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Le Pen reached her betting peak just before the end of voting – politicalbetting.com
Le Pen reached her betting peak just before the end of voting – politicalbetting.com
With £5m so far traded on the main Betfair French election market alone this looks set to be the biggest political betting event of the year. Only the US midterms in November might top it.
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Santa Monica beckons for Rishi Sunak as his political stock continues to plummet
Chancellor may not stand at next election if he loses job as friends say he is more inclined towards life in California than on back benches
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2022/04/10/santa-monica-beckons-rishi-sunak-political-stock-continues-plummet/ (£££)
Last time Macron then went on in the second round to win 66:33.
This won't be close no matter how much errant pundits (not Mike) try to talk it up. I stick with my 60:40 prediction of some weeks ago but it may go higher than that.
Will take a similar approach to Le Pen in final round if she drifts too far, I think.
Directional drilling, surely? If those multi-million pound houses on Sandbanks can be shielded from a large drilling operation on Brownsea Island in Poole Harbour, surely it is not beyond the ingenuity of the French to extract billions of barrels that aren't being bought from Russia?
Pull your bloody finger out, France....
The conventional bookmakers are slow to price up the final; presumably they had a busy weekend with the Masters, Liverpool/Man City, and the Grand National. Oh, and something happened in France.
It is, of course, the National which caused the problems, with bookmakers having spoken of the special measures they need to take to keep their web sites flying, and even then, Bet365 seemed to crash, and others had virtual queues to access their sites.
It's a stupid phrase to use. Firstly, in diminishes real rape. Secondly, we rely on extractive industries - you want electric cars? We need lithium. Thirdly it's stupidly emotive.
Yes, we need to go more green. But if you want a massive diminution of living standards, I suggest you go and live on an island off PNG and let the rest of us live our lives without reducing ours. And don't call us when you need medical help. Or glasses. Or food. Or your Internet connection goes down.
In Thailand I'd have waited 5 minutes. And received better treatment.
Looking forward to next episode in the long-runnng French farce: Anyone But Le Pen.
The raping of the earth is the right term and as someone who was the victim of rape for which a man got sent to jail for a long time, I politely suggest you put a sock in it. As a man you don't know what it's like.
Mother Earth has been raped and pillaged, mostly by men. I like the French term: violation which = rape.
The old white gammons can stick their self-centred capitalism up their arses. We will build a better greener future without them.
But as you know I am also an advocate of nuclear power and you are adamantly opposed to it for reasons of fear. You have your reasons for being fearful of it, which I get, but in terms of its energy credentials it is very strong and it is the most naturally occurring form of energy in the universe.
It's a rare thing I agree with Boris about.
In Wales a pensioner lay on the pavement for 10 hours with a broken hip before an ambulance arrived
It's just so appalling. Just awful
I guess you've never been by the sound of your ignorance.
You are a very unpleasant individual
Do you really in your heart of hearts think that the UK is a great place to be right now? If you do then you are the only person I know who thinks that.
There are much better ways to live and you can fuck off with your leeching comment. You know nothing about me and nothing about better ways to be and exist.
"I am also an advocate of nuclear power and you are adamantly opposed to it for reasons of fear."
WTAF?
I have been one of the few people fairly vocally in *favour* of nuclear power, both fission and fusion. There were long, interminable debates on here about Hinkley Point, for instance. I'm also in favour - theoretically atm - for RR's SMRs.
If you're going to come on here and discuss things with people, you could at least get their positions correct. In addition, using terms like 'gammons' in your arguments makes you just look a trolling fool.
How are you getting to that Thai island? By air?
Where are you living? Will you be going to supermarkets, or making your own food? will you be on mains power (if so, ninety percent of Thailand's electricity is thermal power)? If no to the above, how much land will you be farming to subsist on?
Saving the planet is not being nasty.
Have a nice day
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2022/apr/11/cost-of-living-crisis-uk-benefits-plunge-to-lowest-value-in-50-years
BUT I don't think services our co-in-laws get out in the sticks matches that in Bangkok. Especially if one isn't paying.
And certainly the school where one of my British grandsons taught for a while wasn't that good.
However, I'm certainly looking forward to visiting my family out there later this year. Assuming I can stay fit enough!
Sunny and a little warmer this morning.
https://www.worldometers.info/co2-emissions/co2-emissions-per-capita/
Can anyone explain why Montenegro is so high up on that list? Second to Qatar at 25 tons per capita - five times that of Britain and 50% higher than even the USA.
It doesn't have lots of industry. It's not afaik a big exporter of oil or gas. Its transport links are short. It's not even that rich.
Is the information wrong or is there something I'm missing?
What you can say is that the French are generally anti US and therefore anti NATO. Pro EU by at least 2 to 1 and they will always ensure Le Pen loses because they value their reputation and have a high opinion of themselves and their culture (deservedly in my opinion).
The BBC are unusually hopeless on this as well. Perhaps they're so embarrassed by UK politics that they've decided to make France look as fucked up as we are.
PS I've had homes in the South since 1989 and have worked in Paris many times so have a reasonable man on the street view of the place
Have to give credit to the Tories though. They have literally broken our economic model - record taxes, minimal investment, jobs that will never pay, housing costs through the roof, inflation left to explode. And yet they are still in the game for the next election with people being told that the issues they are living with don't exist. Ordinarily that would not remotely work, but with people conditioned to not accept their lived evidence, and a pliant media afraid of mentioning truths like the B word, they get away with it.
Sometimes per capita results are odd when comparing small and large populations.
There's also an aluminium plant. Not clear whether it's still in production, it seems to have faced difficulties at various times, but an aluminium plant, powered by electricity from lignite combustion, would produce a lot of emissions to divide between Montenegro's small population.
Then you realise the people in charge of BBC News and the wider BBC, who they are married to, and just how embedded they are with Downing Street. So the official lie gets shouted louder than the evidence of people's eyes and ears.
So why not have a pop at the French? Its a welcome distraction from that minor issue of no queues in France caused by the lack of ships / bad weather / bloody P&O which if true would cause equal queues on both sides. Look, the French are voting for that fascist woman! Booooo. Don't mention Brexit! Boooooo.
Wales doesn’t really matter to the tories.
BTW I’m with you on nuclear, and frustrated that so many greens are anti.
https://mobile.twitter.com/RALee85/status/1513385560055951363
I don't think that your description is accurate either. Sunak acknowledged the rise of inflation but also the problems we face on the back of the pandemic which has wreaked havoc on our public finances. I agree with the problem and accept that there are limits on what can be done but I think within those limits his priorities were wrong. Increasing NI instead of IT increasing the burden on earned money was wrong. Failing to prioritise the indexation of benefits was wrong. The loan scheme for heating bills is a ridiculous waste of money and time. But it is delusional to think for a moment there were easy choices. There aren't.
Which actually poses another question: Labour's heartlands are probably the cities. What are the Conservative Party's 'heartlands' ?
It is a genuine question as I am interested in alternatives to HMG
Shortage of chips weighing on manufacturing, especially cars once again. We urgently need the new capacity for chips to come online and onshore.
BTG - Battalion Tactical Group - an operational unit of the Russian Army comprising very approximately 800 soldiers.
BMP - Boyevaya Mashina Pekhoty - Infantry Fighting Vehicle (so also IFV).
The author acknowledges the assistance of Dr. Google in assembling this list. Please direct any further enquiries to them at www.google.co.uk
He said the rest of UK ports are operating at 92% but of course some will be wanting to blame brexit
As for their recognition of an issue, their response is always "look here we are investing £x". Which always fails at recognise the depth of the issue. Or that £x is a drop in the ocean. Or that £x solves nothing without a change of direction.
Whilst you're right that the Pandemic did egregious damage to the economy, we can't use that as an excuse. Social Security payments were unlivable before, the NHS was experiencing on the limit crises before, the cost of living was absurd in so many areas before. The *structural* crisis - that the economy doesn't provide a viable income for so many people working flat out - has been around for ages.
The only way we are going to change this is to vote them out. If its not your party are you prepared to vote for whichever party is best positioned in your constituency to remove them from office?
Again you demand HMG is replaced but the question is what alternatives do you support
Plus - the Ukranians have yoga mats.
https://mobile.twitter.com/DerAktenfresser/status/1513110723060285441/photo/1
Is Starmer's Labour radically different? Well, it's not run by self confessed liars and criminals which is a good start. But I don't see much radical difference in policy.
And even if there is, you can get your last cent that when they get in the Treasury will gut any improvements to save money, which strangely doesn't seem to apply to their own vast salaries and pensions.
"Loss of P&O ferries". Its true that ferry capacity has been reduced. But ships are leaving half empty - trucks cannot get through customs. So the bottleneck is not the P&O issue. "poor weather in the channel" - all you need to do is check the weather forecast today and any day you like last week. There is no poor weather.
The issue is the collapse of the Goods Vehicle Movement Service, where the computer system which HMRC told your government 6 years ago could not cope with the number of post-Brexit transactions has failed because it can't cope with the number of post-Brexit transactions. We have suspended making any inbound checks - trucks are waved through. But outbound we need to show paperwork for the French in that oven-ready deal we insisted on implementing. So without a working computer its manual checks.
Remember that there is no room to park trucks at Dover. So even when GVMS and CHIEF were working the time taken forces trucks to be stacked elsewhere and paperwork to be examined at various pre-channel locations. So even the best case scenario will have queues forever. When the system fails its entirely manual, which creates this chaos.
"Its the fault of P&O" is a demonstrable lie. "Its the fault of poor weather" is a demonstrable lie. You are being spun. You are a smarter man than just believe the lies fed to you in easily digestible portions. DFDS - the people running the ferries - have confirmed their boats are departing half full. So either DFDS are lying about their own business or your quote from UK Ports was a joke at the time and is utterly discredited now.
Your posts are, with respect, verging on the hysterical. There is room for both debate and action on whether incomes are distributed fairly. There is every right to criticise the priorities of this government or indeed any government. Things can indeed be better. But we are fortunate to live in a free, democratic, prosperous country where the rule of law is rigorously applied by an independent judiciary. You make good points which I often agree with but you do so in apocalyptic terms which are unnecessary.
Reintroduce village stocks and ducking stools to be on the side of the victim.
If Johnson has three in just two years, that speaks to a deep malaise at the heart of his government. There hasn't been that much instability in the Treasury since the 1950s when you had Butler, Macmillan, Thorneycroft, Heathcoat Amory and Lloyd in the space of just six years (1955-60)
"It's Day 47: Ukraine has now lasted longer than France did in World War II."
LOL.
(Yes, I know that only counts from the start of the German invasion and not from 3rd September 1939. It's funny though.)
https://www.thebeijinger.com/blog/-why-bathroom-your-chinese-apartment-smells-awful-and-how-fix-it
2. Chinese plumbing does not have traps- and this has made fecal aerosol transmission an issue. Cooking range hoods without roof fans are another issue- great breakdown on indoor transmission routes here:
https://twitter.com/RealSexyCyborg/status/1513326953075392515
I would suggest he knows this subject and you are to be fair hardly a neutral observer
There are no quick and simple solutions. But the starter for 10 has to be recognising the issue exists at all. The Tories deny it - they even celebrate the rise of foodbacks as if working people reliant on charity is a Good Thing. Labour don't want to address it - they're also stuck at the micro instead of looking at the macro. But at least they don't enjoy kicking people like the Tories do. So its a start.
(Yes, I know that's not how you pronounce 'Ardennes' but it still works when written down.)
All of these people can benefit from food banks - and the very generous people who give to them and man them.
Personally, I'm happy that the number of food banks has risen, to help provide for those who would otherwise go without - for whatever reason. Society still provides. That is something to celebrate.
I assume the reason is it is almost insoluble no matter which party is in charge
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Not that surprising, though. Bozzaism only works as a coherent political philosophy if you ignore government income and expenditure. Which is fine for Johnson, but not for anyone at the Treasury.
Especially since the two ways of boosting economic activity that people have come up with (full-on deregulation or diluting Brexit) are politically not plausible.
We know for a fact that boats are leaving half empty. Photographic evidence backed up by the actual ferry company itself. So we know that a lack of ferry capacity is not the issue - if it was every last berth would be full of trucks.
We also know that GVMS failed on 30th March. As confirmed by HMRC. We know that manual checks have been implemented. As confirmed by HMRC and both confirmed on the ground by the whole industry and stacks of truckers posting their experience of the hell that is Brock Zero.
So again, we have actual evidence on one side, and an actual lie on the other. yes, the head of UK Ports is making public statements which are untrue - assuming that you are paraphrasing him accurately. Repeated lovingly by the BBC and other media outlets desperate for an excuse for what is going on that isn't Brexit.
As for your last line "you are hardly a neutral observer". I have skin in this game - I import stuff. Which is more than most people making "THESE ARE THE FACTS" statements can say. But again, the evidence of both the ferry companies and HMRC and the Port of Dover and the Truckers and the Logistics companies is there. Plain to see. Not up for discussion or debate because it is simply fact. There for anyone to see.
When you say "you are hardly a neutral observer" you are inviting me to set aside these facts and instead consider the words of someone denying them. That we can ignore the half empty trucks and ferry company evidence. That we can ignore GVMS and HMRC and the Port of Dover. We can ignore Google Maps and the driveby videos and all the tweets from all the drivers stuck for days. We can even ignore the weather and pretend that there has been poor weather when we know there hasn't.
Yes. I am hardly a neutral observer. Because facts matter. You are being lied to.
Bluntly, unless we can find ways to raise economic output substantially without increasing the labour force, so there is more money to go round, more tax coming in and the national debt is reduced as a portion of income so becomes more affordable, it can't be done.
But that's something nobody is willing to do as it is in itself quite costly and also requires us to work harder at a time when many workers are already feeling the strain.
I mean, I'm part of the problem from that point of view I suppose. I'm looking to go part time. But if everyone did that, our tax structure is buggered.
If I worked more hours, that might reduce staffing needs and help our economy/tax structure - plus given I'm reducing hours on medical advice due to overwork, so it would save my pension because I would likely be dead before I'm 60 - but from a personal POV it would not be the right solution.
And that's true for most people.
Thatcher summed up what she believed to be the Tory philosophy on environmental protection in an October 1988 speech to the Conservative Party Conference in Brighton: "No generation has a freehold on this earth. All we have is a life tenancy — with full repairing lease. This Government intends to meet the terms of that lease in full"
https://www.perc.org/2004/12/10/margaret-thatcher/
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