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Re: Today’s high noon for Andy Burnham (well 5pm) – politicalbetting.com
The risk from his point of view is that is too late and Starmer has been replaced by then.Keeps his promise to Manchester.Burnham's best move is to not get involved.The only way to win is not to play?
But if he does Starmer's best move is to let events take their course and not block him.
For the political watcher a Burnham/Galloway/Reform/Polanski by election would be box office.
Does a deal with another Manc MP in 2028.
DavidL
2
Re: Today’s high noon for Andy Burnham (well 5pm) – politicalbetting.com
This is his tweet:As I understand it, the rules say that the NEC can impose an all women (or other) shortlist, if representation in the parliamentary Labour Party is lacking.Burnham may still decide to go for it before tomorrow's 5pm deadline but it seems like the NEC will try and impose an all BAME shortlist to stop him anywayTom Harwood says that would clearly be illegal.
Why would that be illegal?
https://x.com/tomhfh/status/2014647966259097695
I am not lawyer, so I don't know, but the wording seems bloody clear to me. Women short list ok. Not BAME. Or even Global Majority.
Re: Today’s high noon for Andy Burnham (well 5pm) – politicalbetting.com
Burnham's best move is to not get involved.The only way to win is not to play?
But if he does Starmer's best move is to let events take their course and not block him.
For the political watcher a Burnham/Galloway/Reform/Polanski by election would be box office.
DavidL
1
Re: Today’s high noon for Andy Burnham (well 5pm) – politicalbetting.com
Farage and Truss hanging out togetherThank you for that mental image, which I could well have done without.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/jan/24/farage-truss-lunch-funded-by-climate-denying-us-thinktank
ydoethur
1
Re: Today’s high noon for Andy Burnham (well 5pm) – politicalbetting.com
Increasingly worthless dollars.On the Tory side:Surely “a fistful of (PPE) dollars”?
How the Wets Was Won
Re: Today’s high noon for Andy Burnham (well 5pm) – politicalbetting.com
Farage and Truss hanging out together
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/jan/24/farage-truss-lunch-funded-by-climate-denying-us-thinktank
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/jan/24/farage-truss-lunch-funded-by-climate-denying-us-thinktank
CatMan
1
Re: Today’s high noon for Andy Burnham (well 5pm) – politicalbetting.com
I am on a train. It was crowded so I went for the first-class upgrade. I'm in my first class seat. It is full of people in groups TALKING TO EACH OTHER. BASTARDS. Apparently Amy would like a cat. One couple are sitting in separate seats. LISA HAVE YOU GOT THE TICKETS. One guy asked if the other ever had a beard. I cannot use this information.For the full effect you need a hen party and a stag party in the same carriage.
I'm sorry, this is unacceptable. I want studious young men on laptops. Middle aged men with nose hair and good suits who work in the City. Prissy older women who look like Theresa May and tut if somebody says something. England, you have disappointed me.
Re: First Canada, then Australia, now Denmark? – politicalbetting.com
Fair enough. If this makes it's way into a BBC News push notification "Farage worked with Trump to undermine UK Gov on Chagos", I think the country will overwhelmingly swing in one direction on the treason charge.Personally I don't agree with dragging Trump into this or supporting him in any way - as I am sure I have made clear. Same goes for Farage. But that doesn't change the fact that Starmer is doing enormous damage to Britain and to the rightful owners of the Chagos Islands (remember them, the ones who weren't even consulted about this treasonous deal) through his actions. The only saving grace is he is too fucking dumb to be doing it for personal monetary gain. Something that will always place him ahead of Trump.Well tough shit Richard - it's a decision for the UK parliament alone and we should never, ever tolerate any British citizen conspiring with a foreign state to facilitate its coercion - evidenced by the fact prior to Farage Trump was in favour of the deal. I'm firmly against the Chagos deal too but perversely I'd now be furious if it didn't go through. Trump and his minions can go fuck themselves; British democracy must always win.@jaheale.bsky.socialDepends on whther you think giving the Chagos Islands to a random foreign country and paying them billions to take it is in Britain's interests. If that is the criteria for being a traitor then I would suggest Starmer is the treasonous one and any opposing him are standing up for Britain.
NEW: Understand Scott Bessent and Nigel Farage discussed Diego Garcia and Chagos during their dinner at Davos. US Treasury Sec believed to have credited Farage for getting this issue in the President’s in-tray and subsequent Trump stance.
@jwsidders.bsky.social
In the extreme right world Farage inhabits, this will be seen as clever politics. But the vast majority of people in the UK will see this for what it is: conspiring with a hostile foreign power to harm British interests. The stuff traitors do, in other words.
And to think you're a Brexiteer.
People are reading out the names of British war dead on the radio. It's getting feverish out there.
Eabhal
1
Re: Today’s high noon for Andy Burnham (well 5pm) – politicalbetting.com
I still find it crazy that Burnham rolled the pitch for his big leadership election at Labour Party Conference, had total car crash interviews and had to sneak away from the event...and now a few months later he is back again as the great big hope.
Miliband held a banana at a Labour Party Conference and totally ended his leadership bid forever, had to become a Thunderbird.
Miliband held a banana at a Labour Party Conference and totally ended his leadership bid forever, had to become a Thunderbird.
Re: First Canada, then Australia, now Denmark? – politicalbetting.com
I can certainly disagree with point three.@patrickwintourCan’t disagree with points 1, 2 and 3 at all.
For some reason the US tried to bury its national defence strategy published at 7pm in the US on Friday evening.
It contains no mention of Taiwan three of Greenland and says it seeks respectful relations with China. Israel is described as a “model ally.”
The priority, the document confirms, is homeland defence, burden sharing and preventing Chinese domination.
The strategy is predictably dismissive of Europe saying US allies in NATO have been allowed to behave more like dependencies, than partners. It also suggests Europe shouldn’t aspire to be a global power- stating “we will be clear with our European allies that their efforts and resources are best focused on Europe.”
Three other passages on Europe are noteworthy.
1 “Moscow is in no position to make a bid for European hegemony. European NATO dwarfs Russian economic scale, population, and, thus, latent military power. At the same time, although
Europe remains important, it has a smaller and decreasing share of global economic power. It follows that, although we are and will remain engaged
we must—and will—prioritise defending the U.S. Homeland and deterring China.
Fortunately our NATO allies are substantially more powerful than Russia—it is not even close.
Germany’s economy alone dwarfs that of Russia”. A table then shows non US NATO gdp is $26 trillion and Russia $2 trillion.
2 “Our NATO allies are strongly positioned to take primary responsibility for Europe’s conventional defense, with critical but more limited U.S. support. This includes taking the lead in supporting Ukraine’s defense.”
3 “In Europe and other theaters, allies will take the lead against threats that are less severe for us but more so for them, with critical but more limited support from the United States.
In all cases, we will be honest but clear about the urgent need for them to do their part and that it is in their own interests to do so without delay. We will incentivize and enable them to step up. This requires a change in tone and style from the past, but that is necessary not only for Americans but also for our allies and partners. For too long, allies and partners have been content to let us subsidize their defense. Our political establishment reaped the credit while regular Americans paid the bill. With President Trump, a new approach is in effect.”
US military spending has always been as much about maintaining its global hegemony as is has about defending its allies.
If they really believe they derive no benefit from their European bases, then suggest that they leave them, and watch the reaction.
Nigelb
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