This week’s local by-election bet is in Lancashire – politicalbetting.com

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This week’s local by-election bet is in Lancashire – politicalbetting.com

Smarkets continue their series of local by-election bets with today’s contest in the Lancashire ward of North Meols near Southport.

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rcs1000

Hard to disagree with OGH here

dixiedean

rcs1000 said:

Hard to disagree with OGH here

Yep.
Ready to scream when the first poster calls this the Red Wall, mind.
This is posh. Tory heartland.

IanB2

Third like Trump

IanB2

The betting will be influenced by the sleazy Tories in the news. Interesting to see how much difference it makes.

JosiasJessop

"ICC to probe Venezuela over alleged crimes against humanity"

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-latin-america-59159025

I wonder if this is the sort of 'outside interreference' in Venezuela's affairs that Corbyn attacked?

LostPassword

If the argument made again yesterday - that the Brexit Party in 2019 saved many Labour seats from falling to the Tories - is true then we'd expect to see much of the UKIP vote here transfer to the Tories, so the margin of victory will be interesting.

Philip_Thompson

LostPassword said:

If the argument made again yesterday - that the Brexit Party in 2019 saved many Labour seats from falling to the Tories - is true then we'd expect to see much of the UKIP vote here transfer to the Tories, so the margin of victory will be interesting.

Though its a mid-term local by-election. Its hard to tell anything meaningful from it at all, it will be about who turns out on the day.

Having said that, since the Tories got 49% last time and have held this seat for years, its hard to see why they're not starting as favourites.

partypoliticalorphan

This seems to be a thread that died. Shame as I have some local knowledge and the comments below are ill informed. Perhaps it could be resurrected this evening.