Best Of
Re: It’s grim in Wales for the Tories & Lib Dems – politicalbetting.com
As I've already said, the WhatsApp backup is fairly unreliable.And comes back to government work being done via a foreign owned service that has known security concerns.
The iCloud backup significantly less so - but it's not clear what backup is being referred to.
In any case, to get the messages back they need to restore them to a new phone that McSweeney owns or has access to. I am not sure how that works from a data privacy POV, whether he can be compelled to restore the backup. I am sure lawyers would know.
It would take a small team (a handful to code it, a handful to run the servers/apps) to setup a fork of Signal that could be hosted on physical U.K. servers. With secured backups of all messages.
Yes, you get a quote for hundreds of millions. But that’s bollocks.
Re: It’s grim in Wales for the Tories & Lib Dems – politicalbetting.com
As I've already said, the WhatsApp backup is fairly unreliable.It's not private date. It is government business and should be on record.
The iCloud backup significantly less so - but it's not clear what backup is being referred to.
In any case, to get the messages back they need to restore them to a new phone that McSweeney owns or has access to. I am not sure how that works from a data privacy POV, whether he can be compelled to restore the backup. I am sure lawyers would know.
Re: It’s grim in Wales for the Tories & Lib Dems – politicalbetting.com
More on this.
"National Savings and Investments is set to pay out £400m to customers following a missing savings scandal first revealed by The Telegraph. The savings bank is in discussions with the Treasury to repay some 37,000 savers whose money is understood to have been misplaced, after failings dating back years. The exact amount to be returned is yet to be determined, with Treasury officials understood to be working with NS&I on the finer points of “a very complex issue”, but it is thought to stretch into the hundreds of millions, potentially £400m."
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/banking/bonds/nsi-faces-400m-bill-over-missing-savings-scandal/
"National Savings and Investments is set to pay out £400m to customers following a missing savings scandal first revealed by The Telegraph. The savings bank is in discussions with the Treasury to repay some 37,000 savers whose money is understood to have been misplaced, after failings dating back years. The exact amount to be returned is yet to be determined, with Treasury officials understood to be working with NS&I on the finer points of “a very complex issue”, but it is thought to stretch into the hundreds of millions, potentially £400m."
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/banking/bonds/nsi-faces-400m-bill-over-missing-savings-scandal/
1
Re: The next defector – politicalbetting.com
On the last thread, @Alanbrooke blamed the UK's low birthrate on its 300,000 abortions per year.What a stupid piece of analysis.
So, I wonderd... is there a correlation between abortion legality and birthrates?
The three European countries -as far as I can tell- with the tightest laws on abortion are: Malta, Poland and Andorra.
In Malta, abortions are only available in the event of imminent danger to the mother's life. In Poland, abortion laws were really tightened up in 2020. And in Andorra they are basically completely illegal.
Malta has a TFR of 1.01. That's significantly worse than the UK. Andorra's TFR isn't much better, it's 1.09.
What about Poland... you'd expect it's TFR to have improved post the tightening of abortion controls, right?
Wrong. Their TFR remains mired at all time lows. In 2024, they had the fewest live births (240,000) in the post WW2 period.
And some of the countries with the least restrictive abortion laws (Bulgaria, France and Ireland) have some of the highest TFRs.
Basically: abortion access and legality don't seem to have any correlation with birthrates.
I didnt say abortion caused the demographic collapse. Thats down to easily accessible contraception, women delaying when to start a family and in the UK lpoliciies which dont support families.
I simply pointed out that murdering 300000 children a year doesnt help population growth. Which is of course true otherwise we would have an extra 7 million citizens in the country since 2000..
Re: It’s grim in Wales for the Tories & Lib Dems – politicalbetting.com
Trump's guarantees aren't worth shit in any event.If the EU can't sort out the €90bn loan pretty soon then Ukraine will be in a difficult situation. Trump and Orban are doing a heck of a job for Putin.
The US has given Ukraine an ultimatum: there will be security guarantees only if Kyiv gives all of Donbas to Putin, — Zelensky.
https://x.com/Heroiam_Slava/status/2036889243180552562
Re: It’s grim in Wales for the Tories & Lib Dems – politicalbetting.com
Well the energy with which he is pushing the election fixing bill through Congress would suggest that he has some awareness of his unpopularity.Is he aware just how bad his polling is now?Yes, I was thinking of that too. Trump is someone who doesn't want to be troubled by uncomfortable truth. We're in a situation where his best anchor on reality might be Fox News updates on the market reaction.See also the daily "cool videos of explosions" breifing that the Donissimo gets each morning;Easier for him not to believe that it's happening I would guess. Is anyone in the administration going to make a big thing about it to force him to confront it? I would doubt it.@jaylyall.bsky.socialThis confuses The Donald.
Russia sending improved Geran-2 drones to Iran, along with intel and humanitarian aid designed to shore up regime. Also looks like they're delivering man-portable anti-aircraft Verba systems
https://bsky.app/profile/jaylyall.bsky.social/post/3mhw3gxqsts2i
This is the sort of thing that makes decision-making so bad in an authoritarian state, and it's one reason why we should think of the US in those terms.
Each day since the start of the war in Iran, U.S. military officials compile a video update for President Donald Trump that shows video of the biggest, most successful strikes on Iranian targets over the previous 48 hours, three current U.S. officials and a former U.S. official said. The daily montage typically runs for about two minutes, sometimes longer, the officials said. One described each daily video as a series of clips of “stuff blowing up.”
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/trumps-daily-iran-video-briefing-fuels-concerns-hes-not-getting-a-full-picture-on-the-war/
I think Trump's judgement is astonishingly bad, but he's also making decisions on the basis of bad information, because he's trained people to lie to him, to not give him bad news.
The obituary can't come soon enough.
More and more Americans seem to be seeing through the charlatan, with the mid terms not that far away now. Once again tonight his aggregate net approval rating as measured by Nate Silver has reached a record low, this time of -16.6%.
https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin
Re: It’s grim in Wales for the Tories & Lib Dems – politicalbetting.com
He answered questions today.More examples of the Speaker, Lindsay Hoyle, reminding Boris to answer the question put forward to him.Also Starmer seems to use the beginning to announce what the govenment has done or achieved recently before questions get going.
There’s no excuse for allowing Keir Starmer to evade every question time and time again during #PMQs
https://x.com/archrose90/status/2036907788140437739?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q
Betty Boothroyd would never have allowed any of this!
He utterly embarrassed Badenoch twice.
Firstly reading her comments when in Government
Secondly scolding er for her complete lack of understanding of the law.
Re: It’s grim in Wales for the Tories & Lib Dems – politicalbetting.com
He even made his problems with HMRC into a joke. A member of the studio audience was an accountant.But he's even made that into a joke.Annoying laugh, though.The successor to Bob Monkhouse is Jimmy Carr. I will die on this hill. Very similar in terms of delivery, dealing with hecklers, being able to think on his feet.That's my all time favourite Monkhouse joke.People were mentioning Bob Monkhouse yesterday on here. Here are three classic Monkhouseisms - I think I heard him give the middle one live -"When I first said I wanted to be a comedian, everybody laughed. They're not laughing now."
- "I'm not saying my wife's a bad cook, but he uses our smoke alarm as a timer"
- "I got a horse for my wife. Fair trade, wouldn't you say?"
- "I still enjoy sex at 74. I live at 75, so it's just across the road"
He was the master of timing.
The only person I can think of who compares -and it's a very, very different kind of humour- is Ricky Gervais.
Only with Ricky, he's throwing in something so wildly outrageous, you can't believe he said it. "Don't worry, I didn't kill her." (And we all know how that one ends.)
"After I rubbed the lamp, the genie misheard my first wish and instead of being hung like a donkey, I laugh like one."
"Oh yeah? Where were you when I needed you?"
Great line, self-deprecating and well delivered, had me in stitches.
Fishing
3
Re: It’s grim in Wales for the Tories & Lib Dems – politicalbetting.com
Early Parks & Recreation, Seinfeld and the US Office were pretty m'eh, before they got the formula right.I think the peep show got funnier as it evolved mainly due to good character foundation in the early episodes . Ditto dad’s army . The very end of only fools and horses was terrible but its zenith was the middle stuff which was better than the early stuff.The same is true of the UK Office.Knowing when to stop is hard. Fawlty towers has so few episodes but is probably better for it.Many series go on too long. Even the last series of Dads Army was pretty much a dud.Early series very funny.Am I the only person on PB who thinks Mrs Browns Boys can be moderately amusing at times?Yes
Gone on 5 or 6 years too long.
The number of series -comedy or drama- that did not go downhill at some point is small indeed. Breaking Bad. The Sopranos. And errrr. That's about it.
rcs1000
1
Re: It’s grim in Wales for the Tories & Lib Dems – politicalbetting.com
@jaylyall.bsky.social
Russia sending improved Geran-2 drones to Iran, along with intel and humanitarian aid designed to shore up regime. Also looks like they're delivering man-portable anti-aircraft Verba systems
https://bsky.app/profile/jaylyall.bsky.social/post/3mhw3gxqsts2i
Russia sending improved Geran-2 drones to Iran, along with intel and humanitarian aid designed to shore up regime. Also looks like they're delivering man-portable anti-aircraft Verba systems
https://bsky.app/profile/jaylyall.bsky.social/post/3mhw3gxqsts2i
Scott_xP
1



