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Re: Cutting taxes can be not putting them up as much says Nigel Farage – politicalbetting.com
Reform within a whisker of second placeIt does seem like off loading Jenrick and Braverman was a work of genius by Badenoch.
Re: Cutting taxes can be not putting them up as much says Nigel Farage – politicalbetting.com
Morning all.Per Electoral Calculus that gives:
The missing YouGov is finally out.....
YouGov / Sky News / Times voting intention
RefUK 23%(nc)
CON 19%(+3)
GRN 19%(-2)
LAB 17%(+1)
LDEM 14%(nc)
Ref 268
Con 108
Green 94
LD 69
Lab 39
Interestingly the Greens would sweep most of London.
London seats:
Con 11
LD 6
Ref 6
Lab 4
And Greens would win everything else (bar Ilford North which goes to Ind).
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Re: Cutting taxes can be not putting them up as much says Nigel Farage – politicalbetting.com
@ChrisMurphyCT
I was in a 2 hour briefing today on the Iran War. All the briefings are closed, because Trump can't defend this war in public.
I obviously can't disclose classified info, but you deserve to know how incoherent and incomplete these war plans are.
1/ Here's what I can share:
2/ Maybe the lead is that the war goals DO NOT involve destroying Iran's nuclear weapons program. This is, uh...surprising...since Trump says over and over this is a key goal.
But then of course we already know air strikes can't wipe out their nuclear material.
3/ Second, they confirmed "regime change" is also NOT on the list. So, they are going to spend hundreds of billions of your taxpayer dollars, get a whole bunch of Americans killed, and a hardline regime - probably a MORE anti-American hardline regime - will still be in charge.
4/ Ok, so what ARE the goals? It seems, primarily, destroying lots of missiles and boats and drone factories.
But the question that stumped them: what happens when you stop bombing and they restart production?
They hinted at more bombing. Which is, of course, endless war.
5/ And on the Strait of Hormuz, they had NO PLAN. I can't go into more detail about how Iran gums up the Strait, but suffice it say, right now, they don't know how to get it safely back open.
Which is unforgiveable, because this part of the disaster was 100% foreseeable.
https://x.com/ChrisMurphyCT/status/2031531835453309125?s=20
I was in a 2 hour briefing today on the Iran War. All the briefings are closed, because Trump can't defend this war in public.
I obviously can't disclose classified info, but you deserve to know how incoherent and incomplete these war plans are.
1/ Here's what I can share:
2/ Maybe the lead is that the war goals DO NOT involve destroying Iran's nuclear weapons program. This is, uh...surprising...since Trump says over and over this is a key goal.
But then of course we already know air strikes can't wipe out their nuclear material.
3/ Second, they confirmed "regime change" is also NOT on the list. So, they are going to spend hundreds of billions of your taxpayer dollars, get a whole bunch of Americans killed, and a hardline regime - probably a MORE anti-American hardline regime - will still be in charge.
4/ Ok, so what ARE the goals? It seems, primarily, destroying lots of missiles and boats and drone factories.
But the question that stumped them: what happens when you stop bombing and they restart production?
They hinted at more bombing. Which is, of course, endless war.
5/ And on the Strait of Hormuz, they had NO PLAN. I can't go into more detail about how Iran gums up the Strait, but suffice it say, right now, they don't know how to get it safely back open.
Which is unforgiveable, because this part of the disaster was 100% foreseeable.
https://x.com/ChrisMurphyCT/status/2031531835453309125?s=20
Scott_xP
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Re: Cutting taxes can be not putting them up as much says Nigel Farage – politicalbetting.com
Helium supplies are now running short due to the Iran war - and it’s no laughing matter
IanB2
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Re: Cutting taxes can be not putting them up as much says Nigel Farage – politicalbetting.com
https://x.com/EYakoby/status/2031517080298668488
The New York Times spoke to an engineer in Tehran who said many residents are surprisingly comfortable with the U.S. bombings.
“They’re upset when a night passes without strikes and fear the war could end while the regime is still in power.”
The New York Times spoke to an engineer in Tehran who said many residents are surprisingly comfortable with the U.S. bombings.
“They’re upset when a night passes without strikes and fear the war could end while the regime is still in power.”
Re: Cutting taxes can be not putting them up as much says Nigel Farage – politicalbetting.com
That'd be a bit of a bummer for the White House, but the decapitation strategy and general bombardment would permit a victory declaration I am sure.If only they had asked me in advance…
EW: Israel has concluded in #Iran war
• Regime change not an option
• Protests didn’t mobilize
• Kurdish option is no more
Result: Escalation of strikes as Trump looks for “elegant exit” and wait for next round
https://nitter.poast.org/Joyce_Karam/status/2031376356978659461#m
Re: Cutting taxes can be not putting them up as much says Nigel Farage – politicalbetting.com
View from inside Glasgow Central Station, looking out at where the building next door used to be.
https://x.com/heraldscotland/status/2031430470487970070
It looks okay from the inside, but there’s probably going to be an amount of smoke and water damage given the extent of the fire.
https://x.com/heraldscotland/status/2031430470487970070
It looks okay from the inside, but there’s probably going to be an amount of smoke and water damage given the extent of the fire.
Sandpit
1
Re: Cutting taxes can be not putting them up as much says Nigel Farage – politicalbetting.com
Hence London house prices are now down 25% in real terms since the pandemicI think the sweet spot is house prices rising in nominal terms but falling in real terms.My sentence was very cumbersome. I was trying to say that economic activity is still predicated on house price inflation.Why not ?
And we are still doing that today and Gordon Brown hasn't been Chancellor since 2007.
Brown keeps resurfacing, looking more like the undead every time.
Given that half the people I worked with at the time lost their jobs I'll keep a flicker of resentment glowing against the self-styled saviour of the world.
Leading to housing becoming more affordable but without the negative effects of negative equity.
Such a sweet spot is easier to meet with inflation, and pay rises, at 5% than when they are at 2%.
IanB2
2
Re: Cutting taxes can be not putting them up as much says Nigel Farage – politicalbetting.com
It is inevitable that the proportion of white male company directors and executives will fall as more women and ethnic minorities pursue successful careers. Indeed it would be astonishing if we didn't make the best use of the talents in the workforce.So moves to reduce the over-representation of white males on company boards (where they're doing an epic job judging from UK productivity) will result in a revolt of white males to maintain their current privileged position?Do the powers that be genuinely not see where this ends?I am genuinely confused as to why so many erstwhile intelligent people fail to see that playing identity politics drives, err, identity politics.
"White males will have ‘fewer board seats’ in future, says UK diversity chair"
Financial Times
https://x.com/FT/status/2031160714484674567?s=20
Let me tell them. The end result of all this is the creation of an aggressive "white" identity in the UK. If you are white, you will vote for the "White People's Party", so you are not crushed, nor your kids, by official "anti-white-racism". Thus Britain will become a new South Africa
Ex-lads mag journos with brains rotted by coke don't half lose the plot when they're over the hill and devoid of #metoo opportunities....
This should be an unremarkeable phenomenon and has happened already across many other sectors including medicine, politics, law, academia etc.
It isn't some sort of culture war, but simply the removal of barriers that have kept people down.
Foxy
1
Re: Cutting taxes can be not putting them up as much says Nigel Farage – politicalbetting.com
A very good speech by Sir Geoffrey Cox, in defence of trial by jury.
https://x.com/daviddavismp/status/2031430066077413397
Also acknowledging that the sub-postmasters would have had their fate determined entirely by magistrates in summary trials under the proposals, and there would have been little knowledge of the scandal.
https://x.com/daviddavismp/status/2031430066077413397
Also acknowledging that the sub-postmasters would have had their fate determined entirely by magistrates in summary trials under the proposals, and there would have been little knowledge of the scandal.
Sandpit
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