Best Of
Re: Focus on the share of the vote not the lead – politicalbetting.com
He was a big friend of Israel because, like a lot of US evangelicas, he saw the return of the Jews to Israel as fulfilling biblical prophecy and hence bringing forward the end times scenario sketched out in the Book of Revelation (at which point Jews in common with other non Christians will come to a sticky end). There is no inconsistency in this worldview with also thinking Jews in the US are a sinister cabal seeking to replace white Christians with minorities.For someone who hadn't heard of him until last night you happen to have a lot of his wit and wisdom to hand.The guy said that empathy was a made up term, he said Jews controlled the media and were pushing hatred of white people, he said black people only got their jobs because of affirmative action, he said school shootings were worth it to protect gun rights... yeah sounds like a lovely man.Not a thoroughly nasty piece of work at all. A committed Christian (which I find bonkers but it takes all sorts) and articulated the views that are anti-fashionable and, no doubt (@Foxy?) biblically-based. I have heard him articulate support for Israel in terms of Jesus being Jewish and walking on water wherever it was but which is now modern-day Israel.Yeah me neither. Seems like a thoroughly nasty piece of work but it should go without saying that his murder is a terrible thing.I hadn't heard of him either.Phew that is a relief. I'm not feeling so stupid now. All over my head. I didn't even have a vague sense re Charlie Kirk.I’m having a day of ignorance the last 24 hours. I didn’t know who Charlie Kirk was save a vague sense he was someone American, I’d no idea what the NTA was until this post, and I’ve never heard of Mollie Mae.From the NTA’s.An award show that is voted for by ITV viewers giving a number of awards to ITV programs and presenters - it's not a surprise.
This is the great British Public for you.
Freddie Flintoff - Nearly Died
Rob Burrow - Died
Strictly Amy - Living with cancer
Molly Mae - Split up with her boyfriend
Which one wins the NTA… absolute bollocks #ntaawards
https://x.com/jord9393/status/1965884420617023623?s=61
Also Molly Mae's show was a lighter touch with a large audience than the other programs.
After Sandy Hook though I decided not to allow myself to get too upset about US gun violence. It's like a drug addict who keeps relapsing and OD'ing. People who apparently have no desire to help themselves don't really deserve our sympathy.
I have a lot of sympathy for saying committed religionists are weird, albeit, ironically, essentially human (and therefore scared which makes them turn to an unseen greater power), but not "thoroughly nasty".
A quick google "Charlie Kirk....Jews" shows that many in that community, including notably Benjamin Netanyahu, are very much mourning his killing.
I have only ever heard him talk about black people in the context of proportional numbers and the major cause of death of black youths (he would say other black youths).
The 2nd Amendment yes he did say that, not particularly nasty although I don't happen to agree with it.
Re: Focus on the share of the vote not the lead – politicalbetting.com
“English fizz” not “ESW”For non ESW aficionados 1086 is the prestige cuvée from Nyetimber that proved English wine could achieve Veblen goods status. I also have baulked at the price.Im tempted to try the 1086 but need to win the lottery first.Indeed.On the other hand I bet you do know what Nyetimber is whereas lots of people dontI’m having a day of ignorance the last 24 hours. I didn’t know who Charlie Kirk was save a vague sense he was someone American, I’d no idea what the NTA was until this post, and I’ve never heard of Mollie Mae.From the NTA’s.An award show that is voted for by ITV viewers giving a number of awards to ITV programs and presenters - it's not a surprise.
This is the great British Public for you.
Freddie Flintoff - Nearly Died
Rob Burrow - Died
Strictly Amy - Living with cancer
Molly Mae - Split up with her boyfriend
Which one wins the NTA… absolute bollocks #ntaawards
https://x.com/jord9393/status/1965884420617023623?s=61
Also Molly Mae's show was a lighter touch with a large audience than the other programs.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/food-and-drink/wine/english-fizz-international-wine-challenge-2025/
A good reminder that sometimes a large volume, slickly branded product can also be one of the best quality out there. Especially true in sparking wine.
Even Nyetimber’s top selling classic cuvée is better than a large proportion of more “artisanal” independent English sparklings. (Not that I would be putting that in my own marketing).
They’ve got a huge new planting over the hill from me on Chartham Downs.
I had a really enjoyable Gusborne rose a few weeks back and not bank breaking either.
I’ve yet to try (or visit) Domaine Evremond which I really must do as it’s also just over the hill from me.
It’s my preferred name for the drink - as I’ve said on here - and I’m glad the Telegraph has adopted it

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Re: Focus on the share of the vote not the lead – politicalbetting.com
https://x.com/YouGov/status/1966052693828329725?s=19
Reform and Greens for Grandpa
Reform and Greens for Grandpa
Re: Focus on the share of the vote not the lead – politicalbetting.com
Bob Worcester was certainly a great pollster the 1970 election his peak, though not always right, remember too his President Kerry projection on election night 2004.How can the concept of 'lead' be detached from 'voteshare'; and how can 'voteshare' be separated from 'lead'?
I am not sure his focus on voteshare rather than lead is correct either. See 2017 where May got over 40% but majority due to her small lead over Labour whereas in 2024 Labour got under 35% but Starmer got a big majority due to his large lead over the Tories
Like right now, if Reform have 30% and the next in line has 20%, that is one thing. But if by good luck Reform had the same 30% but the Truth Prosperity and Justice party had 60%, Reform's 30 would look and would be very different.
Re: Focus on the share of the vote not the lead – politicalbetting.com
@Smyth_Chris
Wes Streeting says he was “completely disgusted” by latest Mandelson messages
His future is “a matter for the prime minister” he adds - not exactly wholehearted backing…
Wes Streeting says he was “completely disgusted” by latest Mandelson messages
His future is “a matter for the prime minister” he adds - not exactly wholehearted backing…

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Re: Focus on the share of the vote not the lead – politicalbetting.com
What a suprise.
Kemi Badenoch should take some credit in make Starmer look like a complete moron over Mandleson yesterday.
Kemi Badenoch should take some credit in make Starmer look like a complete moron over Mandleson yesterday.
Re: Focus on the share of the vote not the lead – politicalbetting.com
Starmer might be reluctant to act because Mandelson as an ambo is a representative of the Crown and hence his disgraceful appointment is an embarrassment to HMK and sacking would amplify Starmers embarrassment of sausage fingers.
Or Starmer might just be an arsehole
Or Starmer might just be an arsehole
Re: Focus on the share of the vote not the lead – politicalbetting.com
I hadn't heard of him either.Phew that is a relief. I'm not feeling so stupid now. All over my head. I didn't even have a vague sense re Charlie Kirk.I’m having a day of ignorance the last 24 hours. I didn’t know who Charlie Kirk was save a vague sense he was someone American, I’d no idea what the NTA was until this post, and I’ve never heard of Mollie Mae.From the NTA’s.An award show that is voted for by ITV viewers giving a number of awards to ITV programs and presenters - it's not a surprise.
This is the great British Public for you.
Freddie Flintoff - Nearly Died
Rob Burrow - Died
Strictly Amy - Living with cancer
Molly Mae - Split up with her boyfriend
Which one wins the NTA… absolute bollocks #ntaawards
https://x.com/jord9393/status/1965884420617023623?s=61
Also Molly Mae's show was a lighter touch with a large audience than the other programs.

1
Re: Focus on the share of the vote not the lead – politicalbetting.com
"Government would have known about Mandelson emails, suggests minister"
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2025/09/11/politics-latest-news-starmer-peter-mandelson-epstein-resign/
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2025/09/11/politics-latest-news-starmer-peter-mandelson-epstein-resign/

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Re: Focus on the share of the vote not the lead – politicalbetting.com
Phase 2 is going well isn’t it?
This is the second week of total paralysis and engulfing scandal and it’s getting worse
This is the second week of total paralysis and engulfing scandal and it’s getting worse

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