Best Of
Re: The polls close, now the spin and expectations management – politicalbetting.com
People looked at the locals, and assumed voters had moved wholesale to RefUK.It's weird, Twitter kept assuring me Andy Bunrham wasn't even that popular, despite the fact I live in Manchester where he is really popular.He seemed certain to win as soon as the thing was called. Reform also chose a terrible candidate. Again.
The man has a massive personal vote, he got 60 odd percent in the Mayoral, that wasn't going to just melt away.
Re: The polls close, now the spin and expectations management – politicalbetting.com
Reform should have chosen another female candidate, since that probably made the difference in Runcorn & Helsby. Schoolboy error.
Andy_JS
2
Re: The polls close, now the spin and expectations management – politicalbetting.com
Result from Essex:The Tories also made gains in London in the local elections, so are progressing in the capital as well as parts of Scotland. They also held a number of Southern councilsLet's see the Tory vote in Makerfield, may be even lower than GortonLabour nearly lose their deposit LOLSpectacular result for the Tories in Aberdeen, Arbroath up next.Tories win back a seat they held until the excellent Stephen Flynn won it in 2019 in a meagre turnout where barely 30% voted.
Spectacular LOL
Get a grip.
I predicted before, Aberdeen could be most Southerly seat Tories hold at next GE.
DINOSAUR Oil lobby voting for Climate disaster
Massive public opinion in favour of green renewable safe energy, except in Oil City clearly.
Rochford, Sweyne Park & Grange
Con 56.1% (+39.2)
Ref 24.8% (-14.9)
LD 13.2% (-3.3)
Grn 4.2% (-3.9)
Lab 1.7% (-1.9)
Con gain from RefUK
Kemi having a good night....
Re: The polls close, now the spin and expectations management – politicalbetting.com
A very positive result for the Scottish Conservatives in Aberdeen South, though it must be said this ought not to have been in much doubt - with such a focus on North Sea oil and gas (which has been the Conservatives' focus not just locally but on the national level, including their chosen topic in most recent PMQ sessions), not to mention the relatively recent Peter Murrell revelations. Had the seat not gone Conservative tonight, it would have been dismal for them.
It will be an even better morning for the Conservatives if Andy Burnham beats Reform in Makerfield.
It will be an even better morning for the Conservatives if Andy Burnham beats Reform in Makerfield.
LDLF
2
Re: The polls close, now the spin and expectations management – politicalbetting.com
Burnham winning this seemed like free money to me so I’m due a £24 profit
Re: The polls close, now the spin and expectations management – politicalbetting.com
Pretty obvious Burnham has won from the BBC pictures showing him smiling and greeting supporters.
Andy_JS
1
Re: The polls close, now the spin and expectations management – politicalbetting.com
If Burnham achieves that then I can’t see what he’s waiting for. He’s clearly got something.I mean 54% of the vote is pretty big right?Very big.
Re: The polls close, now the spin and expectations management – politicalbetting.com
I mean 54% of the vote is pretty big right?
Re: The polls close, now the spin and expectations management – politicalbetting.com
Arbroath & Broughton Ferry
SNP 9,802 (41.24%)
Con 4,524 (19.03%)
Ref 4,341 (18.26%)
Lab 3,651 (15.36%)
LD 1,452 (6.11%)
SNP 9,802 (41.24%)
Con 4,524 (19.03%)
Ref 4,341 (18.26%)
Lab 3,651 (15.36%)
LD 1,452 (6.11%)
Andy_JS
2
Re: The polls close, now the spin and expectations management – politicalbetting.com
Broughty Ferry not Broughton Ferry
Andy_JS
1