Iron Dome interception rate has dropped from 90% to 65% according to Israeli intelligence. That alone should tell us its going down (much much more than it is) soon and hard.All good if it keeps Bibi out of stir.
Iran can carry on at current rate of firing for 5 months is the estimate
Yep: we are almost certainly heading into a period of nuclear proliferation. And - as you say - the proximate cause was the invasion of Ukraine by Russia.Or Iran have been trying for the bomb, and international actions have stayed their hand.I think that, for many years, Iran has not wanted to build a nuclear weapon, but has wanted to be close to be able to build a nuclear weapon. That almost zone has worked well for them. As @rcs1000 suggests, are actions now pushing them (and indeed other countries) into wanting a nuclear weapon now?We've spent at least a couple of decades trying to divert North Korea and Iran from building a bomb. We failed in NK's case, and Iran has shown very poor faith.Ex-head of MI6 this morning said a negotiated solution would not be possible as no one should or would believe the Iranians would negotiate in good faith.I expect the bill to pass tomorrow, but am I correct that it will not come in for 4 years ?Utterly pathetic response from the UK and EU.
Also Beth Rigby of Sky on Iran:
'I have just spoken to the French ambassador to the UK - who very rarely does anything on camera - to talk about the need for de-escalation in the Israel-Iran conflict amid growing concerns the US will get involved.
It's a moment of great jeopardy for all European allies, our prime minister, and all European leaders pushing for de-escalation.
The message from the French ambassador today is to step back and de-escalate.
There will be talks in Geneva tomorrow between Iranian officials and Europe's leading politicians - David Lammy, as well as the foreign ministers of France, Germany, although no country formally confirming.
It is all an attempt to find a solution.
The big question is: will Donald Trump listen?'
Has there ever been a time when the leaders of Europe, including Starmer have ever looked so out of their depths and impotent ?
The only players in this are Trump and Netanyahu and the danger for these leaders is they will look utterly helpless if US and Israel do take out
Iran's nuclear capability
Talking to Iran will embolden them to dig in
And there was a good case for the US to bomb the facility.
But of course what would he know.
Does anyone (aside from @Roger) believe that Iran doesn't want to build a nuclear weapon?
Why do so many on the left - such as you - give the Iranian regime so much good faith?
The event that really will convince countries to go for the bomb is Russia vs Ukraine. They will see that Ukraine gave up nukes, and Russia is successfully using the threat of nukes to get their ow way. The American response - and I include Biden in this - is utterly counter-productive in the long run.
Now on the gloriously air conditioned Windrush Line. Mmm.I feel your pain.I'm not saying it is hot but Bernard Montgomery has just asked me for directions to El Alamein.The Jubilee Line is ... interesting.
Or Iran have been trying for the bomb, and international actions have stayed their hand.I think that, for many years, Iran has not wanted to build a nuclear weapon, but has wanted to be close to be able to build a nuclear weapon. That almost zone has worked well for them. As @rcs1000 suggests, are actions now pushing them (and indeed other countries) into wanting a nuclear weapon now?We've spent at least a couple of decades trying to divert North Korea and Iran from building a bomb. We failed in NK's case, and Iran has shown very poor faith.Ex-head of MI6 this morning said a negotiated solution would not be possible as no one should or would believe the Iranians would negotiate in good faith.I expect the bill to pass tomorrow, but am I correct that it will not come in for 4 years ?Utterly pathetic response from the UK and EU.
Also Beth Rigby of Sky on Iran:
'I have just spoken to the French ambassador to the UK - who very rarely does anything on camera - to talk about the need for de-escalation in the Israel-Iran conflict amid growing concerns the US will get involved.
It's a moment of great jeopardy for all European allies, our prime minister, and all European leaders pushing for de-escalation.
The message from the French ambassador today is to step back and de-escalate.
There will be talks in Geneva tomorrow between Iranian officials and Europe's leading politicians - David Lammy, as well as the foreign ministers of France, Germany, although no country formally confirming.
It is all an attempt to find a solution.
The big question is: will Donald Trump listen?'
Has there ever been a time when the leaders of Europe, including Starmer have ever looked so out of their depths and impotent ?
The only players in this are Trump and Netanyahu and the danger for these leaders is they will look utterly helpless if US and Israel do take out
Iran's nuclear capability
Talking to Iran will embolden them to dig in
And there was a good case for the US to bomb the facility.
But of course what would he know.
Does anyone (aside from @Roger) believe that Iran doesn't want to build a nuclear weapon?
There's also Russia & China:
The only players in this are Trump and Netanyahu and the danger for these leaders is they will look utterly helpless if US and Israel do take out
Iran's nuclear capability
I'm not saying it is hot but Bernard Montgomery has just asked me for directions to El Alamein.Have you got heatstroke? He’s dead.
The condom?What possible technology could supersede the need for abortion?A goal of a civilised society should ne to allow people to have full control over their fertility. Abortion is, with current technology, a necessary part of achieving that aim.Abortion is in principle a bad thing, but isn't in practice.The goal of a civilized society should be to make abortion unnecessary.
Banning things you don't approve of leads to all manner of negative outcomes.
Many of which you may approve of even less.
It is a terrible shame that many of the opponents of abortion are also so vehmently against -say- sex education or support for single parents.
WFH has so many advantages.I'm not saying it is hot but Bernard Montgomery has just asked me for directions to El Alamein.You think you have problems? I've got an interview tomorrow and I don't think I can get out of wearing a charcoal grey suit.
Parking in Liverpool achieves much the same results.I once watched a demo of the fire brigade dismantling a car. Very impressed and lots of stuff I hadn't thought of. Not much left of the car afterwards.could easily be someone stuck inside and they need front off to get at stuff holding his legs, steering column , etcAh. A good guess. YesPerhaps getting at airbags and other dangerous items that need to be disabled. Car manufacturers give fire brigades special cars to show them what to disable.No. This is the bonnet they’re ripping off. And the wheel casing. No space for a personBig car crash on parkway, CamdenErrr, is there someone trapped inside it?
Hardly unknown
What makes this special: it looks like some kind of very high spec BMW. Almost a super car. And there’s two fire engines and several cop cars. For one crash?
And they are dismembering the vehicle in the street. Huge tools ripping open the engine etc. Why on earth would they do that?
Why not just lift and tow it?
Drugs? Guns?
But there's an expert on such matters on PB...