Best Of
Re: What the voters think about Nigel Farage and his motives – politicalbetting.com
Certainly many voters will think that Farage was exploiting this for political reasons. Kemi on that poll comes out best, trying to ensure the police treat everyone equally going forward but not stirring things up for political advantage either
HYUFD
1
Re: What the voters think about Nigel Farage and his motives – politicalbetting.com
First?Do be so hesitant; you're an advocate.
Nigelb
1
Re: What a difference 13 months makes – politicalbetting.com
How much of the productivity increase is coming from the increasing unemployment of the most marginal workers who are being priced out of work by the increases in NMW and Employers NI? France has traditionally had much higher productivity than us per worker but most of it came from the fact that much of the casual, low skilled work that was available in the UK simply didn't exist.There's a lot in that imo.One for the economics nerds- there's a growing case that Labour (Rachel Reeves) are generating a lot of productivity growth.Rachel has been quietly and steadily been overseeing genuine green shoots...but of course it's new the right wing nedia just dont want to report!
Currently some debate about where the growth is coming from. Is it AI? Is it fewer workers in retail/hospitality? But it looks real.
https://www.ft.com/content/161a60ae-130d-42e1-a5c9-886d98f28d3d?syn-25a6b1a6=1
I do worry that Andy Burnham may undo much of the economic policy which is starting to bear fruit.
But for now it is all about time - there's a race between when better times will become visible, when the Govt will communicate, and when Reform will implode and how far that will go.
My local prediction for Lee Anderson is that he will likely get and want one more term, partly because - notwithstanding from his outbursts and other problems - he has a good record as a long-ish term local Councillor, and is OK as a constituency MP. I have yet to ask local ethnic minority people what they feel about him.
Separately he needs his pension fund and, based on the 150k a year package from Westminster and 100k from GBNews at present, I think he will want a further term, to give him 15 years rather than 10 as an MP.
Other than making employing people much more expensive it is not obvious to me what Reeves has done to help productivity.
DavidL
2
Re: What the voters think about Nigel Farage and his motives – politicalbetting.com
Are the by-elections today? The outcome will certainly be very interesting.Next week.
Seems to me Mr Farage's problem is his need for centre stage. That sometimes achieves his presumed aims but sometimes, as in this case apparently, not so much.
Re: What the voters think about Nigel Farage and his motives – politicalbetting.com
If Cyclefree is around this morning, she might appreciate this X thread.
David Lammy’s proposals to restrict the right to jury trial have been examined by the Justice Committee of the House of Commons.
And. Well. Um.
It’s *quite* the report.
I think it’s actually worse than politely scathing.
It’s embarrassing 👇🏼🪡🧵
https://x.com/Joanna__Hardy/status/2064675359212077216
If I get time I might look up the report.
David Lammy’s proposals to restrict the right to jury trial have been examined by the Justice Committee of the House of Commons.
And. Well. Um.
It’s *quite* the report.
I think it’s actually worse than politely scathing.
It’s embarrassing 👇🏼🪡🧵
https://x.com/Joanna__Hardy/status/2064675359212077216
If I get time I might look up the report.
Nigelb
5
Re: What the voters think about Nigel Farage and his motives – politicalbetting.com
First?
Not sure what the polling really shows on this. Most people really don't like Farage and his bigotry but in our fractured political system that doesn't matter too much as long as 30% or so do. And a lot of that 30% seem to have lapped up his comments.
Not sure what the polling really shows on this. Most people really don't like Farage and his bigotry but in our fractured political system that doesn't matter too much as long as 30% or so do. And a lot of that 30% seem to have lapped up his comments.
DavidL
1
What the voters think about Nigel Farage and his motives – politicalbetting.com
What the voters think about Nigel Farage and his motives – politicalbetting.com
This finding from More In Common is well worth reading in full about the murder of Henry Nowak, what I find most striking about this is how badly the voters think about Nigel Farage’s motives and Luke Tryl from More In Common writes
1
Re: What a difference 13 months makes – politicalbetting.com
The wars which Waterloo ended are known as the Napoleonic Wars. It's kinda obvious who the main character in the story is, and therefore why Waterloo is a synonym for defeat rather than victory.This is a good point.The answer is fairly obvious, however, when you consider the history and background; Napoleon’s global fame and notoriety and the long road he had ridden to arrive at that battle overriding any tendency to see things only from a British viewpoint.
Almost enough to put me off ABBA.
I was listening (loudly) to Abba and like many, many years ago, I thought:
Why is Waterloo a synonym for defeat and not for victory?..
https://x.com/BrankoMilan/status/2064504289226035554
In Italy, you will occasionally here a complete disaster described as “un bel caporetto”, after the battle of caporetto (kobarid) which turned into a route for the Italians in WWI, after extensive use of poison gas by the Austrians, for whom it was of course a great, if ultimately futile, victory.
Re: What a difference 13 months makes – politicalbetting.com
Khan pushed through the ULEZ against opposition and London has seen a large drop in air pollution as a result. Burnham caved to opposition and one assumes Manchester has not seen the same reduction in air pollution. It's not a great advert for Burnham being able to grasp the nettles of the problems facing Britain.One of the admirable things about Mayor Sadiq is that he has been prepared to push back against resistance to his policies, outer London ULEZ being the biggest example.Popular yet stupid, provoking a nice headline yet harming the national interest, spending money we don't have on things we don't need.Not popular on PB, but compensation for the WASPI women gets a lot of support from the general public:Good morning, everyone.Or both. In other words, Boris with a better haircut.
Burnham's either disingenuous or a bloody fool.
Given a choice between doing the right thing that will cause someone to argue back at them, and the wrong thing that keeps everyone happy for a bit, they both tend to choose the latter.
Some people call it "brilliant retail politics".
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/majority-brits-demand-government-u-34459461?fbclid=IwY2xjawHventleHRuA2FlbQIxMAABHbBp9Op7rBNFkaaPhA38hcQaxDdMTUIoTlwQSjwhb0ip9bwa5FDIUhdfNw_aem_mNhFhrTxbTDgsVQDalcoXA
Very modern politics.
But also statements like this;
Complaining about nightlife when you *checks notes* choose to live in Soho is like living in South Kensington and complaining about the museums.
Or moving to Hackney and grumbling about creatives. Living in Richmond and hating green space.
It's all getting a bit silly, isn't it?
https://bsky.app/profile/london.gov.uk/post/3mnykmjfq3c2o
He has enough electoral buffer that it's much easier for him to do it than many others, but it's still refreshing to see a politician telling campaigners that he disagrees.
Re: What a difference 13 months makes – politicalbetting.com
Populism is an irregular noun.LOL.Well, thats the Populism that you seek.So what.Not popular on PB, but compensation for the WASPI women gets a lot of support from the general public:Good morning, everyone.Or both. In other words, Boris with a better haircut.
Burnham's either disingenuous or a bloody fool.
Given a choice between doing the right thing that will cause someone to argue back at them, and the wrong thing that keeps everyone happy for a bit, they both tend to choose the latter.
Some people call it "brilliant retail politics".
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/majority-brits-demand-government-u-34459461?fbclid=IwY2xjawHventleHRuA2FlbQIxMAABHbBp9Op7rBNFkaaPhA38hcQaxDdMTUIoTlwQSjwhb0ip9bwa5FDIUhdfNw_aem_mNhFhrTxbTDgsVQDalcoXA
That’s the populist approach I was criticising a couple of days ago in relation to another matter 🤡🤡🤡🤡
When it's things I support, it's obeying the democratic will of the people.
When it's things I oppose, it's craven politicians cowering from the mob.


