Best Of
Re: Why the Tory party is becoming more like the Lib Dems – politicalbetting.com
The irony is Trump sold himself as the GOP candidate who was NOT going to bomb Iran unlike the likes of Bolton & Haley. 5 minutes into his second term with Netanyahu in his ear and...Britain is heavily anti-Trump.Allying with the person whose war is about to create a Depression probably wasn’t their wisest move.
Reform UK and Tories allying with him is a very big mistake.
There were reasons why saner Presidents left Iran alone even though they really didn’t like Iran, I think we are going to see why that was the case
Spencer Hakimian
@SpencerHakimian
Let me predict the future for you.
Oil Stays >$100 for a few more days.
Trump panics as he sees his Poll Numbers collapse further.
Trump makes some schizophrenic truth social post that the U.S. won this war.
U.S. soldiers leave Iran.
The Ayatollah’s Son just got a 40 year reign courtesy of the Red White & Blue.
Trump & Hegseth bomb Cuba next.
https://x.com/SpencerHakimian/status/2030825072194097219
Re: Why the Tory party is becoming more like the Lib Dems – politicalbetting.com
Perhaps a good time to announce help on energy bills is early May !Wednesday April 29th or 22nd surely? May would be too late
Never let a crisis go to waste . At the same time nail Farage and Badenoch to the wall on their support for the war and its economic impact on the UK .
Job done and the elections in May might not be such a horror show for Labour !
eek
1
Re: Why the Tory party is becoming more like the Lib Dems – politicalbetting.com
Perhaps a good time to announce help on energy bills is early May !The 2024 election shows that the voters give absolutley no credit for paying their increased electricity bills with their own tax money.
Never let a crisis go to waste . At the same time nail Farage and Badenoch to the wall on their support for the war and its economic impact on the UK .
Job done and the elections in May might not be such a horror show for Labour !
Re: Why the Tory party is becoming more like the Lib Dems – politicalbetting.com
I'm doing my bit to help the gas supply and demand imbalance via my boiler breaking and resorting to cold showers...
5
Re: Why the Tory party is becoming more like the Lib Dems – politicalbetting.com
This is about right.It’s alright, Trump and Bibi haven’t lost @BartholomewRoberts yet.
I'll be honest, when we first attacked Iran, I hoped that freeing the Iranian people from their brutal regime would be one good thing Trump might accomplish.
I hoped they wouldn't do to Iran what they did to Venezuela.
But they did, and so much worse. Just like russia, they were so convinced of their superiority that they had no plan B. Just like russia, they assumed Iran would roll over without a fight against the might of a superpower.
Now thousands of civilians are dead across the whole middle east, we're bombing civilian infrastructure that the very people we claimed to be saving can't survive without, homes and businesses in Tehran are burning, Iran is dragging other countries into the fray and activating their terrorists worldwide, endangering innocent people everywhere, and we will all be less safe for a long time to come.
Just to increase the sheer scale of insanity, Trump rolled back sanctions on russia, enabling them to not only continue killing Ukrainians, but giving them the money to aid Iran against us.
There was no plan. None. There still isn't. And instead of liberating an oppressed people, we're killing them and sparking additional violence around the world. Even if Iran were to surrender, the terrorists will never stop trying to take revenge.
I don't even have words for what a disaster this is for the whole world.
And people still support him.
No words.
https://x.com/FoxBrambleFarm/status/2030707636564287534
Re: Why the Tory party is becoming more like the Lib Dems – politicalbetting.com
"The media".The problem isn’t that this guy was a moron, he’s clearly a moron, it’s that the media are being very careful to avoid saying that the bombs were from those opposing him.The American Tommy Robinson is described by Sky News thus:The US are doing a great job today of proving “No matter how much you hate the media, it’s never enough”Why should journalists learn from mistakes?Is this going to be like that incident from a few years ago, when a couple of stations in a specific area ran out of petrol, but Radio 5 Live could talk about nothing else for six hours, treating it as a national emergency and setting off panic buying among all the road warriors who spend their days listening to the radio.Has anyone used the governments new petrol price finder website? Perhaps it also has a code for "no fuel available..."
Some sites have new functionality...
https://x.com/libsoftiktok/status/2030738086116642999
What actually happened is there was a demonstration outside Mamdani’s official residence, led by a guy who’s best described as an American Tommy Robinson.
Two jihadis threw bombs into the crowd of demonstrators, which the NYPD have confirmed were viable explosive devices. They were arrested at the scene.
If you only read the headlines, you’d be pretty sure that the people with the bombs were the people protesting Mamdani. The Mayor’s statement also deliberately confuses the situation.
“Mr Lang was previously charged with assaulting an officer with a baseball bat, civil disorder and other crimes before being pardoned as part of President Donald Trump's sweeping act of clemency for defendants connected to the January 6 riots in Washington DC.”
I guess the difference between the US and the UK is that we don’t pardon Tommy Robinson.
The first account I found was quite explicit in its reporting.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/mar/08/new-york-city-anti-islam-protest
New York police have confirmed that an improvised explosive device was thrown outside Zohran Mamdani’s official residence on Saturday when anti-Islam demonstrators, led by rightwing influencer Jake Lang, clashed with counterprotesters.
New York police commissioner Jessica Tisch confirmed that a preliminary bomb squad analysis of the device that was ignited and thrown during the protest had “determined that it is not a hoax device or a smoke bomb”.
“It is, in fact, an improvised explosive device that could have caused serious injury or death. Further analysis will be conducted, including on a second device,” Tisch said in a social media post.
The commissioner added that two men, Emir Balat and Ibrahim Kayumi, who were arrested on the scene, are in custody in connection with the incident and that New York police are working with federal prosecutors and the FBI through a terrorism taskforce...
..Six people were arrested on Saturday during the clash between far-right protesters who had gathered for a “Stop the Islamic Takeover of New York City” demonstration near Gracie Mansion, the Upper East Side home of Mamdani, the city’s first Muslim mayor, and counterprotesters.
One counterprotester at the event lit and threw a device containing nuts, bolts and screws at the anti-Muslim protesters after someone from that group used pepper spray on the counterprotest, police said. Fistfights broke out among the crowd, said the New York Times, and raw eggs flew through the air.
Tensions continued to heighten, she said, when someone in the counterprotest lit and threw a device Tisch described as smaller than a football into the protesting crowd of about 20 people.
Please don't quote "libsofticktock" as a reliable source. It isn't.
Nigelb
1
Re: Why the Tory party is becoming more like the Lib Dems – politicalbetting.com
They should be amazing at sprints. Premium on good start and no opportunity for the strategy team to sabotage the drivers' races.Ferrari seem to still have the inability to change strategy during a race, see yesterday when it would have made sense for 1 of their drivers to pit early when the opportunity cameBetting Post
F1: could be entirely wrong, but I think this is a two horse title race and the 3.8 or so on Ferrari on Betfair Exchange is well worth considering, especially as China may well suit the Prancing Horse rather more.
On a similar note, I've backed Hamilton to win each way at 9.5 (Ladbrokes boosted). He's often been strong there and looked very good in Australia, and sounds a lot happier than he has been. As ever, do at your own risk.
China has a sprint (4am, not getting up for it). If Ferrari do well, and they should, the odds will shorten for trading.
Re: Why the Tory party is becoming more like the Lib Dems – politicalbetting.com
Does Trump still have "de-escalation dominance"?We can see that too.To which the follow up question is how do you think we are going to get to September without an oil supply crisis?We assume the worst with the Ayrshire hotelier.I'd be looking at an unreasonable worst case scenario. You are dealing with Donald and Bibi here...We are working on a reasonable worst case scenario in the autumn.So at work we’ve decided if things remain as they are heading into the autumn we’ll initiate a mass work from home edict.Is that based on how things are today, or how you envisage things to look like in a months time with Israel still fighting Iran
Which is bad news for businesses that rely on commuter footfall.
I can easily see WFH due to rationing being required from May
Assuming TACO we might see a de-escalation but but it’ll be a recession rather than a depression.
For the price cap residential customers are protected until July when rationing might kick in.
With things like tariffs, he could turn the disruption on and off again at will, but war isn't like that, especially now that multiple countries are involved.
Re: Why the Tory party is becoming more like the Lib Dems – politicalbetting.com
This is about right.
I'll be honest, when we first attacked Iran, I hoped that freeing the Iranian people from their brutal regime would be one good thing Trump might accomplish.
I hoped they wouldn't do to Iran what they did to Venezuela.
But they did, and so much worse. Just like russia, they were so convinced of their superiority that they had no plan B. Just like russia, they assumed Iran would roll over without a fight against the might of a superpower.
Now thousands of civilians are dead across the whole middle east, we're bombing civilian infrastructure that the very people we claimed to be saving can't survive without, homes and businesses in Tehran are burning, Iran is dragging other countries into the fray and activating their terrorists worldwide, endangering innocent people everywhere, and we will all be less safe for a long time to come.
Just to increase the sheer scale of insanity, Trump rolled back sanctions on russia, enabling them to not only continue killing Ukrainians, but giving them the money to aid Iran against us.
There was no plan. None. There still isn't. And instead of liberating an oppressed people, we're killing them and sparking additional violence around the world. Even if Iran were to surrender, the terrorists will never stop trying to take revenge.
I don't even have words for what a disaster this is for the whole world.
And people still support him.
No words.
https://x.com/FoxBrambleFarm/status/2030707636564287534
I'll be honest, when we first attacked Iran, I hoped that freeing the Iranian people from their brutal regime would be one good thing Trump might accomplish.
I hoped they wouldn't do to Iran what they did to Venezuela.
But they did, and so much worse. Just like russia, they were so convinced of their superiority that they had no plan B. Just like russia, they assumed Iran would roll over without a fight against the might of a superpower.
Now thousands of civilians are dead across the whole middle east, we're bombing civilian infrastructure that the very people we claimed to be saving can't survive without, homes and businesses in Tehran are burning, Iran is dragging other countries into the fray and activating their terrorists worldwide, endangering innocent people everywhere, and we will all be less safe for a long time to come.
Just to increase the sheer scale of insanity, Trump rolled back sanctions on russia, enabling them to not only continue killing Ukrainians, but giving them the money to aid Iran against us.
There was no plan. None. There still isn't. And instead of liberating an oppressed people, we're killing them and sparking additional violence around the world. Even if Iran were to surrender, the terrorists will never stop trying to take revenge.
I don't even have words for what a disaster this is for the whole world.
And people still support him.
No words.
https://x.com/FoxBrambleFarm/status/2030707636564287534
Nigelb
2
Re: Why the Tory party is becoming more like the Lib Dems – politicalbetting.com
Electricity spot prices are pretty high today. £150 per MWh last time I looked. Some of that will be recent gas price rises but some is also, unfortunately, the weather. It’s coldish, still and overcast.Generation Mix - Today at 11:50
Should improve soon. The wind returns by tomorrow morning, and Wednesday should be a bonanza for renewables: strong winds and decent sunshine.
Gas 43.6%
Imports 19.5%
Wind 13.0%
Nuclear 7.0%
Biomass 7.0%
Solar 6.7%
Hydro 1.5%
Misc 1.2%
Pumped-stored hydro 0.5%



