Best Of
Re: Kemi Badenoch is determined to bring the nasty party label back– politicalbetting.com
Only 45 more defections before the Tories cease to be the Official Opposition.
Reform UK now move up to become the fifth largest party in the Commons, having previously been tied with Sinn Féin (not that they take their seats). One more MP and they'll tie with the SNP. Two more and they'll be the fourth largest party!
The Reform UK Commons group is now half people elected as Reform MPs and half people elected as Conservatives. It now contains a majority of people who were previously Tory MPs.
Reform UK now move up to become the fifth largest party in the Commons, having previously been tied with Sinn Féin (not that they take their seats). One more MP and they'll tie with the SNP. Two more and they'll be the fourth largest party!
The Reform UK Commons group is now half people elected as Reform MPs and half people elected as Conservatives. It now contains a majority of people who were previously Tory MPs.
Re: Kemi Badenoch is determined to bring the nasty party label back– politicalbetting.com
Jenrick has found his home with the spivs of Reform.It really hasn’t.You keep repeating this ad infinitum when in practice the consevative party has the best leader for them alreadyCleverly could do so, Kemi not so much. Which is why she needs to ensure the Tories are second on NEV in May or Tory MPs will be thinking ex Home and Foreign Secretary Sir James will be better able to win over the centre ground and Labour and LD tactical votes in their seats to beat a hard right Reform than Kemi is.@tpgroberts.bsky.socialKemi needs to work out how to make Reform look like 'the party of failed extremist dregs' - but I don't think she has the ability to do so...
I think people are broadly right that the public don't process these defections as "failures keep joining Reform" so much as "Reform are clearly doing well to have people join them" but there must surely be a limit to that.
@stephenkb.bsky.social
It all depends on how the Conservative leadership chooses to act, I think. Reform could end up looking as 'the Conservatives, changed and will be different this time' (generally a good position to have in British politics) or 'the party of failed extremist dregs' depending on what the Tories do.
A VONC in Kemi's leadership then becomes likely
Jenrick, Braverman and others defecting has made her position secure and she will lead into GE 29
She’s lost the firewall of Jenrick succeeding her.
He will never rise to a decent role in government again.
Re: Kemi Badenoch is determined to bring the nasty party label back– politicalbetting.com
I'm a right-wing Tory and found Suella useless.
She was more interested in pissing than performing.
She was more interested in pissing than performing.
Re: Kemi Badenoch is determined to bring the nasty party label back– politicalbetting.com
"Mad" is a colloquialism that can denote a subscriber to off-beam views or someone who otherwise behaves oddly and doesn't necessarily refer to a person's mental health. Calling someone mad is therefore okay I think, a certain amount of rough and tumble being an acceptable part of public life. The Tory tweet though crossed a line by specifically referencing Braverman's mental health, as their subsequent retraction implies. I have no idea whether it is accurate of course, but that is kind of irrelevant.A rare agreement with you @TSEHow many on the left have in the past said Cruella was "mad as a box of frogs"?
The statement is beyond crass, it must have been written by some 20 year old dickhead in CCHQ
I’d say the same if it was about Diane Abbott or, god help me, Nicola Sturgeon
Why? Because
1. If it is true it is grotesque and cruel, and way beyond the pale of political abuse
Or, if it is, as I strongly suspect
2. Totally untrue, it is a nasty, childish, boorish, unfunny slur, which disgraces the Tory Party
Also, it is totally unnecessary. There are multiple ways to give Braverman a subtle kicking as she quits, they flawlessly chose the worst
Spolier: most of them.
The hypocrisy is off the scale...
Re: Kemi Badenoch is determined to bring the nasty party label back– politicalbetting.com
Can't be long, at this rate of defection, before the LD's become the Official Opposition.Not lovely Katie?!!Kemi should be trying to line up a defector from the Lib Dems or Labour to show that the Conservatives are the mainstream opposition to Reform.
Reform source:
"Katie Lam is going to be one of the next Conservative MPs to defect to Reform UK. She’s been on the fence for a while, but after seeing her closest allies join Reform, she feels like she’s got to make a decision."
https://x.com/charliesimpsona/status/2015808754327957733?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q
Re: Kemi Badenoch is determined to bring the nasty party label back– politicalbetting.com
I'm sure this has already been dsaid but just two thoughts.I didn't listen but I was this one of her choices?
1 Her timing is extraordinary. Just as Labour were ready to eviscerate Starmer for his unforgivable pettiness with regard to Burnham she upstages him and his story disappears
2. Anyone listening to Kemi B on Desert Island Discs will be less surprised by the mass exodus from her Party than they would have been before listening. In fact I'm surprised she hasn't joined Farage.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RlNhD0oS5pk
Re: Kemi Badenoch is determined to bring the nasty party label back– politicalbetting.com
Retain Gorton, lose the whole of Greater Manchester.Interesting pollAnd for those who don't like FON, a poll from a extreme, ultra-right wing news source
https://x.com/i/status/2015780557599146049
https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-politics/2026/01/andy-burnham-could-win-andrew-gwynnes-seat
That's like exchanging your queen for a pawn in a game of chess.
Re: Kemi Badenoch is determined to bring the nasty party label back– politicalbetting.com
The other FON poll outlines the problem. Burnham would hold the Greater Manchester mayoralty (albeit with a big swing against), but if he stands down, Labour might well lose it to Reform.Interesting pollAnd for those who don't like FON, a poll from a extreme, ultra-right wing news source
https://x.com/i/status/2015780557599146049
https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-politics/2026/01/andy-burnham-could-win-andrew-gwynnes-seat
And, it's far from certain that he would hold Gorton.
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Re: The big winners from the weekend’s Labour contretemps – politicalbetting.com
The irony is that you and Taz are the ones currently having a circle jerkWell, yes. It makes them feel comfy, it is quite sadI do get the Impression the majority here would rather have a group where everyone shares the same core set of views and just spend all day broadly agreeing with each other.Don’t worry I’ll be banned again soon enough. WhatevsJesus fucking Christ this forum is now near-uselessSo long, farewell, auf wiedersehen, good bye
Don't like the door hit you on the way out.
We used to compare PB to a raucous pub, which it was, at its best. It has become more of a low-to-middling golf club crossed with pre-trans Mumsnet
Re: The big winners from the weekend’s Labour contretemps – politicalbetting.com
I do get the Impression the majority here would rather have a group where everyone shares the same core set of views and just spend all day broadly agreeing with each other.Don’t worry I’ll be banned again soon enough. WhatevsJesus fucking Christ this forum is now near-uselessSo long, farewell, auf wiedersehen, good bye
Don't like the door hit you on the way out.
Taz
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