Best Of
Re: There is still time to enter the 2026 PB Predictions Competition – politicalbetting.com
Trump could end up going down as the President who solved the two most contentious culture war issues: abortion and gun rights.Its an irregular verb.
https://x.com/sentdefender/status/2016262773244613010
Reporter: “Sir, was Mr. Pretti acting as an assassin? Do you think he was acting as an assassin in Minneapolis?”
Trump: “Who is that?”
Reporter: “Mr. Pretti. Your Deputy Chief of Staff [Stephen Miller] said that. You don't think so?”
Trump: “No, I don’t think so. With that being said, you know, you can’t have guns. You can’t walk in with guns. You just can’t.”
Reporter: “What about the Second Amendment?”
Trump: “Listen, you can’t walk in with guns. You can’t do that. But it’s just a very unfortunate incident.”
He was an extremist who should not have been armed.
You can't walk in with guns.
I have a second amendment right to bear arms.
Re: There is still time to enter the 2026 PB Predictions Competition – politicalbetting.com
Fair enough.The most liked post in PB history received 61 likes.Criticising Zionism would have got me fifty likesPerhaps the site statisticians can confirm, but I’d be AMAZED if any post has received 50 likes.
Criticising Islamism gets next to none
I understand that Islamism is much scarier to oppose
Have you got your hyperbolic beer googles on?
It was by JohnO telling he was okay after his cardiac arrest.
I think that’s the only post to go past 40 likes.
https://vf.politicalbetting.com/discussion/comment/3404262/#Comment_3404262
If only JohnO had combined it with a critique of Theodor Herzl, imagine how many likes he’d have got!
Re: There is still time to enter the 2026 PB Predictions Competition – politicalbetting.com
The most liked post in PB history received 61 likes.Criticising Zionism would have got me fifty likesPerhaps the site statisticians can confirm, but I’d be AMAZED if any post has received 50 likes.
Criticising Islamism gets next to none
I understand that Islamism is much scarier to oppose
Have you got your hyperbolic beer googles on?
It was by JohnO telling he was okay after his cardiac arrest.
I think that’s the only post to go past 40 likes.
https://vf.politicalbetting.com/discussion/comment/3404262/#Comment_3404262
Re: There is still time to enter the 2026 PB Predictions Competition – politicalbetting.com
I thought it was Barty’s neighbours neighbour that was the ass.Have you been coveting thy neighbour's ass again?Yes, of course.You oppose the 10 commandments?Being opposed to Islam isn't islamophobic. It's a religion, and therefore a philosophy, a belief system, and may be opposed. Exactly as you may be opposed to a political philosophy.Islamism is different from Islam. Look them upIs opposing Islamism Islamophobic?Is opposing Judaism antisemitic? I'd say yes to that, so I'd also say yes to your question.
Similarly, being opposed to Judaism, the religion, isn't antisemitic.
A few of them are just universal good sense, like do not commit murder. But that is nothing special.
Others are not positive at all.
Most are not laws.
We should not put the commandments on a pedesral.
Re: There is still time to enter the 2026 PB Predictions Competition – politicalbetting.com
If the Greens manage to fully grab the mantle as challenger to Reform, then they will win in Gorton. If they do not, then Reform will win.
How is their ground game? Can they flood the constituency with supporters, and give off a sense that they are in the game and the main challenger to Reform?
How is their ground game? Can they flood the constituency with supporters, and give off a sense that they are in the game and the main challenger to Reform?
rcs1000
6
Re: There is still time to enter the 2026 PB Predictions Competition – politicalbetting.com
Northern Ireland was Sunningdale For Slow Learners.Peace processes also require change from the status quo. In Northern Ireland it was the power sharing agreement. In South Africa it was the end of apartheid. In Israel/Palestine there will have to be some similar sort of agreement that recognises the needs of both sides and makes peace more viable than fighting.Northern Ireland and Israel/Palestine are about “I must kill my enemies before they kill me, round 3,767.”It's horrible, difficult, and creates all sorts of problems when you try and run an organisation or country that way ("trespassers will be forgiven", as the Franciscan farm sign says)...I’m personally opposed to the whole “you must forgive people who’ve shown no contrition” thing.Some of them. But in any case people can support elements of a religious philosophy whilst being opposed to some fundamental tenets of the faith itself.You oppose the 10 commandments?Being opposed to Islam isn't islamophobic. It's a religion, and therefore a philosophy, a belief system, and may be opposed. Exactly as you may be opposed to a political philosophy.Islamism is different from Islam. Look them upIs opposing Islamism Islamophobic?Is opposing Judaism antisemitic? I'd say yes to that, so I'd also say yes to your question.
Similarly, being opposed to Judaism, the religion, isn't antisemitic.
Someone might find a lot they like about the teachings of Jesus but still oppose the religious institutions promoting it, or just not agree with (and so oppose) fundamental aspects of its beliefs (eg that Jesus was the son of God).
... but it's also the only thing that works, both internally and as a way to stop the eternal back-and-forth of resentment. It's the way that Northern Ireland and South Africa eventually got lucky and Israel/Palestine haven't yet.
I don’t have to forgive anyone, to not kill them. I don’t forgive the PIRA (or the UVF and all the other dreary murdering shits) - I don’t see why I should, either. If they apologised, I might consider it. But they won’t.
The Peace Process is about retiring the Men Of Violence, in place. So they all die of old age, eventually. Then we can piss on their graves.
Re: There is still time to enter the 2026 PB Predictions Competition – politicalbetting.com
Criticising Zionism would have got me fifty likesPerhaps the site statisticians can confirm, but I’d be AMAZED if any post has received 50 likes.
Criticising Islamism gets next to none
I understand that Islamism is much scarier to oppose
Have you got your hyperbolic beer googles on?
Re: There is still time to enter the 2026 PB Predictions Competition – politicalbetting.com
10% for the Workers Party without Galloway and with the Muslim Vote and Yaqoob endorsing the Greens seems optimistic to me.One thing that struck me, reading Yougov’s combined data for December/January, is that right wing support is now a lot greater among lower earners than higher earners.And now the Workers Party are standing, they’ll siphon off some of the left wing vote from the Greens and Labour.
That probably means that Gorton will be more fertile ground for Reform than I had first thought.
I’m guessing that Reform will win about 35%; Workers Party 10%; Con and Lib Dem’s 5%.
That leaves about 50% for Labour and Greens.
Re: There is still time to enter the 2026 PB Predictions Competition – politicalbetting.com
Labour have put out a completely disingenuous attack on Goodwin on their social media. Selective editing to make something he said about the Tory conference seem as though he was doing Manchester down. Poor formHe should consider suing them for $20bn.
rcs1000
2
Re: There is still time to enter the 2026 PB Predictions Competition – politicalbetting.com
Is Matthew Goodwin standing in the by-election? I missed that earlier if so.Yes, and doing a bit of a Rachel Reeves going by this fisking of his CV.
https://bsky.app/profile/carolinejmolloy.bsky.social/post/3mdgdpjexjk26
Foxy
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