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Re: Patriotic Brits reject the monarchy – politicalbetting.com
I'm afraid that Leon is right here.Were Trump not in power I could see Epstein being an issue - with Trump in power (as I said earlier) it's something Trump and Mandelson can moan about together and bound over...I am unable to process the Apple thing because yesterday I drove from Scotland to England and this evening I drove across SardiniaAlthough all those things are in the “plus”
I can however process basic optics and I reckon Mandelson is toast. He’s gonna have to explain the many innuendos in that cringey letter and I cannot think of innocent ones that make sense
Plus it seems like he was on “Pedo island” more than once with his “best friend”. Are we really meant to believe a guy as smart as Mandy didn’t twig what was happening?!
He can’t be “ambassador” to Washington, the idea is mortifying
Column in terms of dealing with Trump…
Trump being in power is irrelevant; it's what we're saying about ourselves, if he stays in post.

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Re: Patriotic Brits reject the monarchy – politicalbetting.com
Fucking hell someone released the full Iryna Zarutska video
😢
😢

1
Re: Patriotic Brits reject the monarchy – politicalbetting.com
My guess is the Home Office is packed with Remainers who figured 1.5 million euros was a nice round number. The report is unclear and a key link goes to the wrong document but this line – According to the tender, work shall begin on the algorithm on January 19, 2026, with completion expected on the same day, three years later. – makes it sound like the government will pay someone £1.3 million to try to develop an algorithm, rather than selecting numerous bodies and then paying a bounty for the most successful.UK Home Office dangles £1.3M prize for algorithm that guesses your ageApart from my initial thought of 'Wut?' - I wonder how many meetings they had to arrive at the precise "this is worth about £1.3million to us" figure. I really hope my cynical thoughts of "We can't just say 'a million' - sounds corny. How about 0.9? Too cheap? I know.... how about 1.3? Sounds precise. Like an algorithm! Perfect! Now, who's for lunch?"
Contract tender follows 'alarming' safeguarding failure at border with undocumented kids
https://www.theregister.com/2025/09/09/home_office_age_algorithm/
If so, this betrays magical thinking. Here is a problem, let us throw AI at it, then we will have a solved problem.
Re: Patriotic Brits reject the monarchy – politicalbetting.com
If the Palestinians surrender unconditionally, renounce violence and embrace modernity and democracy?You want Israel to heavily invest in the creation of a strong and powerful, Independent, Palestinian state that will soon overtake it economically like we did with the Germans and the Japanese? Good idea.Less hard to surrender.Its quite hard to negotiate a ceasefire if the negotiators for one side are dead. Just saying like.Which keeps Netanyahu out of jail because while Israel is at war he can dictator his way out of calling free and fair elections that would almost certainly result in him being kicked out of office and into a cold jail cell for fraud and corruption.Tactical victory. Strategic failure. Keep doing this and Israel will never feel at peace, so will keep making war. And so on and so on, ad Infinitum.I think the question about why the Israelis didnt just plant a decent but small bomb rather than launch a missile strike can be answered easily. It's opportunity & risk. Whilst its possible Israeli intelligence has reps in Qatar, its a difficult environment and the action team who carry out killings are usually in and out, not long term intelligence officers in situ. You just don't have them hanging about for weeks or months., risk too high.Interesting to note that there is nothing that Qatar can do, by way of retaliation
Secondly we don't know know how recent the intelligence was that provided the window. Its possible a missile strike was the only method to exploit it.
Whatever, do not buy any idea that Netanyahu just decided to do a spectacular and chose the method for that reason. He doesn't choose, he approves.
Israel has proved it is the regional superpower. It attacks its neighbours at will, including Iran, and they are apparently impotent
It must be very humiliating for the Arab/Muslim world. Oh well
The "negotiations" should be the same we had with the Nazis and Imperial Japan - you surrender unconditionally, we'll tell you the time and the place.
Yes, absolutely I do!
Re: Patriotic Brits reject the monarchy – politicalbetting.com
Going on his past record, Starmer has this incredible luck that really awkward information never seem to hit his desk nor does he ever decide to ask about them, so when they pop up he is able to claim he was in the dark as every body else.Of course Starmer would be told those details as part of security briefing. Of course Starmer knew when making the appointment.Apparently Mandelson did big business with Epstein, emailed him regularly, and STAYED AT EPSTEIN’S Manhattan townhouse, AFTER Epstein’s first conviction for trafficking and child sex etc (in 2008)I hope you’re right . I don’t understand why he was made ambassador to begin with.This is not how it works. Trump wants the Epstein scandal done dusted and forgotten. He clearly hates the associationWere Trump not in power I could see Epstein being an issue - with Trump in power (as I said earlier) it's something Trump and Mandelson can moan about together and bound over...I am unable to process the Apple thing because yesterday I drove from Scotland to England and this evening I drove across SardiniaAlthough all those things are in the “plus”
I can however process basic optics and I reckon Mandelson is toast. He’s gonna have to explain the many innuendos in that cringey letter and I cannot think of innocent ones that make sense
Plus it seems like he was on “Pedo island” more than once with his “best friend”. Are we really meant to believe a guy as smart as Mandy didn’t twig what was happening?!
He can’t be “ambassador” to Washington, the idea is mortifying
Column in terms of dealing with Trump…
Now every time he meets the UK Ambassador, or is pictured with him, everyone is reminded of Epstein, and how both are implicated
I have a strong suspicion Mandelson will be gone
I mean, WTAF??
Did Starmer know this before he appointed him to Britain’s most important diplomatic role? If not, why not? If he did - 😶
Monumental failure all round
Starmer takes advice from Mandelson, hence the movement and demotion of Lammy last week. I don’t think Lammy actually failed in the role, it’s too early to say.
Question is, Mandelson definitely has to resign before Trumps visit, how does Starmer explain why? Starmer can’t lie with “but new evidence has come to light” when he actually knew all, along, that would mean Starmer has to resign too for his lying. How’s Starmer sacking Lord Yum Yum without being badly wounded himself? 😃
It is actually one of his stand out talents.
Re: Patriotic Brits reject the monarchy – politicalbetting.com
If Mandy is forced out again, that must a record in terms of scandal based resignation/sackings.
I am very glad he didn't get the Chancellorship of Oxford University
I am very glad he didn't get the Chancellorship of Oxford University
Re: Patriotic Brits reject the monarchy – politicalbetting.com
There should be an investigation to see if he broke any British laws.This is not how it works. Trump wants the Epstein scandal done dusted and forgotten. He clearly hates the associationWere Trump not in power I could see Epstein being an issue - with Trump in power (as I said earlier) it's something Trump and Mandelson can moan about together and bound over...I am unable to process the Apple thing because yesterday I drove from Scotland to England and this evening I drove across SardiniaAlthough all those things are in the “plus”
I can however process basic optics and I reckon Mandelson is toast. He’s gonna have to explain the many innuendos in that cringey letter and I cannot think of innocent ones that make sense
Plus it seems like he was on “Pedo island” more than once with his “best friend”. Are we really meant to believe a guy as smart as Mandy didn’t twig what was happening?!
He can’t be “ambassador” to Washington, the idea is mortifying
Column in terms of dealing with Trump…
Now every time he meets the UK Ambassador, or is pictured with him, everyone is reminded of Epstein, and how both are implicated
I have a strong suspicion Mandelson will be gone

2
Re: Patriotic Brits reject the monarchy – politicalbetting.com
AI can't do simple maths?
"The combined population of the UK, Australia, and New Zealand is approximately 95.5 million people, based on their estimated populations as of September 2025. This includes roughly 69.6 million in the UK, 27.0 million in Australia, and 5.3 million in New Zealand.
Breakdown by Country (Approximate 2025 Population):
United Kingdom: ~69.6 million
Australia: ~27.0 million
New Zealand: ~5.3 million
Total Combined Population: ~95.5 million"
Adding those 3 numbers together gets 101.9 million as far as I can see.
"The combined population of the UK, Australia, and New Zealand is approximately 95.5 million people, based on their estimated populations as of September 2025. This includes roughly 69.6 million in the UK, 27.0 million in Australia, and 5.3 million in New Zealand.
Breakdown by Country (Approximate 2025 Population):
United Kingdom: ~69.6 million
Australia: ~27.0 million
New Zealand: ~5.3 million
Total Combined Population: ~95.5 million"
Adding those 3 numbers together gets 101.9 million as far as I can see.

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Re: Patriotic Brits reject the monarchy – politicalbetting.com
Less hard to surrender.Its quite hard to negotiate a ceasefire if the negotiators for one side are dead. Just saying like.Which keeps Netanyahu out of jail because while Israel is at war he can dictator his way out of calling free and fair elections that would almost certainly result in him being kicked out of office and into a cold jail cell for fraud and corruption.Tactical victory. Strategic failure. Keep doing this and Israel will never feel at peace, so will keep making war. And so on and so on, ad Infinitum.I think the question about why the Israelis didnt just plant a decent but small bomb rather than launch a missile strike can be answered easily. It's opportunity & risk. Whilst its possible Israeli intelligence has reps in Qatar, its a difficult environment and the action team who carry out killings are usually in and out, not long term intelligence officers in situ. You just don't have them hanging about for weeks or months., risk too high.Interesting to note that there is nothing that Qatar can do, by way of retaliation
Secondly we don't know know how recent the intelligence was that provided the window. Its possible a missile strike was the only method to exploit it.
Whatever, do not buy any idea that Netanyahu just decided to do a spectacular and chose the method for that reason. He doesn't choose, he approves.
Israel has proved it is the regional superpower. It attacks its neighbours at will, including Iran, and they are apparently impotent
It must be very humiliating for the Arab/Muslim world. Oh well
The "negotiations" should be the same we had with the Nazis and Imperial Japan - you surrender unconditionally, we'll tell you the time and the place.
Re: Patriotic Brits reject the monarchy – politicalbetting.com
No, Not if Macron compromises on budget, and his deputies back the NPF PM. The log jam is Macron refusing to compromise 1cm from an eminently tradable position.The NPF has 193 deputies, out of 577. RN 142, the Republicans 47, with another 19 independent Right. Macron’s faction has 166.“The National Assembly has more right wing than left wing deputies”The National Assembly has more right wing than left wing deputies, but neither side is close to a majority.Sebastien Lecomu new PM of FranceExpect him to last for all of 5 minutes, he is another centre right PM proposing spending cuts in a parliament where the left have most seats and want to tax the rich instead.
Macron is just naive thinking a non centre left PM can get anything through
Are you sure? The largest bloc, so probably most legitimate to provide next PM is NPF, with Macrons grouping in second place, NR third.
If NR were top, they would refuse to provide PM as it would damage them in the General Election.
However the NPF are calling for an NPF PM, but Macron is refusing to appoint one as it would damage his political ensemble ahead of the General election.
It’s not that Macron is in a weak position and doesn’t have strong cards to trade and comprise to bring stability to French politics, and protect the French economy with that stability, achievable by getting his bloc to support NPF PM after a budget agreement - Macron is choosing to die in a ditch over the need for Thatcherite reforms - 2 less Bank Holidays a totemic example. He’s taking this ruinous bloody minded position because… he’s French 🤷♀️
Does France need to abolish two Bank Holidays? I don’t think so, the economic future of Bank Holidays is more not less.
There is no common ground between Macron and LFI (the faction of NPF that supports Melanchon).
A PM from the Left would lose a vote of confidence in the Assembly.