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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Nighthawks is now open
If you’re a lurker, and you’re thinking of delurking why not delurk tonight, I have, True Faith, in your ability to make a contribution. You’ll set a new World In Motion for yourselves, when you start posting. you’ll find if you don’t delurk, you’ll, Regret, it.
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Until he comes back again.
Which he will.
With a Court order in his pocket.
Clegg has called his bluff. He won't do that.
.........................
FPT various
HM Queen will not abdicate under any foreseeable circumstances. She would consider abdication as a fundamental breach of her coronation oath.
On that day she would surpass Sobhuza II, who reigned as Paramount Chief and later King of Swaziland from 10 December 1899 to 21 August 1982, becoming Paramount Chief at the age of 4 months upon the death of his father.
Are any leading bookmakers taking bets on Her Majesty achieving this record?
Or would I need to pay them £200 to get the odds and the bet published in a leading newspaper?
"He hasn't got a solicitor", they chortled.
I'd already decided I didn't want or need one, and knew I was a better double and triple-bluffer than they were bluffers...
Sometimes its best to just quit.
May I suggest you apply to antifrank?
Revenge is a dish best served cold. When it is time for Clegg to be knifed, I am sure Rennard will find a suitable place behind an arras where his grinning face can peep forth and be photographed by the waiting Press.
1) A dish best served called
2) Sweet
So basically they are saying Revenge is ice cream.
You still score 99 points.
Then with my position rightfully restored, I had the pleasure of watching them scurry around trying to engineer a vote of the members to cover their costs.
"Sorry gentlemen, there is nothing in the rules which mentions indemnity. You were sued, you settled, you alone are liable and must bear the costs personally... Any attempt to divert the common funds will result in you being sued again."
Their own solicitor got so hacked off with their antics he bankrupted them in the end...
YouGov/Sun poll tonight - Labour lead at eight points: CON 32%, LAB 40%, LD 11%, UKIP 12%
I fail to see what he will gain from going to court, except for revenge. People with either believe he may have pushed things a little too far with the women, or that he did nothing wrong. A court case is unlikely to sort things out, or persuade many people of the other view..
It makes the Mitchell case seem simple.
Been rushing round and round as in a state of confusion with Spurs winning.Almost shellshock.
Spooky how the time flies when having such a fine time - I see Blair got busted by some lowlife, a sign of today's subculture sadly - it's the state of the nation.
Presumably Blair was attending a ceremony somewhere in the world, Rennard's been ruined in a day.
Baggies leave me near Ecstacy almost as if I've been touched by the hand of God. I'm hellbent on a Blue Majority now.
I read the New Statesman piece TSE links to above - I shouldn't imagine EdM loses much sleep over voters who claim not to have heard of him, but vote Labour anyway.
My bet on them making the champs league is going to be a winner.
'(Btecs may be appropriate for some students but their widespread use is regarded by the DfE as “gaming” the results and will, in the main, not be counted towards GCSE results from 2014).'
http://www.localschoolsnetwork.org.uk/2014/01/journalists-please-treat-dfe-press-releases-with-caution/
Luis Suarez to outscore England at the world cup. 7/2 with Paddy Power
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/football-specials/luis-suarez/to-outscore-england-at-world-cup
This is a football bet, so they let you put on a lot.
I assume you are referring to the recent announcement by Germany's largest and most influential bank:
Specifically, Deutsche Bank's loss before taxes for the fourth quarter came in at €1.15bn after a €528m charge in litigation costs alone. Consensus had forecast a €628.5m before-tax profit.
Quarterly revenue fell 16% to €6.6bn due primarily to losses in investment banking.
The fallout from the announcement was so far flung that I'm told that Eurobonds are unseasonally falling to earth like autumn leaves in rural Warwickshire.
Last week YouGov average was thus (changes from the previous week's average in bracket)
Lab 38.4 (minus 0.2)
Con 33.0 (plus 1.2)
I firmly believe that, if turnout in 2015 is 60% or above, Labour will win - the ceiling on potential Conservative support is just too low, there are too many people who would never countenance voting for them. But I do sometimes worry that turnout will plunge below 50% due to Labour voters feeling completely apathetic, and the Conservatives end up getting a majority by default even while getting less votes in real numbers than last time.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2542662/Footage-emerged-cannibal-eating-leg-Muslim-Central-African-Republic.html
*but point taken sir
No 16 is a classic of good political journalism. Janan Ganesh neatly skewers the vacuity and inconsistency of Milibandism, and holds it up for inspection in the clearest possible light.
No-one will have the excuse that they weren't warned.
Here is what I wrote:
I think the £70 billion is a European aggregrate figure for the world's "systemically important" banks. 96 billion Euros is the figure I have seen stated by the Basel Committee. This amount is approximately 60% of the global amount needed and relates to "systemically important" banks registered in and supervised by EU countries
This group of banks have higher capital requirements than smaller banks not in the systemically important group. HSBC is included in this group but will not account for anything near the full figure.
Also the additional capital is not immediately required and needs to be verified by means of a stress test to be carried out by the BBA during the course of this year. Given that all banks have reduced capital adequacy requirements by retaining profits as reserves to the tune of 83 billion Euros in the second half of last year, the problem is not as alarming as the headline figures suggest.
It may well turn out that HSBC is over capitalised. In which case the regulators are threatening to get them to "help global economic recovery" by allocated the surplus to undercapitalised banks (through acquisition?)
Would be interested though in seeing the source of your £68 bn information as we may not be talking about the same things.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-01-16/hsbc-may-overstate-assets-by-92-3-billion-forensic-asia.html
World class banking.
youtu.be/_pSiH82N6VI
On the other side, Goldman Sachs today picked HSBC as a 'conviction buy' and the best of the UK banks. Other analysts agree:
http://tickerreport.com/banking-finance/110198/goldman-sachs-group-inc-reiterates-conviction-buy-rating-for-hsbc-holdings-hsba/
"the best of the UK banks"
bit of a condemnation of the sector, shades of France.
As for other European banks, hmmm...
The sort of government that will cut benefits by 90%, make the unemployed work for their remaining benefits, abolish the client state, outlaw trade unions, reduce government spending to 15% of GDP, introduce a flat rate tax of 20% for all, tell the EU to what to go do with itself, ditto the ECHR.
Basically the sort of government that will give me the horn.
The £68 billion is what this firm, "Forensic Asia" has calculated would be the maximum amount of equity HSBC would have to raise if regulators took the same view of the bank's asset valuations as this firm of analysts.
Not to say that there is nothing in the Forensic Asia assessment which warrants further investigation, but the neither HSBC nor global markets are have taken the report very seriously. As CNBC report:
HSBC declined to comment on the report. The bank's share price in Hong Kong fell slightly on Friday.
Simon Maughan, head of research at OTAS Technologies, told CNBC that the muted share price reaction shows that investors are not concerned about the report.
There is an element of our old friend Tap about this report but, who knows, you may be forcing me to eat my words in a couple of years.
Take the first paragraph of the report and note the use of hyperbole: "Charade ... disingenous ... excuses ... extreme overstatement ...". If it wasn't written by Tap it could have been Pork!
has anyone noticed that the two Superbowl teams are both from states that legalized marijuana last November?
Friends of the peer, who yesterday admitted to suffering from depression, said they feared for his wellbeing.
“To be honest, we have been worried about whether he might be suicidal,” one Lib Dem colleague said. “Many people would be in a terrible state under this pressure.”
well Mr Pole as ever the first and typically Oxonian reaction is to rubbish the competiton
even though the Asian Broker may be better informed and packed with superior Cambridge graduates. I simply remark that your comments on other nation's banks have shades of Matthew 7:3 about them.
Probably wear Sams suits and spent their nights at the Volvo nightclub before it changed its name to Bboss and then went into liquidation.
That was on the news at ten I think
Re our conversation earlier about UKIPs ban on ex BNP members, the youngster I was describing was basically 'David' in Morrisseys song 'the national front disco'
Wythenshawe & Sale East By Election Feb 13th
Over/under 5/6
Lab 45.5
Ukip 26.5
Con 12.5
LD 9.5
Any business?
I went wearing my Lions top and a pair of jeans, only when I got to the Hilton, did I notice the bit on the invitation requiring us to wear suits.
A quick call to Mark might be in order though. The latter could then get a Threadneedle Street intern to give the report a once over.
Who knows? The intern might then get elected, rise to prominence in the Labour Party and be touted as a future Chancellor on the grounds of her "economic" background.
Such things do happen, Mr. Brooke.
I'm available if you're stuck, though I must say I find I'm giving you a lot of consultancy advice these days and may have to consider sending you an invoice. Maybe you need to dust down your copy of Competitive Advantage.
John v Rees (1970), per Megarry J
Just quote the account number allocated to you by Heidelberg und Mittelholstein Sparkasse and I will pay you by giro transfer of Deutsche Bank dividends.
This is a crisis which requires a political not a legal solution.
according to this source http://www.globalissues.org/article/26/poverty-facts-and-stats
660 million people survive on 2.50$ a day or less. Taking 2.50$ as the figure that means someone on the benefits cap in the UK is equivalent to 42 of these people. You won't find many using that statistic and therefore claiming there is a huge inequality between the worlds poorest and those on benefits even though I am sure if you used the right headline you could get many left wingers up in arms.
" UK people get 42 times more income than the worlds poorest" would probably have the guardian frothing.
The truth of the matter is however those UK people aren't necessarily 42 times better off than these people by the time you take cost of living into account.
This is one of those eyebrow raising statistics which is actually totally meaningless
"Half the men in the Lords have pinched a bottom, says the peer's pal"
With friends like this.
And Farron saying that Rennard deserves an apology? Unbelievable given his statement on the report.
Just when you think they cant make things any worse.