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Re: It’s a bold strategy, let’s see if it pays off for Angela Rayner – politicalbetting.com
I forgot to bookmark the post I saw yesterday, that basically said that the coverage of the Iran war is massively distorted by the fact that almost the entire American Establishment and media want to see the Americans lose because they hate Trump.Some people are far more interested in Trump being seen to be defeated than they are the Iranian regime.(((Dan Hodges)))See my prior remark. The fact is Dan has no idea if this is true. The only people that do are in the White House and at the top of the Iranian regime
@DPJHodges
·
39m
Trump gave the Iranians an ultimatum. They called his bluff. He's backed down. That's it. No "3-D Chess". No masterful deployment of "The Mad Man Strategy". Trump has caved.
https://x.com/DPJHodges?ref_src=twsrc^google|twcamp^serp|twgr^author
Given that both sides have a penchant and a motivation for lying we will likely never find out
Edit: one from last week.
https://x.com/k_aminthaabet/status/2033872949107728656
The hatred for Trump is so strong in mainstream U.S. media that war reporting is bring given a pro-Iran spin, with all U.S. success being muted almost entirely. It’s scandalous, actually.
Sandpit
1
Re: It’s a bold strategy, let’s see if it pays off for Angela Rayner – politicalbetting.com
Thoughts and Prayers for BartThe main question is still who can speak for Iran, and what’s their process for agreeing to anything?
‘ BREAKING: President Trump responds to Iran denying his statement of "productive discussions" to end the Iran War.
President Trump says:
1. He hopes the US and Iran will "meet soon and settle this"
2. He plans to "get together" with Iran via phone call
3. "Iran would like to make a deal, we would like a deal too"
4. The US has talked to Iran's "top respected leader"
5. "We want to see no nuclear weapon for Iran"
Buckle up for another volatile week ahead.’
https://x.com/kobeissiletter/status/2036077673521234086?s=61
Sandpit
2
Re: It’s a bold strategy, let’s see if it pays off for Angela Rayner – politicalbetting.com
Of course, Trump could say in negotiations with Tehran that if they don't play nice, he will give Riyadh the bomb first.Plus an accelerated nuclear bomb starter pack - they need to get that ticked off otherwise this horror show will keep happening every six months.As Iran have demonstrated the ultimatum isn't worth shit so it doesn't really matter whether he reactivates it or not.He's demonstrated that he's still in control and has "de-escalation dominance". Now the war can go on for another week while markets remain calm and then he can reactivate the ultimatum, or not, depending on what happens.@adamscochranA remarkable President, he has managed to make the S&P market trade like the next Spurs manager market, no ever President has even come close to that.
5 minutes before Trump’s announcement:
* $1.5B notional worth of S&P500 (ES) futures are bought in a single clip.
* $192M notional of oil futures (CL) sold.
More than 4x-6x any other trade size during the market close.
Insiders profited from his lies in broad daylight!
https://x.com/adamscochran/status/2036070980754239563?s=20
Iran should try for some sanctions relief as a condition for reopening the strait. They'd probably get it.
See how they like dem apples.
"Saudi's got the bomb. You?"
Re: It’s a bold strategy, let’s see if it pays off for Angela Rayner – politicalbetting.com
@Leon
Have dinner at the lazy lobster. Order anything with the lobster peppercorn sauce.
Oh and drink at Porto
Have dinner at the lazy lobster. Order anything with the lobster peppercorn sauce.
Oh and drink at Porto
stuartrc
2
Re: It’s a bold strategy, let’s see if it pays off for Angela Rayner – politicalbetting.com
Full figures from the poll mentioned earlier
Lord ashcroft poll for Scottish parliament
Constituency:
SNP - 39%
Ref - 14%
Lab - 12%
Grn - 11%
LD - 10%
Con - 9%
Regional
SNP - 31%
Grn - 17%
Ref - 15%
Lab - 12%
Con - 10%
LD - 9%
Other - 1%
theres no way Greens are getting 11% on the constituency vote - they've only declared they are standing in approx 5 seats so far
Lord ashcroft poll for Scottish parliament
Constituency:
SNP - 39%
Ref - 14%
Lab - 12%
Grn - 11%
LD - 10%
Con - 9%
Regional
SNP - 31%
Grn - 17%
Ref - 15%
Lab - 12%
Con - 10%
LD - 9%
Other - 1%
theres no way Greens are getting 11% on the constituency vote - they've only declared they are standing in approx 5 seats so far
DoctorG
2
Re: It’s a bold strategy, let’s see if it pays off for Angela Rayner – politicalbetting.com
Yes, de-escalation and a negotiated settlement. Anybody who doesn't want this is a ***** (insert epithet to taste). Trump can declare it a success if he wants, Iran's this that and the other having been OBLITERATED. I'm perfectly fine with that. I'd even promise not to take the piss for a few days in case he sees it and starts up again.I support essentially nothing in this malign clusterfuck of a war, and certainly not protecting Trump from embarrassment. But if this means not escalating to systematic destruction of power and water supplies in the region I'm all for it.Some people are far more interested in Trump being seen to be defeated than they are the Iranian regime.(((Dan Hodges)))See my prior remark. The fact is Dan has no idea if this is true. The only people that do are in the White House and at the top of the Iranian regime
@DPJHodges
·
39m
Trump gave the Iranians an ultimatum. They called his bluff. He's backed down. That's it. No "3-D Chess". No masterful deployment of "The Mad Man Strategy". Trump has caved.
https://x.com/DPJHodges?ref_src=twsrc^google|twcamp^serp|twgr^author
Given that both sides have a penchant and a motivation for lying we will likely never find out
kinabalu
2
Re: It’s a bold strategy, let’s see if it pays off for Angela Rayner – politicalbetting.com
If they built a nuclear bomb using Lego, that would give Trump an excuse to attack both Iran and Denmark. Job done!Plus an accelerated nuclear bomb starter pack - they need to get that ticked off otherwise this horror show will keep happening every six months.As Iran have demonstrated the ultimatum isn't worth shit so it doesn't really matter whether he reactivates it or not.He's demonstrated that he's still in control and has "de-escalation dominance". Now the war can go on for another week while markets remain calm and then he can reactivate the ultimatum, or not, depending on what happens.@adamscochranA remarkable President, he has managed to make the S&P market trade like the next Spurs manager market, no ever President has even come close to that.
5 minutes before Trump’s announcement:
* $1.5B notional worth of S&P500 (ES) futures are bought in a single clip.
* $192M notional of oil futures (CL) sold.
More than 4x-6x any other trade size during the market close.
Insiders profited from his lies in broad daylight!
https://x.com/adamscochran/status/2036070980754239563?s=20
Iran should try for some sanctions relief as a condition for reopening the strait. They'd probably get it.
Re: It’s a bold strategy, let’s see if it pays off for Angela Rayner – politicalbetting.com
The bigger question for the world is when will someone next be able to speak consistently and reliably for the US.Thoughts and Prayers for BartThe main question is still who can speak for Iran, and what’s their process for agreeing to anything?
‘ BREAKING: President Trump responds to Iran denying his statement of "productive discussions" to end the Iran War.
President Trump says:
1. He hopes the US and Iran will "meet soon and settle this"
2. He plans to "get together" with Iran via phone call
3. "Iran would like to make a deal, we would like a deal too"
4. The US has talked to Iran's "top respected leader"
5. "We want to see no nuclear weapon for Iran"
Buckle up for another volatile week ahead.’
https://x.com/kobeissiletter/status/2036077673521234086?s=61
Re: It’s a bold strategy, let’s see if it pays off for Angela Rayner – politicalbetting.com
Looks like Trump's blinked, not used to dealing with people madder than he is I guessTrump having a problem with somebody not folding when "they have no cards".
Tehran looking at four 9s.
Trump looking at an 8 high.
"Yeah, but they'll fold."
Re: It’s a bold strategy, let’s see if it pays off for Angela Rayner – politicalbetting.com
Stop killing the people who can speak for Iran might be a good first step.Thoughts and Prayers for BartThe main question is still who can speak for Iran, and what’s their process for agreeing to anything?
‘ BREAKING: President Trump responds to Iran denying his statement of "productive discussions" to end the Iran War.
President Trump says:
1. He hopes the US and Iran will "meet soon and settle this"
2. He plans to "get together" with Iran via phone call
3. "Iran would like to make a deal, we would like a deal too"
4. The US has talked to Iran's "top respected leader"
5. "We want to see no nuclear weapon for Iran"
Buckle up for another volatile week ahead.’
https://x.com/kobeissiletter/status/2036077673521234086?s=61
FF43
4