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This week’s local by-election bet is in Lancashire – politicalbetting.com

SystemSystem Posts: 12,166
edited November 2021 in General
imageThis week’s local by-election bet is in Lancashire – politicalbetting.com

Smarkets continue their series of local by-election bets with today’s contest in the Lancashire ward of North Meols near Southport.

Read the full story here

Comments

  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,193
    Hard to disagree with OGH here
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,409
    rcs1000 said:

    Hard to disagree with OGH here

    Yep.
    Ready to scream when the first poster calls this the Red Wall, mind.
    This is posh. Tory heartland.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,868
    Third like Trump
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,868
    The betting will be influenced by the sleazy Tories in the news. Interesting to see how much difference it makes.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,654
    "ICC to probe Venezuela over alleged crimes against humanity"

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-latin-america-59159025

    I wonder if this is the sort of 'outside interreference' in Venezuela's affairs that Corbyn attacked?
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 18,408
    If the argument made again yesterday - that the Brexit Party in 2019 saved many Labour seats from falling to the Tories - is true then we'd expect to see much of the UKIP vote here transfer to the Tories, so the margin of victory will be interesting.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    edited November 2021
    LostPassword said:

    If the argument made again yesterday - that the Brexit Party in 2019 saved many Labour seats from falling to the Tories - is true then we'd expect to see much of the UKIP vote here transfer to the Tories, so the margin of victory will be interesting.

    Though its a mid-term local by-election. Its hard to tell anything meaningful from it at all, it will be about who turns out on the day.

    Having said that, since the Tories got 49% last time and have held this seat for years, its hard to see why they're not starting as favourites.
  • partypoliticalorphanpartypoliticalorphan Posts: 360
    This seems to be a thread that died. Shame as I have some local knowledge and the comments below are ill informed. Perhaps it could be resurrected this evening.
This discussion has been closed.