Best Of
Re: The polls close, now the spin and expectations management – politicalbetting.com
I think Labour should be favourites for most seats. That’s all.Was this the night Reform’s dream of government diedUnlikely, unless they do really badly. You're hopelessly carried away by the idea that AB is somehow gonna save this government. Not gonna happen.
Re: The polls close, now the spin and expectations management – politicalbetting.com
Was this the night Reform’s dream of government diedUnlikely, unless they do really badly. You're hopelessly carried away by the idea that AB is somehow gonna save this government. Not gonna happen.
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Re: The polls close, now the spin and expectations management – politicalbetting.com
I suspect Burnham will struggle to keep his new seat at the General Election. But that's a problem for later, if he does win it now.If he's PM at that point, he only loses it as part of a wider Labour wipeout.
If he hasn't achieved his dearest ambition, would he even bother standing?
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Re: The polls close, now the spin and expectations management – politicalbetting.com
Was this the night Reform’s dream of government died
Re: The polls close, now the spin and expectations management – politicalbetting.com
I hear Susan Hall has won in Makerfield
Re: The polls close, now the spin and expectations management – politicalbetting.com
Sweyne Park and Grange, Rochford
Conservative GAIN from Reform UK
🌳 CON: 56.1% (+39.3)
➡️ RFM: 24.8% (-14.7)
🔶 LDM: 13.2% (-3.2)
🌍 GRN: 4.2% (-4.3)
🌹 LAB: 1.7% (-1.9)
Conservative GAIN from Reform UK
🌳 CON: 56.1% (+39.3)
➡️ RFM: 24.8% (-14.7)
🔶 LDM: 13.2% (-3.2)
🌍 GRN: 4.2% (-4.3)
🌹 LAB: 1.7% (-1.9)
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Re: The polls close, now the spin and expectations management – politicalbetting.com
ScotPolTwitter saying Tories have maybe taken Aberdeen South.The odds on that were fairly high even today, ie. Aberdeen South.
Looking like an Andy For Us win in Makerfield.
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Re: The polls close, now the spin and expectations management – politicalbetting.com
Glum SNP sources saying it looks like the Reform vote has collapsed to the Tories as they cast tactical votes to beat the SNP in Aberdeen South
https://x.com/dmscotpol/status/2067734488499593287?s=46&t=Gsn9rlDEZH5vXP97Cgifnw
https://x.com/dmscotpol/status/2067734488499593287?s=46&t=Gsn9rlDEZH5vXP97Cgifnw
HYUFD
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Re: The polls close, now the spin and expectations management – politicalbetting.com
FPT:Yes. Therefore numerous archaeological features dating to the late saxon through to the Tudor period which are used to date the trees and which are used along with palynolgy to rebuild a palaeoenvironment picture through the ages.That's what I've always been told, but it could be wrong...Not according to the archaeology.Yes, I think that's fair. It is a disguised form of short term thinking.Whilst we await the start of Andy Burnham's cautionary tale of 'be careful what you wish for'For many trees in many situations, the best thing to do is to start again, as a steadily rolling programme. Everything has a season; a time to plant and a time to pluck up and whatnot.
Here's my picture of the day - acorn collecting at the Major Oak:
We managed to grow a good number of seedlings on from said acorns for conservation planting, one of which may have ended up in my garden.
Climate change, soil compaction, old age, or fungus? I don't suppose anyone is quite sure yet. It might have been better to coppice it rather than propping up the limbs. It was almost certainly coppiced in the past.
A few weeks ago, one of the (possibly 1930s) street trees in our (definitely 1930s) street keeled over; it was the most exciting thing to happen in our road since Clap For Carers. But the gaps in the pattern are becoming increasingly obvious. But it feels very British to unsucessfully try to preserve old things beyond their lifespan and not create things that future generations might enjoy as old things.
The Major Oak would have been part of a woodland pasture, with only scattered trees, many of which would have been managed by coppicing. It became encircled by woodland only within the last 100 years or so, and during that time has probably been over-preserved as well as over-visited. The whole context in which the vast majority of its life was lived has gone, so we were preserving something that was already lost, much like keeping a building beyond its purpose.
If you want to see what it should have looked like, Windsor Great Park is probably your best bet.
Early photographs of the tree show it in a parkland setting. Is there evidence that the tree predates the creation of the pasture?
Re: The polls close, now the spin and expectations management – politicalbetting.com
Conservatives will be hoping this is a good omen for tonight:
Election Maps UK
@ElectionMapsUK
·
3m
Sweyne Park & Grange (Rochford) Council By-Election Result:
🌳 CON: 56.1% (+39.3)
➡️ RFM: 24.8% (-14.9)
🔶 LDM: 13.2% (-3.3)
🌍 GRN: 4.2% (-3.9)
🌹 LAB: 1.7% (-1.9)
No Loc (-15.2) as previous.
Conservative GAIN from Reform.
Changes w/ 2026.
Election Maps UK
@ElectionMapsUK
·
3m
Sweyne Park & Grange (Rochford) Council By-Election Result:
🌳 CON: 56.1% (+39.3)
➡️ RFM: 24.8% (-14.9)
🔶 LDM: 13.2% (-3.3)
🌍 GRN: 4.2% (-3.9)
🌹 LAB: 1.7% (-1.9)
No Loc (-15.2) as previous.
Conservative GAIN from Reform.
Changes w/ 2026.

