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Met Office is saying 39 here next week. I wonder if there’s a chance we break the 40 degree record of 2022

Met saying 38 and 37 here on Tuesday and Wednesday, but Beeb saying 34 and 35 for the same days.

Matthew Todd 🌏🔥
@MrMatthewTodd
·
54m
This would obliterate the UK temperature record for the month of June which currently stands at 35.6C set in 1976.

https://x.com/MrMatthewTodd/status/2068452752527921441

Meteo who bbc use are shite

No, they aren't. For their official forecasts they use a combination of various models including the Met Office and ECMWF.

Their app on the other hand might well be automated from the GFS model and therefore a bit rubbish. The BBC app has always been rubbish whether Met Office or not.


Anyway, UKV (Met Office) has 41C for Swindon on Thursday...
https://x.com/Met4CastUK/status/2068400539675566273/photo/1

That is truly alarming.

As is Swindon doesn’t suffer enough.

These are really astonishing times. Starmer wins a huge majority and, within 2 years, is forced to resign by his own party on behalf of someone who has not even been an MP for more than a decade. This is done on the basis of no discernible platform or policy difference but simply the belief that one is capable of speaking to and relating to people and the other is not. It is an incredible gamble, not just for the Labour party but for the country.

I think all sensible people can only hope this works for the sake of the country but I am not sure reckless really covers it.

I would say desperate, rather than reckless.

Reckless implies that there's a better option that is being passed over, but there isn't, really. For whatever reason the Cabinet is incredibly weak. There are no major political divides, because none of them have a clue.

And so, with such a complete lack of leadership they turn in desperation to the one person exhibits some motive force.

"These are really astonishing times. Starmer wins a huge majority and, within 2 years, is forced to resign by his own party on behalf of someone who has not even been an MP for more than a decade."

The reason this has happened is

a) Starmer is not a politician and has no idea why this has happened and the whole thing is bewildering to him. He never had a 'story' or narrative to tell the voters. He never had one or two guiding star ideas as to what should be done for Britain.

b) Labour under McSweeney spent so much time eradicating Corbynista and campaigning to win via a 'time for change' strategy that was actually a ming vase walk* that they did not think to actually have a serious plan for governing

c) the problems facing any PM are bordering on insurmountable.


* Contrast with Blair/Brown - ming vase with an actual up their sleeve plan from day one - e.g bank of england.

What's Burnham's plan? Free buses for WASPI women or something equally ridiculous.

Free Smiths t-shirts for all.

Admittedly it falls short of Miliband's free owls for all but that is just a reflection of the straitened times we endure.

Burnham ought to bring in AV imo, the Australian voting system. Would be the best way to stop Reform.

Needs a referendum.

He might as well go the whole hog and hold a referendum on making himself dictator and head of state.

You're confusing Burnham with your mate Farage.

In a polity without a written constitution, Reform only need to win once.

https://cmsm.co.uk/hitler-becomes-fuhrer-19-august-1934

Nearly every nation has a written constitution and many of them are dictatorships.

Things like codification or PR etc may be good ideas, people will vary on that, but they don't prevent terrible outcomes by themselves.

The point is that the absence of a written constitution makes a democratic nation especially vulnerable to becoming a dictatorship through a constitutional route, because the checks and balances that would make that more difficult are by definition largely absent. Written constitutions can also be overcome, of course.

Except the example you gave was clearly false because Germany did have a written constitution. Indeed, for a country without a written constiitution we have done remarkably well at avoiding dictatorships or revolutions compared to most other countries.

1848, commonly known by historians as 'The Year of Revolutions' and in Britain the Chartists had a large picnic on Kensington Common.

My money is on Tuesday.

Weekly Cabinet.

He'll make it known that this is when he'll make a decision. Turf out all but Ministers and a few key political appointees. Not civil servants a Labour Party political cabinet meeting.

Go round the room, look everyone in the eye, open and transparent. No repurcussions back me yes or no.

I suspect a majority will say NO

He confirms to them he will not stand for re-election if it's over 50%, in that case he'll request a meeting with the King Tuesday pm

If its under 50% he will put himself to a MP vote if any MPs get the 80 odd needed for a nomination.

This potentially allows Streeting to get his 80 plus, if not it's a coronation.

Far better to walk in to the Cabinet Room and do it this way, either way it's ballsy and puts Cabinet on spot.

No one quite expected him to be this bad.

Hello

All credit to you then.

If Starmer had been called Kevin or Keith, he would never have got this far. Labour has been somewhat blinded by nostalgia because of his name.

Not sure that's true.

I think they were blinded by the fact that he ran a quango, and therefore assumed he could run a country.

Two very different jobs, as events have shown.

The Crown Prosecution Service is hardly a quango.

It's a non-ministerial government department.

As to assuming he could run a country, until you do it no previous job can prove someone could do it. Business is very different, mayors are tiny, and so on.