Best Of
Re: I think the value might be with the Greens – politicalbetting.com
I see Consumer confidence is slowly improving, though has been negative for ten years*:Much better borrowing figures yesterday as well: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/clymd1pj887o
https://bsky.app/profile/financialtimes.com/post/3md2xpol6ld2e
And December's retail beat expectations up 0.4% in December.
* What happened 10 years ago to destry consumer confidence? 🤔
For the first time, I think, the results are running below the OBR forecast for the year. The damage done by the run up to the budget was horrendous and a completely unenforced error but there is a chance things might just calm down a bit for a while.
DavidL
2
Re: I think the value might be with the Greens – politicalbetting.com
The number of countries that want Britain to join the Euro is zero. They've got enough problems already without adding a country with a weird housing thing going on that's not really into it.The reality of Rejoin isRoger is (“…full fat version…”) in the comment HYUFD is replying to!Nobody is suggesting the EuroRejoin plus Euro means zero chance of Labour re election@steverichards14If Labour are to win the next election we MUST rejoin the EU. Starmer or Burnham must batter it through. No Referendums. Just a huge parlianentary majority. The full fat version including Schengen. We must put ourselves at the centre of Europe.
Powerful and much needed framing from Andy Burnham in the Guardian..should be repeated every day by ministers or they will find they are blamed for ‘broken Britain’:
“If the question at the centre of British politics is “who broke Britain?”, let’s be clear and unequivocal. The four horsemen of Britain’s apocalypse are deindustrialisation, privatisation, austerity and Brexit.
In my time in politics, there has been a tendency for too many in Labour to accept too much of the framing of the right, but we must firmly reject its narrative and call it out in no uncertain terms. Figures on the British right talk of taking back control, but people can see that they are the ones who gave it away.”
https://x.com/steverichards14/status/2014612676777779396?s=20
Labour have nothing to lose. They are sleepwalking to possible defeat at the hands of Farage. There is no form of REJOIN that would be a worse fate for this country than that.
1) We would be asked to follow the process that all applicants to the are do. The politics of Europe will not slow a special exemption - too many countries would get upset
2) So we would be signing up to “full fat” Europe
3) This means signing up for the Euro. Since this would remove a huge chunk of the mucking around with the economy the politicians love, this would be a matter of
I) Signing up to the Euro joining process
II) Never actually meeting he requirements and joining
It's perfectly possible that the application would just get held up forever, and it's also possible that some countries would say they don't think it'll last and they're not going to play the hokey cokey but the Euro wouldn't be the blocker.
Re: I think the value might be with the Greens – politicalbetting.com
You're not allowing for any realpolitik there. The reality is that, if the EU believed we were willing to return for good - Farage's enduring toxic influence on our politics remains the principal obstacle - we could return on terms that suited us.The reality of Rejoin isRoger is (“…full fat version…”) in the comment HYUFD is replying to!Nobody is suggesting the EuroRejoin plus Euro means zero chance of Labour re election@steverichards14If Labour are to win the next election we MUST rejoin the EU. Starmer or Burnham must batter it through. No Referendums. Just a huge parlianentary majority. The full fat version including Schengen. We must put ourselves at the centre of Europe.
Powerful and much needed framing from Andy Burnham in the Guardian..should be repeated every day by ministers or they will find they are blamed for ‘broken Britain’:
“If the question at the centre of British politics is “who broke Britain?”, let’s be clear and unequivocal. The four horsemen of Britain’s apocalypse are deindustrialisation, privatisation, austerity and Brexit.
In my time in politics, there has been a tendency for too many in Labour to accept too much of the framing of the right, but we must firmly reject its narrative and call it out in no uncertain terms. Figures on the British right talk of taking back control, but people can see that they are the ones who gave it away.”
https://x.com/steverichards14/status/2014612676777779396?s=20
Labour have nothing to lose. They are sleepwalking to possible defeat at the hands of Farage. There is no form of REJOIN that would be a worse fate for this country than that.
1) We would be asked to follow the process that all applicants to the are do. The politics of Europe will not slow a special exemption - too many countries would get upset
2) So we would be signing up to “full fat” Europe
3) This means signing up for the Euro. Since this would remove a huge chunk of the mucking around with the economy the politicians love, this would be a matter of
I) Signing up to the Euro joining process
II) Never actually meeting he requirements and joining
IanB2
3
Re: I think the value might be with the Greens – politicalbetting.com
Go Outdoors. Now is the winter of our discount tent.I’ll remind you of this next time someone brings up the Winter of Discontent@steverichards14Almost at the fiftieth anniversary of Blame Thatcher. How long can they drag it out? I assume this is aimed at the Party Faithful.
Powerful and much needed framing from Andy Burnham in the Guardian..should be repeated every day by ministers or they will find they are blamed for ‘broken Britain’:
“If the question at the centre of British politics is “who broke Britain?”, let’s be clear and unequivocal. The four horsemen of Britain’s apocalypse are deindustrialisation, privatisation, austerity and Brexit.
In my time in politics, there has been a tendency for too many in Labour to accept too much of the framing of the right, but we must firmly reject its narrative and call it out in no uncertain terms. Figures on the British right talk of taking back control, but people can see that they are the ones who gave it away.”
https://x.com/steverichards14/status/2014612676777779396?s=20
https://www.gooutdoors.co.uk/collections/tents-sale
Re: I think the value might be with the Greens – politicalbetting.com
Morning all.I think Starmer will trade a problem in 3 years time for survival today.
And its a first. I want to thank the support I get from my wife, my family and friends. I couldn't have done it without them.
I think Polanski in Parliament would be very bad new for Starmer. If it takes Burnham to stop him he should be cheering him on.
Also, there are already Greens in parliament.
Re: I think the value might be with the Greens – politicalbetting.com
A poor PPB by Zak in my opinion. I did my first and only one for Paddy A. His first. It was called 'Maggies Broken Britain' We had one of the best copywriters anywhere on the job and it looked very good. Paddy talking to camera intercut with shots of Britain looking like Stalingrad.
We were all pleased with the result but in retrospect it was the wrong thing to do. Same with Zak. His appeal is his optimism and freshness. He doesn't hate people of different shades. He ridicules people who do. He looks for the best sides of ourselves. Think Mamdani. It works particularly well against the doomsters of Reform. His message is 'We're better than that' and it's a message people like to hear. Just tune into Question Time
We were all pleased with the result but in retrospect it was the wrong thing to do. Same with Zak. His appeal is his optimism and freshness. He doesn't hate people of different shades. He ridicules people who do. He looks for the best sides of ourselves. Think Mamdani. It works particularly well against the doomsters of Reform. His message is 'We're better than that' and it's a message people like to hear. Just tune into Question Time
3
Re: I think the value might be with the Greens – politicalbetting.com
If Galloway did run then he'd no doubt stir things up to the slight benefit of Reform too. If he stole some Green votes and some Labour votes then I can see that Reform might get close.No but Gorton is still majority white working class and if an all BAME Labour shortlist is imposed to keep out Burnham that will boost Reform with themThe Greens certainly have a shot but less so than Remain voting Manchester itself as Gordon was 50% Leave.The Gorton constituency as at 2016 took in a lot more of the working class and multiethnic areas directly south of Manchester. I don't think the whole nature of the Manchester part of the constituency has changed that radically but, for instance, ethnic minority Brexit voters don't necessarily translate into Reform voters.
Burnham should hold it as the popular Greater Manchester Mayor. It looks though like Starmer and the NEC will impose an all BAME shortlist to keep out Burnham for the Labour nomination which would benefit Reform
Omnium
1
Re: I think the value might be with the Greens – politicalbetting.com
Roger is (“…full fat version…”) in the comment HYUFD is replying to!Nobody is suggesting the EuroRejoin plus Euro means zero chance of Labour re election@steverichards14If Labour are to win the next election we MUST rejoin the EU. Starmer or Burnham must batter it through. No Referendums. Just a huge parlianentary majority. The full fat version including Schengen. We must put ourselves at the centre of Europe.
Powerful and much needed framing from Andy Burnham in the Guardian..should be repeated every day by ministers or they will find they are blamed for ‘broken Britain’:
“If the question at the centre of British politics is “who broke Britain?”, let’s be clear and unequivocal. The four horsemen of Britain’s apocalypse are deindustrialisation, privatisation, austerity and Brexit.
In my time in politics, there has been a tendency for too many in Labour to accept too much of the framing of the right, but we must firmly reject its narrative and call it out in no uncertain terms. Figures on the British right talk of taking back control, but people can see that they are the ones who gave it away.”
https://x.com/steverichards14/status/2014612676777779396?s=20
Labour have nothing to lose. They are sleepwalking to possible defeat at the hands of Farage. There is no form of REJOIN that would be a worse fate for this country than that.
DougSeal
4
Re: I think the value might be with the Greens – politicalbetting.com
I raise you Suez.I’ll remind you of this next time someone brings up the Winter of Discontent@steverichards14Almost at the fiftieth anniversary of Blame Thatcher. How long can they drag it out? I assume this is aimed at the Party Faithful.
Powerful and much needed framing from Andy Burnham in the Guardian..should be repeated every day by ministers or they will find they are blamed for ‘broken Britain’:
“If the question at the centre of British politics is “who broke Britain?”, let’s be clear and unequivocal. The four horsemen of Britain’s apocalypse are deindustrialisation, privatisation, austerity and Brexit.
In my time in politics, there has been a tendency for too many in Labour to accept too much of the framing of the right, but we must firmly reject its narrative and call it out in no uncertain terms. Figures on the British right talk of taking back control, but people can see that they are the ones who gave it away.”
https://x.com/steverichards14/status/2014612676777779396?s=20
Re: I think the value might be with the Greens – politicalbetting.com
That's one of the things that got us here.What Burnham’s thesis fails to grasp (and what many on the left also desperately avoid) is that for all the negative consequences of deindustrialisation (a policy of both parties) and the Thatcher reforms - and it is fantasy to suggest that there weren’t negative consequences - they were popular with huge parts of society and, after the turmoil of the 1980s, largely accepted by society at large for the next 20-30 years (depending on whether you think that stops at the GFC or not).@steverichards141970s nationalised Britain was a basket case, deindustrialisation is global but there are still high skilled manufacturers and industry in the UK and of course Trump was elected in the US to tariff imports especially from China and protect industry. No austerity from this high tax and welfare splurging Labour government. It was the British people themselves who voted for Brexit in the 2016 EU referendum against the advice of the then Tory PM
Powerful and much needed framing from Andy Burnham in the Guardian..should be repeated every day by ministers or they will find they are blamed for ‘broken Britain’:
“If the question at the centre of British politics is “who broke Britain?”, let’s be clear and unequivocal. The four horsemen of Britain’s apocalypse are deindustrialisation, privatisation, austerity and Brexit.
In my time in politics, there has been a tendency for too many in Labour to accept too much of the framing of the right, but we must firmly reject its narrative and call it out in no uncertain terms. Figures on the British right talk of taking back control, but people can see that they are the ones who gave it away.”
https://x.com/steverichards14/status/2014612676777779396?s=20
"Privatisation is good", for all its successes, meant we had decades of monopoly utilities ripping off customers and failing to invest, before anyone woke up to it.
Popular council house sales were also part of the evisceration of local government resources.
The problem with the consensus was not the ideas themselves, but that the consensus served to prevent consideration any of the downsides associated with them.
In that respect, Thatcherism was as much a brainless ideology as is socialism.
Nigelb
5


