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Re: The Dire Straits of Hormuz – politicalbetting.com
Just read that there's a retired IDF general called Uzi Dayan, most IDF name ever. I guess our equivalent would be something like Sten Montgomery.
Re: The Dire Straits of Hormuz – politicalbetting.com
Drone boat hits US tanker.If only someone could have predicted how this would play out. Oh wait; we all did.
Well done Trump and Bibi. Playing a blinder
https://x.com/bricsinfo/status/2032063714346627283?s=46&t=d8CnRhyZJ-m4vy0k55W8XQ
Running down the Iranian stock of weapons by seeing them used again allied nations and allied shipping is just the sort of unconventional strategy that made Trump the unsuccessful businessman he is today.
2
Re: The Dire Straits of Hormuz – politicalbetting.com
OT If you will excuse the plug
A couple of my mates are taking part in the Doddie Weir Triple Crown Challenge riding from Melrose to Dublin via Leeds, Gloucester, Pembroke and Rosslare. The teams are carrying the match ball for the Ireland-Scotland 6 Nations game and are doing 800 miles in 4 days. Currently they are slogging through the Welsh Mountains in high winds and suffering a bit. So far in the 3 days they have raised over a million quid for MND research and, having a friend with MND this is close to my heart. If you fancy supporting the page is at:
https://www.justgiving.com/campaign/triplecrown26
A couple of my mates are taking part in the Doddie Weir Triple Crown Challenge riding from Melrose to Dublin via Leeds, Gloucester, Pembroke and Rosslare. The teams are carrying the match ball for the Ireland-Scotland 6 Nations game and are doing 800 miles in 4 days. Currently they are slogging through the Welsh Mountains in high winds and suffering a bit. So far in the 3 days they have raised over a million quid for MND research and, having a friend with MND this is close to my heart. If you fancy supporting the page is at:
https://www.justgiving.com/campaign/triplecrown26
Re: The Dire Straits of Hormuz – politicalbetting.com
Trump starting to claim that ending the war he started with Iran will be the ninth he has ended.The populist right spent so much time celebrating Trump’s electoral successes that they now find themselves tied to his policy failures. I don’t see anyone in Reform UK laying out a vision for right-wing populism that can stand separate to the example of Trump. (Le Pen in France and Meloni in Italy do better at presenting a Trump-critical positioning.)
Re: The Dire Straits of Hormuz – politicalbetting.com
Production Costs and retail price are two different things and the retail price is determined by many factors. Political wonks blame companies as it’s easier than recognising their decisions cause these thingsSo the 100 dollars a barrel is an indication of price gouging by the oil companies?Wrong on every question.There's more than enough currently being pumped to last 30 yearsMeanwhile Loony Ed won't let us delevop the north sea. He really is bonkers.We will need oil and gas for a lot longer so will end up importing more and many billions of lost revenueIf we haven't ransitioned away from burning fossil fuels in the next 20 years, we're fucked. A bit of tax revenue won't make up for that.I just do not agree that we impoverish ourselves when realistically we are only responsible for 1% of emissionsRichard is an expert on geology, but he's also an AGW sceptic which I suspect colours his opinions. The problem is that from a climate point of view, we simply don't have a much longer time frame. A transition to renewables over a much longer time frame will ultimately result in world in which we failed to avert most of the effects of climate change.You are the expert on this, and those who are net zero zealots need to listen to reason and accept the transition, which most everyone supports, needs to be viewed over a much longer time frameGet off fossil fuels is not exactly a new idea is it.Given the UK has not taken part in the strikes on Iran I expect Starmer can largely blame Trump if the oil price rise leads to increased cost of living at home. Though he might want to sack Ed Miliband and push for more oil drills in the North Sea just to be on the safe side!I think the point is that regardless of his total blamelessness for this global crisis, the voters will blame him.
Also FFS the whole point of the renewables transition is to isolate the UK from these oil price shocks. Spain and Portugal will fare better, having decoupled their energy market from gas prices, generally Ed Milliband is right, on some of the details CCS, floating wind, he's not, but generally big picture "get off fossil fuels" is correct. Support and guidance on better options, not opposition.
But on practially every aspect of the detail EdM has been wrong.
He is wrong to stop North Sea drilling and rely on imports of hydorcarbons
He is wrong to ignore Tidal power and geothermal as viable renewable sources.
He is wrong to continue with the old 'National Grid' model when we need to be looking at localised power sources for day to day provision and use the grid as a backup
He is wrong to pursue CCS - a technology with massive flaws which is having billions thrown at it for absolutely no return.
He is wrong to pursue North Sea electrification, a hugely expensive and pointless idea that is driving companies to shut down viable assets years ahead of time
Basically in every detailed decision he has made he has been wrong.
We should be extracting as much oil and gas as we can from the North Sea as are Norway, and I see no condemnation of Norway
Climate change is happening, but preventing our use of the North sea for tax revenues over the next 20 years is lunacy
Stop distorting the truth
Are the current wells dry?
Have they stopped producing!?
Are they producing oil cheaper than global markets?
If any answer is not NO
Come back and enlighten us plesse
Yes current wells are running dry and need replacing. I have explained on here before it is called maintaining the plateau and it is something we are failing to do. Hence the reason I am involved with shutting down otherwise viable fields and platforms.
Yes the wells have stopped producing. Wells have a finite existence and continualy need to be replaced.
Yes we can produce oil far cheaper than the global market. Current costs are about 25 to 30 dollars a barrel including all costs both offshore and onshore.
So sorry you are completely wrong on this.
Taz
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Re: The Dire Straits of Hormuz – politicalbetting.com
Are you suggesting the US missiles are untargetted?Secretary of War Crimes Pete Hegseth:Any evidence at all for the US “targeting” civilians?
“Terrorist regimes target civilians, we do not.”
According to UNICEF the U.S. has already hit 20 schools, 10 hospitals, and killed over 1,300 civilians including 300 children
I think you'll find they hit the buildings they were aimed at, so your next excuse is "human shields", last resort is "intelligence failures". The pictures of some bombed areas in Lebanon and Tehran, it's clearly housing, there's still washing hanging out on some intact balconies.
Just have the grace to admit that Israel and the US are bombing cities and they don't really care if they kill civilians.
Re: The Dire Straits of Hormuz – politicalbetting.com
They don't like being carpet-bombed?That doesn’t stop Iran from having “fun” in on their borders.Deal with your investments accordingly...There is an off ramp (whether it is realistic or not)
Danny (Dennis) Citrinowicz ,داني سيترينوفيتش
@citrinowicz
It is becoming increasingly clear that there is no realistic off-ramp to the current confrontation with Iran.
https://x.com/citrinowicz/status/2032021550283489550
Congress could rediscover their constitutional role in war, tell the World the war is over, impeach the Mad King and all of his cabinet.
That’s the core issue here, it takes 2 to tango and both sides need to de-escalate - why would Iran do that at the moment
They were mainly behaving beforehand.
There's a lot to be said for diplomacy, which is the fine art of discussion in order to delay, divert, defuse conflict. It has to be understood that it's a continuous process though.
Re: The Dire Straits of Hormuz – politicalbetting.com
It is obvious the US are responsible for this terrible actWell maybe the person who posted "Reports on social media say the school was bombed by the IRCG and not by the Israelis or the Americans" needs to look in the mirror. There was also some pretty derogatory stuff about the girls by a couple of posters.We are not known to agree, but the girls school is just horrible as is Gaza and those guilty men, as they are all men, need to be charged in the international courts and includes Netanyahu, Hamas and Hezbollah leaders, Iran's regime and let's not forget Putin and TrumpSo you've gone native?British man who ‘filmed missiles’ in Dubai faces two years in jailFilming air defence locations. More than a subtle difference.
Tourists risk two years in prison for posting about Iranian strikes on social media
A British man arrested after allegedly filming missiles targeting Dubai is one of 21 people who have been charged under cybercrime laws.
The 60-year-old man, whose arrest on Monday was first reported by The Telegraph, is said to have deleted the video from his phone immediately when asked. He claims he had no intention of doing anything wrong.
However, the Londoner has been charged together with 20 others in connection with videos and social media posts relating to recent Iranian missile strikes on the United Arab Emirates, according to campaign group Detained in Dubai.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/03/12/dubai-charges-british-man-arrested-for-filming-missiles/
Don’t film military activity in any country, ever. Including the UK.
That particular “campaign group” has about as much credibility as a Guardian article on someone who was deported.
When the bombing of the girls school was first reported a poster on here said it was an Iranian bomb that had gone wrong and linked to a site by a well known' Israeli sympathetic' misinformer. Pretty disgraceful really. Maybe he should apologise?
Then a link to 'THE IRCG HAS ADMITTED THAT THE SCHOOL WAS HIT BY ONE OF IT'S OWN ANTI AIRCRAFT MISSILES' A clear and obvious invention.
I won't name the poster who posted this tripe but the person linked to was Jonathon Foreman
Re: The Dire Straits of Hormuz – politicalbetting.com
Richard is an expert on geology, but he's also an AGW sceptic which I suspect colours his opinions. The problem is that from a climate point of view, we simply don't have a much longer time frame. A transition to renewables over a much longer time frame will ultimately result in world in which we failed to avert most of the effects of climate change.You are the expert on this, and those who are net zero zealots need to listen to reason and accept the transition, which most everyone supports, needs to be viewed over a much longer time frameGet off fossil fuels is not exactly a new idea is it.Given the UK has not taken part in the strikes on Iran I expect Starmer can largely blame Trump if the oil price rise leads to increased cost of living at home. Though he might want to sack Ed Miliband and push for more oil drills in the North Sea just to be on the safe side!I think the point is that regardless of his total blamelessness for this global crisis, the voters will blame him.
Also FFS the whole point of the renewables transition is to isolate the UK from these oil price shocks. Spain and Portugal will fare better, having decoupled their energy market from gas prices, generally Ed Milliband is right, on some of the details CCS, floating wind, he's not, but generally big picture "get off fossil fuels" is correct. Support and guidance on better options, not opposition.
But on practially every aspect of the detail EdM has been wrong.
He is wrong to stop North Sea drilling and rely on imports of hydorcarbons
He is wrong to ignore Tidal power and geothermal as viable renewable sources.
He is wrong to continue with the old 'National Grid' model when we need to be looking at localised power sources for day to day provision and use the grid as a backup
He is wrong to pursue CCS - a technology with massive flaws which is having billions thrown at it for absolutely no return.
He is wrong to pursue North Sea electrification, a hugely expensive and pointless idea that is driving companies to shut down viable assets years ahead of time
Basically in every detailed decision he has made he has been wrong.
Re: The Dire Straits of Hormuz – politicalbetting.com
It doesn't sound to me like an issue with the payments, but with the app pulling data from different people's accounts.Thank Allah I don’t work for the Lloyds Banking Group.Having worked in the sector for many years and seen many a failed overnight run or log in issues, this is a VERY VERY rare occurence and somewhat inexplicable.
Some customers using Bank of Scotland, Lloyds and Halifax apps have been able to see other users' transactions on their accounts.
Lloyds Banking Group customers reported being able to view charges and payments from other sources on Thursday morning.
A Lloyds Banking Group spokesperson apologised for the issue and said the incident had been quickly resolved.
An investigation is under way.
One woman told BBC Scotland News she was able to see the accounts of six different users on the Bank of Scotland app, including some National Insurance numbers, over a 20-minute period.
Those included transactions from a pub in Newcastle, 154 miles from her home in Kirkcaldy, Fife, fees for using one card abroad and wage payments from a company based in England.
The 55-year-old also reported being able to view benefits payments from the Department of Work and Pensions (DWP), which use the National Insurance numbers of recipients as a payment reference.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c4g23npxpwgo
To lose or drop a complete file is one thing, to transpose payments between secure accounts on that file is bizarre!
I must declare it's been 15 years since I was in FinServ but having intimate knowlege of the back end systems like Fiserv, this is deeply concerning and not immediately explainable.
How they back these errors out , correct and investigate fully GOD KNOWS!
My only logical explanation is that if the payments are all Government / Tax / Pension body related - the error may lie with them , not with the Bank that has received the payments in good faith?
That's an error that shouldn't really be possible either, but could be an issue with someone mangling a SQL join for reasons best known to themselves.




