Best Of
Re: Being seen as being pro the odious Trump might be sub-optimal for Farage – politicalbetting.com
Likely the Iranian ballistic missiles have been significantly degraded, which seems justified by the falling numbers. The launchers and storage are easier to hit than the shaheed drones, which can be launched from a truck and stashed in a garage. Whether these can close the Straits of Hormuz will be the issue.Thankfully a quiet day in Dubai.The oil price has quickly dropped back as well. People hoping for a major humilation for Trump may end up being disappointed.
Suggestions that the enemy is now out of ammunition.
https://x.com/modgovae/status/2030974755776635328
Much of Iran's radar coverage will have been lost. Easier to target large immoveable hydrocarbon facilities in Qatar, Kuwait and Saudi than moving vessels. The Patriot batteries should have been in place protecting these before the first strikes.
More examples of piss-poor planning.
Re: Being seen as being pro the odious Trump might be sub-optimal for Farage – politicalbetting.com
Maybe address Merz comments or do you think Merz is ignorant and childish ?You're possibly the only person I've read who is more ignorant and childish than TrumpWanting the Iranian regime to fall is neither performative nor truculent, just because you don't agree with it.You're sliding into what I can only describe as performative truculence.9 days in, the most basic question about the Iran war remains unansweredNot unreasonable.
In just over a week, Trump and top administration officials have given at least 17 different responses about why the war began
https://popular.info/p/9-days-in-the-most-basic-question
Many things worth doing have many reasons why they are worth doing.
That there are so many valid reasons why this war is happening is further proof that it is a good idea, not proof that it is a bad one.
I agree with every word the German Chancellor says here, is he being performatively truculent too?
Friedrich Merz has called for a speedy change of government in Iran, saying: "The sooner the mullah regime stops, the sooner this war will be over."
The German chancellor says: "Iran is the centre of international terrorism and this centre must be shut down and the Americans and Israelis are doing that in their own way."
He also says the war could have "repercussions" on the German economy, the largest in Europe, and says his government is "doing everything we can to increase our independence in energy policy".
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/cz0g2yg3579t?post=asset:47aaaca9-756c-49d4-8a2b-f2b9b7aeb7cb#post
Re: Being seen as being pro the odious Trump might be sub-optimal for Farage – politicalbetting.com
Interesting 'News Agents' today. They seem to think in all likelyhood Starmer will be PM at the next election and the spat with Trump has moved the dial in his favour. Lews Goodall who is the best of them seems to rate Starmer very highly.Gone by Spring BH then
https://podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/live-q-a-iran-trump-and-no-d-ck-energy/id1640878689?i=1000753650671
Re: Being seen as being pro the odious Trump might be sub-optimal for Farage – politicalbetting.com
FTSE 100 has plummeted, and has closed....Thankfully a quiet day in Dubai.The oil price has quickly dropped back as well. People hoping for a major humilation for Trump may end up being disappointed.
Suggestions that the enemy is now out of ammunition.
https://x.com/modgovae/status/2030974755776635328
...higher than it was at the end of January.
Re: Being seen as being pro the odious Trump might be sub-optimal for Farage – politicalbetting.com
3 B52s landed at Fairford earlier to definitely not use that base to strike Iran from
Re: Being seen as being pro the odious Trump might be sub-optimal for Farage – politicalbetting.com
No.Quite a simple yes/no question for you. If Trump pulls up the anchor this week, and his boats sail home proclaiming victory - Bibi now secure to win his approaching election and Trump family richer from Saudi gifts, as US tax payer pays for the big blast on Iran and it proxy’s - leaving it sort of obvious they never had much intent or detailed planning at regime change… will this make a complete mug out of you?9 days in, the most basic question about the Iran war remains unansweredNot unreasonable.
In just over a week, Trump and top administration officials have given at least 17 different responses about why the war began
https://popular.info/p/9-days-in-the-most-basic-question
Many things worth doing have many reasons why they are worth doing.
That there are so many valid reasons why this war is happening is further proof that it is a good idea, not proof that it is a bad one.
I have said consistently I have zero faith in Trump and would not be surprised, merely annoyed, if he were to TACO before the job is done.
I have said consistently I do not support Trump.
Believing the Mullahs should be defeated and believing in Trump are two completely different things. I have no faith, or support, in Trump.
Re: Being seen as being pro the odious Trump might be sub-optimal for Farage – politicalbetting.com
Thankfully a quiet day in Dubai.The oil price has quickly dropped back as well. People hoping for a major humilation for Trump may end up being disappointed.
Suggestions that the enemy is now out of ammunition.
https://x.com/modgovae/status/2030974755776635328
Re: Being seen as being pro the odious Trump might be sub-optimal for Farage – politicalbetting.com
Wanting the Iranian regime to fall is neither performative nor truculent, just because you don't agree with it.You're sliding into what I can only describe as performative truculence.9 days in, the most basic question about the Iran war remains unansweredNot unreasonable.
In just over a week, Trump and top administration officials have given at least 17 different responses about why the war began
https://popular.info/p/9-days-in-the-most-basic-question
Many things worth doing have many reasons why they are worth doing.
That there are so many valid reasons why this war is happening is further proof that it is a good idea, not proof that it is a bad one.
I agree with every word the German Chancellor says here, is he being performatively truculent too?
Friedrich Merz has called for a speedy change of government in Iran, saying: "The sooner the mullah regime stops, the sooner this war will be over."
The German chancellor says: "Iran is the centre of international terrorism and this centre must be shut down and the Americans and Israelis are doing that in their own way."
He also says the war could have "repercussions" on the German economy, the largest in Europe, and says his government is "doing everything we can to increase our independence in energy policy".
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/cz0g2yg3579t?post=asset:47aaaca9-756c-49d4-8a2b-f2b9b7aeb7cb#post
Re: Being seen as being pro the odious Trump might be sub-optimal for Farage – politicalbetting.com
Thankfully a quiet day in Dubai.
Suggestions that the enemy is now out of ammunition.
https://x.com/modgovae/status/2030974755776635328
Suggestions that the enemy is now out of ammunition.
https://x.com/modgovae/status/2030974755776635328
Sandpit
1
Re: Being seen as being pro the odious Trump might be sub-optimal for Farage – politicalbetting.com
Average Reform council by election vote this year = 26.8%. 7 wins out of 24 seats.A simple analysis of national poll results suggests they peaked in October. But it's still more of a plateau than a peak IMHO.
Looks like they could be off their peak - the selection of council by-elections has been fairly non-metropolitan but with 2 or 3 post wards - but overall doesn't strike me as radically unrepresentative.
Definitely another straw in the wind that they are off their recent peak.
DougSeal
1



