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Re: Mene, Mene, Tekel, Upharsin, Starmer’s Pincher moment – politicalbetting.com
Miliband is a fucking lunatic. As his current performance at DESNZ shows.Burnham is the only leadership contender who I've heard say anything that would be reckless in terms of the stability of Britain's finances, and he is safely not in the Commons.Have you seen the alternatives?Things could certainly get worse, but that shouldn't lead us to tolerate a status quo that is inadequate. Starmer is not good enough. He has to go.People say it every time they hate someone and want a change. We heard it with Boris, Truss, Sunak and now Starmer.Eh, it'll probably be fine.Oh God, not this from you again: "she couldn't we worse".I don’t think Angela Rayner is a traitor. I DO believe that about Starmer and those around him - Hermer, Sands, Powell. They loathe Britain and seek to harm BritonsWhilst I agree Starmer is in trouble, I am not sure the Pincher analogy holds water.She's the furthest they've got from the old boy's club attitudes that led to where we are.
With Pincher, it wasn't simply a failure of vetting but a situation where Johnson lied about what he knew and had colleagues unwittingly sent onto the media to propogate that lie. This was also the latest in a series of incidents where Johnson had been utterly unreliable.
That may yet turn out to be the case for Starmer, but I don't think we are there - it was a foolish appointment given Mandelson's track record, but I don't think the anger towards Mandelson for having misled Starmer is synthetic.
For that reason, whilst there is definitely a competence issue there and it's increasingly hard to see a very long term future for Starmer, I don't really see it playing out as it did in the final days of Johnson.
I also find the Rayner surge a little odd. She has a lot going for her, but she isn't exactly Ms Clean, the candidate of unimpeachable personal integrity.
It’s that basic
Rayner might well be an economic disaster but fuck it, how does that change anything. I don’t think Rayner will deliberately enact policies that are solely designed to harm the country she governs because she despises it
It’s a pretty low bar but I reckon she’ll clear it
She absolutely could be fucking worse.
I'm terrified of Rayner becoming PM.
Then again, I said that about Truss, so I don't know shit.
Do we ever learn?
No, because we're too blinded by hatred for the incumbent.
It's then up to Labour to see if they can find anyone better, and if they can't it then becomes the job of the electorate to choose MPs who can.
I don't want an ultra left-wing PM in office who will spend the next few years fucking me and my family.
I know Labour politicians are always going to look more extreme to you than to me, but people like Miliband, or Cooper, or Rayner, are far from being ultra left-wing.
They're to the left of Blairites like Starmer or Streeting, but they're far to the right of Corbyn and the Socialist Campaign Group.
He is particularly dangerous because he is both dogmatic and hardworking.
The worst sort.
Re: Mene, Mene, Tekel, Upharsin, Starmer’s Pincher moment – politicalbetting.com
Right now, the Labour NEC have to be absolutely kicking themselves they didn't let Burnham stand.
rcs1000
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Re: Mene, Mene, Tekel, Upharsin, Starmer’s Pincher moment – politicalbetting.com
Living down this presumably.Maybe its finally James Purnells moment to return to politics. The ultimate long gameWhat is Chuka Umunna up to these days?
https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/2014/05/why-chuka-umunna-intensely-relaxed-about-being-compared-peter-mandelson
Re: Mene, Mene, Tekel, Upharsin, Starmer’s Pincher moment – politicalbetting.com
Change UK themed party organiserMaybe its finally James Purnells moment to return to politics. The ultimate long gameWhat is Chuka Umunna up to these days?
Re: Mene, Mene, Tekel, Upharsin, Starmer’s Pincher moment – politicalbetting.com
Can't be arsed.Best if you look that up for yourself then. The reference should be easy to follow to the point I was making.Not a Scooby doo what you mean.I have two words for you. "Lulu" and "Lytle".And who can forget how half the cabinet rushed in after the election for free suits, football tickets and birthday parties. Pretty cheap stuff of course but Labour don't really do classy.Remember the old rule, Tory scandals are about sex, Labour scandals are about money.It’s the money that cuts through most. How can you get a free 75K gift and not remember anything about it? That’s what can cut through into actual votes. Provided we can connect Mandelson to the Labour government, not let them say he was rogue and it’s not their fault.It's being joked about by the not-very-politically-engaged where I work. I'd say people are even crosser about the arrogance and entitlement on display here than they were about Boris.At a politically focussed focus group, sure.Didn’t we hear news yesterday that it had severe cut through on focus groups?Starmer exit in 2026 now shortened to 1.54:1, which is the shortest I've seen it. That's easy money if you're convinced he's going this year. (I'm not. I think those odds are about right.)I think they're too short personally and have added to my currently massively offside lay, and will take more if 1.35 trades (looking v possible). Still, squeaky bum.
This is a huge story in the political bubble but it doesn't feel to me to have as much cut through to the real world as Boris did.
There is also an amusing irony irony that some of the markets will atm be being driven by someone much like Mandelson leaking what's going on amongst MPs to traders...
The Epstein angle, which brought down Andrew, surely makes it quite high profile.
But when Boris's various scandals were going on, it was a topic of conversation amongst normies in the office. Pub bores would make jokes about it. I'm just not feeling the same sense of the country at large carying atm.
Maybe I'm just talking my position, idk
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Re: Mene, Mene, Tekel, Upharsin, Starmer’s Pincher moment – politicalbetting.com
Maybe its finally James Purnells moment to return to politics. The ultimate long game
Re: Mene, Mene, Tekel, Upharsin, Starmer’s Pincher moment – politicalbetting.com
Beth Rigby - some government members and MPs messaging telling her they "feel compromised."Always ignore off the record comments. Remember the years of anonymous MP moaning against Corbyn? Granted it showed the level of dissatisfaction never went away even after the challenge against him, and that presented challenges for him, but it just got boring when so few would be open about it yet still bleat and seek sympathy for their position anonymously.
kle4
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Re: Mene, Mene, Tekel, Upharsin, Starmer’s Pincher moment – politicalbetting.com
Maybe its finally James Purnells moment to return to politics. The ultimate long gameWhat is Chuka Umunna up to these days?
Re: Mene, Mene, Tekel, Upharsin, Starmer’s Pincher moment – politicalbetting.com
Angela Rayner will never win a General Election as Labour leaderKemi is literally praying for Rayner to become Labour leader, she is exactly the type of Labour leader who would turn off New Labour to Cameron and Tory until 2019 then Starmer in 2024 swing voters
HYUFD
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Re: Mene, Mene, Tekel, Upharsin, Starmer’s Pincher moment – politicalbetting.com
She’s obviously right.
https://x.com/gbpolitcs/status/2019126704694772137
NEW: Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood has broken ranks with Keir Starmer, who claims Brexit is the biggest cause of illegal immigration
She says the UK’s ‘pull factor’ and organised crime are to blame, not withdrawal from the EU
https://x.com/gbpolitcs/status/2019126704694772137
NEW: Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood has broken ranks with Keir Starmer, who claims Brexit is the biggest cause of illegal immigration
She says the UK’s ‘pull factor’ and organised crime are to blame, not withdrawal from the EU


