Best Of
Re: Wes Streeting could be about to do Andy Burnham a huge favour – politicalbetting.com
I don't know - but it was during the COVID period, which could both be a justification for less process or an opportunity for shenanigans.The sensible first step would be to move to STV for local council elections, which could be done quickly; as you say, the Tories removed a preferential/transferable vote without a refendum; indeed I don't even recall a vote in parliament and wonder whether it was done by ministerial regulation?It seems to me that Labour’s best hope is a coronation of Burnham who starts a new agenda in the maximum time available.I'm intrigued by how far electoral Reform could go without the need for a Referendum etc. There were some things in the 2024 Labour Manifesto.
I cannot see the advantage to a leadership contest in this case.
The Elections Act 2022 brought in things which went beyond the letter of the 2019 Conservative Manifesto afaics in a number of respects, as well as specific manifesto pledges, so I think there is some scope - though I'm not sure how much.
I make no judgements in this post (cough ! ).
MattW
2
Re: Wes Streeting could be about to do Andy Burnham a huge favour – politicalbetting.com
You can't fault the Houthis for their ambition!China, regarding the Malacca Strait, will be closely looking at the concept if Trump's idiotic action sees a return to tolls through narrow shipping lanes. Also, potentially, the Houthis, the Danes, and us alongside the French for the Channel.Oh it is true, Trump is showing how he went bankrupt running a casino.Inflation unchanged.There's also this, which might even be true ?
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2026/jun/17/uk-inflation-steady-despite-iran-conflict-fuel-prices
Can someone remind me once again when it was we were supposed to be going cap in hand to the IMF?
(Treat with large pinch of salt.)
https://x.com/NewSamawal/status/2066527500201492710
The US secretly approved a financial and maritime arrangement between Qatar and Iran, under which billions of dollars were paid to Tehran in exchange for free passage for Qatari tankers and ships through the Strait of Hormuz, three diplomatic officials now confirm.
This was a deliberate and conscious course of action by the US administration, which allowed its navy to turn a blind eye to the arrangement, in complete contradiction of its declared policy. The move was intended to ease the crisis in global energy markets and curb rising oil prices.
Edit: Oh, I see.
Re: Wes Streeting could be about to do Andy Burnham a huge favour – politicalbetting.com
LolI know the end of Trump has been predicted many times but he does look particularly fcuked at the moment, and he definitely isn't enjoying himself.
I guess trying to govern effectively and making decisions with consequences is nowhere near as much fun as shitposting and plotting revenge on your enemies.
Re: Wes Streeting could be about to do Andy Burnham a huge favour – politicalbetting.com
The other thing with these pictures is that it is one shot. A minute later he could have been deep in conversation with several people. They used to do this with Johnson and the EU members.LolI know the end of Trump has been predicted many times but he does look particularly fcuked at the moment, and he definitely isn't enjoying himself.
I guess trying to govern effectively and making decisions with consequences is nowhere near as much fun as shitposting and plotting revenge on your enemies.
Re: Wes Streeting could be about to do Andy Burnham a huge favour – politicalbetting.com
I can see him trying.I just cannot see Starmer actually clinging on.It seems to me that Labour’s best hope is a coronation of Burnham who starts a new agenda in the maximum time available.In an ideal world there isn't any.
I cannot see the advantage to a leadership contest in this case.
In a world where Starmer tries to cling on ?
Nigelb
1
Re: Wes Streeting could be about to do Andy Burnham a huge favour – politicalbetting.com
Inflation unchanged.Inflation at 2.8% still above the Bank of England's 2% target
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2026/jun/17/uk-inflation-steady-despite-iran-conflict-fuel-prices
Can someone remind me once again when it was we were supposed to be going cap in hand to the IMF?
HYUFD
1
Re: Wes Streeting could be about to do Andy Burnham a huge favour – politicalbetting.com
https://x.com/luketryl/status/2067147715763478998
On leader net approval Badenoch hits a personal high at -1, almost breaking even, Davey is at -9, Farage at -14, Polanski -25 and Starmer is at the bottom of the list on -48.
On leader net approval Badenoch hits a personal high at -1, almost breaking even, Davey is at -9, Farage at -14, Polanski -25 and Starmer is at the bottom of the list on -48.
Re: Wes Streeting could be about to do Andy Burnham a huge favour – politicalbetting.com
SKS is involved - so of course they will.Surely they’re not that silly, as to try and hold a by-election in the middle of the school summer holidays?According to the BBC 30th July has been identified. A time when a few million Mancunians will be off getting a tan with their school age children and the Reform voting pensioners are still around.As somebody who has a vote in the Greater Manchester mayoral election I have noticed a lot of Labour adverts about this in the last few days on my social media accounts.What would be the timescale for a mayoral election? Presumably asap from a Lab pov to take advantage of a rapidly withering Burnham honeymoon.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c0lyp8k03gdo
I think the issue raises interesting tactical matters. For example, if a Labour leadership contest is going on at then same time, how much would a Reform win/Labour win in Manchester affect judgments about Burnham.
Now it should be September but that allows another month of shadow campaigning and Labour doesn't have the money a desperate Reform will have.
eek
1
Re: Wes Streeting could be about to do Andy Burnham a huge favour – politicalbetting.com
Oh you cynic.As somebody who has a vote in the Greater Manchester mayoral election I have noticed a lot of Labour adverts about this in the last few days on my social media accounts.Spending before campaign limits start?
Re: Wes Streeting could be about to do Andy Burnham a huge favour – politicalbetting.com
It’s been reported by some credible sources. It’s Trump. He’s transactional. I believe it.Inflation unchanged.There's also this, which might even be true ?
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2026/jun/17/uk-inflation-steady-despite-iran-conflict-fuel-prices
Can someone remind me once again when it was we were supposed to be going cap in hand to the IMF?
(Treat with large pinch of salt.)
https://x.com/NewSamawal/status/2066527500201492710
The US secretly approved a financial and maritime arrangement between Qatar and Iran, under which billions of dollars were paid to Tehran in exchange for free passage for Qatari tankers and ships through the Strait of Hormuz, three diplomatic officials now confirm.
This was a deliberate and conscious course of action by the US administration, which allowed its navy to turn a blind eye to the arrangement, in complete contradiction of its declared policy. The move was intended to ease the crisis in global energy markets and curb rising oil prices.
Taz
2




