Best Of

Make what you will of this poll by Ashcroft

🚨 NEW Westminster Voting Intention

Con: 21% (+1)
Ref: 21% (-)
Lab: 19% (+1)
Grn: 18% (-2)
Lib: 11% (-)

@LordAPolls
21-26 May (+/- vs 27 Apr)

Ignore.

I know you do not like Ashcroft polls but it is quoted along with all the other polls on wiki as follows

21-26 May - Lord Ashcroft polls - Mail on Sunday - GB 5,263 sample size

Is it recognised by BPC ?

I just see it as one poll and to be fair apart from Reform not far off trend

You've been told this before.

It is not recognised by the BPC.

Lord Ashcroft refuses to tell us which pollsters he uses, he uses different pollsters for his polls, each pollster has a house effect which impacts the fieldwork.

This could be a FindOutNow poll, his last poll he could have used Survation, we simply do not know.

Comparing changes with different pollsters is a huge mistake to make.

Get him!!! Grrrr

https://x.com/timespolitics/status/2061158470267621644

Could Rupert Lowe be the next PM? The Maga crowd seem to think so

One thing that is pretty clear to me from watching some American streamers is that their knowledge of UK politics is utterly dire, and they usually believe the most sensational stories they come across and that fringe figures are actually massively popular.

Now, they may say the same is true of us looking in on US politics. That's possible, though I hope not as I think we have a slight advantage of media obsessed with american politics and culture which will even by accident introduce us to some things from both sides of the aisle, whereas they are not inundated with UK info, they just find some rando saying what they like and believe it.

Another totally unhelpful intervention from Blair.
The only centre left wins of late have been from leaders distancing themselves from Trump. He would guarantee the Greens overtake Labour.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/may/26/tony-blair-labour-abandon-net-zero-support-donald-trump

Sad. Blair has lost the plot. Maybe he's just become another boomer radicalized by the internet.

I've read his piece. So should you.

It's very good.

It has some truths in it (yes, Labour is a party that retreats too easily into its comfort zone, and yes, it puts far too little thought into how its policies affect business competitiveness) but for a piece on Labour’s delusions it is quite delusional in its own way. Exhibit one is the idea of supporting the US war in the middle east - I have spoken to former *very* senior people in the US security hierarchy who think this war is utterly insane, why would we want to be anywhere near it? Exhibit two is the idea of reneging on net zero, but what do you expect from a piece that seems to deny the very existence of climate change (when it's 35 degrees outside, in May)? I have long been a fan of Blair (I got a selfie with him a few years back when i bumped into him on the Eurostar) but I think he is becoming an irrelevant figure in British politics as he has bought into US tech bro nihilistic fantasies and become fanatically pro-Israel.

And it doesn't say that.

You haven't read it.

No I haven't. I read the lead piece in the Guardian that quoted from it extensively.

I've read it. Your take is largely mine. Some of it is on the money. Some of it is nuts. The intellectual energy is still there. So is the messiah complex and the clear effect of who funds him and the techno evangelists he hangs around with. There's no sense now of being on the left at all. You can see clearly why he was such an impressive politician and even more clearly why he lost his lustre - that monomaniacal attachment to the US and Israel and the ego fuelled notion that his ideas transcend politics.