Categories
The betting money’s still going on a 2022 BJ exit – politicalbetting.com
The betting money’s still going on a 2022 BJ exit – politicalbetting.com
Although Johnson “won” Monday’s vote punters are still putting money on him not surviving in 2022 and this remains the betting favourite for his exit year..
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
Absolute balls of steel needed for my treason last summer though.
Exclusive: Concerns have been raised at the top of government over the legality of contentious Northern Ireland Protocol legislation, which ministers are set to bring forward in the next few days.
Correspondence seen by PoliticsHome has cast doubt over the government's argument that its plan to override parts of the post-Brexit treaty without an agreement with the European Union would not breach international law.
https://www.politicshome.com/news/article/northern-ireland-protocol-bill-legality
And I never learn.
I knew I'd predicted at the very high end of the possible range for No Confidence votes, I felt with a secret ballot and a forward view of Boris's likely course from here, a decent number of the payroll might turn also feeling they could do as well under someone else.
The VONC, it turned out, was more ordinary than that - the payroll broadly stayed in line (no more than a couple of dozen vonced him?), but the massive size of the payroll, 178, shocked me (I think there are maximum numbers of some roles).
So, things get iffier, increase the (informal) payroll to 250, and ride future voncs. Job done?
And I still twitch that Boris might go into GE 24 with a majority of 120+ by jettisoning Scotland. Time is tight to bounce indy so quickly, and I think not, COVID and tough talk may have put paid to it, but I'm still twitchy. And England would get a separation as half baked as the NIP.
Fun fact SuperMac sacked a third of his cabinet in one go.
Boris Johnson warns ministers to raise their game or face the sack. Colleagues say he’s not minded towards an immediate reshuffle.
“Boris knows people have to perform and some are not. He will assess performance in the cold hard light of day.”
https://twitter.com/SebastianEPayne/status/1534258100567523328
The Sun with the comedy tonight
Boris is in trouble because Tories are jealous of his charisma - but he must do better: Sun readers react to votes https://t.co/MVfNWkgdN1
No, really, if you go back over the previous debate it began quite civilised until @JosiasJessop started questioning my worth as a father and a male, so I (naturally) gave it back and then it all kicked off from there
And during this unseemly fracas we learned that @JosiasJessop is probably a cuck, and @Nigel_Foremain is likely gay
PB’s finest hour? No. But talk to them, not me
You have worth at a father?
Do your children know?
Someone said that we should be glad that the EU didn't force phone charger standardisation in the past otherwise we would be stuck with micro-USB.
But they did force standardisation on micro-USB!
The European Comission pushing it is why we stopped having a million different propriety connectors, it wasnt the market magicly solving anything
https://www.engadget.com/2010-12-29-european-standardization-bodies-formalize-micro-usb-cellphone-ch.html
Shock while out on my evening constitutional.
Before I went on my hols, petrol was 162.9p per litre at my local Tesco's. Last Sunday, it was 171.9p and tonight it's 180.9p per litre. At this rate, the £2 litre is probably 10 days away.
And yet...
The drivers were still queueing up to fill up - it's as though the dependency is such we will pay anything to keep the show (or the car) on the road. The demand still seems very strong but are we like Wile E Coyote and have gone over the cliff and yet to look down?
I can't believe this won't have an impact - it is having an impact - 2 litres of milk now £1.29 at the aforementioned Tesco's. I suppose inevitably those who have less in terms of disposable income will fell it hardest, quickest and longest.
A collapse in demand should send the oil price back down - it did in 2008 and 2020 (very different scenarios of course).
West Texas Intermediate back above $120 a barrel.
There are certain specific treaty courts, etc (like WTO) and the Netherlands war crime one (ICJ?) but what is the law saying a government can’t do something like this and who made it binding on us?
(Nb for avoidance of doubt this is not saying they should do this)
If it were standardised we would have been stuck with micro-USB unless the legislation changed and we wouldn't have had Apple or others able to innovate.
Voluntary standardisation is a good thing, when the standard is evolved, but the ability to innovate and diverge from the standard if you have something new to offer should always be there.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_law#:~:text=International law, also known as,recognized as binding between nations.
Generally it is accepted that countries that have democratic and politically advanced administrations do not ignore international law, and certainly do not break the conventions therein. The UK is normally an upholder of International Law
Still a 67% increase in two years.
It has to be said though that such bodies have frequently proposed standardising things that turned out to be utter garbage. There's no panacea for solving this issue of promoting things that are good to become common.
I think generally standards bodies are good, but I'd be very wary of mandating standards if there are no reasonable exceptions to allow valid differences, rather than say differences to promote market control.
Pretty risky.
Not keen on him dying suddenly.
Something lingering with boiling oil in it would be more appropriate.
Now years later after the fact they're going down the route of compulsion, that is the wrong answer, and the wrong time. What happens next time when people come up with a new solution that is better, do they just say innovation is verboten in Europe?
On pre manouvere manouveres
@AshRouth
Yorkshire Party demonstrating their top notch commitment to being a serious poltical party by.. *checks notes*
Criticising me for supporting Yorkshire devolution and for the football team I support.
Couldn't make it up.
7:21 pm · 7 Jun 2022"
https://twitter.com/AshRouth/status/1534239080095141892
Encouraging it is a good thing, but compulsion is an entirely different matter.
Others predict the PM will be the master of his own demise. One tells me: “The one person who brings down Boris is in fact Boris. We stumble on from this f***-up to the next.”
Others don’t think a policy blitz is the solution. “We're struggling for one reason - the public has lost faith in Boris Johnson.
They've got their heads in the sand if they think we'll be able to get back on track with him at the helm."
See that woman over there using Firewire? That's your mum, that is ...
Well, see that woman with the Betamax recorder? that's your mum, that is.
How about that woman handling an eight-inch floppy? That's your mum, that is...
Jeez.
By the by, I notice that zoom have limited their time to 40mins now the pandemic is over. A bit of a pain, but the cost of the upgrade is well beyond a mum and dad's pocket now.
And given my expectation is that he'll last longer than a year, expect him to be out in the next few days...
But only if the public forgive him for parties whilst they could not bury the dead.
SNP
Greens
Alba
STUC
various Yes groups
Half the English Conservative Party
A third of Scottish Labour
The No side would comprise:
Two thirds of Scottish Labour
The Scottish Tories
The SLDs
Half the English Conservative Party
Reform
UKIP
Orange Lodge
Ulster Unionists
Various far-right groups
Place your bets folks!
I would not claim to be an expert in this area. But for what it's worth I spent the first few years of my career working on the International Tin Council case, which went to the House of Lords and which opined at length on international law, justiciability and a whole lot more besides.
The idea that a Conservative government of Britain should simply ignore a treaty it has signed up to or deliberately break its legal obligations freely entered into in order to save the sorry behind of a politician who has shown little regard for domestic law is a mark of how low the Conservative party has sunk and the damage it is prepared to do to Britain to save itself.
Let the last word be these:-
"When a regime has been in power too long, when it has fatally exhausted the patience of the people, and when oblivion finally beckons - I am afraid that across the world you can rely on the leaders of that regime to act solely in the interests of self-preservation, and not in the interests of the electorate."
Well, quite.
And the author?
Oh, one Boris Johnson - in February 2011. Whatever happened to him?
Lionel Messi, Tom Cruise, Jeff Bezos, me, Vladimir Putin...
Not the most inexperienced Cabinet Secretary in living memory. Nor the various aides who have been parachuted in by Crosby. Nor literally the worst cabinet of no marks and hopeless sycophants since records began.
At least Cummings seemed able to call him a deluded twat to his face.
I suppose his ex wife might call.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yEwpKCXirC8
You may be amused at this horrendous little (5ft 8 in his socks) man running our great nation into the ground, but the rest of us are certainly not laughing.
Sun Politics
@SunPolitics
·
8m
Embattled Boris Johnson to cut taxes, make childcare cheaper and launch prefab homes revolution
Outing other PBers ok.
Aye, yer a Tory rotter right enough Sean.
He certainly has reached the governing stage of being furious and outright offended at people questioning his governance very quickly indeed.