Best Of
Re: This bet makes me disgusted in myself – politicalbetting.com
The best psychoanalysis I've seen of him is by David Herdson, late of this parish.@atrupar.comYou voted for this, America.
Trump: “Robert Mueller just died. Good, I’m glad he’s dead. He can no longer hurt innocent people! President DONALD J. TRUMP”
Hang your fucking head in shame.
Trump secretly hates himself.
Re: This bet makes me disgusted in myself – politicalbetting.com
My view of things is:https://x.com/johnrentoul/status/2035323538601636006You're more likely to be right than wrong, but only because a leadership election called in May would not be decided until June or July depending on the timetable, and Starmer's political instincts are so lousy that he might choose to contest the election rather than stand down in the face of the inevitable. He needs zero nominations from MPs to be on the ballot paper.
British politics in a nutshell, by @mrianleslie ian-leslie.com/p/against-intr…
I’m quite confident Sir Keir will outlast May.
He won’t be challenged at all. And he’ll quit of his own accord in 2027/2028.
But if he is challenged, he will quit.
Re: This bet makes me disgusted in myself – politicalbetting.com
Blimp is a great film, but isn’t the end quite philosophical, the arc of a life with all that entails, and some wisdom gained?It’s definitely one of my all time top films. “Blimp” always reminds me of one of my grandfathers and old school headmasters with the combination of discipline, good heart and no-nonsense.BTW for all Colonel Blimp fans/detractors, I saw today that it’s on iPlayer.It is a brilliant film, well worth a watch, not just in its technique but also for its positive depiction of the Germans in a wartime film. General Winstanley comes over as out dated, but always as likeable, loyal and kind hearted.
It’s actually quite a sad film when you think about the evolution of the characters, youth to age, superiority to being broken, useful to mocked as useless.
Re: This bet makes me disgusted in myself – politicalbetting.com
5/11/24 will, I'm afraid, go down in history as one of those days. The hope - which I totally have because they’re a great country - is they find a way to clean up the bed on which they have so comprehensively shat.@atrupar.comYou voted for this, America.
Trump: “Robert Mueller just died. Good, I’m glad he’s dead. He can no longer hurt innocent people! President DONALD J. TRUMP”
Hang your fucking head in shame.
kinabalu
1
Re: This bet makes me disgusted in myself – politicalbetting.com
Trump wants to be the centre of attention.
And we keep falling for it. Every single time.
And we keep falling for it. Every single time.
Re: This bet makes me disgusted in myself – politicalbetting.com
The Ukrainian jets have an excellent record at taking down cruise missiles.If these figures are correct, why are we bothering to deploy any fast jets to the region ?The fast jets should be used to intercept cruise missiles and similar, rather than drones.
While high-end assets like THAAD and the F-35 grab all the headlines, a "blue-collar" hero, as I like to call it, is quietly winning the drone war every night. The RAF Regiment’s Rapid Sentry system, deployed around Erbil, Iraq, has notched an incredible tally of ~50 Iranian drone intercepts since February 28. To put that in perspective, Rapid Sentry has downed roughly 10 times as many drones as the RAF’s fighter jets in the same theater! It’s the ultimate goalkeeper: a VSHORAD designed exclusively to tackle low and slow threats like the Shahed-136...
https://x.com/RealAirPower1/status/2035389347248148717
Also, Rapid Sentry is a VSHORAD (very short range air defence) system, and doubtless you'd need several orders of magnitude more of them to defend everywhere. A fast jet is fast - it can get to where the threats are heading - and so it can cover a wider area.
The Ukrainians operate a layered air defence system against drones and business. You certainly wouldn't want fast jets to be the backbone of it, but they'll be part of it.
Re: This bet makes me disgusted in myself – politicalbetting.com
This is, sadly, excellent analysis.Only if you believe it to be repeatable. Self defence refers to anticipated future injuries, not past ones.Hamas slaughtered in one day well over a thousand innocent unarmed people.It is blood lust. Nothing but blood lust, just like with the Iranian regime.No, they didn't.But the Israeli regime still killed tens of thousands of innocent civilians in their blood lust.Iran killed unarmed civilians.The Iranian regime have killed thousands of civilians, the Israeli regime have killed thousands of civilians.100%.They’re been waiting and preparing for this month for the past 47 years. A little disruption is worth it to see Iran finally defeated once and for all.They only need that ammo because the US and Israel started bombing Iran!A peace deal with who exactly?I presume the GCC nations would rather the US and Israel just fucked off now and a peace deal was done?"…to contribute to appropriate efforts to ensure safe passage through the Strait."Statement from 20 countries including UK and UAE on the Straight of Hormuz.Yes, but what are they going to do about it?
https://x.com/mofauae/status/2035326341596446810
TL:DR F*** off Iran and allow free passage of vessels.
Now that the incoming drones and missiles have reduced significantly in recent days, expect the GCC nations to move towards a more offensive phase of their operation. They have navies specifically built towards this problem, and if the US can keep the Apaches and Warthogs flying over the Hormuz area it shouldn’t be massively difficult.
More important is the insurance issue for civil vessels, AIUI Scott Bessent is working on this at the moment, with presumably Lloyd’s of London also involved.
Because it definitely won’t be anyone to do with the Iranian regime that’s been bombing them for the past 22 days.
US and Israel are saving the GCC countries a lot of ammo at the moment.
I’m sure the GCC are happy to see Iran being taken down a notch, but the war isn’t exactly unfolding to their advantage. A quick end to the war, Iran damaged, the straits of Hormuz open again, that seems like a good result for them. Ongoing war with no clear war aims, is that what they want?
US and Israel are very much the good guys, and Iran is very much the bad guy.
It is quite depressing how many people here have an inverted sense of who is good and who is bad here.
As @Foxy said, it's Alien v. Predator...
Israel fought armed terrorists in Hamas.
Two completely different things.
Alien versus Predator.
They fought in a war against an armed enemy and people died as happens in all wars.
That's not blood lust.
Only one nation involved has deliberately murdered tens of thousands of unarmed civilians as opposed to fighting a just war. Only Iran has done that.
Going to war over that is not blood lust, it is self-defence.
Israel's appallingly complacent border security let the terrorists in - it should have toughened up there, rather than gone in killing tens of thousands in exchange for the thousand or so dead, while negotiating for the release of the hostages.
Of course that would have needed saintly levels of self-restraint, and a PM who didn't need a war for his own political survival, so it was never going to happen. But just because something was never going to happen doesn't mean it shouldn't have. But invading Gaza only turned world opinion against Israel, while creating tens of thousands more recruits for Hamas, so even in its own terms it was totally self-defeating in the long-run.
rcs1000
4
Re: This bet makes me disgusted in myself – politicalbetting.com
They shat the bed in 2016.5/11/24 will, I'm afraid, go down in history as one of those days. The hope - which I totally have because they’re a great country - is they find a way to clean up the bed on which they have so comprehensively shat.@atrupar.comYou voted for this, America.
Trump: “Robert Mueller just died. Good, I’m glad he’s dead. He can no longer hurt innocent people! President DONALD J. TRUMP”
Hang your fucking head in shame.
In 2024, they rolled around in it.
Re: This bet makes me disgusted in myself – politicalbetting.com
https://x.com/johnrentoul/status/2035323538601636006You're more likely to be right than wrong, but only because a leadership election called in May would not be decided until June or July depending on the timetable, and Starmer's political instincts are so lousy that he might choose to contest the election rather than stand down in the face of the inevitable. He needs zero nominations from MPs to be on the ballot paper.
British politics in a nutshell, by @mrianleslie ian-leslie.com/p/against-intr…
I’m quite confident Sir Keir will outlast May.
Re: This bet makes me disgusted in myself – politicalbetting.com
It is virtually certain that more slave workers died to build that V2, than that.Killed 6 of our neighbours mind youBomb Tel Aviv! WWII Middle East Air OffensiveBallistic missiles are extremely ineffective in causing actual damage and casualties - the German V2 campaign probably cost them more than the cost of the damage they did.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DvPluxN4uvc
It seems that the Italian air force with a few medium range bombers were able to kill about 10x as many people in Tel Aviv that Iran has managed in multiple wars.
It's the psychological effects that predominate


