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When did the Tories last gain a Westminster seat? Must be an age ago...

Hartlepool in 2021.

Last time the Tories gained a seat in a Scottish by election though was 1948 so huge boost for Kemi if the Aberdeen South reports are correct

It would be a shock if Tories didn't win

SNP rocked by scandal and popular MP gone

Labour deeply unpopular everywhere

Reform not that strong further north

Not LD or Green territory.

Tories have abandoned English By Elections on North thrown massive effort in to Aberdeen

Badenoch been 3 times.

If SNP held would be a big shock

It'll be a shock to punters who had the SNP as favourites until about 10pm.

Indeed, fair play to you if a Tory win is a final result. I didn't have any money on but thought it would be fairly close either way

Journos on twitter starting to report higher Tory piles than SNP ones in the count centre

I had a gut feeling the Scottish Conservatives could gain Aberdeen South from the start especially when they selected Douglas Lumsden to fight the seat so I bet on that outcome. I also thought from the start of the campaign that both the SNP and Reform had picked the wrong candidates to fight this seat as well.


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Scott Wortley@Scott_Wortley
I think Conservatives will win Aberdeen South and it will come as a huge shock to the UK media because they have not paid attention to the Holyrood result in the area, relatively poor SNP turnout in recent scottish by elections, & name recognition as councillor and MSP re Lumsden