Best Of
Re: AOC for POTUS? – politicalbetting.com
Gordonstoun mainly big Phil’s thing wasn’t it? Fair to say mixed results on available evidence.Just the done thing these days isn't it for Royal boys ?I suspect Eton got a massive VAT rebate last year. And going forward as a Veblen good / service I doubt the £63,000 cost matters to parents of the boys attending..Prince George is off to Eton..Haven't they been closed down yet?
The few times I've encountered Eton (usually as extra staff at a secondary school prom) they've been incredibly generous..
I expect Gordonstoun isn't as it was quite back in Charles' days but that particular era (Of boys going there) has passed now for the main Royal line.
Re: AOC for POTUS? – politicalbetting.com
Speaking of primaries, we got and received a late offer to our 1st choice. It was always quite close and I think she would have thrived at either but the KS2 outcomes tipped the balance for us tbh. (Oh and most of her friends including 2 of 3 of her best friends are going to this one which she is happy about)
Pulpstar
6
Re: AOC for POTUS? – politicalbetting.com
Incidentally, on SM one thing we may be forgetting is how the companies are increasingly making their own content unusable without premium membership anyway, through ads, poor layout and irrelevant material.The classic enshittification process. I find Facebook increasingly unusable. X is a mess. YouTube did some recent updates to the phone app that makes numerous things harder, and they keep pushing Shorts. I've become a moderator of a subreddit to help battle a wave of spam.
They may actually kill themselves off for those using them for free, which ironically would have much the same effect as a ban for under 16s.
Re: AOC for POTUS? – politicalbetting.com
Prince George to attend Eton from SeptemberHe can walk to school I guess.
Re: AOC for POTUS? – politicalbetting.com
Morning all 
Back to more important matters and my selections for the opening day at Ascot:
Queen Anne: MORE THUNDER
Coventry: CUT A DASH (each way)
King Charles III: OVERPASS
St James's Palace: BOW ECHO
Back to more important matters and my selections for the opening day at Ascot:
Queen Anne: MORE THUNDER
Coventry: CUT A DASH (each way)
King Charles III: OVERPASS
St James's Palace: BOW ECHO
3
Re: AOC for POTUS? – politicalbetting.com
I keep Facebook for one reason only - to get up-to-date information about whether restaurants, museums etc are open. I don't follow anyone.I find Facebook virtually unusable.Incidentally, on SM one thing we may be forgetting is how the companies are increasingly making their own content unusable without premium membership anyway, through ads, poor layout and irrelevant material.The classic enshittification process. I find Facebook increasingly unusable. X is a mess. YouTube did some recent updates to the phone app that makes numerous things harder, and they keep pushing Shorts. I've become a moderator of a subreddit to help battle a wave of spam.
They may actually kill themselves off for those using them for free, which ironically would have much the same effect as a ban for under 16s.
I see the odd thing from friends or groups I follow but I reckon two thirds are either ads, usually for crap like whiskey casks or solar, or suggested groups to join or local newspapers from other parts of the country with stories I have little interest in.
It used to be great. Especially for what’s on locally. Food festivals, restaurants opening, events, concerts.
Now it’s a nightmare I rarely visit.
1
Re: AOC for POTUS? – politicalbetting.com
It’s Burnham’s ratings with the 2024 Labour coalition that matter as that is the route back to 30%
Re: AOC for POTUS? – politicalbetting.com
I find Facebook virtually unusable.Incidentally, on SM one thing we may be forgetting is how the companies are increasingly making their own content unusable without premium membership anyway, through ads, poor layout and irrelevant material.The classic enshittification process. I find Facebook increasingly unusable. X is a mess. YouTube did some recent updates to the phone app that makes numerous things harder, and they keep pushing Shorts. I've become a moderator of a subreddit to help battle a wave of spam.
They may actually kill themselves off for those using them for free, which ironically would have much the same effect as a ban for under 16s.
I see the odd thing from friends or groups I follow but I reckon two thirds are either ads, usually for crap like whiskey casks or solar, or suggested groups to join or local newspapers from other parts of the country with stories I have little interest in.
It used to be great. Especially for what’s on locally. Food festivals, restaurants opening, events, concerts.
Now it’s a nightmare I rarely visit.
Taz
1
Re: AOC for POTUS? – politicalbetting.com
Polanski seems to have suffered quite a lot of damage as a result of the extra scrutiny he received before the local elections, and with his response to the Golders Green stabbings.I suspect that a key difference at the moment is that Labour are still the leading party on the left-of-centre, whereas the Conservatives aren't leading on the right-of-centre. If either of those changes, then a lot of bricks might shuffle quite rapidly into a different pattern.Yes but does that apply when we're 5 party GB wide politics? I genuinely do not know. We might be in 6 party GB wide politics after Thursday depending on how well Restore do.I thought one of the mantras on here was: "look at the shares, not the gap."If we accept the premise that 25% wins the most votes at the next general election then we need recalibrate our usual expectations for what constitutes decent midterm polling for the government.Great poll for Labour, only 5% behind in midterm.Put like that: government in second place, 3 percent swing behind the leading party, still the leading party on their side of the left-right fence... the current hand-wringing is bonkers... Isn't it?
Latest YouGov Westminster voting intention, 14-15 June 2026
Reform UK: 24% (-1 from 7-8 Jun)
Labour: 19% (=)
Conservatives: 19% (=)
Greens: 15% (+1)
Lib Dems: 13% (+1)
Restore Britain: 4% (+1)
SNP: 2% (-1)
Plaid Cymru: 1% (-1)
Your Party: 0% (-1)
https://x.com/yougov/status/2066800321901260841?s=46
It's as if we've all driven ourselves mad by getting an image of the world that focuses on second-by-second twitches, rather than year-by-year tectonic movements. For some reason.
I still prefer still prefer Ipsos satisfaction ratings over VI at this stage in the cycle however there's a disconnect developing there too which I can only explain due to the Tory brand being tainted/seen as a wasted vote.
All the previous assumptions held true when we were in 2 to 3.5 party politics.
It's certainly possible- though a Restore effect, or Farage getting bored, seems more likely than anything the current Conservative leadership achieve. And Polanski is just as capable of self-combusting as Farage.
What's really interesting is that the main beneficiaries - when looking at the wiki opinion poll graph - appear to have been Reform, and not Labour.
The combined vote share for Labour and Tories in the opinion polls right now is 38%. The combined vote share for Reform and Greens is 41%.
There are lots of divides in British politics, but there are enough votes to vote out both of the main parties of the 20th century.
Re: AOC for POTUS? – politicalbetting.com
Certainly this must be a worry for Labour:Such is the cynicism and impatience of the modern age, I wonder if we'll ever get a politician who's popular for any length of time again. I actually fear for Nigel because his supporters are probably the most unforgiving of the lot. Rupert will be in the ascendency within weeks of Nigel taking office.
Andrew Lilico
@andrew_lilico
·
5m
There appears nothing more to Burnham's "popularity" than a souffle effect. As soon as the oven was opened to see if there was anything inside, it collapsed.
https://x.com/andrew_lilico/status/2066833951033786415




