Best Of
Re: What would Ronald Reagan think? – politicalbetting.com
Speaking of books, some light bedtime reading! Managed to get these off eBay within the last couple of weeks. When I was a teen, used to borrow Cruisers, Destroyers, and Submarines on high rotation from Ilford Library. Aircraft Carriers less frequently, and Battleships they didn't even have, so chuffed to have got the latter!


Re: What would Ronald Reagan think? – politicalbetting.com
Bonkers Westerly wind burst going on in the tropical Pacific at the moment. Gale force Westerly winds in a region that should have Easterlies. Those winds are collapsing the usual piled up hot ocean surface in the West and sending it to the other side of the basin in a Kelvin wave, cutting off upwelling.
We’re heading for a very pronounced El Niño this coming year. That means:
- Drought in Eastern Australia (Wheat)
- Drought in SE Asia (rice)
- Drought in Southern Africa
- Drought in NE Brazil (soy)
- Floods in East Africa
- Floods in Peru and collapsing sardine catch
- Floods in California (hopefully no wildfires)

Not unprecedented. But we’ve not seen this for a long time. Planetary warming if anything has encouraged La Niña conditions. It’ll mean the warmest year in record by miles in 2027 (and probably this year too).
We’re heading for a very pronounced El Niño this coming year. That means:
- Drought in Eastern Australia (Wheat)
- Drought in SE Asia (rice)
- Drought in Southern Africa
- Drought in NE Brazil (soy)
- Floods in East Africa
- Floods in Peru and collapsing sardine catch
- Floods in California (hopefully no wildfires)

Not unprecedented. But we’ve not seen this for a long time. Planetary warming if anything has encouraged La Niña conditions. It’ll mean the warmest year in record by miles in 2027 (and probably this year too).
MelonB
2
Re: What would Ronald Reagan think? – politicalbetting.com
I would argue the case for that ban is much stronger than that of banning the burqa.More people also want to ban (male) circumcision.Catching up,And yet this ban is what a vast majority of Brits want, according to polls. And several European countries - not notably Nazi - have banned them. And they are banned in multiple Muslim countriesKemi imputes that she knows how many thousands of people think, and evaluates them according to her personal opinions."Badenoch considers burka banIt would outflank Labour on closer alignment with Europe on the issues that people care about.
Tories understood to be ‘looking closely’ at merits of veto on face coverings as part of a review of Islamism"
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2026/03/27/kemi-badenoch-conservatives-burka-ban/
Poignantly, I saw a woman in a full burqa today, not far from my flat. I cannot know her inner state but her body language expressed great unhappiness. Weighed down by these hideous deathly black shrouds. I do not believe any woman under 60 - if any - would voluntarily wear these appalling garments, They are symbols of misogyny and TOOLS of misogyny
Kemi is right. Ban them
Kemi is a knee-jerking fool. This is no better than Farage or Anderson.
So what exactly is your objection?
If there is no evidence of a basis for implementing a policy, then it is a matter of prejudice - which is not how we seek to operate as a society. There are only perhaps 1% of Muslim women who wear a full-face veil; that should be their choice.
I see from the Telegraph article that Kemi suggests that she views this as a low priority.
The thing that I find most startling in the survey is that 76% of the respondents want to ban "exclusion of women from religious leadership". Would you support that? That would ban the male only Roman Catholic priesthood, and male only Episcopates.
Gift link:
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/gift/a5ca0614bc035101
0% of boys that are circumcised have any meaningful say over their genital mutilation. And funnily enough very few uncircumcised men choose to do so as a consenting adult.
At least with the burqa you can make the case that some women choose it. Even if coercion is the dominant factor.
6
Re: What would Ronald Reagan think? – politicalbetting.com
More people also want to ban (male) circumcision.Catching up,And yet this ban is what a vast majority of Brits want, according to polls. And several European countries - not notably Nazi - have banned them. And they are banned in multiple Muslim countriesKemi imputes that she knows how many thousands of people think, and evaluates them according to her personal opinions."Badenoch considers burka banIt would outflank Labour on closer alignment with Europe on the issues that people care about.
Tories understood to be ‘looking closely’ at merits of veto on face coverings as part of a review of Islamism"
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2026/03/27/kemi-badenoch-conservatives-burka-ban/
Poignantly, I saw a woman in a full burqa today, not far from my flat. I cannot know her inner state but her body language expressed great unhappiness. Weighed down by these hideous deathly black shrouds. I do not believe any woman under 60 - if any - would voluntarily wear these appalling garments, They are symbols of misogyny and TOOLS of misogyny
Kemi is right. Ban them
Kemi is a knee-jerking fool. This is no better than Farage or Anderson.
So what exactly is your objection?
If there is no evidence of a basis for implementing a policy, then it is a matter of prejudice - which is not how we seek to operate as a society. There are only perhaps 1% of Muslim women who wear a full-face veil; that should be their choice.
I see from the Telegraph article that Kemi suggests that she views this as a low priority.
The thing that I find most startling in the survey is that 76% of the respondents want to ban "exclusion of women from religious leadership". Would you support that? That would ban the male only Roman Catholic priesthood, and male only Episcopates.
Gift link:
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/gift/a5ca0614bc035101
Re: What would Ronald Reagan think? – politicalbetting.com
There is, CleverlyIn that case, there is no possible leader for the Tories.They may do for now, if the Tories are third or worse in May Tory MPs letters will be flooding in to Blackman, they won't vote to keep a leader who will see them lose their seat, pay and perksGood job conservative mps and members back Kemi to make up for conditional so called supportersMy ultimate loyalty is to the party, my loyalty to the party leader depends on their performanceUltimate loyalty cannot be conditional, surely?No if the Tories are first or second in May I will be Kemi's ultimate loyalistAnd you keep moving the definition of 'poor' because what you actually want is Kemi gone regardless of the results56 Tory MPs are projected to lose their seats on the latest Nowcast. That is more than enough for a VONC if May's local and devolved elections are poor for the ToriesI think its very likely the crash will lead to a VONC in Kemi and James Cleverly being made leader, franklyTiger charged with "driving under influence"Luckily it seems nobody was killed in that crash or he would have been facing a lengthy jail term having been DUI. Another sporting genius with a less than brilliant personal life
https://electionmaps.uk/nowcast
Thats fine, just say it rather than this ridiculous dance
HYUFD
1
Re: What would Ronald Reagan think? – politicalbetting.com
I am very gladdened to hear this.Evening,The relative in hospital (who I was convinced was going to die and whose symptoms indicated exactly that) was discharged from hospital earlier this week, albeit into the arms of a care team. I am now productively working back in work instead of (as I dreaded) arranging a funeral.
Please give me some good news.
Love'n'kisses,
solarflare
Re: What would Ronald Reagan think? – politicalbetting.com
Given recent events is it not monumentally embarrassing to accuse people of TDS?A hint of TDS in this comment, sorryDoes he? I mean, he doesn't care about poor people in Africa starving, or their governments being toppled in revolutions.Well, yes, but the damage - as is - can be painfully undone. But the longer the closure goes on, and the more Mid East energy infra that is destroyed, the worst the outcome for the entire world. I've seen sane voices on X predicting mass starvation and revolutionsThe thing is the damage has already been - opening up the straits is simply going to mitigate things.My customers are in a two States that President Trump carried in 2024 on narrow margins: Arizona and Nevada.Agreed
In both cases, he won -I believe- because of two things.
Firstly, the inflation that ran through the developed world on the back of Covid and Russia's invasion of Ukraine.
Secondly, the chaos at the border that the Biden administration oversaw.
What Americans -particularly lower income Americans- did not vote for was to become poorer. Tariffs have pushed the prices of clothes up, without generating meaningful numbers of new manufacturing jobs. And now the wars have sent the price of petrol through the roof. (Which in turn will affect food and other prices.)
Retail electricity bills have yet to see the impact of rising energy prices, but that's coming too, and that's going to be ugly for lower income Americans finances.
My customers are lower income. In the past two weeks, they've cut their driving back sharply. We've seen Cancelled for Non-Payment skyrocket, as people choose to buy food or petrol over insurance.
If this isn't fixed, then the midterms will be horrible for the Republicans.
Which is why Trump is under immense pressure to get the Straits reopened. Either with a deal, or by dropping lots of bombs
Whatever he chooses, he has to do it quickly
Trump HAS to open the Straits before the very bad becomes quite horrifically bad
If he can get the voter disenfranchisement legislation through Congress he doesn't have to worry about the midterms much. He'll be able to stop enough Democrats and women from voting that he'll still win those.
Sure, it's a bit embarrassing, but I'm not seeing the imperative for Trump to reopen the Strait with urgency.
Re: What would Ronald Reagan think? – politicalbetting.com
Kash Patel got his email hacked. He forwarded FBI emails to his personal gmail account
@ddosecrets.org
Kash Patel emails (1.1 GB)
The first tranche of emails from the mailbox of Kash Patel, the director of the FBI, which was hacked by Handala, a hacking group that is believed to have ties to Iranian intelligence.
https://bsky.app/profile/ddosecrets.org/post/3mi2iokglyn2w
@ddosecrets.org
Kash Patel emails (1.1 GB)
The first tranche of emails from the mailbox of Kash Patel, the director of the FBI, which was hacked by Handala, a hacking group that is believed to have ties to Iranian intelligence.
https://bsky.app/profile/ddosecrets.org/post/3mi2iokglyn2w
Scott_xP
1
Re: What would Ronald Reagan think? – politicalbetting.com
Sir Keir is safe as houses now.Why are you so sure he will quit? Being on is a powerful drug. Hard to give it up.
His ratings improve a bit. Labour up to about parity with Reform.
He quits 2028. New leader. Election late 2028.
Labour led government. Strong odds I reckon.
Re: What would Ronald Reagan think? – politicalbetting.com
Mary Rand Rip at 86
Britains first female Gold Medalist in Athletics I believe?
A little before my time but both my parents were keen Athletes at Wolverhampton and Bilston AC
One of my early memories was my mom crying when the News came on that Lillian Board had died of cancer in her 20s, I wasn't very old at the time.
Britains first female Gold Medalist in Athletics I believe?
A little before my time but both my parents were keen Athletes at Wolverhampton and Bilston AC
One of my early memories was my mom crying when the News came on that Lillian Board had died of cancer in her 20s, I wasn't very old at the time.




