Best Of
Re: The is a bit of a mess for Find Out Now – politicalbetting.com
For rcs1000: "Meetings of the president with the full cabinet tend to get a pretty bad press. Many who have attended them describe them as boring and a waste of time. Indeed, some presidents have held very few. Most presidents have held cabinet meetings only about once a month. Clinton managed only 2 or 3 a year, while at the other extreme both Carter and Reagan held 36 meetings in their first year in office. The number of meetings tends to decline as the administration wears on."Isn’t that because in the UK the Cabinet is a sub-committee of the Privy Council so members are collectively responsible. In the US each Secretary has independent executive authority sub directly to the President. So the US Cabinet is just a means to update colleagues while - in theory - the UK Cabinet is a decision making body
https://quizlet.com/gb/12658529/the-presidency-the-cabinet-flash-cards/
So, the short answer for how often the US Cabinet meets is: "It depends/"
https://quizlet.com/gb/12658529/the-presidency-the-cabinet-flash-cards/
On the general question of Biden's disability: From what I can tell, he often had periods of lucidity, but would fade out from time to time, especially when he was tired.
(One thing that kept me from paying as much attention to it as I should have, is his stuttering problem. He overcame it mostly, but even when he was much younger, he had periods in which he had trouble speaking clearly.)
Re: The latest Gorton & Denton by-election betting – politicalbetting.com
FPTThe US Cabinet is certainly almost irrelevant these days. I remember a moderately amusing titbit from the 90s . Clinton only held two cabinet meetings in 1998, the first to deny his affair with Lewinski and the second to admit it.For rcs1000: "Meetings of the president with the full cabinet tend to get a pretty bad press. Many who have attended them describe them as boring and a waste of time. Indeed, some presidents have held very few. Most presidents have held cabinet meetings only about once a month. Clinton managed only 2 or 3 a year, while at the other extreme both Carter and Reagan held 36 meetings in their first year in office. The number of meetings tends to decline as the administration wears on."Isn’t that because in the UK the Cabinet is a sub-committee of the Privy Council so members are collectively responsible. In the US each Secretary has independent executive authority sub directly to the President. So the US Cabinet is just a means to update colleagues while - in theory - the UK Cabinet is a decision making body
https://quizlet.com/gb/12658529/the-presidency-the-cabinet-flash-cards/
So, the short answer for how often the US Cabinet meets is: "It depends/"
https://quizlet.com/gb/12658529/the-presidency-the-cabinet-flash-cards/
On the general question of Biden's disability: From what I can tell, he often had periods of lucidity, but would fade out from time to time, especially when he was tired.
(One thing that kept me from paying as much attention to it as I should have, is his stuttering problem. He overcame it mostly, but even when he was much younger, he had periods in which he had trouble speaking clearly.)
Fishing
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Re: The latest Gorton & Denton by-election betting – politicalbetting.com
Any idea why the Greens are strongish favourites? They’d be my preferred choice but it’d be interesting to know if there’s data behind it.I had Greens to win this from the start. Reasons include:
1) Simple psephology. Greens are snapping at Labour's heels nationally.
2) This won't be distributed evenly. Some seats will be greener than others. My view is that seats with a lot of young voters will be greener, if for no other reason than tuition fees. More so where there are a lot of students or recent graduates. Even more so where those recent graduates aren't the obvious winners of the process.
3) Following the example of Caerphilly, there will be a coalescence of left wing votes around whichever non-Labour party is best placed to beat Reform.
4) The Muslim bloc isn't voting Labour in a by-election.
Cookie
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Re: The latest Gorton & Denton by-election betting – politicalbetting.com
When you are grubbing around for votes in the NOTA pond, then the Greens are the new Shiny Thing. Despite being around for ever (like Farage). I do wonder if there might be some Reform to Green movement cuz New Shiny Thing.Dunno, isn’t some vestige of positivity from the Greens also helping, as opposed to the weariness evinced by the shagged out traditional parties and the bilious anger being channelled by Reform? Hopey, changey is out of fashion, but seeing a bit of it must be a relief from perpetual, enervating rage.
Movng across the political spectrum probably doesn't bother these voters. They just like the buggeration factor. In a by-election, even more so.
Re: The latest Gorton & Denton by-election betting – politicalbetting.com
FPT
For rcs1000: "Meetings of the president with the full cabinet tend to get a pretty bad press. Many who have attended them describe them as boring and a waste of time. Indeed, some presidents have held very few. Most presidents have held cabinet meetings only about once a month. Clinton managed only 2 or 3 a year, while at the other extreme both Carter and Reagan held 36 meetings in their first year in office. The number of meetings tends to decline as the administration wears on."Isn’t that because in the UK the Cabinet is a sub-committee of the Privy Council so members are collectively responsible. In the US each Secretary has independent executive authority sub directly to the President. So the US Cabinet is just a means to update colleagues while - in theory - the UK Cabinet is a decision making body
https://quizlet.com/gb/12658529/the-presidency-the-cabinet-flash-cards/
So, the short answer for how often the US Cabinet meets is: "It depends/"
https://quizlet.com/gb/12658529/the-presidency-the-cabinet-flash-cards/
On the general question of Biden's disability: From what I can tell, he often had periods of lucidity, but would fade out from time to time, especially when he was tired.
(One thing that kept me from paying as much attention to it as I should have, is his stuttering problem. He overcame it mostly, but even when he was much younger, he had periods in which he had trouble speaking clearly.)
Re: The latest Gorton & Denton by-election betting – politicalbetting.com
I suspect the infamous, statistically irrelevant, Find Out Now poll has allowed Labour to frame the narrative as a two horse race between them and ReformIn the constituency and on social media, Labour are pumping out bar charts like this.
Labour being 5/1 against on Betfair suggests no-one sees this as a 2-horse race with Labour. Was that a typo in the header and Greens was meant?
Betfair's prices are:-
Green 1.86 (implying a 54% chance of taking the seat)
Reform 3.15 (or 32%)
Labour 6.2 (or 16%)
My feeling is Labour is value at the price but I've nothing to go on other than it ought to be a safe Labour seat which is why Burnham wanted it. Unless Labour activists effectively strike over Burnham's rejection by the NEC, which is possible, 11/2 looks too big. That said, the market probably knows more than me. The overnight move by the Greens does suggest new information is in play.

Re: The latest Gorton & Denton by-election betting – politicalbetting.com
In the constituency and on social media, Labour are pumping out bar charts like this.
'X can't win here' has become such a cliche misleading bar chart, we need something new for the modern age.
Though on another matter i did see a Tory leaflet extolling the virtues and fairness of PR...in Wales. (Or at least some form of more proportional system).
kle4
3
Re: The latest Gorton & Denton by-election betting – politicalbetting.com
When you are grubbing around for votes in the NOTA pond, then the Greens are the new Shiny Thing. Despite being around for ever (like Farage). I do wonder if there might be some Reform to Green movement cuz New Shiny Thing.Buggeration factor is a good descriptor of how some by elections go down, based on the scale and sometimes peculiar support changes, and so its an important thing to factor in.
Movng across the political spectrum probably doesn't bother these voters. They just like the buggeration factor. In a by-election, even more so.
kle4
1
Re: The latest Gorton & Denton by-election betting – politicalbetting.com
The combined Reform-Tory vote here at the last election was 24%.
The combined Labour-Green vote was 63%.
The Greens were only 1% behind Reform.
Seems to be fairly logical that one of Green or Labour should win here. Even if their vote is split and Reform consolidate all the right-wing vote, one of the left-leaning parties would win.
I suspect voters will take the opportunity to give Labour a bit of a kicking and the Greens win.
The combined Labour-Green vote was 63%.
The Greens were only 1% behind Reform.
Seems to be fairly logical that one of Green or Labour should win here. Even if their vote is split and Reform consolidate all the right-wing vote, one of the left-leaning parties would win.
I suspect voters will take the opportunity to give Labour a bit of a kicking and the Greens win.
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