Best Of
Re: Now even Reform voters have a negative view on Donald Trump – politicalbetting.com
The public are all idiots latest...
Steven Swinford
@Steven_Swinford
BREAKING
Scotland Yard has confirmed that Morgan McSweeney reported the theft of his phone to them on October 20 last year
They took down ***the wrong address*** and assumed the offence had taken place in East London rather than Westminster
As a result they could not identify a suspect and the case was closed
The Times has been told officers were 'too busy' to speak to Morgan McSweeney directly about it
Having established the error following the report by The Sun on Sunday they have amended the report
Worth bearing in mind that this was the theft of the phone with the prime minister's number, the number of every cabinet minister, sensitive WhatsApps, messages, emails… you name it . This was NOT an ordinary phone
Steven Swinford
@Steven_Swinford
BREAKING
Scotland Yard has confirmed that Morgan McSweeney reported the theft of his phone to them on October 20 last year
They took down ***the wrong address*** and assumed the offence had taken place in East London rather than Westminster
As a result they could not identify a suspect and the case was closed
The Times has been told officers were 'too busy' to speak to Morgan McSweeney directly about it
Having established the error following the report by The Sun on Sunday they have amended the report
Worth bearing in mind that this was the theft of the phone with the prime minister's number, the number of every cabinet minister, sensitive WhatsApps, messages, emails… you name it . This was NOT an ordinary phone
Re: Now even Reform voters have a negative view on Donald Trump – politicalbetting.com
I've bought fancy cooking knives that are so sharp I cut myself on first usage, ten minutes ago, and now I'm scared of themThe whole point of high end knives is not only better cutting experience but should reduce chance of accident because you shouldn't be having to apply much force to cut things.
Re: Now even Reform voters have a negative view on Donald Trump – politicalbetting.com
You have to compare like with like.So you can call it poverty when comparing with rich foreigners, but not when comparing with richer people in your own country?Not that kind of relative poverty. The kind where you travel abroad and are shocked that the average standard of living is much better.A grim prognosis from Professor Azeem Ibrahim:I thought the Right viewed the 'relative poverty' metric as a load of cobblers.
https://x.com/AzeemIbrahim/status/2035361179879547244
Britain is now in accelerated decline - gradual for decades, now at risk of sudden collapse.
My stark verdict: unchecked, UK heading for relative poverty - a deindustrialised, sectarian, indebted island with first-rate pretensions & third-rate power.
Weird distinction.
Re: Now even Reform voters have a negative view on Donald Trump – politicalbetting.com
Official McSweeney phone lore is becoming more and more ludicrous
Re: Now even Reform voters have a negative view on Donald Trump – politicalbetting.com
I've bought fancy cooking knives that are so sharp I cut myself on first usage, ten minutes ago, and now I'm scared of themA live test for the "yebbut blunt knives are actually more dangerous" crowd.
Re: Now even Reform voters have a negative view on Donald Trump – politicalbetting.com
I've bought fancy cooking knives that are so sharp I cut myself on first usage, ten minutes ago, and now I'm scared of themThe sharp pointy end goes into your food, not your skin.
Re: Now even Reform voters have a negative view on Donald Trump – politicalbetting.com
I was just chopping garlic and slighlty misjudged one slice and fucking hell, nearly took a finger offI've bought fancy cooking knives that are so sharp I cut myself on first usage, ten minutes ago, and now I'm scared of themThe sharp pointy end goes into your food, not your skin.
I miss my old crappy blunt knives that didn't want to kill me
Leon
1
Re: Now even Reform voters have a negative view on Donald Trump – politicalbetting.com
About 20 years ago I read some research from America which showed in election years judges were more likely to pass longer sentences than they did in non-election as not to appear soft on crime.
Also trials in election years saw higher than normal appellate successes
Think Bill Clinton and Rickey Ray Rector.
Elected judges are a bad bad idea.
Also trials in election years saw higher than normal appellate successes
Think Bill Clinton and Rickey Ray Rector.
Elected judges are a bad bad idea.
Re: Now even Reform voters have a negative view on Donald Trump – politicalbetting.com
With 6 member constituencies and a fairly well distributed Plaid and Reform vote, assuming Plaid have considerably evened up their vote by improving their position in the Labour heartlands, it's not difficult to imagine PC vs Reform being a 3 seats to 2 result quite widely across constituencies"PollCheckI think that underestimates the Reform seat total a bit relative to Plaid now the Senedd vote is pure PR
@poll_checker
Senedd Voting Intention:
Plaid Cymru: 33% (-4.0)
Reform UK: 27% (+4.0)
Labour: 13% (+3.0)
Greens: 12% (-1.0)
Conservative: 7% (-3.0)
Liberal Democrats: 5% (=)
Others: 4% (+2.0)
Via: YouGov
MOE: ±2.1%
Field Work: 9 - 18 March changes w/ 13 January 2026
Seats:
PC 42
Ref 29
Lab 13
Grn 11
Con 1"
https://x.com/poll_checker/status/2036511284397584686
Pro_Rata
3
Re: Now even Reform voters have a negative view on Donald Trump – politicalbetting.com
It's not pure PR. It's D'Hondt in 16 6-member constituencies. So there are still variables relating to vote distribution, and thresholds, that create a lumpy relationship between votes and seats."PollCheckI think that underestimates the Reform seat total a bit relative to Plaid now the Senedd vote is pure PR
@poll_checker
Senedd Voting Intention:
Plaid Cymru: 33% (-4.0)
Reform UK: 27% (+4.0)
Labour: 13% (+3.0)
Greens: 12% (-1.0)
Conservative: 7% (-3.0)
Liberal Democrats: 5% (=)
Others: 4% (+2.0)
Via: YouGov
MOE: ±2.1%
Field Work: 9 - 18 March changes w/ 13 January 2026
Seats:
PC 42
Ref 29
Lab 13
Grn 11
Con 1"
https://x.com/poll_checker/status/2036511284397584686






