Best Of
Re: A 28% return in just over a month? – politicalbetting.com
This budget reminds me of the Lamont budget in the early 1990s. It was a complicators budget, introducing lots of little ways to try and increase tax take without anyone noticing too much.
Chancellors are either complicators or simplifiers. The simplifiers - like Howe or Lawson or Clarke - are much better than the complicators.
Chancellors are either complicators or simplifiers. The simplifiers - like Howe or Lawson or Clarke - are much better than the complicators.
rcs1000
12
Re: What the public expects from the budget – politicalbetting.com
Because children in poverty is a blight on society when effective and not massively expensive measures exist to reduce it. The two child cap was designed to punish families with more than two children, which meant it was punishing the children particularly. Because the cap was so targeted removing it will take the most children out of poverty for the least cost.Why was it the right thing to do?A couple of thoughts.I got what I wanted from the budget: the removal of the iniquitous two child cap. The government eventually did the right thing in the face of considerable opposition. That's what governments should be in power for.
I found Reeves's speech odd, in that good budget speeches traditionally combine dignity and seriousness with clever low politics. This felt like pantomime. She didn't rise to the occasion. Good polemic needs to be better hidden as serious comment.
The old customs of not announcing and leaking in advance, taking up about five weeks of political energy, were good and should have been kept.
The custom of listening to the budget in near silence was excellent. The Deputy speaker should keep much better control.
The opportunity (the last for this government I think) for a deep reforming budget was missed. This was about survival, the soft left, the benefits and pensioner class.
Nothing in it for the middling family types.
No central theme or core coherence. Clarke, Howe and Gladstone's reputations are safe.
it was a stark reminder of the anti-intellectualism of public life.
For the rest, I have no idea, and never do at the time of budgets. Chancellors whose job it is to take revenue from here and there, stand up and tell us how they are taking revenue from here and there, and it's supposed to be some kind of theatre.
The received wisdom on this budget seems to be that Reeves has ducked the difficult decisions that none of predecessors took either, while implementing tax increases which are highly unpopular. We'll see. I don't rule out that paradoxical take transpiring.
5
Re: What the public expects from the budget – politicalbetting.com
I think one problem Kemi has his her strategy of driving a wedge between "hard working families" and "benefit receiving freeloaders", when there is actually a huge overlap.
MattW
6
Re: What the public expects from the budget – politicalbetting.com
A couple of thoughts.
I found Reeves's speech odd, in that good budget speeches traditionally combine dignity and seriousness with clever low politics. This felt like pantomime. She didn't rise to the occasion. Good polemic needs to be better hidden as serious comment.
The old customs of not announcing and leaking in advance, taking up about five weeks of political energy, were good and should have been kept.
The custom of listening to the budget in near silence was excellent. The Deputy speaker should keep much better control.
The opportunity (the last for this government I think) for a deep reforming budget was missed. This was about survival, the soft left, the benefits and pensioner class.
Nothing in it for the middling family types.
No central theme or core coherence. Clarke, Howe and Gladstone's reputations are safe.
it was a stark reminder of the anti-intellectualism of public life.
I found Reeves's speech odd, in that good budget speeches traditionally combine dignity and seriousness with clever low politics. This felt like pantomime. She didn't rise to the occasion. Good polemic needs to be better hidden as serious comment.
The old customs of not announcing and leaking in advance, taking up about five weeks of political energy, were good and should have been kept.
The custom of listening to the budget in near silence was excellent. The Deputy speaker should keep much better control.
The opportunity (the last for this government I think) for a deep reforming budget was missed. This was about survival, the soft left, the benefits and pensioner class.
Nothing in it for the middling family types.
No central theme or core coherence. Clarke, Howe and Gladstone's reputations are safe.
it was a stark reminder of the anti-intellectualism of public life.
Re: What the public expects from the budget – politicalbetting.com
The entire former BBC A team is now on Times Radio.Does one of them refuse to fly while pitying the fool?
Andrew Neil, Jo Coburn and Dominic O'Connell - light years ahead of the BBC.
Re: What the public expects from the budget – politicalbetting.com
This must increase chances of Badenoch staying in place to the GE.
5
Re: What the public expects from the budget – politicalbetting.com
She thinks raising the 2 child benefit cap is popular.
In fact, it's massively unpopular - even with Labour voters.
In fact, it's massively unpopular - even with Labour voters.
8
Re: What the public expects from the budget – politicalbetting.com
For all the attacks on the Telegraph they seen to have forecast this budget fairly accuratelyI'm astonished. Mea Culpa and all that.
But only because "thats fucking crazy that can't be right" is replaced by "they are fucking crazy"
Re: What the public expects from the budget – politicalbetting.com
Labour MPs wildly cheering a massively unpopular announcement - which will lose them votes.
6
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