Best Of
Re: Operation Epstein Fury is achieving its goals – politicalbetting.com
Don't use Google translate to communicate with your assassins.
Lost in translation: How Russia’s new elite hit squad was compromised by an idiotic lapse in tradecraft
https://theins.press/en/inv/290235
Lost in translation: How Russia’s new elite hit squad was compromised by an idiotic lapse in tradecraft
https://theins.press/en/inv/290235
Nigelb
1
Re: Operation Epstein Fury is achieving its goals – politicalbetting.com
Darren JohnsonThey could lose seats in places like Suffolk and Herefordshire.
@DarrenJohnson66
This has been a pattern in local by-elections for a while now. Greens are making gains in some areas but losing seats in others. I suspect pattern will continue into the local elections as the party's prime mission changes from an ecologically-based party to a left populist one.
https://x.com/DarrenJohnson66/status/2032370773495586909
1
Re: Operation Epstein Fury is achieving its goals – politicalbetting.com
Re YouGov etc
Ranges for each party with pollsters reporting in March
Ref 7 points
Con 4 points
Lab 7 points
Grn 10 points
LD 4 points
There is nothing unusual in Yougovs findings compared to any other party variations
The difference is Reform are whining little bitches when things aren't going their way
Ranges for each party with pollsters reporting in March
Ref 7 points
Con 4 points
Lab 7 points
Grn 10 points
LD 4 points
There is nothing unusual in Yougovs findings compared to any other party variations
The difference is Reform are whining little bitches when things aren't going their way
Re: Operation Epstein Fury is achieving its goals – politicalbetting.com
Being open to thinking the unthinkable is not the same thing as believing the unbelievable.Liz Truss WAS RIGHT.I only see politics as that partisan when forced to do it. There’s good and bad in all parties. With the exception of of those racist fucks in Restore Britain.A long dark tea-time of the political soul. Had a very productive day working with my business partners / friends on our new business. Next week is a BIG week in our ambitions.Hmm. I can only repeat my previous question: what Lib Dem policies do you now no longer believe, and what Conservative policies do you now believe which you did not believe before? Politics isn't ties.
Spent lunchtime walking round the lake with my friend of 16 years who has clearly drifted right in his perspective. And it's entertaining how my own perspective continues to slide to the right once someone who knows how I think challenges me.
Last time I thought about the Tories positively was in the early days of Boris, and look how badly that turned out...
Oh God No! lol
I was a liberal inside the Labour Party for a while. And now I find myself on the Orange Book end of the LibDems as opposed to the SDP end.
It’s not about specific policies or even people. It’s about feel. And what has my feel been for a while? I really liked Rishi Sunak and told him that when I met him as Chancellor. even if he ended up utterly ineffective as PM. I keep saying “Liz Truss was right” to provoke the need to think the unthinkable. Even if she was bonkers. Etc
And well done for saying so.
Nigelb
2
Re: Operation Epstein Fury is achieving its goals – politicalbetting.com
You are utterly wrong.The UK doesn't have to do any of that.UK is now in this situation up to its eyebrows, whether it likes how things got here or not. The UK has to send a small armada to the gulf to keep the straits of Hormuz open in our national interest, as well as ground troops, boots on the ground alongside our coalition of allies, as the only way to go after and silence the threat to the tankers.Naval assistance possibly but even that may not be possibleThat was the President on the streets, not the person in charge."Iran Supreme Leader likely disfigured" ... HegsethAs he is filmed walking down a street shaking hands with the public
I've had enough of this, I think.
Only question - when?
My mum likes Hesketh.
The whole conflict has changed now, from what it was last weekend. UK didn’t have much of a stake in it last weekend, but now it’s about the straits of hormooz and keeping the oil flowing, US are committing ground troops up to five thousand of them. The UK is now going to have to put Warships in the gulf to play active role keeping the oil flowing, and grounds troops alongside the Americans in order to go after where the threats to tankers are coming from. Arn’t we?
The French have more naval ships in the area
However, it only takes a couple of tankers to be sunk in the narrow navigable channel to close the straits indefinitely
When you look at the bigger picture here, where this is naturally progressing - there’s no ceasefire nor regime change, just ongoing conflict from this point, with action by allies to secure passage of oil.
What are people seeing as the bigger picture and direction of travel and natural progression of the national interest if you are not seeing it like this?
You were the first one posted it yesterday, BigG and it’s on the front of the papers today, what I described here is exactly what you told us is the thinking of the UK Minister for Defence. 🤷♀️
Not in the slightest.
The problem is, if the straits remain closed the next 6 months to a year, every single household and business in UK will feel it. Businesses will be destroyed. Inflation, especially energy bills and food prices will become rampant, perhaps even worse than the last energy crisis because this one ramps up more quickly and has power to be bigger and it’s route cause open ended. Every single media outlet today is saying recession for UK is now inevitable - but what’s coming can be a magnitude beyond mere recession, the economy actually wrecked in up to a year of negative growth, high interest payments, ever rising unemployment simultaneous with ever rising prices - a crisis on government actually being able to get more borrowing in order to pay our bills and service our growing debt - the sort of slump that leaves scars upon generations.
There’s what I described, as a plan to deal with the problem., which you just said no to - What’s the alternative plan? More borrowing and handouts to try and ease the pain, instead of going to the gulf with allies and dealing with the cause at source and clear it up as quick as possible.
The last attempt at throwing money at credit crisis, nearly £100Bn thrown at it by the conservatives, one tenth paid by windall tax, the rest was borrowing. The group of Labour MPs who have called for a 2p rise on tax for help with bills need to be recalled and thrown out of politics, for being criminally dumb to think that would raise anything other than a mere fraction of £100Bn of help used last time. We can’t have Labour MPs as totally thick as that plan remaining in Parliament, they need to be identified and removed.
Your position is clearly: don’t listen to MoonRabbit, we don’t need to do that. No proactive action is needed on the actual cause of all our pain and ruin. Have a cup of tea and doing nothing everything will turn out all right.
The electorate will listen to me, not you.
Re: Operation Epstein Fury is achieving its goals – politicalbetting.com
Useful 10 minutes from Times Radio on YouTube on Reform and polling with Peter Kellner. Why is Reform lower with YouGov?
Reasons:
1) YouGov ask how people would vote 'in their constituency' as well as the open question, and the results are a bit lower for Reform.
2) They weight a bit for more women than men being DK (22% against 10%), but who nonetheless vote and are less likely than men to vote Reform.
Kellner also opines that Left of Centre is keener on tactical voting than Right of Centre, but some LOC people hate Labour so much now that this is a bit wavering.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZL0gMybVVNw
Reasons:
1) YouGov ask how people would vote 'in their constituency' as well as the open question, and the results are a bit lower for Reform.
2) They weight a bit for more women than men being DK (22% against 10%), but who nonetheless vote and are less likely than men to vote Reform.
Kellner also opines that Left of Centre is keener on tactical voting than Right of Centre, but some LOC people hate Labour so much now that this is a bit wavering.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZL0gMybVVNw
Re: Operation Epstein Fury is achieving its goals – politicalbetting.com
My mum hates Hegseth. And Trump. And Netanyahu.That was the President on the streets, not the person in charge."Iran Supreme Leader likely disfigured" ... HegsethAs he is filmed walking down a street shaking hands with the public
I've had enough of this, I think.
Only question - when?
My mum likes Hesketh.
Re: Operation Epstein Fury is achieving its goals – politicalbetting.com
https://x.com/visegrad24/status/2032502614709899599The guy is a moron.
REPORTER:
“Are the Ukrainians helping us with drone defense?”
TRUMP:
“We don’t need their help in drone defense. We know more about drones than anybody. We have the best drones in the world, actually”
Re: Operation Epstein Fury is achieving its goals – politicalbetting.com
I am fearful there might be some sort of thought osmosis being transferred from Elon Musk to Rochdale Pioneers via your car.I only see politics as that partisan when forced to do it. There’s good and bad in all parties. With the exception of of those racist fucks in Restore Britain.A long dark tea-time of the political soul. Had a very productive day working with my business partners / friends on our new business. Next week is a BIG week in our ambitions.Hmm. I can only repeat my previous question: what Lib Dem policies do you now no longer believe, and what Conservative policies do you now believe which you did not believe before? Politics isn't ties.
Spent lunchtime walking round the lake with my friend of 16 years who has clearly drifted right in his perspective. And it's entertaining how my own perspective continues to slide to the right once someone who knows how I think challenges me.
Last time I thought about the Tories positively was in the early days of Boris, and look how badly that turned out...
Oh God No! lol
I was a liberal inside the Labour Party for a while. And now I find myself on the Orange Book end of the LibDems as opposed to the SDP end.
It’s not about specific policies or even people. It’s about feel. And what has my feel been for a while? I really liked Rishi Sunak and told him that when I met him as Chancellor. even if he ended up utterly ineffective as PM. I keep saying “Liz Truss was right” to provoke the need to think the unthinkable. Even if she was bonkers. Etc
Re: Operation Epstein Fury is achieving its goals – politicalbetting.com
In what dream-like scenario of yours does the UK make the difference between the Straits staying open or not?You are utterly wrong.The UK doesn't have to do any of that.UK is now in this situation up to its eyebrows, whether it likes how things got here or not. The UK has to send a small armada to the gulf to keep the straits of Hormuz open in our national interest, as well as ground troops, boots on the ground alongside our coalition of allies, as the only way to go after and silence the threat to the tankers.Naval assistance possibly but even that may not be possibleThat was the President on the streets, not the person in charge."Iran Supreme Leader likely disfigured" ... HegsethAs he is filmed walking down a street shaking hands with the public
I've had enough of this, I think.
Only question - when?
My mum likes Hesketh.
The whole conflict has changed now, from what it was last weekend. UK didn’t have much of a stake in it last weekend, but now it’s about the straits of hormooz and keeping the oil flowing, US are committing ground troops up to five thousand of them. The UK is now going to have to put Warships in the gulf to play active role keeping the oil flowing, and grounds troops alongside the Americans in order to go after where the threats to tankers are coming from. Arn’t we?
The French have more naval ships in the area
However, it only takes a couple of tankers to be sunk in the narrow navigable channel to close the straits indefinitely
When you look at the bigger picture here, where this is naturally progressing - there’s no ceasefire nor regime change, just ongoing conflict from this point, with action by allies to secure passage of oil.
What are people seeing as the bigger picture and direction of travel and natural progression of the national interest if you are not seeing it like this?
You were the first one posted it yesterday, BigG and it’s on the front of the papers today, what I described here is exactly what you told us is the thinking of the UK Minister for Defence. 🤷♀️
Not in the slightest.
The problem is, if the straits remain closed the next 6 months to a year, every single household and business in UK will feel it. Businesses will be destroyed. Inflation, especially energy bills and food prices will become rampant, perhaps even worse than the last energy crisis because this one ramps up more quickly and has power to be bigger and it’s route cause open ended. Every single media outlet today is saying recession for UK is now inevitable - but what’s coming can be a magnitude beyond mere recession, the economy actually wrecked in up to a year of negative growth, high interest payments, ever rising unemployment simultaneous with ever rising prices - a crisis on government actually being able to get more borrowing in order to pay our bills and service our growing debt - the sort of slump that leaves scars upon generations.
There’s what I described, as a plan to deal with the problem., which you just said no to - What’s the alternative plan? More borrowing and handouts to try and ease the pain, instead of going to the gulf with allies and dealing with the cause at source and clear it up as quick as possible.
The last attempt at throwing money at credit crisis, nearly £100Bn thrown at it by the conservatives, one tenth paid by windall tax, the rest was borrowing. The group of Labour MPs who have called for a 2p rise on tax for help with bills need to be recalled and thrown out of politics, for being criminally dumb to think that would raise anything other than a mere fraction of £100Bn of help used last time. We can’t have Labour MPs as totally thick as that plan remaining in Parliament, they need to be identified and removed.
Your position is clearly: don’t listen to MoonRabbit, we don’t need to do that. No proactive action is needed on the actual cause of all our pain and ruin. Have a cup of tea and doing nothing everything will turn out all right.
The electorate will listen to me, not you.


