Best Of
Re: When the shit hits the tan – politicalbetting.com
You mean he’s so bigly winning that he just capitulated on tariffs with all countries bar China !Trump raises China tariff to 125% with immediate effectHe knows he’s winning.
Too many PBers won’t admit Trump is winning this, because they hate him. Don’t be one of them.
It’s crystal clear in front of us, Everyone, including UK, are being bullied into a Trump favourable deal, in order to protect their economies, interest payment levels, currencies, ability to sell goods at market price, and jobs. Let’s put JOBS. into capital letters. Every governments financial plans and budgets are screwed now.
The money from the Tarrifs, and from the trade deals everyone has been bullied into signing to lessen the tariff on them, will underwrite the new golden age for America.
He has used the underlying strength of the USA to screw everybody over, friends and foes. No one negotiates like Trump, except Peaky Blinders - or JR Ewing my Dad said, though had to explain.
PB are in denial of Trump winning this because of shear hatred of him. But even PB will have to surrender, and kiss Trumps ass too by admitting it.

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Re: When the shit hits the tan – politicalbetting.com
Or, stay on your arse and set up a pb.com posting handle.A rather unsettling article in the New Statesman.I suspect there is much in this, but really, people only have themselves to blame if they're bored. Read a book. Join a choir. Go for a walk. Take up birdwatching. Go to church. Do community theatre. Join a political party. Join a walking group. There are so many things to do, people just need to get off their arse.
"The West is bored to death
Our nihilistic politics are a product of the crushing ennui and spiritual vacancy of modern life.
By Stuart Whatley"
https://www.newstatesman.com/ideas/2025/04/the-west-is-bored-to-death
Quote
"American greatness has produced a society whose members know not what to do with the freedom and abundance that earlier generations secured. We are now witnessing the squandering of this inheritance, and it is even more idiotic and vulgar a spectacle than anyone would expect."
Come on in: the water's lovely.
Re: When the shit hits the tan – politicalbetting.com
Trump folds to the bond market and withdraws his "permanent" tariffs for 90 days. Well, its good news of a sort but we are still a long way from anywhere like sanity. And China might just be annoyed enough to keep going with this.
What an arse this man is.
What an arse this man is.

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Re: When the shit hits the tan – politicalbetting.com
KPMG chief economist: "Uncertainty is its own tax on the economy.”
Re: When the shit hits the tan – politicalbetting.com
Robert Peston did a funny.
The penguins of Heard Island and the McDonald Islands stared down the American president and won
https://x.com/Peston/status/1910024594599338319
The penguins of Heard Island and the McDonald Islands stared down the American president and won
https://x.com/Peston/status/1910024594599338319
Re: When the shit hits the tan – politicalbetting.com
So everyone is being tariffed at 10% now apart from China it seemsSo Brexit dividend over already?
I blinked and missed it.

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Re: When the shit hits the tan – politicalbetting.com
More like one of those jigsaws that he does labelled 4-6 years, but that he can do in a few days.So a magnificent game of 4D chess?@faisalislamThe text he quotes predicts that this will end up with the universal 10% tariff that he campaigned on.
Consensus view is this is Trump folding bigly after the bond market fright… eg smart guys at Capital Economics below ….
The Rose Garden chart and the equation is done:
https://x.com/faisalislam/status/1910040685174018490

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Re: When the shit hits the tan – politicalbetting.com
A rather unsettling article in the New Statesman.I suspect there is much in this, but really, people only have themselves to blame if they're bored. Read a book. Join a choir. Go for a walk. Take up birdwatching. Go to church. Do community theatre. Join a political party. Join a walking group. There are so many things to do, people just need to get off their arse.
"The West is bored to death
Our nihilistic politics are a product of the crushing ennui and spiritual vacancy of modern life.
By Stuart Whatley"
https://www.newstatesman.com/ideas/2025/04/the-west-is-bored-to-death
Quote
"American greatness has produced a society whose members know not what to do with the freedom and abundance that earlier generations secured. We are now witnessing the squandering of this inheritance, and it is even more idiotic and vulgar a spectacle than anyone would expect."
Re: When the shit hits the tan – politicalbetting.com
Bollocks.He hasn’t really backed down. Landing on a universal 10% tariff will entrench a Trumpist trade policy as the new normal.Trump blinks???Blinks? More like shat himself. I guess someone was finally brave enough to explain how catastrophic things might turn shortly if he didn't act. That said he's now in a huge fight with China and that alone could bring down the house of cards.
Sam Stein
@samstein
·
10m
Did Trump just announce a 90 day pause in tariffs?
If the GOP has any sense left, and they probably don't, they'd be finding a way to dump Trump ASAP.
Someone must have told Trump that the markets and Treasury could not sustain much more of this nonsense. This is not some clever move, this is Trump basically throwing in the towel because even his dumbest supporters can see that he's made some bloody stupid moves in the last few weeks.

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