reckless nor dangerous, and there is absolutely no suggestion of fleeing the police
Fruity letter from Julian Knight to the chief whip, posted on Twitter;
“With kind regards” lol
https://twitter.com/julianknight15/status/1600899565829648384
Though to be pedantic, how can he be categorically state he is entirely innocent of wrongdoing if he doesn't even know what wrongdoing he is accused of?
This could could hugely complicate matters for anyone changing gender in Scotland and then moving elsewhere in UK (1/5)
Same source told me that Scottish ministers wanted to paint Scotland as a "haven of inclusivity" in comparison to a "nasty Westminster".
https://twitter.com/BBCDavidWL/status/1600898263330144258
I wonder if the Chief Whip will actually respond?
I wonder if anybody thought it though.
But someone introduced her to Harry anyway -- and I can't help wondering whether that whoever introduced them might have gotten the idea from an enemy of the UK, for instance that patron of "knavish tricks", "Czar" Putin.
Yes, it's weird, but I can't completely dismiss it.
(For the record, as an American I want to apologize for Meghan. Our Hollywood produces far too many defective personalities. Usually their damage is mostly done here.
And I should say I have a little sympathy for Meghan, since she chose a career for which she is unsuited. She has no obvious acting talent, and her looks don't fit any of the stereotypes Hollywood prefers.)
But I’d have him fairly low down on the list of MP’s likely to commit / have committed any serious crimes in their personal life.
I don’t have any inside info here, but my tissue would be;
6/4 be arrested
4/1 be convicted
So i’d go 1/4, or 80% chance he clears his name, legally, at least.
Then again, I may well look a fool in the coming days/weeks/months!
@Bournville hinted that he had some unpublishable rumours about him, implying a short temper and general personal oddness, but I haven’t seen/heard anything of substance, either locally or online.
They will get a large audience from both those who love what they say, and those who hate what they say. So that's what they'll do.
I'm in no way uncertain they can't string it out for years, if they wanted to.
A happy peaceful ending won't sell.
https://www.brassband.co.uk/sheet-music/search/Marriage_of_Figaro
The thinking does not go deep.
It seems to be a contest between the two parties as to which can make the most idiotic choices.
Part of the issue was parental pressure, and school pressure. But the ones I knew best mostly ended up in decent careers anyway, from looking after the nuclear deterrent to TV production.
Edit: this was 40 years ago. I suspect the unis are much more attuned to this sort of issue now both in terms of selection and in keeping them to the grindstone.
Meanwhile the Tory MP for Romford hasn’t been seen or heard from in an awfully long time.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-63904774
"...against unnamed victims reported to have taken place on unknown dates at undisclosed locations"
Yes, it's definitely its own thing compared with a full orchestral and operatic arrangement. But, I'll accept it as an answer.
How many MPs are under investigation for various offences or breaches of standards?
Given he is (or was) a Tory MP in the current Parliament, that seems unusual.
Not seen the formality of the institution questioned.
16 MPs currently without the whip due to various complaints and misdemeanours. Bigger than the Lib Dems...
https://twitter.com/Samfr/status/1600622814263926786
I think the One With The Really Serious Rapey Allegations (that was a grim episode of Friends) still has the Whip, in order to preserve their anonymity.
What percentage of the people who as a top top political priority want our country to be very hard for others to migrate to are downright racist? I don't know but my intuition and logic tells me it will be considerably higher than in the general population.
Muscle memory kicks in and I start veering to our side of the road.
https://www.nvisioncenters.com/education/driving-with-visual-impairments/#Low
Your account has just been hacked by some form of AI.