Best Of
Re: Squaring the Circle – politicalbetting.com
Ukraine is doing a good job of showing the insecurity of that supply. Anyone continuing to do so has only themselves to blame if the supply ends mid-winter.Some countries, I think Austria is one, had no alternative for gas at the beginning of the war, especially when they are landlocked. But that does not excuse them not having worked harder to massively reduce that dependence, if not totally stop it. But AFAIAA that would involve building new pipelines, which is not quick, easy or inexpensive.It's basically a sign of a lack of seriousness in supporting Ukraine to fight the war when so much money is being handed over to Russia.If this is true I am shocked, though I probably shouldn't be.It's terrible that the EU - and particularly a handful of countries (*) have not weaned themselves off Russian O&G. But surely the figures above are not all profit to the Russian government, as there would be hefty production costs.
European Union imports of Russian fossil fuel last year, €21.9 billion, exceeded European Union financial aid to Ukraine, €18.7 billion.
https://nitter.poast.org/PhilipWegmann/status/1957450514364305775#m
(*) Some for good reasons; others for bad
The first line of a strategy for victory would be to stop sending money to Russia.
Other countries are importing Russian oil and/or gas (LNG) with very little excuse aside from blatant financial self-interest.
Re: Squaring the Circle – politicalbetting.com
Latest from the minister who increased all this:So it's only activist judges when it goes the way Jenrick likes it?
Robert Jenrick
@RobertJenrick
Congratulations to the people of Epping!
They protested. They were smeared. But they have won.
The solution, however, cannot be to move the illegal migrants and force them on another community.
This has gone on far too long. The country is well past breaking point. The last Government didn’t listen and failed. Starmer’s making it even worse.
Change the laws. Get third country deals. Deport everyone who’s come here illegally. End this.

2
Re: Squaring the Circle – politicalbetting.com
My mother (OGH's wife) has fairly advanced dementia. But she had always been absolutely insistent that she would not be moved to a home.@stodge - as always - raises another very important point.Again in my experience, Granny is often cared for by Grandpa, or vice versa. Working age people pop in at intervals, whether family or state. I myself (then working full time) helped my father care for my mother, then had to stop work (=retire early) to care for my father.
If granny* is not in a care home, then someone is going to be looking after her. And if it's not the state, then it's likely to be somebody of working age. In which case, we're stuffing the dependeny ratio again... just in a different way.
* Assuming she has dementia or is otherwise unable to look after herself.
OGH did all the caring for a long while. But now his mobility is not good, and so we have live in care. My sister has also given up her job so as to help support my mother.
So, sure, spouses play a significant role. But spouses can't always keep providing needed care forever.

13
Re: Squaring the Circle – politicalbetting.com
Ukraine can blow up more pipelines, EU can bring in rules etc on sanctions and anyone breaking them gets chucked out.Hang on: remember Hungary is basically a full out supporter of Russia. How is the EU supposed to stop them from importing Russian oil and gas?It's basically a sign of a lack of seriousness in supporting Ukraine to fight the war when so much money is being handed over to Russia.If this is true I am shocked, though I probably shouldn't be.It's terrible that the EU - and particularly a handful of countries (*) have not weaned themselves off Russian O&G. But surely the figures above are not all profit to the Russian government, as there would be hefty production costs.
European Union imports of Russian fossil fuel last year, €21.9 billion, exceeded European Union financial aid to Ukraine, €18.7 billion.
https://nitter.poast.org/PhilipWegmann/status/1957450514364305775#m
(*) Some for good reasons; others for bad
The first line of a strategy for victory would be to stop sending money to Russia.

1
Re: Squaring the Circle – politicalbetting.com
I was told, he is absolutely going mental about them under performing. As for he thinks the bubble is popping, bit odd to be going around offering people footballer money with $100m's long term deals to join. Somebody was reportedly offered a $1bn contract recently. They also recently spent $15bn on scale.aiOr Zuck and his team have realised the Bubble is real, and are looking at ways of reducing their exposure when it pops...META to restructure its AI divisionI was told by somebody in the know the Zuck had got increasingly grumpy about performance of their AI models and is constantly on the staff backs about why not doing better on such and such benchmark like the other AI labs.
https://x.com/nytimes/status/1957844403415921118?s=61
It sounded all a bit Gavin Belson in Silicon Valley TV show.
Re: Squaring the Circle – politicalbetting.com
It's basically a sign of a lack of seriousness in supporting Ukraine to fight the war when so much money is being handed over to Russia.If this is true I am shocked, though I probably shouldn't be.It's terrible that the EU - and particularly a handful of countries (*) have not weaned themselves off Russian O&G. But surely the figures above are not all profit to the Russian government, as there would be hefty production costs.
European Union imports of Russian fossil fuel last year, €21.9 billion, exceeded European Union financial aid to Ukraine, €18.7 billion.
https://nitter.poast.org/PhilipWegmann/status/1957450514364305775#m
(*) Some for good reasons; others for bad
The first line of a strategy for victory would be to stop sending money to Russia.
Re: Squaring the Circle – politicalbetting.com
I was slightly surprised to hear that the trigger for the riots was one of the asylum seekers at the hostel being charged with sexual assault of a 14 year old girl. The impression I had received was that it was just at the mere presence of the hostel. That puts a rather different spin on the issue.Epping is going to end up at the Supreme Court (UK version) isn't it?The return of Baroness Hale and her brooch? 😂

1
Re: Squaring the Circle – politicalbetting.com
Ed Davey says that calling Palestine Action terrorists is wrong. Good.Would you accept that they committed treason in attacking and causing many hundreds of thousands of pounds of damage to RAF equipment?
Re: Squaring the Circle – politicalbetting.com
Congratulations and well done Robert. After three hours we are still mostly on topic. It could be a PB record! Helped by Leon still being offline, thankfully.Desertion is a pretty serious offense.How do you stop them running away?There’s plenty of military land out there, not technically difficult to have the Army fence off an area and put up 10,000 tents in a couple of weeks. They do this in other countries, and the COVID emergency plans had something similar domestically.Detain them at popup camps with high fences until they can be deported.BreakingThe problem is where do you put them and won’t this act as a green light for protests at other hotels .
High Court awards temporary injunction to Epping Council to block migrant housing in hotel
It’s a political will issue, not an equipment and logistics issue.
Re: Squaring the Circle – politicalbetting.com
The oil comes via the Druzhba pipeline that runs through... Belarus and Ukraine. It doesn't pass through the EU at any point.I forgot that Russia borders Hungary.Hang on: remember Hungary is basically a full out supporter of Russia. How is the EU supposed to stop them from importing Russian oil and gas?It's basically a sign of a lack of seriousness in supporting Ukraine to fight the war when so much money is being handed over to Russia.If this is true I am shocked, though I probably shouldn't be.It's terrible that the EU - and particularly a handful of countries (*) have not weaned themselves off Russian O&G. But surely the figures above are not all profit to the Russian government, as there would be hefty production costs.
European Union imports of Russian fossil fuel last year, €21.9 billion, exceeded European Union financial aid to Ukraine, €18.7 billion.
https://nitter.poast.org/PhilipWegmann/status/1957450514364305775#m
(*) Some for good reasons; others for bad
The first line of a strategy for victory would be to stop sending money to Russia.

1