Best Of
Re: The 2025 chutzpah award goes to Marco Longhi – politicalbetting.com
Good morning, everyone.The implication being that there will be more wars, if Russia is not treated “with respect.” And he gets to define what is meant by “respect.”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cp89p082y2xo
"Russian President Vladimir Putin has said there will be no more wars after Ukraine, if Russia is treated with respect - and dismissed claims that Moscow is planning to attack European countries as "nonsense"."
Man who has repeatedly invaded a European country pretends the notion he might invade a European country is nonsense. Hmm.
6
Re: The 2025 chutzpah award goes to Marco Longhi – politicalbetting.com
Early Christmas in the Foxy household as both Foxjr's are with girlfriends family this year.
Full Monty Christmas Dinner today, Kings Speech and Prezzies around the tree, then boardgames and see who is up for watching Die Hard.
(Last years Kings Speech of course, but it doesnt change much)
Full Monty Christmas Dinner today, Kings Speech and Prezzies around the tree, then boardgames and see who is up for watching Die Hard.
(Last years Kings Speech of course, but it doesnt change much)
Foxy
8
Re: The 2025 chutzpah award goes to Marco Longhi – politicalbetting.com
They've (illegally) only released a fraction if the Epstein files, on the grounds that they're still redacting (probably illegally).I admit - my main interest in the epstein files is how the hell did you have so many files?!.
What they have released is also very heavily redacted:
https://x.com/krassenstein/status/2002123706504785966
Like.... seriously. How did he have time for all the ne'er-do-well when he had that much admin to do?
For a second time tonight, I'm remembering The Thick of It :
That's the thing about the Evil - they have this great work ethic
ohnotnow
6
Re: The 2025 chutzpah award goes to Marco Longhi – politicalbetting.com
“It’s not clear who attacked whom,” Hungarian PM Viktor Orbán said today at a presser on the Russia–Ukraine war, after an EU summit where he opposed any financial help for Ukraine..Later, Ursula von der Leyen punched Orban in the face, saying “It’s not clear who attacked whom.”
https://x.com/panyiszabolcs/status/2002066328321229172
Re: The 2025 chutzpah award goes to Marco Longhi – politicalbetting.com
Since being hit by a car, I've become rather more expressive at drivers speeding past me
The traditional hand signal has become even more of a staple response
Yesterday some idiot drove past me at about 40 outside my house, where the limit is 20 (The ready reckoner is double the yards per second), he got the hand signal
He screeched to a halt, jumped out and yelled "Don't call me a wanker"
Quick as a whippet, I yelled back "I don't know the hand signal for c***. Fuck off and do it slowly"
I'm glad to report that he took my advice, to laughter from his passengers
The traditional hand signal has become even more of a staple response
Yesterday some idiot drove past me at about 40 outside my house, where the limit is 20 (The ready reckoner is double the yards per second), he got the hand signal
He screeched to a halt, jumped out and yelled "Don't call me a wanker"
Quick as a whippet, I yelled back "I don't know the hand signal for c***. Fuck off and do it slowly"
I'm glad to report that he took my advice, to laughter from his passengers
Re: The year according to YouGov – politicalbetting.com
I find it amusing when people delight in the imperfection of AI; what kind of natural intelligence is perfect? Were they expecting humans to have invented godlike intelligence immediately?
Thank god that it still requires human surveillance!
I’ve just been discussing my upcoming walk in France with free Google AI. I started by asking it to tell me about it with a link to Google maps of roughly my route. It replied with the distance and a recommendation to look at Mappy for more details
I asked more specific questions, and gave it some more details of me and my holidays, including my holiday motto (Je marche partout, et Je bois comme un trou. Which it loved and told me was original)
The answers became better and better, and more tailored to my previous requests. It gave me the same advice as @kjh has about Arachon Bay
It occasionally tells me obvious nonsense, but politely apologises and gives me seemingly better information when I point out the mistakes
I asked it about possible future extensions to my walk (which it, on its own, calls the Grand Loop) into Spain or Portugal. It gave me interesting beer/wine/food/history/walking information on its three proposed routes
And, unprompted, it came up with possible Spanish and Portuguese idiomatic boozy walking holiday mottos
AI is so useful if one remembers its limitations
Thank god that it still requires human surveillance!
I’ve just been discussing my upcoming walk in France with free Google AI. I started by asking it to tell me about it with a link to Google maps of roughly my route. It replied with the distance and a recommendation to look at Mappy for more details
I asked more specific questions, and gave it some more details of me and my holidays, including my holiday motto (Je marche partout, et Je bois comme un trou. Which it loved and told me was original)
The answers became better and better, and more tailored to my previous requests. It gave me the same advice as @kjh has about Arachon Bay
It occasionally tells me obvious nonsense, but politely apologises and gives me seemingly better information when I point out the mistakes
I asked it about possible future extensions to my walk (which it, on its own, calls the Grand Loop) into Spain or Portugal. It gave me interesting beer/wine/food/history/walking information on its three proposed routes
And, unprompted, it came up with possible Spanish and Portuguese idiomatic boozy walking holiday mottos
AI is so useful if one remembers its limitations
Re: The year according to YouGov – politicalbetting.com
This is quite an interesting project.This is what makes diaries so amazing. Pepys's (1660-1669) having no idea until 1666 that the fire will render the City of London he writes about for six years mostly non existent. For pre WW1 and how it felt running up to it in ignorance my favourite is a real obscurity, the diary of Bishop Edward Lee Hicks (1910-1919), a boring teetotal bishop of Lincoln who stalks his diocese by train.
What do our PB historians made of it ?
https://x.com/joachim_voth/status/2001688613055267204
How did people in 1913 see the world? How did they think about the future? We trained LLMs exclusively on pre-1913 texts—no Wikipedia, no 20/20. The model literally doesn't know WWI happened. Announcing the Ranke-4B family of models. Coming soon: https://github.com/DGoettlich/history-llms
(NB He visited Algarkirk on 12th March 1914).
Re: The 2025 chutzpah award goes to Marco Longhi – politicalbetting.com
I tasted our 2025 base wine today. Yum.
Sticking it in old oak barrels for 6 months now before storage and second fermentation.

Sticking it in old oak barrels for 6 months now before storage and second fermentation.

MelonB
6
Re: The 2025 chutzpah award goes to Marco Longhi – politicalbetting.com
Meanwhile just a reminder that Verian (formerly Kantar) one of the best UK pollsters out there (judging on recent past records) have finally put out a poll as others have no doubt noticed.
REF 27, CON 21, LAB 18, LD 15, GRN 13
Only one poll - but worth about fifty from some other pollsters! Tends to match up to current LE trends reasonably well.
REF 27, CON 21, LAB 18, LD 15, GRN 13
Only one poll - but worth about fifty from some other pollsters! Tends to match up to current LE trends reasonably well.
Re: The 2025 chutzpah award goes to Marco Longhi – politicalbetting.com
If Alfred the Great hadn't fought off the Vikings, we'd have the Norwegian Sovereign Fund instead of all our national debt.If David Cameron had not called and lost the Brexit referendum, we'd not have had Theresa May and Boris, and Nigel Farage and Dominic Cummings would have left the stage. So it's Ted Heath's fault for taking us into Europe.That's certainly part of the problem. Sometimes, as with the bug going round at the moment, the only answer is to hunker down and wait for nature to do its thing. The current personnel aren't ideal casting, sure. But if the alternatives are worse, what are we to do?Somewhat belatedly, it is time to go and get the Christmas tree. Then put some decs up. Our son is coming home in the early hours for Christmas. Looking forward to that.We're in a dull phase right now.
This has been a very unhappy hear for me in politics. I feel an orphan. I have nothing but contempt for the SNP government in Scotland and I am in despair about the Labour government in London. My enthusiasm and even interest has waned sharply. I may have a break from PB for a while.
The best lack all conviction, while the worst
Are full of passionate intensity.
Besides, how did we get here and then get out? Part of the problem, I'm sure, is that we're demanding leadership qualities that go well beyond what we have any right to demand. Since Blair, we've had seven PMs, all of whom failed fairly unambiguously and fairly quickly. What was the sliding door moment where we could have avoided all this?

