Best Of
Re: Prices and politics – politicalbetting.com
A dementia-ridden, sociopathic narcissist with nukes. What could possibly go wrong?Yes. Remember he's done this Iran thing primarily for the visceral pleasure of using his toys and saying things like 'obliterate' and 'destruction never seen before' and 'gonna be hell to pay'. A child and a moral vacuum. Plus breathtakingly corrupt, clueless and incompetent. It's new territory having a person like this in the White House. It doesn't lend itself to traditional analysis or forecasting. All you can do is hope for the best of all the possible grim outcomes. Until he's gone, I mean, not just this episode.Are you suggesting the options might be a slightly more welcome World economic depression rather than Mad Max: Beyond Thunderdome?What little I'm reading on the Iran war on other forums is that the global markets are still deluding themselves as to how bad this is going to get. And that it will take the first tankers to 'not' get to their destinations next week when they finally wake up to what has already happened.My Trump2 concern is such that if right now you offered me getting to the end of it with the worst consequence being a deep and prolonged global recession I'd take that.
If some of the doom and gloom I'm seeing is even half right, Leon's going to get to see 'Threads' without the need for nuclear war first.
(It's probably not that bad, but we are all deluding ourselves).
Re: Prices and politics – politicalbetting.com
Yes, my portfolio is now 1/3 cash, the rest mostly pretty defensive. I will be looking out for bargains, but not for a while yet.If you've got less than a five year horizon, sell now lol@chadbourn.bsky.socialLet me take a wild guess, it commences sometimes on Friday evening after markets close...
Trump is leaning towards a major ground operation in Iran, believing it could force the regime to surrender, The Times of Israel reports.
Foxy
1
Re: Prices and politics – politicalbetting.com
We need to cancel the King's visit to America.
US President Donald Trump has again taken aim at the UK's military support in the Middle East, denigrating its aircraft carriers, HMS Queen Elizabeth and HMS Prince of Wales, as "toys".
Speaking at the start of a White House Cabinet meeting on Thursday, Trump criticised the speed at which the UK sent help in the days following the joint Israeli-US attacks on Iran almost one month ago.
"We had the UK say that ‘we’ll send’ – this is three weeks ago – ‘we’ll send our aircraft carriers’, which aren’t the best aircraft carriers by the way," he said. "They're toys compared to what we have."
“But ‘we’ll send our aircraft carrier when the war is over’. I said ‘Oh that’s wonderful, thank you very much. Don’t bother. We don’t need it,'” he added.
https://www.itv.com/news/2026-03-26/trump-says-uk-aircraft-carriers-are-toys-compared-to-us-ones
US President Donald Trump has again taken aim at the UK's military support in the Middle East, denigrating its aircraft carriers, HMS Queen Elizabeth and HMS Prince of Wales, as "toys".
Speaking at the start of a White House Cabinet meeting on Thursday, Trump criticised the speed at which the UK sent help in the days following the joint Israeli-US attacks on Iran almost one month ago.
"We had the UK say that ‘we’ll send’ – this is three weeks ago – ‘we’ll send our aircraft carriers’, which aren’t the best aircraft carriers by the way," he said. "They're toys compared to what we have."
“But ‘we’ll send our aircraft carrier when the war is over’. I said ‘Oh that’s wonderful, thank you very much. Don’t bother. We don’t need it,'” he added.
https://www.itv.com/news/2026-03-26/trump-says-uk-aircraft-carriers-are-toys-compared-to-us-ones
Re: Prices and politics – politicalbetting.com
We used to live down the street from the Polish Catholic church in Ealing. Half the congregation at Mass had to stand outside.Mega churches I think are bigger amongst under 30s than they were pre 2000 and especially attract lots of young black British. Even C of E churches are more ethnically diverse than they were, especially in urban areas.Yeah, but no more than there were.Plenty in evangelical churches in big cities, Tottenham Court Road Hillsong church is packed with young people of all ethnicities each SundayOh YouGov, can't you get anything right?It never rang true as anyone who goes to church on Sunday, or even passes by on the way to the pub can see that there are not hordes of youngsters going.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cpwjxx5eyn1o
Church attendance report pulled after YouGov finds 'fraudulent' responses
A report claiming the number of young people attending church in England and Wales had skyrocketed has been retracted, after the underlying data was found to be flawed.
The Bible Society's "Quiet Revival" report had been widely reported on since its publication last year and became an accepted part of discourse among many Christians.
Now YouGov, which carried out the research, has told the Bible Society that an internal review of the data found that some of the respondents who completed its survey were "fraudulent".
It has said that quality control measures, which usually remove such responses, were not applied due to human error.
Plenty of younger Eastern Europeans in Roman Catholic churches in the UK too
Re: Prices and politics – politicalbetting.com
Interesting thread from @RochdalePioneers. Not sure I agree with all of it but I do agree on the key points in his last paragraph.
1. The current systems and solutions offered by Tory and Labour have clearly failed.
2. The insurgent parties - primarily Reform and The Greens - have recognised this and realise radical change is needed.
3. The solutions they are offering are not going to make things better and will probably make things a lot worse.
So the question that I have been considering is whether actually there is no viable practical solution to the problems facing us. Anything radical enough to deal with the problems (assuming we can even agree on what the problems are) may be so radical and disruptive it leads to large sections of the electorate simply refusing to go along.
Are we and much of the rest of the democratic West becoming ungovernable?
1. The current systems and solutions offered by Tory and Labour have clearly failed.
2. The insurgent parties - primarily Reform and The Greens - have recognised this and realise radical change is needed.
3. The solutions they are offering are not going to make things better and will probably make things a lot worse.
So the question that I have been considering is whether actually there is no viable practical solution to the problems facing us. Anything radical enough to deal with the problems (assuming we can even agree on what the problems are) may be so radical and disruptive it leads to large sections of the electorate simply refusing to go along.
Are we and much of the rest of the democratic West becoming ungovernable?
Re: Prices and politics – politicalbetting.com
New YouGov Australia poll
Lab 29%
One Nation 27%
Lib/Nat 19%
Grn 13%
Ind 6%
Oth 6%
2 party preferred
Lab 54%
Lib/Nat 46%
Lab 53%
One Nation 47%
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_Australian_federal_election#Voting_intention
Lab 29%
One Nation 27%
Lib/Nat 19%
Grn 13%
Ind 6%
Oth 6%
2 party preferred
Lab 54%
Lib/Nat 46%
Lab 53%
One Nation 47%
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_Australian_federal_election#Voting_intention
1
Re: Prices and politics – politicalbetting.com
Moscow more likely..."Britain pursuing closer ties with the European Union will “not be viewed favourably” in the White House if it in any way affects the trading relationship between the UK and US, Washington’s ambassador to the UK has warned."It’s almost as if the US admin is being paid by Brussels.
https://www.cityam.com/us-ambassador-warns-against-eu-realignment/
He needs to be told, with extreme rigour (sic)...
Foxy
1
Re: Prices and politics – politicalbetting.com
"Britain pursuing closer ties with the European Union will “not be viewed favourably” in the White House if it in any way affects the trading relationship between the UK and US, Washington’s ambassador to the UK has warned."It’s almost as if the US admin is being paid by Brussels.
https://www.cityam.com/us-ambassador-warns-against-eu-realignment/
He needs to be told, with extreme rigour (sic)...
MelonB
1
Re: Prices and politics – politicalbetting.com
...what? Impossible to beat Holy Island, the Tweed, Durham Cathedral.My son took the train up to Glasgow recently to visit a friend. A very long journey but more visually attractive than the East coast main line to Edinburgh. I’d love to think he devoured a few books but I suspect he spent the whole journey on Roblox and TikTok.Sounds a good plan.One of the reasons I booked a series of long train journeys for this summer, Paul Theroux style, was to get me back into reading a book every few days. As it happens I’ve started back up months ahead of time, because the pile of books (a mixture of novels and travel writing) I ordered ahead of the trip have been sitting there asking to be started.Yeah, I'm exactly the same. But I feel ambivalent about it. I enjoy the snappy points on PB and the way the arguments develop with many informed contributions but I can't help lamenting how long it is since I read a novel from beginning to end. I seem to be losing the ability to simply be absorbed in a different world and I miss it.Our elites now read less than the average member of the population and it shows.I used to read a lot for pleasure.
'Britain’s elites no longer look like they did in the 1950s: droopy-moustached old white blokes with a grouse moor somewhere in their background. They are younger, more urban, more multi-ethnic, make rather than inherit their money. That’s all, we may think, to the good. But as The Telegraph’s Great British Class Study discovers, they are less likely than any other sector of society to spend their spare time reading.
For fewer than one in three members of the new “Elite” read for pleasure, according to polling conducted by the opinion-research firm Public First. Too busy with socials, or crypto, or the gym. By contrast, 45 per cent of the “Left Behind” group – whose members typically score the least economic and cultural points in the new system – are readers, as are 60 per cent of the typically older, more financially stable “Quietly Comfortable” class.'
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/books/news/britains-elites-have-abandoned-intelligence/
Then I started reading PB instead.
My partner loves train travel so we’re training it from Glasgow down to London then the Eurostar to Lille for four nights in May. I’ve pencilled in a reread of The Tin Drum then Flesh (Booker Prize winner) plus something non fiction for leavening. Will try not to dip in and out of tomes and ration internet time, time to rediscover some self discipline.
Eabhal
5
Re: Prices and politics – politicalbetting.com
'With a new UN General Assembly resolution calling for reparations to be paid for the transatlantic slave trade, the British public are opposed to such payments, although ethnic minority adults are supportive in principleI slightly don't think we can afford it!
Black adults: 71% support
Ethnic minority adults: 50%
All adults: 24%
White adults: 19%'
https://x.com/YouGov/status/2037204040916906441?s=20
'Support for slave trade reparations in principle, by 2024 vote
Green: 53%
Labour: 34%
Lib Dem: 28%
Conservative: 7%
Reform: 4%'
https://x.com/YouGov/status/2037204043269898366?s=20



