Best Of
Re: Shortly there will be an election, in which Labour will increase its majority? politicalbetting.com
Three considerations on that.And you have fucked up your own private pension system to a certain extent which relies on gilt edged assets for secure liability.Indeed.We must stop being in hock only to the bond markets.They pretty much did vote for them, when they voted in Governments who spent more than they took in tax.
No one voted for the bond markets.
https://x.com/ZackPolanski/status/2060784820058235342
Consistently run a budget surplus and there's little the bond markets can or will do.
1) We currently are sat on a mountain of debt equal to around 100% of gdp. If we started running a modest surplus tomorrow, say £50bn/pa, it will be literally several lifetimes before we reduce the debt mountain enough to seriously trouble the supply of assets to our pension funds.
2) Gilts were often a key component of final salary pension schemes. They aren't usually nearly as big a component of contribution based pensions, so pension funds now hold far fewer gilts than 30 years ago. Instead a lot more gilts are held by hedge funds, often heavily leveraged, which tends to make the bond markets substantially more volatile than they used to be.
3) If we somehow paid down the entire national debt, and pension funds really need government bonds to hold, there will always be plenty of debt available from other countries, at various prices for various levels of risk, including some very low risk bonds similar to ours.
2
Re: Shortly there will be an election, in which Labour will increase its majority? politicalbetting.com
UK is one of the few countries in the world not to have defaulted on national debt.No one ever told us we'd have to pay it back!We must stop being in hock only to the bond markets.They pretty much did vote for them, when they voted in Governments who spent more than they took in tax.
No one voted for the bond markets.
https://x.com/ZackPolanski/status/2060784820058235342
Time to just print print print. I'm no economist, but that cannot have a downside, right?
Polanski thinks its time we ended that record.
Re: Shortly there will be an election, in which Labour will increase its majority? politicalbetting.com
Better than just shittalking people on twitter as an achievement, Zia? He's the online tough guy of the Reform leadership clique, at least Jenrick occasionally has some things to say.https://x.com/ziayusufuk/status/2060834576822661410Kemi is lowering standards, ferfuxake, what a terrible idea.'Future Tory candidate selection, she said, would focus on the five C’s – cleverness, charisma, communication skills, conviction and Conservatism.
Builders as Tory MPs? I mean no wonder she keeps on getting mullered in elections.
Badenoch: I want teachers and builders to become Tory MPs
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2026/05/30/badenoch-want-teachers-builders-future-tory-mps/
“I will not allow people who do not share our beliefs to use the Conservative Party as a vehicle to further their personal ambitions,” she added.'
Kemi herself has no achievements of note in her career other than hacking Harriet Harman’s website.
kle4
2
Re: Shortly there will be an election, in which Labour will increase its majority? politicalbetting.com
We must stop being in hock only to the bond markets.Politicians have this weird thing where they think themselves too powerless to do many things they could do if they had the political will, but also think themselves too powerful in that they think they can precisely control (rather than influence) any external factors, or ignore inconvenient things as being undemocratic. Even autocratic regimes, historically and today, have situations they cannot just ignore away.
No one voted for the bond markets.
https://x.com/ZackPolanski/status/2060784820058235342
Goes right from local level to national in fact.
kle4
1
Re: Shortly there will be an election, in which Labour will increase its majority? politicalbetting.com
Given on current polls if you are selected as a Conservative parliamentary candidate you only have about a 10-15% chance of winning a constituency at the next general election and becoming an MP, makes sense for Kemi to open the field to a broader range of applicants.Kemi is lowering standards, ferfuxake, what a terrible idea.I'm sure you're not 100% serious about the lowering of standards, but the widening of backgrounds would in general be a good thing. Not to fetishise the working and lower middle classes and assume they'd make better MPs (no reason they should), but doctors and lawyers are more than capable of being utter cretins (twitter has shown this many times), but they get a presumed level of positive quality even when (for lawyers at least) they are not liked or trusted. Whereas a builder might be accused of being sneaky if they are very obviously clever, as if that was a bad thing.
Builders as Tory MPs? I mean no wonder she keeps on getting mullered in elections.
Badenoch: I want teachers and builders to become Tory MPs
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2026/05/30/badenoch-want-teachers-builders-future-tory-mps/
The very high flying KCs and investment bankers and city solicitors and company execs who sought Tory seats and a fast track to the Cabinet aren't going to be deluging CCHQ and local associations with applications this time round
HYUFD
1
Re: Shortly there will be an election, in which Labour will increase its majority? politicalbetting.com
Never let it be said the French don't care about their heritage, brings a tear of joy to the eye.Modern Paris:Its good to see the old traditions being celebrated.
https://x.com/LucAuffret/status/2060815701581918219
kle4
1
Re: Shortly there will be an election, in which Labour will increase its majority? politicalbetting.com
Much data on the Loser here:Perhaps that's why external actions will be taken.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/map-shows-states-where-trump-s-approval-rating-has-crashed-most/ar-AA24qgA7?ocid=winp1taskbar&cvid=fa870dbabe884f9be47aee9413538622&ei=12
Key Points
Net approval has declined in every state since Trump returned to office in January 2025.
The steepest drops are in Republican-leaning states, not just Democratic strongholds.
Several battlegrounds, including Florida, Ohio and Nevada, have shifted into net disapproval.
Early pro‑Trump advantages have narrowed sharply, even in his strongest states.
The political map still resembles the partisan divide, but with weaker margins across the board.
It is not obvious -- at least to me -- how he can stop, or even slow, the decline in his support.
kle4
1
Re: Shortly there will be an election, in which Labour will increase its majority? politicalbetting.com
On the one hand Starmer isn't having to deal with this sort of thing. On the other hand, that's because he's lost all authority after less than 2 years, so they haven't had the chance to get accused of such things yet.
1 June marks exactly eight years since Pedro Sánchez became prime minister of Spain, but with his government and Socialist Party besieged by corruption investigations he is more likely to be plotting his political survival than celebrating.
His musician brother, David, has just gone on trial accused of influence peddling.
Former Socialist prime minister and close Sánchez ally José Luis Rodriguez Zapatero has been named in an investigation into alleged money laundering.
And police have raided the Socialist headquarters in Madrid as part of a probe into allegations of a dirty tricks campaign that the opposition has dubbed "the Socialists' Watergate".
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c1w21gn340xo?utm_source=firefox-newtab-en-gb
1 June marks exactly eight years since Pedro Sánchez became prime minister of Spain, but with his government and Socialist Party besieged by corruption investigations he is more likely to be plotting his political survival than celebrating.
His musician brother, David, has just gone on trial accused of influence peddling.
Former Socialist prime minister and close Sánchez ally José Luis Rodriguez Zapatero has been named in an investigation into alleged money laundering.
And police have raided the Socialist headquarters in Madrid as part of a probe into allegations of a dirty tricks campaign that the opposition has dubbed "the Socialists' Watergate".
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c1w21gn340xo?utm_source=firefox-newtab-en-gb
kle4
1
Re: Shortly there will be an election, in which Labour will increase its majority? politicalbetting.com
We must stop being in hock only to the bond markets.They pretty much did vote for them, when they voted in Governments who spent more than they took in tax.
No one voted for the bond markets.
https://x.com/ZackPolanski/status/2060784820058235342
Re: Shortly there will be an election, in which Labour will increase its majority? politicalbetting.com
Modern Paris:Its good to see the old traditions being celebrated.
https://x.com/LucAuffret/status/2060815701581918219
Foxy
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